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2019 Emmy Awards Drama Predictions

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  • Luca
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    #1202821572

    I absolutely agree. I think Mullan will be one of those typical coattail nominee, especially in such a weak field. I wouldn’t mind either, because he should have been nominated in guest for Westworld.

    Emmys 2019 FYC: Lena Headey ("Game of Thrones"), Cicely Tyson ("HTGAWM"), Viola Davis ("HTGAWM"), Richard Madden ("Bodyguard"), "Bodyguard," "The Haunting of Hill House" & "Escape at Dannemora" in all categories

    Macca
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    Dec 22nd, 2015
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    #1202821641

    SERIES

    1. Game of Thrones
    2. Killing Eve
    3. Homecoming
    4. Pose
    5. Better Call Saul
    6. This Is Us
    7. Succession

    8. Ozark
    9. Bodyguard
    10. The Good Fight

    LEAD ACTOR

    1. Jason Bateman, Ozark
    2. Kit Harington, Game of Thrones
    3. Billy Porter, Pose
    4. Bob Odenkirk, Better Call Saul
    5. Richard Madden, Bodyguard
    6. Sterling K Brown, This Is Us

    7. Milo Ventimiglia, This Is Us
    8. Stephan James, Homecoming
    9. Freddie Highmore, The Good Doctor
    10. John Krasinski, Jack Ryan

    LEAD ACTRESS

    1. Sandra Oh, Killing Eve
    2. Julia Roberts, Homecoming
    3. Laura Linney, Ozark
    4. Jodie Comer, Killing Eve
    5. Robin Wright, House of Cards
    6. Emilia Clarke, Game of Thrones

    7. Christine Branski, The Good Fight
    8. Elisabeth Olsen, Sorry For Your Loss
    9. Maggie Gyllenhaal, The Deuce
    10. Caitriona Balfe, Outlander

    SUPPORTING ACTOR

    1. Peter Dinklage, Game of Thrones
    2. Nikolaj Coster-Waldau, Game of Thrones
    3. Kieran Culkin, Succession
    4. Shea Whigham, Homecoming
    5. Justin Hartley, This Is Us
    6. Delroy Lindo, The Good Fight

    7. Matthew Macfadyen, Succession
    8. Richard Schiff, The Good Doctor
    9. Justin Bartha, The Good Fight
    10. Michael Sheen, The Good Fight

    SUPPORTING ACTRESS

    1. Lena Headey, Game of Thrones
    2. Julia Garner, Ozark
    3. Maisie Williams, Game of Thrones
    4. Sophie Turner, Game of Thrones
    5. Rhea Seehorn, Better Call Saul
    6. Susan Kelchi Watson, This Is Us

    7. Fiona Shaw, Killing Eve
    8. Audra McDonald, The Good Fight
    9. Mary J Blige, The Umbrella Academy
    10. Cush Jumbo, The Good Fight

    DIRECTING

    1. Game of Thrones
    2. Game of Thrones
    3. Game of Thrones
    4. Succession
    5. Ozark
    6. Better Call Saul

    7. Pose
    8. Homecoming
    9. Bodyguard
    10. House of Cards

    WRITING

    1. Game of Thrones
    2. Game of Thrones
    3. Killing Eve
    4. Succession
    5. Better Call Saul
    6. Pose

    7. Ozark
    8. Homecoming
    9. Bodyguard
    10. Orange Is the New Black

    • This reply was modified 2 months ago by  Macca.
    • This reply was modified 2 months ago by  Macca.
    AayaanUpadhyaya
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    Dec 15th, 2011
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    #1202821843

