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June 19, 2019 at 11:54 pm #1202945110
I’ve completely taken GLOW out of my predictions (along with Homecoming). I took out Alison Brie a while ago and after reading lots on here I took out Gilpin. I don’t see it getting into series with no acting, Writing or Directing noms
Globes FYC- Fleabag, Phoebe Waller Bridge, Jodie Comer, Dame Emma Thompson, The Crown
SAG FYC- The Crown, Olivia Colman, Fleabag, PWB
Critics Choice- Schitts Creek, Fleabag, Killing Eve, Bodyguard
BAFTA- Fleabag, Killing Eve
Oscars FYC ‘Little Women’ ‘Downton Abbey’ ‘Maggie Smith’June 20, 2019 at 12:35 am #1202945144
I love JLD and will obviously be happy for her if she wins, but I’ll be over the moon if Pamela Adlon can pull off an upset win in Lead Actress. She is crazy good in Better Things.June 20, 2019 at 4:52 am #1202945242
If someone pulls an upset, I think it’s Phoebe Waller-Bridge. Or maybe Fleabag could even win Best Comedy. The buzz it has gained in the industry seems to be pretty high. TCA nominations were another indicator of that.June 20, 2019 at 5:19 am #1202945250This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.June 20, 2019 at 10:16 am #1202945688
Sorry my reply took so long! I’ve been traveling and spending most of the day without Internet. Honestly, I’m not sure. I have Gilpin in right now, but I completely understand that that choice is HEAVILY influenced by my own personal bias, just because I’m not sure. Borstein would be an expected choice to repeat, and it would be really deserved because she’s AWESOME, but it just doesn’t seem like the kind of undeniable performance that can win twice in a row. SNL ladies will probably split votes, Hinkle doesn’t have the material, Carden will be lucky just to get nominated, Goldberg kinda lives in her male costars’ shadows, and everyone else is probably a non-factor except Chlumsky. Chlumsky and Borstein are both kind of tied in second place for me right now, and while Anna’s got the final season advantage, I hesitate to put her in first just because she didn’t have a whole ton to do this season, and she became EXTREMELY unlikeable (and not in a fun way like Louis-Dreyfus or Dowd). So I guess Gilpin? She reminds me a lot of Newton just in that they’re both co-leads in supporting who were the focus of their show’s critical acclaim in the second season. She also has most of the strong emotional beats (less so now that Brie was given heavier stuff in season two, but still, Gilpin’s the dramatic heart of the show). However, I agree that Gilpin also just doesn’t seem like a realistic winner, and while I’m personally rooting for her, I would be surprised if she actually did it. So, in summary, I have Gilpin in my first spot, partly because of stan bias and partly because my gut is telling me to, but I could see this category going literally any direction.
This actually makes a lot of sense. I really hope Gilpin wins.June 20, 2019 at 10:56 am #1202945729
I think outside of Barry, Mrs. Maisel and Veep, it really is a crapshoot as to who will be getting into Comedy Series… or which series in general is on the Emmy radar in the Comedy categories. Its definitely a battle of the old blood vs the new blood.
Looking at the eligible returning nominees vs new ones…
Returning to Comedy Series:
The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt
The Good Place
Dead to Me
The Kominsky Method
There were 8 nominees last year. They could keep the returning 6 and add 2 new ones. Or drop black-ish (fading out), GLOW (zero buzz), and/or Unbreakable (series ended). I think Schitt’s Creek would just be wishful thinking, as much as it deserves a nom. The Good Place seems likely to breakthrough, but it has been passed over twice before. Not everything from Netflix will make the cut… but which will the Academy respond best to? I don’t think Fleabag has a chance to make it into Comedy Series (this year anyway). I think the buzz is too new (similar to Killing Eve last year). It has enough to garner some acting noms and/or writing… but not a Series nom (yet).
The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel (Amazon)
Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt (Netflix)
The Kominsky Method (Netflix)
The Good Place (NBC)
P.S. I passed a billboard the other day in LA for The Other Two and I thought to myself: “Why in the world would the Emmys nominate this show when they never nominated Broad City???!” …and then immediately behind that billboard was another for Broad City proclaiming in all caps: “NEVER BEEN NOMINATED EVER!” lolJune 20, 2019 at 11:20 am #1202945752
I don’t think Fleabag has a chance to make it into Comedy Series (this year anyway). I think the buzz is too new (similar to Killing Eve last year). It has enough to garner some acting noms and/or writing… but not a Series nom (yet).
This was the last season of Fleabag, it’s not returning.June 20, 2019 at 3:40 pm #1202946050
I’ve gone all out with Fleabag. I’m predicting it to get nominations for Series, Lead Actress, Supporting Actress, and Supporting Actor.
If it fails, c’est la vie.
I so wanna have Christina Applegate in my predictions but I don’t want to kick Maya Rudolph out. Lead Actress comedy is the best category of this year for me, and it will be a shame when JLD inevitably wins it for the millionth time.June 20, 2019 at 3:49 pm #1202946064
It’s only SIX episodes, sofan. SIX. And that should matter, and it should be relocated to limited series. Series don’t get any more limited than 6 episodes.June 20, 2019 at 4:13 pm #1202946089
How confident is everyone with The Kominsky Method for a series nomination? I just don’t see any buzz about it.June 20, 2019 at 4:19 pm #1202946093
It’s only SIX episodes, sofan. SIX. And that should matter, and it should be relocated to limited series. Series don’t get any more limited than 6 episodes.
I’m not stuck on episode numbers, we are at a new age of television and it has six whole episodes that preceded this season’s six episodes. Fleabag tells a great and satisfying story in 6 episodes that many network shows fail to do in 22 episodes.
Veep only has 7 episodes, should it move to Limited Series as well?
And for what it is worth, I already have The Good Place ahead of it.
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