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July 15, 2016 at 2:12 pm #1201873148
She seems to be the strongest bet in lead, but can she win in supporting as well? I mean the latter is not a strong category at all. If I would be an Emmy voter, I would vote on her in both categories just to be sure. She’s long overdue for this.
Paulson’s performance in “Hotel” is not as strong as in “Freak Show” or “Asylum”, but it wouldn’t be an undeserving win either. And definitely not an impossible one. What do you think?July 15, 2016 at 2:17 pm #1201873152
Don’t see Emmy voters checking her name off twice with this new Emmy system (which eliminated preferential voting and just makes it a regular vote)
Give Paul Thomas Anderson an Oscar.July 15, 2016 at 2:59 pm #1201873161
Voters have awarded two acting Emmys to the same person previously.
In 1975 Cloris Leachman won two Emmys – one for Supporting Actress in a Comedy or Drama Series for The Mary Tyler Moore Show and another for Supporting Actress in a Variety Series for Cher.
In 1989 Colleen Dewhurst won two Emmys – one for Guest Actress in a Comedy Series for Murphy Brown and another for Supporting Actress in a TV Movie / Miniseries for Those She Left Behind.
In 1991 James Earl Jones won two Emmys – one for Lead Actor in a Drama Series for Gabriel’s Fire and another for Supporting Actor in a TV Movie / Miniseries for Heat Wave.
In 1995 Shirley Knight won two Emmys – one for Guest Actress in a Drama Series for NYPD Blue and another for Supporting Actress in a TV Movie / Miniseries for Indictment: The McMartin Trial.
In 2002 Stockard Channing won two Emmys – one for Supporting Actress in a Drama Series for The West Wing and another for Supporting Actress in a TV Movie / Miniseries for The Matthew Shepard Story.
The precedent exists. Paulson has a shot for a double victory.July 15, 2016 at 3:03 pm #1201873162
^^But that was before the new voting system. Before Emmy voters where not voting in every category. For example, in 2002 the voters voting in Supporting Drama Actress and Supporting Movie/Mini Actress where completely different voters (there may have been a very small overlap but still).
Give Paul Thomas Anderson an Oscar.July 15, 2016 at 3:17 pm #1201873178
After Allison Janney and Jon Hamm lost their secondary nominations last year, I would say no.
"I don't even believe in god, but I'm going to thank her tonight."July 15, 2016 at 3:40 pm #1201873203
Rather see Bates receive her third. Fourteen career nominations over three decades is a lot for just two trophies.July 16, 2016 at 2:15 am #1201873403
Although Idris Elba doubled up at SAG, where they use plurality voting. Hmm…
"I don't even believe in god, but I'm going to thank her tonight."July 16, 2016 at 3:44 am #1201873415
No because Lili Taylor will win for American Crime. Kathy Bates will beat Paulson in Supporting. Better luck next year, Sarah <3July 16, 2016 at 4:39 am #1201873448
Let’s not underestimate Sarah Paulson for her AHS nomination. For the past three years in the Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Limited Series or Movie category, the winner always surprises us.
2013: Ellen Burstyn (expected winner: Sarah Paulson)
2014: Kathy Bates (expected winner: Julia Roberts or Allison Tolman)
2015: Regina King (expected winner: Sarah Paulson)
For this year, most people are expecting Jean Smart to win. Second choice would be Melissa Leo or last year’s winner Regina King. But, if this category will surprise us again, the possible surprise winner here would be either Sarah Paulson, Olivia Colman or even Kathy Bates again. Because of the buzz regarding The People v. O.J. Simpson, some voters might consider voting Sarah Paulson in this category as well.
Also, possible odd scenario: Sarah Paulson will win an Emmy this year for AHS, not ACSJuly 16, 2016 at 5:08 am #1201873461
She’s the frontrunner for her role in ACS, but I don’t think she has any realistic chance in the supporting category. She hasn’t won with better roles and AHS was such a mediocre mess this season that if by any chance the voters check out the tapes I don’t see them voting for her.July 16, 2016 at 7:23 am #1201873489
Awfully unlikely. I think Smart’s the front-runner, with Bates runner-up.
OSCAR FLASHBACK: Best Original Song (1977) – No Bee Gees, No Liza, No DiceJuly 16, 2016 at 7:59 am #1201873495
Coleman (only one without an Emmy aside from Paulson), Smart (they love her and she’s Fargo’s best bet for a win), and Bates (they’ve been playing catch up ever since they realize she never won until this decade). Yes King won last year but her victory was unsung veteran recognition and less so popularity of her show. Being nominated again is icing on the cake.July 16, 2016 at 8:00 am #1201873497
This award has, through the years, mostly been awarded to veterans. Looking back on the last couple of years, the winners were Regina King, Kathy Bates, Ellen Burstyn, Jessica Lange and Maggie Smith.
Also worth barring in mind is that only four people have won this category twice – Jane Alexander, Judy Davis, Mare Winningham and Colleen Dewhurst.
Considering these aspects, I’s say the race is between Smart, Leo and Bates. All three veterans, previous Emmy winners and they give fantastic performances. Smart is the front-runner, but based on tapes, my vote would go to Bates. I don’t see how anyone else, including Paulson, can win this category.
Gold Derby TV Awards FYC: Gilmore Girls: A Year in the Life - Limited Series, Movie/Mini Actress (Lauren Graham), Movie/Mini Supp. Actress (Kelly Bishop)
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