    SAG loved Ozark this year, awarding Jason Bateman and nominating Laura Linney, Julia Garner and the ensemble. SAG only has a few nomination slots, so who might represent the “ensemble” at the Emmys after not quite being so strong a contender to get an individual SAG citation? This is Us won ensemble and Sterling K. Brown got nominated, but Milo Ventimiglia and Chrissy Metz join him at the Emmys. The Handmaid’s Tale got both Elisabeth Moss and Joseph Fiennes in at SAG, but they also get three more supporting actresses in at the Emmys. Better Call Saul got Bob Odenkirk and the ensemble this year, with Jonathan Banks sure to register at the Emmys. The Ozark equivalent will be Peter Mullan. Of course he did not get a SAG nomination because he is not a core part of the show like that, but he was a big part of the second season specifically. And he is an Emmy-nominated actor to boot who just recurred on another show that is big with the Emmys. He is flying under the radar because Ozark is not a journalists/critics show, so he missed the precursors (and it is not really a Gold Derby show as such, so the lack of awareness snowballs, but this is an industry-beloved show). Of course he did not get into the Globes’ catch-all supporting category and of course Critics’ Choice did not nominate him because they did not even nominate Jason Bateman or Laura Linney! I have him fourth.

    My only concern with your analysis is just how much of SAG loving Ozark will reflect at the Emmys.

    I know Ozark itself dominated with the guilds in general, so maybe SAG loving it has more to do with the Industry loving Ozark than SAG’s own Netflix bias, but that Netflix bias has shown a lot of discrepancies between SAG and Emmy nominations.

    From the top of my head, Winona Ryder’s shocking snub in 2017 (in supporting with six slots) after getting in at SAG (combines lead/supporting with five slots) was the first sign. Then, of course, the absolutely bizarre trajectory we saw GLOW take – SAG nominating Brie and Maron, Emmys snubbing both of them but nominating Gilpin. SAG nominating Fonda twice now, despite her getting snubbed last year and most likely getting snubbed this year again. From Ozark alone, Laura Linney was snubbed last year after actually getting in at SAG in 2018 (and again in 2019!).

    So when it comes to Netflix contenders at Emmys, I take their performance at SAG with a pinch of salt.

    Ozark is on an industry upswing, but Ozark did get two directing nominations last year as well, and was still snubbed for Laura Linny (despite her SAG nomination). Which is why I am weary of predicting Mulan because Ozark’s SAG performance might be because of Netflix bias, industry love, or a combination of both. So I am playing safe and predicting the three actors who actually showed up at SAG.

    DvirBA
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    Apr 23rd, 2018
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    #1202821863

    I don’t think Game of Thrones will have more than writing nominee – if I recall currectly they never submit the Bryan Cogman or Dave Hill episodes, just one D&D episode… I think

    Ivo Stoyanov
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    #1202822111

    Ozark is on an industry upswing, but Ozark did get two directing nominations last year as well, and was still snubbed for Laura Linny (despite her SAG nomination).

    That’s because directors vote for directing and actors vote for acting. Last year, most actors voters at SAG watched Ozark and GLOW in comparison to the actors that vote on Emmys (we all know that some actors vote in both), or at least, most of them watched it. But this year, the entire industry seems to have watched Ozark, there will be no stopping it in my opinion.

    The ones that have watched Ozark, is Peter Mullan actually good? Does he have a big role? Is there any others male supporting actors that may pop-up?

    Heptapod
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    Feb 2nd, 2019
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    #1202822127

    Peter Mullan is fine, but not doing anything special. I wouldn’t be entirely surprised if he made it in just due to lack of contenders, but I personally don’t think he will. None of the other supporting actors from the show are that impressive, and if anyone’s getting in from that show, it’s Mullan. But don’t count him out, I guess? He could definitely coattail.

    • This reply was modified 2 months ago by  Heptapod.
    • This reply was modified 2 months ago by  Heptapod.
    Riley
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    Oct 11th, 2010
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    #1202822564

    Have not seen the second season of Ozark myself, but I have been spoiled a little about it, so spoiler alert for it and other shows: Peter Mullan fits the mould of past nominees Ron Cephas Jones, Ben Mendelsohn, Josh Charles, Jonathan Banks, Bobby Cannavale, Jared Harris and Giancarlo Esposito if you catch my drift. Drama supporting actor is the category that has this trend.

    jjjmoss
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    May 30th, 2016
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    #1202823431

    Mullan is already a previous nominee too, for Top of the Lake which should have won Moss her first Emmy

