Who Makes It Into AOTY in a 5-Nominee Lineup?

[reputationsgrammy Joined: Jul 28th, 2019 Topics: 1 Posts: 121 View Predictions]

#1205296004

I’m like, 99.9% certain this has been a topic before but I can’t find it, lol. We’ve now had 5 ceremonies since the General Fields were expanded to 8/10 nominees. Going year-by-year, who do you think still makes it into the classic 5-nominee lineup for AOTY?

2019

Golden Hour – Kacey Musgraves
By The Way, I Forgive You – Brandi Carlile
Invasion of Privacy – Cardi B
Scorpion – Drake
H.E.R – H.E.R

2020

When We All Fall Asleep, Where Do We Go? – Billie Eilish
I, I – Bon Iver
Thank U, Next – Ariana Grande
I Used To Know Her – H.E.R
Cuz I Love You (Deluxe) – Lizzo

2021

folklore – Taylor Swift
Black Pumas (Deluxe Edition) – Black Pumas
Djesse Vol. 3 – Jacob Collier
Women in Music Pt. III – HAIM
Future Nostalgia – Dua Lipa

2022

We Are – Jon Batiste
Love For Sale – Tony Bennett and Lady Gaga
Happier Than Ever – Billie Eilish
Planet Her – Doja Cat
Sour – Olivia Rodrigo

2023

Harry’s House – Harry Styles
30 – Adele
Renaissance – Beyoncé
In These Silent Days – Brandi Carlile
Mr. Morale and the Big Steppers – Kendrick Lamar

proud delusional swiftie

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[Deemy Joined: Feb 20th, 2015 Topics: 3 Posts: 2891 View Predictions]

#1205296156

2019

Kacey Musgraves – Golden Hour
Cardi B – Invasion of Privacy
Brandi Carlile – By the Way, I Forgive You
H.E.R – H.E.R
Janelle Monae – Dirty Computer

2020

Billie Eilish – When We All Fall Asleep
Lizzo – Cuz I Love You
Vampire Weekend – Father of the Bride
Lana Del Rey – Norman Fucking Rockwell
Ariana Grande – thank u, next

2021

Dua Lipa – Future Nostalgia
Black Pumas – Black Pumas (Deluxe Edition)
Taylor Swift – folklore
Jacob Collier – Djessie Vol 3
Post Malone – Hollywood’s Bleeding

2022

Olivia Rodrigo – Sour
Jon Batiste – We Are
Billie Eilish – Happier than Ever
Doja Cat – Planet Her
Justin Bieber – Justice

2023

Adele – 30
Brandi Carlie – In these Silent Days
Beyoncé – Renaissance
Harry Styles – Harry’s House
Lizzo – Special

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[Bee Joined: Oct 25th, 2016 Topics: 1 Posts: 776 View Predictions]

#1205296382

I’ll take it a step further and do ROTY/SOTY as well:

2019:
AOTY-
Golden Hour- Kacey Musgraves
Invasion of Privacy- Cardi B
Scorpion- Drake
By The Way, I Forgive You- Brandi Carlile
Beerbongs and Bentleys- Post Malone or HER

ROTY:
This is America- Childish Gambino
Shallow- Lady Gaga and Bradley Cooper
God’s Plan- Drake
I Like It- Cardi B ft Bad Bunny and J. Balvin
The Joke- Brandi Carlile

SOTY:
This is America- Childish Gambino
Shallow- Lady Gaga and Bradley Cooper
God’s Plan- Drake
The Joke- Brandi Carlile
The Middle- Zedd ft. Maren Morris

2020:
WWAFAWDWG- Billie Eilish
Cuz I Love You- Lizzo
I Used to Know Her- HER
Thank u, Next- Ariana Grande
I, I,- Bon Iver

ROTY:
Bad Guy- Billie Eilish
Truth Hurts- Lizzo
Old Town Road- Lil Nas X
7 Rings- Ariana Grande
Sunflower- Post Malone and Swae Lee

SOTY:
Bad Guy
Truth Hurts
Hard Place
Lover
Someone You Loved

2021:
Folklore- Taylor Swift
Future Nostaliga- Dua Lipa
Hollywood’s Bleeding- Post Malone
Black Pumas- Black Pumas
Djesse Vol 3.- Jacob Collier

ROTY:
Everything I Wanted- Billie Eilish
Savage- Megan Thee Stallion ft Beyonce
Don’t Start Now
Black Parade- Beyonce
Say So- Doja Cat

