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Creative Arts Emmys Night #5: Predictions and Reactions

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    diego
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    Dec 10th, 2019
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    #1203716251

    While I forgot to change my predictions before they closed, I’m not sure Esposito will manage to win guest actor now after Taika’s loss.

    The opposite I see happening in guest actress in comedy which I think Maya Rudolph is easily taking.

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    perfectly weird
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    #1203716642

    BEST ANIMATED PROGRAM
    The Simpsons

    BEST CHILDREN’S PROGRAM
    We Are the Dream: The Kids of the Oakland MLK Oratorical Fest

    BEST COMMERCIAL
    Back-to-School Essentials

    BEST DOCUMENTARY OR NONFICTION SERIES
    Tiger King

    EXCEPTIONAL MERIT IN DOCUMENTARY FILMMAKING
    The Cave

    BEST TELEVISION MOVIE
    El camino

    BEST UNSTRUCTURED REALITY PROGRAM
    Cheer

    BEST VARIETY SPECIAL (PRE-RECORDED)
    Sticks And Stones

    BEST CASTING FOR A LIMITED SERIES MOVIE OR SPECIAL
    Watchmen

    BEST CHOREOGRAPHY FOR VARIETY OR REALITY PROGRAMMING
    World of Dance

    BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY FOR A SINGLE-CAMERA SERIES (ONE HOUR)
    The Crown

    BEST CONTEMPORARY COSTUMES
    Schitt’s Creek

    BEST CONTEMPORARY MAKEUP (NON-PROSTHETIC)
    Euphoria

    BEST DIRECTING FOR A VARIETY SPECIAL
    Tony Awards

    BEST COMEDY GUEST ACTOR
    Eddie Murphy – SNL

    BEST COMEDY GUEST ACTRESS
    Maya Rudolph – SNL

    BEST DRAMA GUEST ACTOR
    James Cromwell – Succession

    BEST DRAMA GUEST ACTRESS
    Cherry Jones – Succession

    BEST REALITY HOST
    RuPaul Charles – RuPaul’s Drag Race

    BEST INTERACTIVE EXTENSION OF A LINEAR PROGRAM
    Stranger Things

    BEST LIGHTING DESIGN/LIGHTING DIRECTION FOR A VARIETY SERIES
    Saturday Night Live

    BEST MAIN TITLE DESIGN
    Watchmen

    BEST MUSIC COMPOSITION FOR A SERIES (ORIGINAL DRAMATIC SCORE)
    Succession

    BEST PERIOD AND/OR CHARACTER HAIRSTYLING
    Hollywood

    BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN FOR A NARRATIVE PERIOD OR FANTASY PROGRAM (ONE HOUR OR MORE)
    The Crown

    BEST SINGLE-CAMERA PICTURE EDITING FOR A COMEDY SERIES
    The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel

    BEST SOUND EDITING FOR A LIMITED SERIES, MOVIE OR SPECIAL
    Watchmen

    BEST SOUND MIXING FOR A COMEDY OR DRAMA SERIES (ONE HOUR)
    Westworld

    BEST STUNT COORDINATION FOR A DRAMA SERIES, LIMITED SERIES OR MOVIE
    Stranger Things

    BEST WRITING FOR A VARIETY SPECIAL
    Douglas

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    That Don Guy
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    #1203716741

    Be careful when watching on FXX – based on how they aired the juried award winners, it looks like if there are multiple winners in a category, they announce one winner, show that acceptance speech, and then announce the next winner, without any mention in advance that there were multiple winners. Normally, the presenter will say that there are multiple winners before reading them.

    Also, if the ceremony skips Exceptional Merit in Documentary Filmmaking, it would be because the category has the possibility of no winner. This has happened in the past, in the days of the “you need at least 50% approval to win in an Area” rule (which still exists in some Picture Editing and Sound Mixing categories).

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    Riley Chow
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    Oct 11th, 2010
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    #1203717335

    ANIMATED PROGRAM
    BoJack Horseman (Netflix)

    CHILDREN’S PROGRAM
    We Are the Dream (HBO)

    COMMERCIAL
    P&G: “The Look”

    DOCUMENTARY OR NONFICTION SERIES
    The Last Dance (ESPN)

    MERIT IN DOCUMENTARY FILMMAKING
    The Cave (National Geographic)

    TELEVISION MOVIE
    El Camino (Netflix)

    UNSTRUCTURED REALITY PROGRAM
    Cheer (Netflix)

    VARIETY SPECIAL (PRE-RECORDED)
    Sticks & Stones (Netflix)

    CASTING FOR A LIMITED SERIES MOVIE OR SPECIAL
    Watchmen

    CHOREOGRAPHY FOR VARIETY OR REALITY PROGRAMMING
    World of Dance: “Dos Jueyes” & “El Ray Timbal”

    CINEMATOGRAPHY FOR A SINGLE-CAMERA SERIES (ONE HOUR)
    The Crown: “Aberfan”

    CONTEMPORARY COSTUMES
    Unorthodox: “Part 2”

    CONTEMPORARY MAKEUP
    The Handmaid’s Tale: “Mayday”

    DIRECTING FOR A VARIETY SPECIAL
    Live in Front of a Studio Audience: “All in the Family” and “Good Times”

    GUEST ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES
    Saturday Night Live: Eddie Murphy

    GUEST ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES
    The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel: Wanda Sykes

    GUEST ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES
    This is Us: Ron Cephas Jones

    GUEST ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES
    How to Get Away with Murder: Cicely Tyson

    HOST FOR A REALITY OR COMPETITION PROGRAM
    Drag Race: RuPaul Charles

    INTERACTIVE EXTENSION OF A LINEAR PROGRAM
    Westworld: Free Will is Not Free

    LIGHTING DESIGN/LIGHTING DIRECTION FOR A VARIETY SERIES
    Saturday Night Live: “Host: John Mulaney”

