May 24, 2011 at 9:16 pm #221321
Alot of people on these boards (and at the old boards) say that Laura Linney seems to be a lock to win Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series.
I guess my question is…is she really a lock? We have to remember, she wasn’t even nominated at the SAG Awards, and the show has underwhelmed critics who thought it would be a smash hit.
And we also have to look at her likely contenders. Poehler has a great tape with “Flu Season”. Michele has a great tape with “Blame it on the Alcohol”. And then we have Linney, who, unless she pulls a shocking move ala Julianna Margulies last year, has a good tape with the “Pilot”.
We also have Tina Fey, who has been nominated every year since her show began, and one win. Toni Collette, who won two years ago, and has been nominated since. And Edie Falco who won last year, and is likely to return again.
We also have some fresh blood that coul break in, such as Courteney Cox, Martha Plimpton, and Emmy Favorite Patricia Heaton.
So, looking at these statistics, I ask…is Laura Linney really a lock to win this category? I for one thinks it will come down to who has the best episode.May 24, 2011 at 9:25 pm #221323
Laura Linney is not a lock, but she is the frontrunner. I actually see Edie Falco to be her biggest competition (not Amy Poehler). Falco is the defending champ and Nurse Jackie got a suprise Comedy Series nomination last year. The Academy clearly loves Falco. Poehler has yet to win but I don’t sense any sort of sentiment from the Acadamy to vote for her.May 24, 2011 at 11:53 pm #221324
Yes, I also see this as a Falco-Linney battle. We haven’t had a rpeeat in Comedy Lead Actress since 2001 but if there’s someone who can break this trend, it’s definitely Edie Falco. Linney has the Pilot to submit, and she can be very competitive with that even if the show fizzled. Poehler will be in Cox position last year, everyone think she’s the rightful winner but she ain’t gonna get anywahere near that Emmy.
Michele, Fey, and Collette all have competitive tapes to submit but looks like they’ll be filler nominees this year.May 25, 2011 at 12:02 am #221325
I don’t think Linney is a lock, but should she be nominated, she’s going to be wildly competitive. No matter what
you think of “The Big C”, there’s no denying Linney is a force of nature on the show, and she has a handful of
tapes to choose from, though she’ll easily win if she submits the “Pilot”, which is a whopper of a
showcase for her. I thought she was equally stellar in “Divine Intervention”, and I almost like that one more
for her, but the “Pilot” has the needed background for her.
That being said, she’s going to have some stiff competition from Amy Poehler, who I actually think is poised
best to upset, what with 3 prior nominations and some amazing tapes under her belt (yeah, I’m looking at “Flu
Season”). Edie Falco could easily repeat, though. I hope that’s not the case — it hasn’t been a good season for
“Nurse Jackie” and outside of last years eligible season 2 ender “Years of Service”, Falco doesn’t have the tape
to win.May 25, 2011 at 12:02 am #221326
Alot of you are dissmissing Poehler as a possible winner. Let’s not forget she also went through 3 nominations for Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series for SNL, and the nom last year for Parks & Recreation. So not only does she have the tape, but she also has that overdue factor.May 25, 2011 at 12:17 am #221327
Personally, I would be happy if either Amy or Laura win.May 25, 2011 at 1:01 am #221328
Another one going for Laura is she’s 3/3, a very rare feat. She can easily make it 4/4. My personal winner is Amy Poehler and I’m gonna be happy as hell if she wins but I think Linney is still the frontrunner.May 25, 2011 at 1:52 am #221329
I don’t know, Toni Collette has been pretty fantastic in this season Tara, it’s been much more dramatic than it has been, but she is darn good in it.
But I would love to see Amy Poehler win.May 25, 2011 at 3:53 am #221330
I don’t think that Edie Falco will repeat, so there’s that. I also don’t think that Tina Fey or Toni Collette will come back and take the trophy. Laura Linney seems to be the one that many people instantly deem the “lock” winner, but I would hesitate to say that myself. For starters, her show just isn’t that good. Seriously. Even those who enjoyed the pilot episode have to admit, the characters have been for the most part mishandled. I also just don’t think the show is very funny. Granted, that didn’t hurt Falco’s chances last year, but still …
Then there’s Amy Poehler. A past nominee, and now the star of a comedy series that is quickly gaining momentum (and also gaining fans), it might be that Emmy voters find her tape, whatever it may be, irresistable. I don’t watch Parks & Recreation, but I’m told that the writing has become more and more excellent. Should she win, I don’t think there will really be anyone complaining.May 25, 2011 at 7:53 am #221331
I think Linney is a strong frountrunner for sure. The pilot is great for her, she’s a great actress, sahe seems to fit with the trend of this category, she’s super respected. But I wouldn’t call her a lock. I think if anyone will beat her it will be either Fey/Poelher or someone like that. Because the circumstances I see Linney losing under is if the people voting on this category this year are looking for a more laugh out loud and traditional comedy performance.May 25, 2011 at 2:42 pm #221332
Linney is the clear frontrunner and she has a great submission with the pilot (I also thought she was fantastic in “Happy Birthday Cancer”), she continues the trend of the Showtime Dramedies taking this award and, and she is an Emmy favorite. But honestly, I didn’t like the “The Big C” beyond a few of the performances, so I’m not rooting for her or the show.
With the right submissions, I think Poehler or Plimpton (if she manages the nomination) could take it. Falco could also repeat (with last season’s finale or if she gets something better this season). Linney’s name is in no way carved on that statue yet.May 25, 2011 at 8:17 pm #221333
I think that The Big C is ultimately a very disappointing show, much worse than the hype played it out to be. This may stay in the back of critics minds, and cause them to give the trophy to Amy Poehler, who has yet to win an Emmy and who’s show hit gold this year.May 26, 2011 at 11:08 am #221334
I’d be more confident in predicting Amy Poehler once the nominations are announced. If Parks & Recreation gets massive love, then I’d say she’s in a better position to win over Linney. But so far, Linney has an Emmy bait episode that will definitely bring her Emmy if the reception over the competition weakens.May 26, 2011 at 10:43 pm #221335
Amy Poehler will most likely be nominated again and will most likely win. This category has a history of awarding the actually funny actresses when the actresses that are in dramas that pretend to be comedies are also nominated (ex. Patricia Heaton and Helen Hunt winning over Calista Flockhart).Riley (the normal one, not the one who won the predictions contest)ParticipantMay 27, 2011 at 1:05 am #221336
Amy Poehler will most likely be nominated again and will most likely win. This category has a history of awarding the actually funny actresses when the actresses that are in dramas that pretend to be comedies are also nominated (ex. Patricia Heaton and Helen Hunt winning over Calista Flockhart).
What? You mean like last year?
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