SOTY:
I Can’t Breathe- HER
Everything I Wanted
Don’t Start Now
Black Parade
Cardigan

2022:
We Are- Jon Batiste
SOUR- Olivia Rodrigo
Happier than Ever- Billie Eilish
Justice- Justin Bieber
Planet Her- Doja Cat ft SZA

ROTY:
Leave the Door Open- Silk Sonic
Driver’s License- Olivia Rodrigo
Happier than Ever
Kiss Me More- Doja Cat ft SZA
Peaches- Justin Bieber ft Giveon and Daniel Caesar

SOTY:
Leave the Door Open
Driver’s License
Happier than Ever
Montero (CMBYN)
Peaches

2023:
Harry’s House- Harry Styles
Renaissance- Beyonce
30- Adele
In These Silent Days- Brandi Carlile
Mr. Morale and the Big Steppers- Kendrick Lamar

ROTY:
About Damn Time- Lizzo
As It Was- Harry Styles
Break My Soul- Beyonce
Easy On Me- Adele
The Heart Part 5- Kendrick Lamar

SOTY:
Just Like That- Bonnie Raitt
As It Was- Harry Styles
About Damn Time- Lizzo
Break My Soul- Beyonce
Easy on Me- Adele

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[strangemercy Joined: Oct 28th, 2020 Topics: 3 Posts: 513 View Predictions]

#1205296420

Record of The Year

• Easy On Me (Adele)
• Break My Soul (Beyoncé)
• The Heart Part 5 (Kendrick Lamar)
• About Damn Time (Lizzo)
• As It Was (Harry Styles)

Album of The Year

• 30 (Adele)
• Renaissance (Beyoncé)
• In These Silent Days (Brandi Carlile)
• Mr. Morale & The Big Steppers (Kendrick Lamar)
• Harry’s House (Harry Styles)

Song of The Year

• About Damn Time (Lizzo)
• All Too Well (10 Minute Version) [The Short Film] (Taylor Swift)
• As It Was (Harry Styles)
• Bad Habit (Steve Lacy)
• Break My Soul (Beyoncé)

Best New Artist

• Omar Apollo
• Samara Joy
• Latto
• Muni Long
• Wet Leg

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[lovetodream Joined: Nov 17th, 2022 Topics: 1 Posts: 368 View Predictions]

#1205296454

i sorta doubt doja wouldve gotten into any of her gf noms other than kiss me more in roty in 2022, and maybe say so the year prior. i don’t think planet her had that much support as an album lmao.

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[Gucci Joined: Dec 1st, 2019 Topics: 0 Posts: 16818 View Predictions]

#1205296458

Album of the Year

2019:
Cardi B, Invasion of Privacy
Drake, Scorpion
H.E.R., H.E.R.
Janelle Monáe, Dirty Computer
Various Artists, Black Panther: The Album

2020:
Billie Eilish, When We All Fall Asleep, Where Do We Go?
Ariana Grande, thank u, next
Lil Nas X, 7
Lizzo, Cuz I Love You (Deluxe)
Vampire Weekend, Father of the Bride

2021:
Jhené Aiko, Chilombo
Coldplay, Everyday Life
Jacob Collier, Djessie Vol 3
Dua Lipa, Future Nostalgia
Taylor Swift, folklore

2022:
Jon Batiste, We Are
Tony Bennett & Lady Gaga, Love for Sale
H.E.R., Back of My Mind
Lil Nas X, Montero
Olivia Rodrigo, Sour

2023:
Adele, 30
Beyoncé, Renaissance
Mary J. Blige, Good Morning Gorgeous (Deluxe)
Kendrick Lamar, Mr. Morale & the Big Steppers
Lizzo, Special

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[Mother Dináh Joined: Jun 29th, 2019 Topics: 0 Posts: 1511 View Predictions]

#1205296748

2019

AOTY

• Beck – Colors
• Brandi Carlile – By The Way, I Forgive You
• Cardi B – Invasion of Privacy
• THE CARTERS – EVERYTHING IS LOVE
• Drake – Scorpion

ROTY

• Beck – Colors
• Brandi Carlile – The Joke
• Cardi B, Bad Bunny, J Balvin – I Like It
• THE CARTERS – APESHIT
• Childish Gambino – This is America
• Lady Gaga, Bradley Cooper – Shallow

(can’t take one out istG)

SOTY

• “APESHIT” (THE CARTERS) – the irony
• ”Boo’d Up” (Ella Mai)
• ”Colors” (Beck)
• “The Joke” (Brandi Carlile)
• “Shallow” (Lady Gaga)

