January 20, 2013 at 5:23 am #541671
I have never been so confused and uncertain about an Oscar category in my life. This is by far the most interesting race of the year, and of all the recent Academy Award ceremonies.
So, in order to try and gain knowledge as to who the real frontrunner is, I created a poll. Please vote for who you think will win this award
The irony lies in the fact that no matter who wins, the internet will be ablaze with comments about how it is an upset. I honestly wouldn’t be surprised if there is a five-way tie and each of the gentlemen get their second (or in DeNiro’s case, third) Oscars…wouldn’t that be memorable?January 20, 2013 at 5:27 am #541673
Seriously, there is an entire thread already devoted to answering this redundant question. If you want to know who the frontrunner is, as if people on this site actually know who the frontrunner, look at the prediction center.
Someone lock this thread.Marcus Snowden (The Artist Formerly Known as msnowden1)ParticipantJanuary 20, 2013 at 6:56 am #541674
Arkin has no chance. I haven’t seen The Master, so I can’t comment on PSH’s performance . So, to me, it was between the other three performances. I chose De Niro because the guy’s a legend.January 20, 2013 at 9:52 am #541675
I prefer both female performances in SLP than the boys, they were quite obviously not trying so hard (I’m sure at Russell’s advisement). However, because of DeNiro’s work over so many decades, Mean Streets, Taxi Driver, and Raging Bull are three pretty killer performances that actors would be lucky to have just one on their resume. Godfather part two was just ok for me, certainly not near the worst of its category but not up to his personal best. However, I would like to see him join the three timers club over Day-Lewis, was very good here, and Sally Field, who was trying soooooooooo hard.January 20, 2013 at 10:06 am #541676
1. Philip Seymour Hoffman – An Amazing performance, Oscar Worthy!
2. Tommy Lee Jones – A fantastic Performance in a film that the Academy LOVES.
3. Christoph Waltz – He won the Golden Globe, and he is lead hence more screen time, so maybe the voters will go for him.
4. Robert De Niro – He should win his 3rd in the future with a better performance.
5. Alan Arkin – He might win a 2nd one day ( i don’t think so ) but not for this performance.
Conclusion: I am rooting for Hoffman, but if Jones wins i won’t be too upset.
Leo D should have been nominated this year.January 20, 2013 at 10:12 am #541677
PSH and Waltz were both co-leads.. Each picture couldn’t have existed without their characters and they were ‘supporting’ no one. In a world where nomination totals don’t factor into buzz or box office, they would both be duking it out for Best Actor.. While Day-Lewis is working off his Oscars, hey look at me I am A-cting, with a very nice performance that either he or Spielberg or the Editor deserve credit for keeping restrained.January 20, 2013 at 10:14 am #541678
First of all, the prediction center is not truth. Secondly, these threads can be moved to the polls place. And third, I agree, STOP W/THE MULTIPLE POST ON THE SAME TOPIC. People have been here for awhile and should know better at this point.January 21, 2013 at 7:40 pm #541679
I think it’s a very close call between Jones, Waltz, Hoffman, and De Niro, and wouldn’t be surprised if any of them won. Today I think Hoffman (based on the Critics Choice win), but it changes from day to day.
I wouldn’t even be that surprised if Arkin won, but he generally isn’t one of the four I keep going back to thinking they’ll take it.
Once SAG and BAFTA give out their prizes, we may have a clearer idea of who is going to win.
I think each actor has pros and cons:
pros: at 78, he is the oldest nominee in the group, and his nominations date back the furthest (1966); has been nominated at all the right places (Globes, SAG, BAFTA, Critics Choice); could be an easy place to award Argo
cons: has won virtually no precursor awards for this role; still a recent winner for Little Miss Sunshine
Robert De Niro
pros: Oscar comeback; most beloved actor in the group (7 nominations, 2 wins); arguably the most legendary actor in the group
cons: has done a lot of not-so-great movies in the past few decades; no Golden Globe or BAFTA nominations; no major wins at this point
Phillip Seymour Hoffman
pros: plenty of critics groups wins (Critics Choice, Chicago, Vancouver, Washington DC, Florida); has had the most Oscar nominations in the last 10 years of all nominated actors; plenty of screen time; has been nominated at all the right places (Globes, SAG, BAFTA, Critics Choice)
cons: the only one not in a Best Picture winner; still quite young; hasn’t showed up at any major precursors
Tommy Lee Jones
pros: several critics groups wins (San Francisco, Las Vegas, Dallas Fort-Worth); could be swept up in the Lincoln love; it’s been awhile since he’s won; his recent resume is pretty impressive (No Country for Old Men; In the Valley of Elah; The Three Burials…); has been nominated at all the right places (Globes, SAG, BAFTA, Critics Choice)
cons: his last Oscar win for The Fugitive was really an overdue win for JFK, beating out Ralph Fiennes for Schindler’s List; nomajor wins for his role in Lincoln at this point
pros: Golden Globe win; San Diego win; like Basterds, a safe place to award Tarantino’s Django; plenty of screen time
cons: the most recent Oscar winner of the group; no SAG nomination (but he wasn’t eligible in this category)
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