July 24, 2015 at 9:00 am #355338
I think you have a great point Emmy Runner, with the new system I feel like people will be voting for actors in shows they already actively watch. So who does that help? Lena Headey, Christina Hendricks, Uzo Aduba, and Emilia Clarke. I don’t believe Emilia will win since Lena’s Walk of Shame was so widely talked about and known, and I think that fact alone will give her the Emmy. It does feel like a 3 way race between Headey, Hendricks and Aduba.July 24, 2015 at 9:06 am #355339
The last time I enjoyed Daenerys’ storyline as much as this season was back in Season 3, and she was nominated for that too. As much as I don’t think Clarke should have been nominated (there were better performances out there), her storyline this season was actually fantastic, and with the popularity of the show among voters, it’s no real surprise. I certainly don’t agree with all of the hate she gets, but no actor is without their critics nowadays.
Having said that, she’s the only actress who we can definitely rule out of a win, purely because if the voters want a Thrones winner in this category, they will vote for Headey. I’m not convinced Baranski can pull of a win, despite being nominated six consecutive times I’m not sure she can be considered “overdue” a win just because. Aduba has become a favourite with the voters and Froggatt definitely has a chance. No Maggie Smith in this category certainly helps Joanne’s chances, and her recent Golden Globe win (I know they have no real effect *cough* The Affair *cough*) can’t have hurt her chances.
For now I’m going with Hendricks though, on the chance that voters feel sentiment (unlikely, perhaps) towards the Mad Men actors.
1. Christina Hendricks
2. Uzo Aduba
3. Lena Headey
4. Joanne Froggatt
5. Christine Baranski
6. Emilia ClarkeJuly 24, 2015 at 9:16 am #355340
But Frogratt won the Globe for last season of DA, she does nothing in s5.July 24, 2015 at 9:24 am #355341This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.July 24, 2015 at 9:25 am #355342
But Frogratt won the Globe for last season of DA, she does nothing in s5.
Actually, she won with season 4 because HFPA only allows the seasons who have aired on USA Television as an eligible contender. PBS started to air season 5 on January the 4th this year.
You can also confirm it in here; https://youtu.be/Vnb5hFm3d5Q?t=28 July 24, 2015 at 9:33 am #355343
In my oppinion, the prevelence of Mother’s Mercy in the big categories makes Lena an automatic contender. Its a frontrunner to win directing, its up for writing… GOT is a front runner for best drama series. And Lena’s scene is not something people will forget, its the big set piece of the episode.
Hendricks has the legacy, and I definitely feel a drive from people to finally give her an emmy win, so shes also a top contender.
Among the rest, Uzo has always been a favorite, so she could win, but has a lesser chance.
1. Lena / Hendricks
3. UzoJuly 24, 2015 at 9:46 am #355344
Normally, I would predict Aduba or Hendricks but Headey gives the most buzzed about single episode performance in the hottest show of the year. I agree emmy voters hold “Mother’s Mercy” in high regard nominating it for writing and directing kinda reminds me of this one episode of Breaking Bad last year “Ozymandius” which Gunn and Cranston won their Emmys for. So for now I’m keeping Headey in first place. I would however like to know what Clarke was thinking submitting “Dance of Dragons” instead of “Hardhome” where she has her first interaction with Tyrion she must have wanted to submit an episode Headey wasn’t in that’s the only explanation I can come up with.July 24, 2015 at 9:47 am #355345
This is Hendricks’ to lose. End of conversation. Headey can win in another year.July 24, 2015 at 9:47 am #355346This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.July 24, 2015 at 9:59 am #355347
Yeah, Hendricks was basically a lead in “Lost Horizon” and I have no problem with it.July 24, 2015 at 10:08 am #355348
Hendricks was amazing in her last two scenes (the confrontation with the executive and the scene with John Slattery) but other than that she was just her regular fierce self. Not much there in my opinion. Headey and Aduba have far more showy tapes. Also screentime doesn’t mean a thing in the Emmys, all it takes for someone to win one is one big scene.July 24, 2015 at 10:20 am #355349This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.July 24, 2015 at 10:49 am #355350
This year, the best episode submission plus the new potential “popularity” factor are really the two key criteria by which to judge each contender.
It just doesn’t make sense to consider both A-Episode submissions and B-Popular voting system at the same time. Just pick one when you’re commenting on a category. We all know very well these two won’t lineup. Period. Not enough people will watch the tapes-and when they do, Drama Supp.Actress won’t be one of the anyone’s priorities.- It’s already out of question that every one can watch them all, so if you want to play with the popularity game that’s okay. But don’t include submissions on it while you do.
Although, the lack of tape watching might benefit Headey.
Mother’s Mercy is not only the big finale for GOT (one of the favorites to win drama series),
but its also nominated under writing AND directing.
Even if they voters don’t prioritize watching the tapes for Drama Supporting Actress, I have a hard time believing they will be able to avoid watching Mother’s Mercy. Its everywhere in the nominations…. Unless they truly decide to watch nothing.
And none of the other actresses have episodes that have nominations in other categories. (I guess Dance of Dragons has VFX nods)
It’s pretty obvious that evaluations of submission quality and general buzz / popularity are subjective and unmeasurable and that they won’t be able to “lineup”, as you say; however, I think it’s foolish to say that when commenting on a category you must either argue one or the other. Why can’t someone offer their opinion of the episode submissions, say via ranking them by their personal preference, and then comment on how those submissions may be affected by industry support or buzz surrounding the actor or actress? We do this every year, i.e. Julia Louis-Dreyfus’s submission “Running” from Season 2 may not have been universally seen as the best in the category, but the overall good quality of the episode plus her overwhelming momentum and buzz easily secured her the victory. None of this is objective or scientific whatsoever, except perhaps the aspect of measuring the amount of time one has in a given episode, which CanadianFan has so kindly done for us at the beginning of the thread.
Formerly known as PianoMann.July 24, 2015 at 11:43 am #355351
What is so showy about Aduba’s tape?July 24, 2015 at 1:41 pm #355352
I watched this category last night and I think it comes down to Lena and Uzo. They have the scenes Emmy voters can’t resist. Lena’s Walk O’ Shame and Uzo graduation breakdown. I’d probably vote for Hendricks but her tape while good was like every other tape she has lost for. Baranski has the very After School special More you Know episode about a progressive topic like gay marriage so that may play to her favor although she really didn’t have a big scene.
But with this new system, voters will see the Mad Men finale in Lead Actor and Actress. Can Hendricks make up ground there with cross over voters as she has some good moments in it? That’s why this new system is nearly impossible to get a grip of.
"Here's a wonderfully b*tchy post from Montana82...." - Tom O'Neill Emmy Prediction Slugfest August 1st, 2019
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