June 16, 2019 at 1:13 am #1202940122
I do not see how people do not see how there are limits to how much an Outstanding Limited Series can sweep in the acting categories, like why would Emily Watson win if Edgar Ramirez could not? Directing on the other hand is generally linked to series, except when vote-splitting is a factor.
People vs O.J. Simpson and Big Little Lies won 3 acting Emmys each. I don’t know what limit you are talking about.
And are we ignoring the fact that Ramirez had two co-stars competing against him? Watson doesn’t have to worry about that.June 16, 2019 at 1:26 am #1202940128
If Chernobyl indeed is winning Limited Series, will voters instead want to individually reward Ava DuVernay’s direction for When They See Us? I can see that happening, given the massive industry buzz and praise for her right now. Writing might be taken by Chernobyl in that case.June 16, 2019 at 2:20 am #1202940194
Chernobyl has been getting amazing writeups:June 16, 2019 at 3:10 am #1202940212This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.June 16, 2019 at 3:26 am #1202940215
Very good analysis, Stegeo. I agree with your top 4, those are my exact four as well. ATM I have Margulies and Nash, but I might switch out one of them for Tomei. I also have Gibbs in, and I’m getting extreme JCS flashbacks. I have Nash in, because she’s gaining the most traction after Jharrel Jerome. Plus, she’s been nominated for shows like “Getting On,” which wasn’t necessarily an Emmy favorite. The finale is definitely the most acclaimed episode, and she’s so good in it. Totally agree on Stone; I gave up after 2 episodes, but my God was shs fantastic in the second episode of the show. So much range. But I fear that Maniac could end up being a non-factor. In a just world Carla Gugino would easily be in, but that’s not happening.
I will be devastated if King is snubbed.
Oscar FYC - Lupita Nyong'o & Elisabeth Moss ("Us") - Best Actress & Supporting Actress. It must happen; otherwise the Tethered are coming.June 16, 2019 at 3:26 am #1202940217
I don’t think so… at all. Harris is far from a lock. Jerome might happen, what makes you think he won’t? Because he’s not as established? And Harris isn’t that strong to defeat multiple Oscar winner Mahershala Ali in a career- best performance and one of the best performances of the year.
If Jharrel Jerome gets nominated, which he will, I believe he’s ahead of Jared Harris for the win. He’s the only one I can see beating Mahershala Ali, which he likely won’t.
I think he is too young to win.June 16, 2019 at 3:38 am #1202940225
I am still waiting for a performer’s age to stop being a factor, and I feel like we’re finally moving in that direction. Drama Guest Actress used to be the veteran actress category, but the last two winners (Bledel & Wiley) set records for being the youngest winners since the category underwent changes in the late 80s. People like Millie BB & Maisie Williams can now also get nominated, which is great. I am hoping to see a youth invasion (for the lack of a better term) this year; King, Garner, Williams, Turner, Jerome, and so on. Winning has been their hurdle, and I hope they finally overcome it this year.
Oscar FYC - Lupita Nyong'o & Elisabeth Moss ("Us") - Best Actress & Supporting Actress. It must happen; otherwise the Tethered are coming.June 16, 2019 at 3:49 am #1202940235This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.June 16, 2019 at 4:06 am #1202940245
I think he is too young to win.
I feel that’s not becoming as much of an issue in (at least his category). In the last two years the winners (Ahmed & Criss) were 34 and 31, respectively.
Ahmed’s win was the first time someone under 35 had won since Peter Strauss (“The Jericho Mile”) and Powers Boothe (“Guyana Tragedy: The Story of Jim Jones”), both of whom were 32 when they won in 1979 and 1980, respectively.
Even last year, Jesse Plemmons, by the time of the nomination day, had just turned 30.
In other categories there’s been more acceptance / willingness to embrace younger performers in other categories (Bledel’s, Glover’s, Maslany & Wiley’s wins, nominations for MBB & Maisie).
I think regarding Jerome’s win, the hurdle is his win would make him only the second person under 30 to win, following Anthony Murphy (17) for “Tom Brown’s Schooldays” in 1973.June 16, 2019 at 4:20 am #1202940256
I also have Gibbs in, and I’m getting extreme JCS flashbacks.
That’s why I have of Foxx getting in, he’s the reason why the show got a after-airing media coverage and carried on so seamlessly after the kerfuffle is something I think that performers voting will respect. It’s a long(ish) shot but I think it’ll happen.June 16, 2019 at 4:31 am #1202940264This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.June 16, 2019 at 8:29 am #1202940408
I’m considering him too but the category is already soo crowded unlike last year: Whishaw, Dano, Lange, Skarsgard, Clooney, Chandler, Dorff, Williams, also McRaney, Leguizamo and Butz. I’m not excluding the possibility of the 2 Catch-22 actors & Whishaw getting snubbed. It sounds crazy, but with the new system they seem to abstain from name-check situations, although this category last year was the definition of name-check, and AVES aired ages ago and other than that Grant SAG nom we don’t really have any signs actually pointing us at undoubted support for the miniseries.
Whishaw won the Globe, Critics Choice and BAFTA. So he’s the one who’s receiving the praise and the awards for it. Whishaw is definitely getting in. I would argue that Grant is the one in danger of getting snubbed. But i have both getting in.June 16, 2019 at 8:37 am #1202940416This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.June 16, 2019 at 12:09 pm #1202940647
I still can’t see Jessie Buckley in the predictions centre. I do think she’s in contention for a nomination now so she should be added as soon as possible.
For Your Consideration:
Best International Feature: Instinct (The Netherlands)
Best Actress: Carice van Houten (Instinct)
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