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Drama Predictions (Part 13)

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    thedemonhog
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    #1203570165

    Getting nominated in guest is not the same as getting nominated in lead or supporting.

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    Luca
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    #1203570170

    I think what Better Call Saul has within the TV academy is a fanbase that is decent in size, but one that hasn’t necessarily grown throughout the years. It’s also one that’s been big enough to get it nominated (with unlimited slots on the ballot), but when it comes to wins, there seem to be other priorities. Eight slots can help Seehorn, but this is also one of the most stacked supporting races we’ve seen in a while.

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    jacob121
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    #1203570216

    Are people really trying to argue that Better Call Saul has gotten a healthy nomination haul including series, lead actor, and supporting actor every single season because voters love Breaking Bad so much and they are not actually watching BCS? That’s ridiculous.

    Obviously, it hasn’t garnered enough support for any wins, but attributing the awards success it has had solely to residual love for BB is insulting and undervalues BCS’s achievements.

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    Kay
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    #1203570231

    Simply because voters do not watch that many shows. So when they have to check off 8 nominees, they choose one they hear is good and is a spin off of something they adored. That’s all. It’s a filler in their ballots. And the voters who do watch it are not passionate about it enougth to give it wins (not only emmys but also guilds). It wouldn’t be surprising if GoT spin off, if it ever happens, share the same fate.

    House of the Dragon is coming to slay in 2022 and I can not wait to see it demolish the competition like it’s predecessor!

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    methaddiction
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    #1203570240

    I have no idea what to do with Big Little Lies anymore Kidman, Dern and Streep don’t seem like locks but the thought of them not getting in also doesn’t seem like a possibility because of the performances they give and who they are.

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    GregSprinkles
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    #1203570248

    I have no idea what to do with Big Little Lies Kidman, Dern and Streep don’t seem like locks anymore but the thought of them not getting in also doesn’t seem like a possibility because of the performances they give and who they are.

    I feel a lot more confident in Dern and Streep making the cut now that the field is expanded. I still wouldn’t call them locks, but I’m pretty sure they’re making it in.

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    methaddiction
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    #1203570252

    I feel a lot more confident in Dern and Streep making the cut now that the field is expanded. I still wouldn’t call them locks, but I’m pretty sure they’re making it in.

    Yeah that definitely helps.

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    Sab227
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    #1203570259

    House of the Dragon is coming to slay in 2022 and I can not wait to see it demolish the competition like it’s predecessor!

    I dont think I can even watch House of the Dragon because of how terribly Game of Thrones ended. I dont see the point of watching a prequel no matter how good it is when the end point for the characters ancestors has already been established and it was a load of hot garbage.

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    hopelesstar
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    #1203570267

    Kidman feels like someone we will regret having out on nomination morning, and will laugh at ourselves for second guessing her when we look back at the race in a few years.

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    jacob121
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    #1203570290

    I still think BLL is popular enough to do relatively well in nominations i.e. I think it is still holding on in series even though people are dropping it left and right.

    Agreed that the reception for season 2 is decidedly mixed with much to criticize in front of and behind the camera but it still has a sizeable chunk of fans. I can think of another extremely popular HBO show that still managed to do pretty well last year despite outright hatred from many viewers…

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    wolfali
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    #1203570301

    I still think BLL is popular enough to do relatively well in nominations i.e. I think it is still holding on in series even though people are dropping it left and right. Agreed that the reception for season 2 is decidedly mixed with much to criticize in front of and behind the camera but it still has a sizeable chunk of fans. I can think of another extremely popular HBO show that still managed to do pretty well last year despite outright hatred from many viewers…

    I agree. I wouldn’t be surprised if Kidman, Witherspoon and Woodley made it in (even though I am not predicting them) but I think Dern and Streep are more or less locks as well as a Series nomination.

    Poor Adam Scott.

    FYC Emmys : Jodie Comer ("Killing Eve"), Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials"), Russell Tovery ("Years and Years"), Helena Bonham Carter ("The Crown") & The Crown, His Dark Materials, Years and Years, Succession and The Affair in all categories. The Politician : Ben Platt, Gwyneth Paltrow, Bette Midler and Judith Light.

    FYC Goldderby Awards : MAURA TIERNEY AND DOMINIC WEST FOR THE FINAL SEASON OF THE AFFAIR

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    wolfali
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    #1203570304

    I have no idea what to do with Big Little Lies anymore Kidman, Dern and Streep don’t seem like locks but the thought of them not getting in also doesn’t seem like a possibility because of the performances they give and who they are.

    I’m so torn with Kidman. I think this year despite what some people have suggested here alphabetical radius on the ballot will have an impact because of the scrapping of the 2% rule. The problem is whilst Kidman is right next to Linney on the ballot, Comer is also right next to Colman. Whilst I think Linney is likelier in the win Colman potentially could be likelier to get the most votes in the nominations stage (not saying she definitely will but it’s a possibility).

    What doesn’t help give me confidence in predicting Kidman is the fact that we’ve seen over the past five years where we’ve seen double nominees from the same letter in the alphabet (whether it is Tatiana Maslany and Elisabeth Moss in 2018 or Jodie Comer and Emilia Clarke in 2019).

    FYC Emmys : Jodie Comer ("Killing Eve"), Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials"), Russell Tovery ("Years and Years"), Helena Bonham Carter ("The Crown") & The Crown, His Dark Materials, Years and Years, Succession and The Affair in all categories. The Politician : Ben Platt, Gwyneth Paltrow, Bette Midler and Judith Light.

    FYC Goldderby Awards : MAURA TIERNEY AND DOMINIC WEST FOR THE FINAL SEASON OF THE AFFAIR

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    John Nguyen
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    #1203570306

    You know in speaking of Streep I actually thought big little lies was her best performance in years. Her other roles in movies were way too over the top. BLL was the first time in years I felt she gave an authentic performance. I’m really surprised about the article about her being protective over the character and refusing to listen to Arnold’s direction.Though I’m still predicting Snook to win. And fuck it I’m gonna move Rhee Seehorn to my predictions I thought she was gonna snub but it’s obvious she had more buzz than I thought she had previously

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    forwardswill
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    Apr 9th, 2013
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    #1203570325

    I’m really surprised about the article about her being protective over the character and refusing to listen to Arnold’s direction

    To be fair, the article about that says that she was only protective over her character not being called a villain, which I can understand. She was perfectly happy to listen to Arnold about pretty much everything else it seems. This is one of those scenarios where the headline is not the whole story.

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    Luca
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    Jun 23rd, 2017
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    #1203570332

    I mean, I can’t speak for everyone, but I still have Kidman in. I think more people will br shocked when they look back and see that they predicted Jodie Comer, when the signs of her not getting in were right there.

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