July 23, 2015 at 8:47 pm #355307
Since we know all of the tapes (episodes) that the six actresses submitted, I think it would be worth having a new topic, because the other one has a lot of noise about every category.
Hendricks: “Lost Horizon” 4:03 – 5: 23, 8:08 – 10:02, 11:43 – 12:41, 13:13
– 13:56, 18:24 – 20:56, 23:40 – 25:52, 29: 38 – 29:52, 36:25 – 40:05, 44:30 –
Uzo Aduba: “Hugs Can Be Deceiving” 2:10 – 2:24, 3:15 – 5:05, *5:05 – 7:00,
11:50 – 15:15, *15:15 – 16:37, 26:26 – 27: 42, *27:42 – 29: 20, 34:40 – 36:00,
37:40 – 39:53, 46:08 – 50:38, 53:47 – 58:18
Emilia Clarke: “The Dance of Dragons” 34:20 – 51:00
Lena Headey: “Mother’s Mercy” 40:40 – 54:00
Joanne Froggatt: “Episode 8” 1:35 – 3:00, 5:15 – 5:45, 10:13 – 11:51,
15:18 – 15:30, 25:30 – 27:02, 39:32 – 40:08, 56:35 – 57:17, 58:45 – 59:50
Christine Baranski: “Loser Edit”
3:17 – 3:26, 4:07 – 4:38, 6:00 – 9:52, 12:08 – 13:52, 17:34 – 18:16, 19:26 –
19:50, 21:09 – 22:36, 25:00 – 27:20, 29:45 – 31:50, 32:39 – 33:10, 36:00 – 36:52,
39:50 – 42:23
I time-stamped the episodes because some of us have seen them already, and others just don’t have the time to watch them all. Hopefully we can do that for the other categories as well.July 23, 2015 at 8:53 pm #355309
I think the worst submission is easily Joanne Froggatt’s as she does virtually nothing the entire episode until she is told the bad news (I’m being deliberately vague here). She actually had a solid submission last year w/ the rape, but this year’s is pretty bad. (D-)
Clarke has the next worst submission as she just watches the colosseum action until the very end. Once again, she goes with a very dragon-centric episode, which allows her to marvel at the green-screen, but not much else. She should have went with the second episode, even though it would have helped Headey a bit. (C-)
Baranski’s tape is pretty good, but there are no fireworks. Still, she gets to defend gay marriage eloquently, so that’s a plus. She is also never away from the screen from too long. (B)
Aduba’s tape is very well-rounded. You have the sympathy concerning the game the inmates are playing, the craziness surrounding Piper, and the vulnerability at the graduation. Who knows how the flashback parts of the episode will be taken into account. (B+)
Hendricks surprised me in “Lost Horizon”. She is on the verge of tears on multiple occasions, and gets to stand up for herself against a rude executive. Her final scene with Roger was poignant as well. With the new voting system, she is a frontrunner. (B+)
Headey’s tape is classic Emmy-bait. Even though she wasn’t the one actually naked, she does do a lot with her face. She also has a good scene beforehand about confessing. (A-/A)
I would say Aduba, Hendricks, and Headey can win.July 23, 2015 at 9:13 pm #355310
I can’t believe Headey doesn’t come in until 40 min’s into the episode??? I don’t watch game of thrones, so it may be that this is common, but still, I am sure other none GOT watchers could be confused, and annoyed!July 23, 2015 at 9:43 pm #355311
I love how Clarke and Headey appears for a long time and never again in their episodes. I mean, Headey has the same amount of time as Hendricks, but the distribution of Hendricks’ scenes are so large that you won’t feel this way.
I still believe that the flashback episode is a mistake for Uzo. The flashback scenes are from a child, the game is not touching and the only powerful scenes are the ones from the graduation and, maybe, the punching scene. I will be shocked if Aduba wins, especially with the low amount of nominations that the show received. But a SAG Winner, GG nominee and previous Emmy winner for this role has a shot, so she’s my dark horse.
Frogratt and Clarke are out. Baranski too, I believe.
Hendricks is the viable runner up to Headey, and to anyone who doesn’t get the hype behind Lost Horizon, I think it’s pretty clear that we have a full story in a single episode, with a great scene (against the man) to finish it all, it’s more than enough to win the emmy (alongside sentimental vote), but I’m not giving up on Headey yet, her scenes are just SO DAMN GREAT.July 23, 2015 at 10:23 pm #355312This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.July 24, 2015 at 1:53 am #355313
That’s amazing work @CanadianFan, thanks a lot!
I also loved your analyze and pretty much agreed everything you’ve just said. With the old system, Headey would have been an obvious lock(It’s not likely that majority of 80 voters would have been aware of that body double and everything) but this year I think it’d be either Aduba or Hendricks. I just also noticed that voters will rank the nominees so, I think these two always would be either 2nd or 3rd choices of voters. Hendricks has sentimental advantage, and she also is a 6 time nominee; while Aduba is the sole nomination for her show so the whole support of OITNB would be on her back.(I think vote-splitting could have costed them only one nomination in this category, because there were a lot of deserving women from that show. But that won’t be an issue here.) And she plays a very sympathetic character that almost every fan loves.July 24, 2015 at 1:58 am #355314
If I were to pick it’s between Headey and Hendricks because both have great tapes. Aduba’s tape is not bad but the flashback scenes feature a child actor and other than the graduation scene she doesn’t have much to do. Clarke and Frogratt are out, but Clarke has another scene in Headey’s episode therefore more screen time which could help her, despite not doing anything really. A better submission strategically for the show would have been “Hardhome”, is Clarke’s best episode IMO of the season and Headey had very short but powerful scenes that could help her more, because Clarke really doesn’t deserve to be nominated for this season.