    Turd Ferguson
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    Nov 1st, 2014
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    #1202823559

    SERIES

    1. Game of Thrones
    2. Killing Eve
    3. Homecoming
    4. Pose
    5. Better Call Saul
    6. This Is Us
    7. Succession

    8. Ozark
    9. Bodyguard
    10. The Good Fight

    LEAD ACTOR

    1. Jason Bateman, Ozark
    2. Kit Harington, Game of Thrones
    3. Billy Porter, Pose
    4. Bob Odenkirk, Better Call Saul
    5. Richard Madden, Bodyguard
    6. Sterling K Brown, This Is Us

    7. Milo Ventimiglia, This Is Us
    8. Stephan James, Homecoming
    9. Freddie Highmore, The Good Doctor
    10. John Krasinski, Jack Ryan

    LEAD ACTRESS

    1. Sandra Oh, Killing Eve
    2. Julia Roberts, Homecoming
    3. Laura Linney, Ozark
    4. Jodie Comer, Killing Eve
    5. Robin Wright, House of Cards
    6. Emilia Clarke, Game of Thrones

    7. Christine Branski, The Good Fight
    8. Elisabeth Olsen, Sorry For Your Loss
    9. Maggie Gyllenhaal, The Deuce
    10. Caitriona Balfe, Outlander

    SUPPORTING ACTOR

    1. Peter Dinklage, Game of Thrones
    2. Nikolaj Coster-Waldau, Game of Thrones
    3. Kieran Culkin, Succession
    4. Shea Whigham, Homecoming
    5. Justin Hartley, This Is Us
    6. Delroy Lindo, The Good Fight

    7. Matthew Macfadyen, Succession
    8. Richard Schiff, The Good Doctor
    9. Justin Bartha, The Good Fight
    10. Michael Sheen, The Good Fight

    SUPPORTING ACTRESS

    1. Lena Headey, Game of Thrones
    2. Julia Garner, Ozark
    3. Maisie Williams, Game of Thrones
    4. Sophie Turner, Game of Thrones
    5. Rhea Seehorn, Better Call Saul
    6. Susan Kelchi Watson, This Is Us

    7. Fiona Shaw, Killing Eve
    8. Audra McDonald, The Good Fight
    9. Mary J Blige, The Umbrella Academy
    10. Cush Jumbo, The Good Fight

    DIRECTING

    1. Game of Thrones
    2. Game of Thrones
    3. Game of Thrones
    4. Succession
    5. Ozark
    6. Better Call Saul

    7. Pose
    8. Homecoming
    9. Bodyguard
    10. House of Cards

    WRITING

    1. Game of Thrones
    2. Game of Thrones
    3. Killing Eve
    4. Succession
    5. Better Call Saul
    6. Pose

    7. Ozark
    8. Homecoming
    9. Bodyguard
    10. Orange Is the New Black

    You remembered Better Call Saul in every category but one of its guaranteed nominations, Jonathan Banks? Interesting.

    Bob Odenkirk for the win!

    jacob121
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    Mar 2nd, 2011
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    #1202823583

    I also thought Mullan was quite good for whatever that is worth *shrug*

    I think he’s more viable than any of the Succession or Homecoming men.

    wolfali
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    Joined:
    Sep 4th, 2018
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    Posts:
    #1202824841

    Is it possible Dinklage could lose Best Supporting Actor this year? I feel like we’re underestimating Michael Kelly, it’s his last season and I feel like Netflix will campaign hard here and in Best Actress by using the “farewell Emmy” campaigning method. Also which are Netflix going to campaign the hardest for as their main nominee seeming The Crown is out? Bodyguard? Ozark? Dare I even say House of Cards? Could we see Bodyguard, Ozark and HOC get nominated for Best Actress, Ozark and HOC in supporting and Bodyguard and Ozark in Drama?

    My updated predictions.

