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Drama Predictions (Part 2)

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    Luca
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    #1203400357

    Well it’s worth noting that Game of Thrones’ last two Series wins were only accompanied by Dinklage repeats. Also, the idea of Succession only winning writing this year isn’t funny, it’s sinful. Right now I think they have that category on lock. If they could pull off that surprise win last year, I don’t see how they’ll lose this time around.

    I think drama series + writing seems very logical for Succession. I think writing’s pretty much a surefire lock after it won that category last year. And we know the writing branch actually pays attention, so I expect the second season’s reported unimpeachable quality to help it secure that win. I feel less confident about its drama series chances with each passing day because I genuinely wonder whether it has the broad/mass appeal to win, but at the same time I have no idea what would win it its place. I’m not going to predict The Crown S3 simply because I don’t see it getting the passion vote (which Succession, on the other hand, could) and am not quite ready yet to put Ozark in #1 either, although this third season is absolutely terrific (from the three eps I have seen).

    Emmys FYC - "Unbelievable" and "The Handmaid's Tale" in all categories; Viola Davis in Best Drama Actress for the final season of "HTGAWM;" "Ozark:" Drama Series, Laura Linney (Best Actress) and Julia Garner (Best Supporting Actress)

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    theofficialnodafuefanaccount
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    #1203400363

    Bateman might win if both Cox and Strong get in

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    thatnerdgreg
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    #1203400367

    I think drama series + writing seems very logical for Succession. I think writing’s pretty much a surefire lock after it won that category last year. And we know the writing branch actually pays attention, so I expect the second season’s reported unimpeachable quality to help it secure that win. I feel less confident about its drama series chances with each passing day because I genuinely wonder whether it has the broad/mass appeal to win, but at the same time I have no idea what would win it its place. I’m not going to predict The Crown S3 simply because I don’t see it getting the passion vote (which Succession, on the other hand, could) and am not quite ready yet to put Ozark in #1 either, although this third season is absolutely terrific (from the three eps I have seen).

    Based on their previous seasons, who would’ve thought that Succession and Ozark may be dueling it out for the top prize this year?

    Although with that being said, I think The Crown is still in this race. I wonder if The Crown and Ozark could end up splitting support for Netflix’s shows. I’m starting to get into Ozark so hopefully I’ll be able to have a batter idea if it’s winning prospects before too long.

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    hopelesstar
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    #1203400376

    Well it’s worth noting that Game of Thrones’ last two Series wins were only accompanied by Dinklage repeats. Also, the idea of Succession only winning writing this year isn’t funny, it’s sinful. Right now I think they have that category on lock. If they could pull off that surprise win last year, I don’t see how they’ll lose this time around.

    Succession is no GoT, the popularity is just incomparable, it won’t win with just writing and it doesn’t have all the technical support that GoT had. Also, GoT might have done badly in terms of acting wins but it still did pretty great in terms of nominations, which likely will not be the case for succession.

    And in insight its writing win wasn’t surprising. The Iron Throne was pure trash and no one cares about Better Call Saul. THT was filler and KE wasn’t as well received as succession in terms of writing.

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    Luca
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    #1203400380

    Based on their previous seasons, who would’ve thought that Succession and Ozark may be dueling it out for the top prize this year? Although with that being said, I think The Crown is still in this race. I wonder if The Crown and Ozark could end up splitting support for Netflix’s shows. I’m starting to get into Ozark so hopefully I’ll be able to have a batter idea if it’s winning prospects before too long.

    Yeah it’s crazy! Last year Succession was barely a contender and Ozark was still hated on by most people. How much a year can change! I think Ozark’s first two seasons can occasionally be a tough sit, and they’re both quite uneven, but it’s really hitting a home run with its third season!

    I don’t think the Crown is out of the running either, I’m just not sure it can win for that third season. Yes, it won SAG, but SAG ensemble and drama series (obviously) don’t always go hand in hand. And I don’t want to repeat myself too often, but winning for that third season would be… anticlimactic. But GOT didn’t start winning until its fifth season, which is arguably when the show started slowly going downhill (but that sudden win might have been a result of the change in voting rather than anything else).

    Emmys FYC - "Unbelievable" and "The Handmaid's Tale" in all categories; Viola Davis in Best Drama Actress for the final season of "HTGAWM;" "Ozark:" Drama Series, Laura Linney (Best Actress) and Julia Garner (Best Supporting Actress)

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    Luca
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    #1203400391

    Actually, I ought to correct myself: Under this voting system, you need passion to win, not necessarily broad support. And that’s going to help both Succession and presumably Ozark, while it may place The Crown at a disadvantage. That was rather my point.

