| 2020 Final Nomination Predictions | ||
| Nominations are almost here | 10 votes (11.90%) | |
| I cannot believe that we have almost made it | 24 votes (28.57%) | |
| The voters had time to watch everything this year maybe | 14 votes (16.67%) | |
| Luca has been in the top ten the last two years | 13 votes (15.48%) | |
| All threads should be polls | 23 votes (27.38%) | |
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It was a tough one between Luca and all threads should be polls. Sometimes I sneakily see what you’re predicting and then copy (sorry Luca).
I can’t believe we’ve almost made it! Let the Watchmen and
Successionsweep commence! :
ReplyCopy URLFYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"
Not saying that they were more right, but my predictions had much more internal logic a month ago. Categories in which I have really subscribed to hierarchical predictions in recent years have tended to be where I have gotten the best results and I am uncomfortable with how I have let that fall by the wayside as we have gotten deeper into this season. I have justified it with the longer season allowing for there to be less of a discrepancy in visibility between shows, plus the greater external factors this year, but I am trying to take a hard look at my predictions right now.
ReplyCopy URLRandom side thought but I wouldn’t be surprised if Macfadyen suddenly out of nowhere turned up on the Limited side and got snubbed for Succession…
ReplyCopy URLFYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"
Luca>> the rest.
Not saying that they were more right, but my predictions had much more internal logic a month ago. Categories in which I have really subscribed to hierarchical predictions in recent years have tended to be where I have gotten the best results and I am uncomfortable with how I have let that fall by the wayside as we have gotten deeper into this season. I have justified it with the longer season allowing for there to be less of a discrepancy in visibility between shows, plus the greater external factors this year, but I am trying to take a hard look at my predictions right now.
Don’t. It’s over. Let your predictions be!
ReplyCopy URLOh dear, I really do need to take a look at my predictions again because I just messed around with them yesterday. Nothing is final yet!
(Oh, and spoiler alert: I will not be in the top 10 this year because I have no clue what I am doing!)
ReplyCopy URLA Fervent Believer in the Church of Viola Davis
My final changes:
1. Added Tobias Menzies (The Crown) – took out Billy Porter. That newcomer stat in this category is way too strong to ignore, and he is in a very high profile series that is a guaranteed priority watch.
2. Added both Evan Rachel Wood and Jeffrey Wright (Westworld) – they are two for two, have yet to miss and there are zero indications that Emmy voters are tired of it. As Westworld’s last performance at the Emmys shows.
3. Added Molly Shannon (Will and Grace) – she is a previous nominee in this category for the same role.
4. Added Michelle Dockery (Defending Jacob) – 4 Lead Actress Emmy nominations is nothing to scoff at. And she’s a previous nominee in this category. And I believe Emmy voters definitely watched it. The Whodunnit crime mystery is right up they alley.
5. Added Damon Herriman (Mindhunter) – just like with Cameron Britton, the transformative performance speaks for itself and is high profile enough.
My NGNG Pick: Hugh Laurie (Avenue 5). I have a hunch it’s going to happen. It’s HBO, it’s Hugh Laurie, so I am certain they watched it.
ReplyCopy URLFinal Drama Predictions:
Drama Series:
Better Call Saul (AMC)
Big Little Lies (HBO)
The Crown (Netflix)
The Handmaid’s Tale (Hulu)
The Morning Show (Apple TV+)
Ozark (Netflix)
Succession (HBO)
This Is Us (NBC)Actor in a Drama Series:
Jason Bateman – Ozark
Sterling K. Brown – This Is Us
Brian Cox – Succession
Bob Odenkirk – Better Call Saul
Billy Porter – Pose
Jeremy Strong – SuccessionActress in a Drama Series:
Jennifer Aniston – The Morning Show
Olivia Colman – The Crown
Jodie Comer – Killing Eve
Viola Davis – How to Get Away with Murder
Laura Linney – Ozark
Elisabeth Moss – The Handmaid’s TaleDirecting for a Drama Series:
Better Call Saul (Bagman) – Vince Gilligan
The Crown (Aberfan) – Benjamin Caron
Euphoria (And Salt the Earth Behind You) – Sam Levinson
Homeland (Prisoners of War) – Lesli Linka Glatter
Ozark (Fire Pink) – Alik Sakharov
Ozark (Su Casa Es Mi Casa) – Benjamin Semanoff
Succession (Hunting) – Andrij Parekh
Succession (This Is Not for Tears) – Mark MylodSupporting Actor in a Drama Series:
Jonathan Banks – Better Call Saul
Billy Crudup – The Morning Show
Kieran Culkin – Succession
Matthew Macfadyen – Succession
Josh O’Connor – The Crown
Mandy Patinkin – Homeland
Tom Pelphrey – Ozark
Bradley Whitford – The Handmaid’s TaleSupporting Actress in a Drama Series:
Helena Bonham Carter – The Crown
Laura Dern – Big Little Lies
Julia Garner – Ozark
Janet McTeer – Ozark
Rhea Seehorn – Better Call Saul
Sarah Snook – Succession
Yvonne Strahovski – The Handmaid’s Tale
Meryl Streep – Big Little LiesWriting for a Drama Series:
Better Call Saul (Bad Choice Road) – Thomas Schnauz
Better Call Saul (Bagman) – Gordon Smith
The Crown (Aberfan) – Benjamin Caron
The Good Fight (The Gang Deals with Alternate Reality) – Michelle King & Robert King
The Handmaid’s Tale (Mayday) – Bruce Miller
Mindhunter (Episode 3) – Joshua Donen, Phillip Howze & Courtenay Miles
Succession (This Is Not for Tears) – Jesse ArmstrongGuest Actor in a Drama Series:
Jason Bateman – The Outsider
James Cromwell – Succession
Charles Dance – The Crown
Damon Herriman – Mindhunter
Ron Cephas Jones – This Is Us
Andrew Scott – Black MirrorGuest Actress in a Drama Series:
ReplyCopy URL
Pamela Adlon – This Is Us
Alexis Bledel – The Handmaid’s Tale
Cherry Jones – Succession
Jane Lapotaire – The Crown
Phylicia Rashad – This Is Us
Cicely Tyson – How to Get Away with MurderFINAL LIMITED PREDICTIONS
OUTSTANDING LIMITED SERIES
1. WATCHMEN
2. UNBELIEVABLE
3. MRS AMERICA
4. NORMAL PEOPLE
5. DEFENDING JACOBOUTSTANDING TELEVISION MOVIE:
1. BAD EDUCATION
2. UNBREAKABLE KIMMY SCHMIDT: KIMMY VS THE REVEREND
3. EL CAMINO
4. AMERICAN SON
5. THE CLARK SISTERSOUTSTANDING LEAD ACTRESS IN A LIMITED SERIES:
1. CATE BLANCHETT, MRS AMERICA
2. REGINA KING, WATCHMEN
3. MERRITT WEVER, UNBELIEVABLE
4. KAITLYN DEVER, UNBELIEVABLE
5. REESE WITHERSPOON, LITTLE FIRES EVERYWHEREOUTSTANDING LEAD ACTOR IN A LIMITED SERIES:
1. MARK RUFFALO, I KNOW THIS MUCH IS TRUE
2. RUSSELL CROWE, THE LOUDEST VOICE
3. HUGH JACKMAN, BAD EDUCATION
4. PAUL MESCAL, NORMAL PEOPLE
5. CHRIS EVANS, DEFENDING JACOBOUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A LIMITED SERIES:
1. TONI COLLETTE, UNBELIEVABLE
2. ROSE BYRNE, MRS AMERICA
3. SARAH PAULSON, MRS AMERICA
4. JEAN SMART, WATCHMEN
5. TRACEY ULLMAN, MRS AMERICA
6. MARGO MARTINDALE, MRS AMERICAOUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A LIMITED ACTOR:
1. JIM PARSONS, HOLLYWOOD
2. TIM BLAKE NELSON, WATCHMEN
3. JOHN SLATTERY, MRS AMERICA
4. JOE MANTELLO, HOLLYWOOD
5. YAHYA ABDUL MANTEEN III, WATCHMEN
6. TITUSS BURGESS, UNBREAKABLE KIMMY SCHMIDTReplyCopy URLFYC OSCARS
PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN in all categories (inc. CAREY MULLIGAN & Emerald Fennell in Screenplay)
THE FATHER in all categories (inc. Best Picture, ANTHONY HOPKINS, Olivia Colman & Adapted Screenplay)
Lo Si (Diane Warren) for Original Song
Chloe Zhao for Director
Well if you’re predicting 8 Watchmen actors, why not predict Succession actors too?
Recent changes:
Brooklyn Nine-Nine → Insecure
Ricky Gervais → Dave Burd
Betty Gilpin → Yvonne Orji
Isla Fisher → Maya Rudolph #2
Gerald McRaney → Martin Short
Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt → The Clark Sisters
Russell Crowe → Hugh JackmanWhat made you get rid of Crowe? Bold choice!
ReplyCopy URLFYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"
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