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Drama Predictions (Part 2)

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  • thatnerdgreg
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    #1203393663

    Which is why there’s a thread for Better Call Saul

    People can talk about any performance in contention on here. People have mentioned less likely performance than her’s and nobody complained about that.

    Couverture
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    #1203393672

    People can talk about any performance in contention on here. People have mentioned less likely performance than her’s and nobody complained about that.

    Like?

    gabspss
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    #1203393674

    If last year things were in discussion about Seehorn deserving or not, this year they aren’t. She is killing every episode (I would say she can submit any episode from 3 to 6 and would be a winning tape). Every voter who watches Better Call Saul will vote for her.

    We may argue that Giancarlo Esposito, Jonathan Banks and Bob Odenkirk were nominated because of the combination Breaking Bad + Better Call Saul, yes. But let’s not forget that Michael McKean was also nominated, who is a 100% BCS character, which means there are enough voters in the acting branch to nominate a Saul actor.

    And btw, she is far more deserving than anyone from Handmaid’s Tale.

    methaddiction
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    #1203393678

    Ann Dowd and Yvonne Strahovski act circles around her.

    Potatohead
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    #1203393680

    I find it unlikely that Mandy Moore returns. Comer just won, she’s likely to come back. Ozark keeps gaining traction while This Is Us has none left, and with a Wendy-centric season Linney is in too. Kidman won an Emmy for Big Little Lies, and she’s Nicole Kidman. Olivia Colman is a lock. Jennifer Aniston won SAG, she’s likely also a lock. Actors love The Handmaid’s Tale and always nominate Moss, she’s coming back.

    Oh is much more of an awards darling, Snook was great and has a much better show behind her, Wood is a double nominee, and Davis won for the role and got back in the same year as Moore. Even Claire Danes has better odds of returning for the last season of Homeland.

    thatnerdgreg
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    #1203393684

    Like?

    Mark Duplass

    MJ Rodriguez

    Shailene Woodley

    Tessa Thompson

    Luca
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    #1203393686

    If last year things were in discussion about Seehorn deserving or not, this year they aren’t. She is killing every episode (I would say she can submit any episode from 3 to 6 and would be a winning tape). Every voter who watches Better Call Saul will vote for her. We may argue that Giancarlo Esposito, Jonathan Banks and Bob Odenkirk were nominated because of the combination Breaking Bad + Better Call Saul, yes. But let’s not forget that Michael McKean was also nominated, who is a 100% BCS character, which means there are enough voters in the acting branch to nominate a Saul actor. And btw, she is far more deserving than anyone from Handmaid’s Tale.

    I don’t think people are doubting the quality of the performance, but rather why she’s being cited as a possible contender when she couldn’t make it in last year when she had a more than clear path. I don’t watch the show, so I can’t speak to your Handmaid’s comparison, but I doubt she’s a million times better. Strahovski and Dowd are doing excellent work on the show. You know they can all just be amazing, too.

    Emmys FYC - "Unbelievable" and "The Handmaid's Tale" in all categories; Viola Davis in Best Drama Actress for the final season of "HTGAWM;" "Ozark:" Drama Series, Laura Linney (Best Actress) and Julia Garner (Best Supporting Actress)

    thatnerdgreg
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    #1203393692

    I don’t think people are doubting the quality of the performance, but rather why she’s being cited as a possible contender when she couldn’t make it in last year when she had a more than clear path. I don’t watch the show, so I can’t speak to your Handmaid’s comparison, but I doubt she’s a million times better. Strahovski and Dowd are doing excellent work on the show. You know they can all just be amazing, too.

    I’ve said several times before that I don’t think her missing last year should be held too much against her. It definitely doesn’t help her at all, but I still believe that her missing was mainly due to the Academy going crazy for Game of Thrones in its last year.

    Also, I still say Christie was the only one of those women who deserved her nomination (she should’ve won). Williams was annoying, Headey did nothing (I say that as a huge fan of her’s), and Turner was annoying and did nothing.

    Couverture
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    #1203393706

    But let’s not forget that Michael McKean was also nominated, who is a 100% BCS character, which means there are enough voters in the acting branch to nominate a Saul actor.

    Yes, in a category where Kumail Nanjiani was nominated for The Twilight Zone. Let’s not forget that he was NOT nominated in 2017 when every BCS fan wanted him to and instead the academy went with who? Jonathan Banks who no one even considered deserving. Guest categories aren’t comparable to the supporting ones at all.