    BEST ACTRESS

    1. Sandra Oh – Killing Eve
    2. Robin Wright – House of Cards
    3. Laura Linney – Ozark
    4. Julia Roberts – Homecoming
    5. Christine Baranski – The Good Fight
    6. Jodie Comer – Killing Eve

    Alt : Emilia Clarke (Game of Thrones), Keeley Hawes (Bodyguard), Viola Davis (How to Get Away with Murder), Taraji P Henson (Empire)

    BEST ACTOR

    1. Jason Bateman – Ozark
    2. Richard Madden – Bodyguard
    3. Bob Odenkirk – Better Call Saul
    4. Sterling K Brown – This is Us
    5. Milo Ventimiglia – This is Us
    6. Billy Porter – Pose

    Alt : Brian Cox, Kit Harrington, Liev Schreiber

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

    1. Lena Heady – Game of Thrones
    2. Julia Garner – Ozark
    3. Maisie Williams – Game of Thrones
    4. Rhea Seehorn – Better Call Saul
    5. Fiona Shaw – Killing Eve
    6. Chrissy Metz – This is Us

    Alt : Uzo Aduba, Patricia Clarkson, Susan Kelechi Watson, Sissy Spacek, Sophie Turner

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

    1. Peter Dinklage – Game of Thrones
    2. Nikolaj Coster Waldau – Game of Throne
    3. Michael Kelly – House of Cards
    4. Jonathan Banks – Better Call Saul
    5. Kieran Culkin – Succession
    6. Bobby Cannavale – Homecoming

    Alt : Justin Hartley, Evan Peters, Shea Wingham

    BEST DRAMA SERIES (could there be a tie?)

    1. Game of Thrones
    2. Better Call Saul
    3. Killing Eve
    4. Ozark
    5. Pose
    6. Homecoming
    7. This is Us

    Alt : Bodyguard, Succession, The Good Fight

    Total noms:

    6 – Game of Thrones
    4 – Killing Eve, Better Call Saul, Ozark, This is Us
    3 – Homecoming,
    2 – House of Card, Pose

    FYC Emmys 2019 : Phoebe Waller–Bridge ("Fleabag") for Best Actress in a Comedy Series, Sandra Oh ("Killing Eve") for Best Actress in a Drama Series, Bradley Walsh ("Doctor Who") for Best Supporting Actor in a Drama Series, Keeley Hawes ("Bodyguard") for Best Supporting Actress in a Drama Series, "Maniac", "A Very English Scandal" and "Killing Eve" in all eligible categories.

    wolfali
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    Sep 4th, 2018
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    #1202824844

    When will the predictions centre be open to predict who will be nominated for the Guest Acting categories?

    FYC Emmys 2019 : Phoebe Waller–Bridge ("Fleabag") for Best Actress in a Comedy Series, Sandra Oh ("Killing Eve") for Best Actress in a Drama Series, Bradley Walsh ("Doctor Who") for Best Supporting Actor in a Drama Series, Keeley Hawes ("Bodyguard") for Best Supporting Actress in a Drama Series, "Maniac", "A Very English Scandal" and "Killing Eve" in all eligible categories.

    Chris Beachum
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    May 22nd, 2011
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    #1202824861

    After ballots are released in June.

    kellis
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    Jul 30th, 2017
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    #1202824863

    Is it possible Dinklage could lose Best Supporting Actor this year? I feel like we’re underestimating Michael Kelly, it’s his last season and I feel like Netflix will campaign hard here and in Best Actress by using the “farewell Emmy” campaigning method.

    I’d love for nothing more than Dinklage to lose because he’s overrated, but I don’t think Kelly will get that many votes outside of nominations. His storyline was heavily criticized this season and was said in a lot of the positive reviews to have dragged the story down (which is true imo). Wright is really going to be the center of the campaign (as she was universally praised) and I think Nikolaj is the only one able to take Dinklage down but even that’s iffy.

    Carlo
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    Oct 6th, 2011
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    #1202824932

    I don’t watch Ozark.
    A question: is Laura Linney deserving of a lead Emmy nomination for season 2 or she’s in everyone prediction just beacuse she’s Laura Linney and the field is so weak this year?

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