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AFI 2020 Predictions

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    wolfali
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    #1203688614

    What do we all think will get nominated as the 10 Programs of the Year?

    My current thoughts (2021 Emmy eligible seasons in bold) :

    – Better Call Saul (AMC)
    The Crown (Netflix)
    – Dead to Me (Netflix)
    – The Great (Hulu)
    – Insecure (HBO)
    – Mrs. America (FX on Hulu)
    – Ozark (Netflix)
    – The Undoing (HBO)
    – Unorthodox (Netflix)
    – What We Do in the Shadows (FX)

    FYC OSCARS : VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", GLENN CLOSE FOR "HILLBILLY ELEGY", ANTHONY HOPKINS FOR "THE FATHER", CHADWICK BOSEMAN FOR "MA RAINEY'S BLACK BOTTOM", PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN (BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY).

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    Gabriel Seehorn (gabspss)
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    #1203688618

    I May Destroy You, Normal People and Schitt’s Creek are ineligible. I’m 95% sure of that.

    Unorthodox is very foreign, but I think is american show still.

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    wolfali
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    #1203688621

    Unorthodox is classified as American-German.

    I’m guessing Schitt’s or I May Destroy You wins the Special Award given to Fleabag last year?

    FYC OSCARS : VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", GLENN CLOSE FOR "HILLBILLY ELEGY", ANTHONY HOPKINS FOR "THE FATHER", CHADWICK BOSEMAN FOR "MA RAINEY'S BLACK BOTTOM", PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN (BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY).

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    Gabriel Seehorn (gabspss)
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    #1203688628

    I’m guessing Schitt’s or I May Destroy You wins the Special Award given to Fleabag last year?

    I May Destroy You certanly will not.

    Schitt’s Creek is a possibility, however that Special Award is a very rare thing. It needs to be something that really blows up.

    The only times, since the very first AFI Awards (2001), the special award was given to a foreign production were:

    Film (The King’s Speech, The Artist, Harry Potter, Roma and Parasite)

    Television (Fleabag)

    If SC really does well at the Emmys I think it can get in. But again it’s freaking super rare.

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    Gabriel Seehorn (gabspss)
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    #1203688634

    Why aren’t you predicting Better Call Saul?

    The only time they were snubbed here was for the 3rd season, but that was a very competitive year. This year they had their buzziest season to date and the competition isn’t that big.

    It is certanly above shows like The Boys.

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    wolfali
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    #1203688647

    Oops forgot Saul.

    FYC OSCARS : VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", GLENN CLOSE FOR "HILLBILLY ELEGY", ANTHONY HOPKINS FOR "THE FATHER", CHADWICK BOSEMAN FOR "MA RAINEY'S BLACK BOTTOM", PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN (BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY).

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    Gabriel Seehorn (gabspss)
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    #1203688663

    MY PREDICTIONS:

    BETTER CALL SAUL // AMC
    THE CROWN // Netflix
    FARGO // FX
    INSECURE // HBO
    LITTLE FIRES EVERYWHERE // Hulu
    LOVECRAFT COUNTRY // HBO
    MRS. AMERICA // FX
    OZARK // Netflix
    RAMY // Hulu
    UNORTHODOX // Netflix

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    wolfali
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    #1203688669

    Lovecraft Country is not happening here.

    FYC OSCARS : VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", GLENN CLOSE FOR "HILLBILLY ELEGY", ANTHONY HOPKINS FOR "THE FATHER", CHADWICK BOSEMAN FOR "MA RAINEY'S BLACK BOTTOM", PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN (BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY).

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    Gabriel Seehorn (gabspss)
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    #1203688680

    Lovecraft Country is not happening here.

    They like new shows. black-ish, Empire, UnREAL, Watchmen, This Is Us, Atlanta etc all got nominated here.

    I also think you’re underestimating how much buzz Lovecraft has. I would say its the buzziest new show of the year.

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    Sir Shaw
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    #1203688793

    Lovecraft Country is not happening here.

    There’s always at least 1 new show in their selection (not including miniseries or TV movies).

    2009 — 3 (Glee, No.1 Ladies Detective Agency, Patty Down)
    2010 — 3 (Boardwalk Empire, The Big C, The Walking Dead)
    2011 — 2 (Game of Thrones, Homeland)
    2012 — 1 (Girls)
    2013 — 4 (The Americans, House of Cards, Masters of Sex, Orange is the New Black)
    2014 — 5 (How to Get Away with Murder, Jane the Virgin, The Knick, Silicon Valley, Transparent)
    2015 — 5 (Better Call Saul, Empire, Master of None, Mr. Robot, UnReal)
    2016 — 4/5 (Atlanta, American Crime Story, Stranger Things, The Crown, This Is Us)
    2017 — 1/2 (Big Little Lies, The Handmaid’s Tale)
    2018 — 4 (Barry, Kominsky Method, Pose, Succession)
    2019 — 1 (Watchmen)

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    puck05
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    #1203688795

    At this stage I’m only certain of Mrs. America.

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    Gabarnes43
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    #1203688831

    FIRST PREDICTIONS

    BETTER CALL SAUL
    THE CROWN
    DEAD TO ME
    FARGO
    INSECURE
    LOVECRAFT COUNTRY
    MRS AMERICA
    OZARKK
    THE UNDOING
    UNORTHODOX

    FYC 2020 EMMYS

    COMEDY- SCHITTS CREEK in all categories, Maya Rudolph, Eddie Murphy

    DRAMA- Killing Eve in all categories, HBC, Cicely Tyson, The Crown in directing

    LIMITED- UNBELIEVABLE, Normal People in writing and directing, Toni Collette, Tituss Burgess

    FYC OSCARS- Amy Adams

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    Sir Shaw
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    #1203688865

    Fuck this is hard since all the best/biggest/notable shows are British, Canadian, Irish or German.

    Better Call Saul
    Fargo
    Insecure
    Lovecraft Country
    Mrs. America
    Ozark
    P-Valley
    Ramy
    The Crown
    What We Do in the Shadows

    Special Recognition Award

    The Last Dance

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    wolfali
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    #1203689026

    They like new shows. black-ish, Empire, UnREAL, Watchmen, This Is Us, Atlanta etc all got nominated here. I also think you’re underestimating how much buzz Lovecraft has. I would say its the buzziest new show of the year.

    That is possible but its buzz seems to be fading quite a bit. I mean its critical reception seems to not be doing that well.

    If Ratched flops I’ll predict Lovecraft.

    It will be interesting if Fargo gets in considering how it got snubbed last time round.

    FYC OSCARS : VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", GLENN CLOSE FOR "HILLBILLY ELEGY", ANTHONY HOPKINS FOR "THE FATHER", CHADWICK BOSEMAN FOR "MA RAINEY'S BLACK BOTTOM", PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN (BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY).

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    Gabriel Seehorn (gabspss)
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    #1203689193

    Look at the other new shows nominated here. You don’t need to have the strongest buzz of the year. However, I think Lovecraft has a considerably amount of buzz. And I’ll say again: critics gave 79 for the first five episodes on MC. We should worry about critical reception only after the 6th episode because so far they are safe (critical wise).

    I’m predicting Fargo because I believe this season will deliver and, of course, because they are airing at the perfect time for AFI. There’s not too much to watch on tv right now so I think many people will tune in to watch Fargo. Also, I believe the third season wasn’t nominated because it got overshadowed by Big Little Lies and Feud + Dispite being well acclaimed, some people didn’t liked as much as the other two first seasons. This year the only big miniseries we had so far was Mrs. America.

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