    Y’all were saying the same things last year. Where did all these BCS voters go last year when SA was a 1000 times less competitive? Like 5 of the 6 nominees last year were snubbed in 2018 and if people think that Seehorn is in contention when we have FOUR people that have won an Emmy for this role returning is not delusional stanning than I don’t know what is.
    Like coming week after week and crying over her just detracts from the conversation and the purpose of this thread.

    thatnerdgreg
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    #1203393722

    Yes, in a category where Kumail Nanjiani was nominated for The Twilight Zone. Let’s not forget that he was NOT nominated in 2017 when every BCS fan wanted him to and instead the academy went with who? Jonathan Banks who no one even considered deserving. Guest categories aren’t comparable to the supporting ones at all. Y’all were saying the same things last year. Where did all these BCS voters go last year when SA was a 1000 times less competitive? Like 5 of the 6 nominees last year were snubbed in 2018 and if people think that Seehorn is in contention when we have FOUR people that have won an Emmy for this role returning is not delusional stanning than I don’t know what is. Like coming week after week and crying over her just detracts from the conversation and the purpose of this thread.

    Mukund
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    #1203393728

    Mark Duplass MJ Rodriguez Shailene Woodley Tessa Thompson

    Woodley is on a show actors have clearly responded to and is a previous nominee for this role so I don’t think she’s less likely than Seehorn tbh. Most people found her underused this season but when has that stopped the Emmys? Admittedly, either of them getting nominated would be a big surprise.

    It definitely doesn’t help her at all, but I still believe that her missing was mainly due to the Academy going crazy for Game of Thrones in its last year.

    I think it was more out of the academy’s active rejection of the competition than any big love for S8.
    And I’m offended by that Williams comment lol. I thought she was completely deserving.

    thatnerdgreg
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    #1203393733

     Woodley is on a show actors have clearly responded to and is a previous nominee for this role so I don’t think she’s less likely than Seehorn tbh. Most people found her underused this season but when has that stopped the Emmys? Admittedly, either of them getting nominated would be a big surprise.

    There’s no way she’s getting in over Dern and Streep, and since this season has no where near as much passion as the first, I don’t see how they’re going to get three actresses into a crowded category.

    Jays
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    #1203393740

    If last year things were in discussion about Seehorn deserving or not, this year they aren’t. She is killing every episode (I would say she can submit any episode from 3 to 6 and would be a winning tape). Every voter who watches Better Call Saul will vote for her. We may argue that Giancarlo Esposito, Jonathan Banks and Bob Odenkirk were nominated because of the combination Breaking Bad + Better Call Saul, yes. But let’s not forget that Michael McKean was also nominated, who is a 100% BCS character, which means there are enough voters in the acting branch to nominate a Saul actor. And btw, she is far more deserving than anyone from Handmaid’s Tale.

    BCS got three acting noms last year and Seehorn wasn’t one of them. 4 GoT actresses were nominated along with Shaw who did absolutely nothing. If Seehorn couldn’t breakthrough in that barren category then she’s not happening when the likes of HBC, Streep, Dern, Garner, Newton, Dowd and Strahovski are now in contention. It’s just a pipe dream at this point. It’s not like BCS has this unparalleled passion that’ll help her to get nominated – it’s always been a filler.

    wolfali
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    #1203393743

    Supporting Actress Prediction Update :

    1. Helena Bonham Carter, The Crown
    2. Meryl Streep, Big Little Lies
    3. Laura Dern, Big Little Lies
    4. Julia Garner, Ozark
    5. Thandie Newton, Westworld
    6. Gugu Mbatha-Raw, The Morning Show
    7. Yvonne Strahvoski, The Handmaids Tale
    8. Janet McTeer, Ozark
    9. Ann Dowd, The Handmaids Tale
    10. Millie Bobby Brown, Stranger Things
    11. Shailene Woodley, Big Little Lies
    12. Zoe Kravitz, Big Little Lies
    13. Holly Hunter, Succession
    14. Fiona Shaw, Killing Eve
    15. Rhea Seehorn, Better Call Saul
    16. Cynthia Erivo, The Outsider
    17. Tessa Thompson, Westworld
    18. Maura Tierney, The Affair
    19. Mare Winningham, The Outsider
    20. Ruth Wilson, His Dark Materials
    21. Susan Kelechi Watson, This is Us
    22. Gillian Anderson, Sex Education

    FYC BAFTA TV : Killing Eve, Russell Tovey, Years and Years, His Dark Materials, Ruth Wilson
    FYC Emmys : Jodie Comer, Ruth Wilson, Helena Bonham Carter, The Crown

    Mukund
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    #1203393749

    There’s no way she’s getting in over Dern and Streep, and since this season has no where near as much passion as the first, I don’t see how they’re going to get three actresses into a crowded category.

    I thought the same about THT in 2018. As I said, very unlikely she gets nominated but there’s more going for her than someone like Seehorn at the moment IMO.

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