2020

AOTY

• Bon Iver – i,i
• Billie Eilish – WHEN WE ALL FALL ASLEEP, WHERE DO WE GO?
• Ariana Grande – thank u, next
• H.E.R. – I Used To Know Her
• Lizzo – Cuz I Love You

(wouldn’t be surprised if Homecoming was blocked)

ROTY

• Bon Iver – i,i
• Billie Eilish – bad guy
• Ariana Grande – 7 rings
• Lil Nas X – Old Town Road
• Lizzo – Truth Hurts

SOTY

• “Always Remember Us This Way”
• ”bad guy” (Billie Eilish)
• ”Bring My Flowers Now” (Tanya Tucker, Brandi Carlile)
• ”Truth Hurts” (Lizzo)

2021

AOTY

• Beck – Hyperspace
• Justin Bieber – Changes
• Black Pumas – Black Pumas (Deluxe)
• Dua Lipa – Future Nostalgia
• Harry Styles – Fine Line

ROTY

• Black Pumas – Colors
• Billie Eilish – everything i wanted
• H.E.R. – I Can’t Breathe
• Dua Lipa – Don’t Start Now
• Harry Styles – Adore You

SOTY

• “Adore You” (Harry Styles)
• ”cardigan” (Taylor Swift)
• ”Colors” (Black Pumas)
• ”Crowded Table” (The Highwomen)
• ”Don’t Start Now” (Dua Lipa)

2022

AOTY

• Jon Batiste – WE ARE
• Tony Bennett, Lady Gaga – Love For Sale
• Justin Bieber – Justice
• Billie Eilish – Happier Than Ever
• Olivia Rodrigo – SOUR

ROTY

• Justin Bieber, Daniel Caesar, Giveon – Peaches
• Brandi Carlile – Right On Time
• Billie Eilish – Happier Than Ever
• Olivia Rodrigo – drivers license
• Silk Sonic – Leave The Door Open

SOTY

• “A Beautiful Noise” (Various A-list female songwriters)
• “drivers license” (Olivia Rodrigo)
• ”Fight For You” (H.E.R.)
• ”Happier Than Ever” (Billie Eilish)
• ”Leave The Door Open” (Silk Sonic)

2023

AOTY

• Adele – 30
• Beyoncé – RENAISSANCE
• Brandi Carlile – In These Silent Days
• Kendrick Lamar – Mr. Morale & The Big Steppers
• Harry Styles – Harry’s House

ROTY

• Adele – Easy On Me
• Beyoncé – BREAK MY SOUL
• Brandi Carlile, Lucius – You And Me On The Rock
• Lizzo – About Damn Time
• Harry Styles – As It Was

SOTY

• “About Damn Time” (Lizzo)
• ”All Too Well” (Taylor Swift)
• ”As It Was” (Harry Styles)
• ”Bad Habit” (Steve Lacy)
• ”Just Like That” (Bonnie Raitt)

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[JPCAMP310 Joined: Nov 5th, 2018 Topics: 0 Posts: 55 View Predictions]

#1205296790

2020:

AOTY:

• Billie Eilish
• Lizzo
• Lana Del Rey
• Ariana Grande
• Bon Iver

ROTY:

• “Bad Guy”
• “Sunflower”
• “Old Town Road”
• “Truth Hurts”
• “Hey, Ma”

SOTY:

• “Bad Guy”
• “Bring My Flowers Now”
• “Truth Hurts”
• “Someone You Loved”
• “Norman F*****g Rockwell”

BNA:

• Billie Eilish
• Lil Nas X
• Lizzo
• Maggie Rogers
• Rosalia

2021:

AOTY:

• Taylor Swift
• Coldplay
• Haim
• Dua Lipa
• Post Malone

ROTY:

• “Everything I Wanted”
• “Savage”
• “Don’t Start Now”
• “Say So”
• “Rockstar”

SOTY

• “I Can’t Breathe”
• “Cardigan”
• “Everything I Wanted”
• “If the World was Ending”
• “The Box”

BNA:

• Megan Thee Stallion
• Doja Cat
• Phoebe Bridgers
• Kaytranda
• Noah Cyrus

2022:

AOTY:

• Jon Batiste
• Tony Bennett & Lady Gaga
• Olivia Rodrigo
• Doja Cat
• H.E.R

ROTY:

• “Leave the Door Open”
• “Kiss Me More”
• “Driver’s License”
• “I Still Have Faith in You”
• “Freedom”

SOTY:

• “Leave the Door Open”
• “Kiss Me More
• “Happier Than Ever”
• “A Beautiful Noise”
• “Fight For You”

BNA:

• Olivia Rodrigo
• Jimmie Allen
• Arooj Aftab
• Glass Animals
• Baby Keem

2023:

AOTY:

• Harry Styles
• Beyonce
• Adele
• Brandi Carlile
• ABBA

ROTY:

• “About Damn Time”
• “Easy On Me”
• “You and Me on the Rock”
• “Break My Soul”
• “As It Was”

SOTY:

• “Just Like That”
• “Easy On Me”
• “All Too Well”
• “The Heart Pt. 5”
• “Bad Habit”

BNA:

• Samara Joy
• Latto
• Wet Leg
• Omar Apollo
• Muni Long

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[MarinaBelo2 Joined: Nov 6th, 2017 Topics: 0 Posts: 370 View Predictions]

#1205296908

They really should return to 5 nominees, or 8 at most. We don’t need filler nominations that just set nominees up for disappointment(see Mary J Blige and Brandi Carlile).

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[MarinaBelo2 Joined: Nov 6th, 2017 Topics: 0 Posts: 370 View Predictions]

#1205296911

I think Lana would’ve been nominated for NFR anyway.
Love for Sale, Evermore, Justice and Kanye’s album would’ve been snubbed.

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[braydenfitzsimmons Joined: May 3rd, 2015 Topics: 97 Posts: 8672 View Predictions]

#1205296969

MarinaBelo2 wrote:

I think Lana would’ve been nominated for NFR anyway.

With a jury, absolutely. No way she makes AOTY with a popular vote/without a panel.

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[alex.g Joined: Sep 20th, 2017 Topics: 1 Posts: 489 View Predictions]

#1205297066

In these latest Grammys without a committee there would still be some alphabetical order advantage nominees. So Mary J Blige, Brandi Carlile and Coldplay might still have made it into AOTY with 5 nominees.

Vampire Weekend could have missed out in 2020, unless the committee decided to rescue them. Maybe Lana and Bon Iver too.

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[jarg Joined: Feb 18th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 203 View Predictions]

#1205297114

2023 :
– adele – 30
– beyonce – renaissance
– brandi carlile – in these silent days
– harry styles – harry’s house
– kendrick lamar – mr. morale and the big steppers

2022 :
– billie eilish – happier than ever
– doja cat – planet her (deluxe)
– jon batiste – we are
– olivia rodrigo – sour
– tony bennett, lady gaga – love for sale

2021 (the nominees were so fucked up) :
– black pumas – black pumas (deluxe edition)
– dua lipa – future nostalgia
– jacob collier – djesse vol. 3
– post malone – hollywood’s bleeding
– taylor swift – folklore

2020 :
– bon iver – i, i
– billie eilish – when we all fall asleep, where do we go?
– lana del rey – norman fucking rockwell!
– lizzo – cuz i love you (deluxe)
– ariana grande – thank u, next

2019 :
– brandi carlile – by the way, i forgive you
– cardi b – invasion of privacy
– janelle monae – dirty computer
– kacey musgraves – golden hour
– various artists – black panther : the album, music from and inspired by

fyc :

- everything everywhere all at once (best picture)
- daniel scheinert, daniel kwan (best director)
- michelle yeoh (best actress)
- ke huy quan (best supporting actor)
- stephanie hsu (best supporting actress)
- jamie lee curtis (best supporting actress)
- daniel scheinert, daniel kwan (best original screenplay)
- paul rogers (best editing)

letterboxd : rndmreviews

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[MarinaBelo2 Joined: Nov 6th, 2017 Topics: 0 Posts: 370 View Predictions]

#1205297567

braydenfitzsimmons wrote:

With a jury, absolutely. No way she makes AOTY with a popular vote/without a panel.

Of course. I presumed the jury was still working, since in 2020 it still was.

But now that I think about it, if it were only 5 nominees, she would be left out because they would think nominating 3 female solo acts would be too much(Billie/Ariana/Lana). Lana would miss for a male act/band.

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[Cameron Joined: Sep 11th, 2019 Topics: 12 Posts: 2302 View Predictions]

#1205297784

2023
Adele, 30
Beyoncé, Renaissance
Mary J Blige, Good Morning Gorgeous
Harry Styles, Harry’s House
Brandi Carlile, In These Silent Days

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