Baranski is not bad either in her tape but lacks the emotions that, for example, Headey shows throughtout all the scene she is in.
Headey should win, unfortunately Baranski is kind of overdue for her role in “The Good Wife” (6 nominations) and with no Anna Gunn or Maggie Smith it could be the perfect opportunity for the academy to reward Baranski. Another fact working for Baranski is that The Good Wife has won 1 acting award every season, more importantly, a female performance per year. I hope it doesn’t happen but Baranski is possibly going to pull an upset.July 24, 2015 at 2:23 am #355315
What makes us think voters would THAT kinda care and over-think about episode submissions like us, though? (Oh, was that a crying in that episode? Did she make a lot of facial expressions? Did she show us so much range of emotion?)
I think Clarke is the most limited actress on the show and she has no shot at winning this year but her episode is impressive, yes not because of acting-wise but hell it’s impressive. It’s impressive, provocative and fascinating. And I think that’s what most voters would care and be affected. They’re not some acting-vague.July 24, 2015 at 2:48 am #355316
Its still Headey vs. Aduba vs. Hendricks
If people watch the tapes, Headey has the advantage.
Otherwise I think Aduba and Hendricks could win. But I do believe emmy voters are ready to award Game of Thrones. I just hope Clarke and Headey don’t split votes. If cross category submissions are to be taken into account this year, Dinklage and Riggs submissions of “The Gif” and “Hardhome” greatly showcase Lena.July 24, 2015 at 4:27 am #355317
I want Hendricks to win. No fireworks or over the top acting; just a lovely understated performance.July 24, 2015 at 4:28 am #355318
We have an interesting case in that category. As history shows us, only two supporting actress got six consecutive nominations and never won. It is Christine Baranski (The Good Wife) and Christina Hendricks (Mad Men).
Other examples close to them: Linda Kelsey (Lou Grant – 5 noms / no wins); Barbara Bosson (Hill Street Blues – 5 noms / no wins) and Sandra Oh (Grey’s Anatomy – 5 noms / no wins). In only one rare case supporting actress won after many consecutive nominations – Betty Thomas (Hill Street Blues – 5 noms / 1 win).
So Baranski or Hendricks (or both if they lose) can make a new record in that category. And if Baranski doesn’t win, she might be nominated again next time (that will be a new record too – seven consecutive nominations).
Upd. Also if Christine Baranski wins, she will be the third supporting actress who won both in drama and comedy category (Cybill & The Good Wife). The first was Doris Roberts (St. Elsewhere [guest actress, but submitted as supporting actress] & Everybody Loves Raymond). The second was Allison Janney (The West Wing & Mom).July 24, 2015 at 4:49 am #355319This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.July 24, 2015 at 5:14 am #355320
I don’t think Christine Baranski will win, but I sure hope she does, this was her second best season, in my opinion (after season 5).July 24, 2015 at 6:03 am #355321
Okay let’s face with the facts. This category hardly produced deserving winners lately. Anna Gunn (“Breaking Bad”) is one good example, but the rest of the winners after Drea De Matteo were most of the time bad to average. Especially considering that the brilliant Sandra Oh (“Grey’s Anatomy”) did not win (biggest crime in Emmy history) in five nominations. Or people like Monica Potter (“Parenthood”), Elizabeth Mitchell & Yunjin Kim (“Lost”), Melissa McBride (“The Walking Dead”) and many others weren’t even nominated.
Christine Baranski is the typical choice. Respected veteran in a well-liked show, against young and attractive newcomers, who is overdue for another Emmy, and was nominated many times for this role (“The Big Bang Theory” nomination is also helping if they want to reward her here, but it can work the opposite way and “The Good Wife” nomination can help her win the guest Emmy).
Clark & Hendricks & Headey are all very beautiful, sexy and even talented. But they are hardly typicial Emmy choices. Even if “Game of Thrones” is a thing now.
It’s either Baranski or Aduba (the current ‘IT’ girl of TV) in my opinion.
When a silver haired fantasy dragon queen speaking in made up languages (and had a season with light material) gets an emmy nomination over Maggie Smith, I think its time to drop the idea of “typical choices” IMOJuly 24, 2015 at 6:17 am #355322
Baranski is the option that I’m especially trying to avoid. Because when I think about it, it makes a sense in a lot of ways and my brain tells me to do so. But if I would include her, I’ll also have to include Headey, and that way I would have to deal with 4-possible-frontrunners. Welcome to the dead end!
Moss’ nomination over Margulies and the fact that only Michael J. Fox was nominated in the Guest category from the show(clear name-check) even though his role was so limited last season, makes me suspect they don’t care about the show like they used to before. So I’m not sure if only Baranski’s name could enough to pull off a win?
We don’t actually know how many votes the nominees have got in the first round. Baranski could be in a filler-position and maybe only her name carried her over this long and made her the only TGW cast member who was nominated in every year since the shows start.
I would love to be wrong though, she’s fantastic.
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