    Emmys FYC - "Unbelievable" and "The Handmaid's Tale" in all categories; Viola Davis in Best Drama Actress for the final season of "HTGAWM;" "Ozark:" Drama Series, Laura Linney (Best Actress) and Julia Garner (Best Supporting Actress)

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    theofficialnodafuefanaccount
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    #1203400405

    I think Succession is comparable to The Americans, and we all know what happened when it took Lead Actor and Writing in a competitive Drama field, against a hugely popular show. Sure, Ozark is no GoT, but it already won Directing and Supp Actress. Succession had the opportunity to establish itself as a top contender last year but failed to score in the acting race.
    Surely, Succession might win this year but they have a lot more ground to cover than Ozark. The support of the acting branch counts a lot.

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    Reis
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    #1203400408

    I think Succession is comparable to The Americans, and we all know what happened when it took Lead Actor and Writing in a competitive Drama field, against a hugely popular show. Sure, Ozark is no GoT, but it already won Directing and Supp Actress. Succession had the opportunity to establish itself as a top contender last year but failed to score in the acting race.
    Surely, Succession might win this year but they have a lot more ground to cover than Ozark. The support of the acting branch counts a lot.

    Well, but Succession is more in the Fleabag ground. It explode after season 2, after the Emmy voting last year.

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    Hoster1
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    #1203400414

    Well it’s not like Fleabag was that big with general public either, going along with that comparison.

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    thatnerdgreg
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    #1203400417

    Succession is no GoT, the popularity is just incomparable, it won’t win with just writing and it doesn’t have all the technical support that GoT had. Also, GoT might have done badly in terms of acting wins but it still did pretty great in terms of nominations, which likely will not be the case for succession. And in insight its writing win wasn’t surprising. The Iron Throne was pure trash and no one cares about Better Call Saul. THT was filler and KE wasn’t as well received as succession in terms of writing.

    I agree that The Iron Throne was never winning due to so many people hating it, and I never took Handmaid’s Tale seriously that year, as the idea of a show winning for an episode belonging to its previous season would’ve been absurd. I’m glad they changed the rules allowing that, I still don’t get why it was allowed to be eligible for those categories last year in the first place.

    However, I disagree with you’re discounting of Better Call Saul and Killing Eve. You say that nobody cares about Better Call Saul, which is clearly not true. Maybe you don’t, but it has many passionate fans. Definitely more than Succession. And given BCS has often done well at WGA, I think the idea of completely dismissing its writing chances is pretty ridiculous. And Killing Eve was widely seen as a stronger overall contender than Succession, so it made sense to predict it would take writing, which I thought it would.

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    theofficialnodafuefanaccount
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    #1203400421

    The acclaim is there, but we don’t know yet if both Cox and Strong are getting in, or Culkin, or Snook. Not even Fleabag was in the Fleabag’s ground prior to the nominations day.

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    Allan Veríssimo
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    #1203400431

    I finally finished the third season of Ozark, which is much better than S1 and S2. Bateman, Linney and Garner will easily return among the nominees.

    Janet McTeer has more screentime and material this season, but I honestly find it difficult to her be nominated, as Supporting Actress is too full of stronger candidates. Tom Pelphrey is amazing and I believe he has a better chance than McTeer of being remembered at the Emmys.

    Emmys FYC: Freddie Highmore in Best Drama Actor for "The Good Doctor", Jane Levy in Best Comedy Actress for "Zoey's Extraordinary Playlist", "What We Do in the Shadows" and "After Life" in Best Comedy Series, "Ozark" and "Better Call Saul" in all categories.

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    TVFan365
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    #1203400435

    I really want to say Tom Pelphrey has that Emmy in the bag but you never know with them.

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    Potatohead
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    #1203400437

    Ozark will emerge as a major threat to The Crown and Succession. It’s always had a passionate fanbase, but this season particularly has the reviews to back it. Its guild performance last year was great, so I won’t be surprised if it snaps up a Drama Series win. If it gets into writing this year, it’ll be formidable.

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    John Nguyen
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    #1203400544

    They’ll probably be backlash if Olivia Colman won or honestly any other actor that isn’t Laura Linney winning. Linney Emmy buzz is too strong rn to ignore

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