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Drama Predictions (Part 2)

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    Luca
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    #1203398744

    If someone wins for a lesser performance than their usual stamdard and the completion has a better performance then said lesser performance. That should be deemed as unworthy. There’s too many good actors that had been snubbed and it’s annoying when people go with the status quo because it’s seen as the norm.

    This is exactly my point. Well said. (Which is why, for instance, Dern’s Oscar win does bother me a bit since her BLL S2 was FAR superior, and she definitely won’t win for that :/ )

    Emmys FYC - "Unbelievable" and "The Handmaid's Tale" in all categories; Viola Davis in Best Drama Actress for the final season of "HTGAWM;" "Ozark:" Drama Series, Laura Linney (Best Actress) and Julia Garner (Best Supporting Actress)

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    forwardswill
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    #1203398746

    This lol. But I think nominations will be really telling of who is winning anyway. Let’s just say if Carrell and Witherspoon gets in then Aniston is winning, while O Connor getting in would show strength for Colman.

    Aniston will lose if Witherspoon gets in due to the latter having enough residual love to cost Aniston some votes in a tight race. She’s winning if Carrell, Mbatha-Raw or Duplass get nominated and Witherspoon doesn’t (due to splitting with herself in BLL).

    Also think Josh O’Connor is getting in anyway. Colman’s strength will be shown in how The Crown performs in the guest categories and overall.

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    hopelesstar
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    #1203398768

    Aniston will lose if Witherspoon gets in due to the latter having enough residual love to cost Aniston some votes in a tight race. She’s winning if Carrell, Mbatha-Raw or Duplass get nominated and Witherspoon doesn’t (due to splitting with herself in BLL). Also think Josh O’Connor is getting in anyway. Colman’s strength will be shown in how The Crown performs in the guest categories and overall.

    If Comer/Oh didn’t vote split I don’t see how Aniston and Witherspoon do. Especially if the latter is nominated for LFE, voters know this is where to vote for her if they want to.

    And I really don’t believe in O’Connor getting nominated but I guess that’s just me.

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    forwardswill
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    #1203398771

    If Comer/Oh didn’t vote split I don’t see how Aniston and Witherspoon do

    I think they did vote split, they were just still both stronger than their sparse competition. Aniston will not be so lucky.

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    hopelesstar
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    #1203398779

    I think they did vote split, they were just still both stronger than their sparse competition. Aniston will not be so lucky.

    I mean, yes of course it’s not like Oh got 0 votes, but it still wasn’t enough to cause Jodie to lose. I don’t see how it would be different here, tbh. Like Kidman didn’t lose for BLL because Witherspoon was nominated with her.

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    forwardswill
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    #1203398782

    I don’t see how it would be different here, tbh. Like Kidman didn’t lose for BLL because Witherspoon was nominated with her.

    I think it would be different because, as I said, the competition is tougher.

    And in your Kidman example, votesplitting probably didn’t matter because her biggest competition (Jessica Lange) was also votesplitting.

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    insomniac26
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    #1203398795

    Colman only has this and next year. The other two are likely gonna have more opportunities to win.

    We already did this song and dance with Claire Foy. Are we trying to reward three different actresses for playing the same role in the same series? Because this’ll be the same line of thinking trotted out for Imelda Staunton in a couple years.

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    thatnerdgreg
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    #1203398801

    We already did this song and dance with Claire Foy. Are we trying to reward three different actresses for playing the same role in the same series? Because this’ll be the same line of thinking trotted out for Imelda Staunton in a couple years.

    I’m not saying she should win just because she had limited time. I was referring to the comment saying that Anniston or Linney should win since Colman has another year to do so, which is very backwards logic considering the fact that those two will clearly have more more opportunities to win than Colman.

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    DylanMcPhee
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    #1203398940

    It’s Aniston’s return to television after a 15 year absence. I think they’d love to welcome her back with an Emmy. Colman could follow Foy and win for her second outing.

    The Emmy’s can be crazy though. No actress is safe to be nominated in this race. This is the same category that voters chose not to nominate Julia Roberts for last year (I personally thought she should have won for her brilliant work on Homecoming)! And pretty much every expert on GD had her in second before she was snubbed. For the precedant of someone of her stature not being safe, I’m sure some of predicted locks this year might not even see themselves nominated.