    MAIN TITLE DESIGN
    Watchmen

    MUSIC COMPOSITION FOR A SERIES
    Succession: “This is Not for Tears”

    PERIOD AND/OR CHARACTER HAIRSTYLING
    The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel: “A Jewish Girl Walks into the Apollo…”

    PRODUCTION DESIGN FOR A NARRATIVE PERIOD OR FANTASY PROGRAM
    The Crown: “Aberfan”

    SINGLE-CAMERA PICTURE EDITING FOR A COMEDY SERIES
    What We Do in the Shadows: “Resurrection”

    SOUND EDITING FOR A LIMITED SERIES, MOVIE OR SPECIAL
    Watchmen: “This Extraordinary Being”

    SOUND MIXING FOR A COMEDY OR DRAMA SERIES (ONE HOUR)
    Stranger Things: “The Battle of Starcourt”

    STUNT COORDINATION FOR A DRAMA SERIES, LIMITED SERIES OR MOVIE
    The Mandalorian season 1

    WRITING FOR A VARIETY SPECIAL
    Sticks & Stones

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    wolfali
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    #1203717434

    I swear if The Handmaid’s Tale wins more craft Emmys than 2nd most nominated craft Drama Ozark…

    FYC OSCARS : VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", GLENN CLOSE FOR "HILLBILLY ELEGY", ANTHONY HOPKINS FOR "THE FATHER", CHADWICK BOSEMAN FOR "MA RAINEY'S BLACK BOTTOM", PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN (BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY).

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    Luca
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    #1203717439

    Why? THT is incredibly deserving, no?

    Oscar FYC -- Give Viola Davis her second Oscar!

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    wolfali
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    #1203717445

    No of course THT is more deserving. I’d argue THT should sweep all the crafts apart from Cinematography  (where I’d narrowly go for The Crown).

    It’s just that it would be quite sad to see Ozark go home empty handed when it should be winning something like Sound Mixing for example at the very least.

    FYC OSCARS : VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", GLENN CLOSE FOR "HILLBILLY ELEGY", ANTHONY HOPKINS FOR "THE FATHER", CHADWICK BOSEMAN FOR "MA RAINEY'S BLACK BOTTOM", PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN (BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY).

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    Luca
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    #1203717455

    I agree. But I think it proves what I and others have said all along, which is that voting for the nominations and winners are two very different processes. More name-checking/show-checking happens on the first go-around than on the second, which is why you can get 18 noms and still lose almost all of them. I think voters do just vote for their favorite nominee in the category when it comes time to select the winners. It’s how Handmaid’s could win production design over the two series frontrunners. I also think we’re seeing a lot of repeats, which is why I see people like Julia Garner, Alexis Bledel and so on possibly winning again.

    Oscar FYC -- Give Viola Davis her second Oscar!

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    wolfali
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    #1203717464

    I also think we’re seeing a lot of repeats, which is why I see people like Julia Garner, Alexis Bledel and so on possibly winning again.

    Yeah this is how I’m feeling on the Comedy side. I switched to predicting Dan Levy but I have a feeling considering how much love in the industry there is generally for Shalhoub and considering how he repeated at SAG that he might repeat.

    I feel a bit less confident in Garner having a chance to win than I was but we’ll see.

    FYC OSCARS : VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", GLENN CLOSE FOR "HILLBILLY ELEGY", ANTHONY HOPKINS FOR "THE FATHER", CHADWICK BOSEMAN FOR "MA RAINEY'S BLACK BOTTOM", PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN (BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY).

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    Gabriel Seehorn (gabspss)
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    Sep 10th, 2018
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    #1203717549

    Handmaid’s over Euphoria in Makeup? Please no.

    I even know professional make up artists who started Euphoria just to see the make up work on it.

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    Luca
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    Jun 23rd, 2017
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    #1203717562

    On merit, Handmaid’s would not win makeup over Euphoria. It barely has any makeup considering handmaids are forbidden to wear any. Euphoria is 100 times showier.

    Oscar FYC -- Give Viola Davis her second Oscar!

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    fefface
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    Jan 14th, 2020
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    #1203717590

    Yeah I really can’t see anything beating Euphoria in Makeup. Just by virtue of it being such a key part of the shows overall vibe.

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    Gabriel Seehorn (gabspss)
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    #1203717597

    I have Cicely Tyson low, but fork my score. I want her to win soooooo bad. She’s 95 and still delivering fantastic work.

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    Luca
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    #1203717614

    I have Cicely Tyson low, but fork my score. I want her to win soooooo bad. She’s 95 and still delivering fantastic work.

    Imagine how I feel.

    Oscar FYC -- Give Viola Davis her second Oscar!

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    wolfali
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    #1203717620

    Yeah I really can’t see anything beating Euphoria in Makeup. Just by virtue of it being such a key part of the shows overall vibe.

    I mean as soon as you type in Euphoria you SEE the makeup. It’s such a central part of the vibe as you said and it’s for similar reasons why I think Unorthodox is winning Costumes and not Killing Eve or Schitt’s Creek (although props to them because they’re both incredibly deserving).

    Very interested to see what happens in hairstyling (period/character). Westworld was snubbed and The Crown hasn’t won this award yet so unless there is more support than I was expecting across the board with The Crown I should go with incumbent winner Maisel no?

    FYC OSCARS : VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", GLENN CLOSE FOR "HILLBILLY ELEGY", ANTHONY HOPKINS FOR "THE FATHER", CHADWICK BOSEMAN FOR "MA RAINEY'S BLACK BOTTOM", PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN (BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY).

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