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    Jays
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    #1203398968

    I’m not saying she should win just because she had limited time. I was referring to the comment saying that Anniston or Linney should win since Colman has another year to do so, which is very backwards logic considering the fact that those two will clearly have more more opportunities to win than Colman.

    Aniston or Linney should win because they were both better than Colman, not because Colman could win next year.

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    Kay
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    #1203399009

    Laura Linney lacks a narrative though. Olivia Colman is a recent Oscar winner doing a prestigious show that will, at least, be top 3 in the best drama race. She is also the lead actress of the most praised series nominee (that’s assuming Snook doesn’t get in, but I’m not even sure succession is more acclaimed than the crown and I’m too lazy to check).

    Let me help you… it is.

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    Brayden Fitzsimmons
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    #1203399043

    Olivia Colman is a recent Oscar winner doing a prestigious show that will, at least, be top 3 in the best drama race. She is also the lead actress of the most praised series nominee (that’s assuming Snook doesn’t get in, but I’m not even sure succession is more acclaimed than the crown and I’m too lazy to check). And Netflix will, most likely, push her harder than Linney

    MetaCritic’s most acclaimed of 2019

    MC1
    MC2

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    Carlo
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    #1203399133

    I also don’t believe too much in narrative but I think Aniston is helped by the fact she’s giving un UNEXPECTED great performance, when Colman and Linney being great is usual business.

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    FYC : J. Smith-Cameron
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    #1203399247

    This isn’t ever going to happen but the Maura Tierney and the finale of the Affair deserve some love at the Emmys this year. The finale was 0ne of the best episodes of television last year.

    FYC Emmys : Jodie Comer ("Killing Eve"), Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials"), Russell Tovery ("Years and Years"), Helena Bonham Carter ("The Crown") & The Crown, His Dark Materials, Years and Years, Succession and The Affair in all categories. The Politician : Ben Platt, Gwyneth Paltrow, Bette Midler and Judith Light.

    FYC Goldderby Awards : MAURA TIERNEY AND DOMINIC WEST FOR THE FINAL SEASON OF THE AFFAIR

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    FYC : J. Smith-Cameron
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    #1203399255

    Updated Drama Series and Actress Predictions post Ozark and trailer for Killing Eve (this is done by likeliness of a nomination, not the win. I am predicting either The Crown or Succession to win with Ozark as a dark horse but I am predicting Ozark to be the most likely to be nominated show)

    Bold are my predicted nominees :

    Outstanding Drama Series

    1. Ozark (Netflix)
    2. Succession (HBO)
    3. The Crown (Netflix)
    4. Big Little Lies (HBO)
    5. The Handmaids Tale (Hulu)
    6. Better Call Saul (AMC)
    7. Killing Eve (AMC/BBC America)
    8. The Morning Show (AppleTV)
    9. Westworld (HBO)
    10. Stranger Things (Netflix)
    11. The Outsider (HBO)
    12. This is Us (NBC)
    13. Pose (FX)
    14. Homeland (Showtime)
    15. Euphoria (HBO)

    Drama Actress :

    1. Olivia Colman – The Crown
    2. Laura Linney – Ozark
    3. Jennifer Aniston – The Morning Show
    4. Jodie Comer – Killing Eve
    5. Elisabeth Moss – The Handmaid’s Tale
    6. Sandra Oh – Killing Eve
    7. Nicole Kidman – Big Little Lies
    8. Sarah Snook – Succession
    9. Reese Witherspoon – The Morning Show
    10. Evan Rachel Wood – Westworld
    11. Viola Davis – How to Get Away with Murder
    12. Reese Witherspoon – Big Little Lies
    13. Mandy Moore – This is Us
    14. Claire Danes – Homeland
    15. Zendaya – Euphoria
    16. Winona Ryder – Stranger Things
    17. Christine Baranski – The Good Fight
    18. Dafne Keen – His Dark Materials

    FYC Emmys : Jodie Comer ("Killing Eve"), Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials"), Russell Tovery ("Years and Years"), Helena Bonham Carter ("The Crown") & The Crown, His Dark Materials, Years and Years, Succession and The Affair in all categories. The Politician : Ben Platt, Gwyneth Paltrow, Bette Midler and Judith Light.

    FYC Goldderby Awards : MAURA TIERNEY AND DOMINIC WEST FOR THE FINAL SEASON OF THE AFFAIR

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