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Drama Predictions (Part 3)

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    Reis
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    #1203401533

    Also maybe Josh O’Connor for the Crown. I haven’t finished S3 yet, but I have heard really good things about his performance.

    It would be one of my favorite wins.

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    Lance
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    #1203401537

    I feel like it will be either O’Connor or Pelphrey fighting for that number 6 spot.

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    Hoster1
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    #1203401555

    I kinda want to predict Harbour snub in Supporting Actor, but that SAG nom is holding me back.

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    thatnerdgreg
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    #1203401561

    This season of Ozark was probably the best TV season of a series considered for Emmys recognition I’ve seen this season (I haven’t seen Succession yet so save your stan responses). It never stopped being suspenseful and the acting was a masterclass. Linney mops the floor with any other Drama Actress contender. Her acting choices are always flawless. Aniston doesn’t stand a chance, she’s (Linney) winning the Emmy. I would love to see Julia Garner repeat but her win was only product of stars aligning for her. Tom Pelphrey delivered an unexpectedly jaw-dropping performance and he’s coming for that Emmy nomination, even though he deserves win, given the.. laughable competition in his category. It’s ironic because he gave one of those performances that end up winning an Oscar actually and I’m not even exaggerating: if all of his material was featured in one movie that was considered for Oscars recognition he’d be a shoe in for at least an Oscar nod. The direction was amazing, it’s, as expected, between this and The Crown when it comes to directing and it only depends on which one of the two gets only one nomination so it avoids vote-splitting. Unless they both do, and I expect Ozark to prevail. On the other hand, I’ve seen some posters stating Bateman was good? I have to laugh. The material just isn’t there for him, and his acting technique is nothing new or remotely Emmy-worthy. He just lacks dramatic acting charisma, but a nod for this season won’t be tragic, it’ll be fine compared to previous seasons. As of Garner, who I just mentioned, I’m fairly confident she’s losing to Strahovski. She (Strahovski) kinda resembles Newton: “robbed” the year she was supposed to win but ends up winning the next year when the level of competition allows it despite having less interesting material. She’ll be the only non-Emmy winner in her category (HBC has an international Emmy), and she’s also the only one of the main actresses of THT that hasn’t been rewarded. I don’t see why not given the endlessly offensive win of Cherry Jones last year. Dern & Streep will vote-split; I don’t see Garner or Newton repeating: it’s just the TV academy seems eager to spread the wealth throughout the years and don’t like back-to-back acting wins especially in the drama categories, Dowd isn’t winning, HBC lacks passion but she can still win of course. But, of course, Strahovski needs to get the nomination first. Wouldn’t it be funny? All these big names (except Garner) losing to an Australian B-lister. Sorry for the long post.

    I find it strange how you say this is the best TV season in contention, yet you’re very critical about the leading actor.

    Also, I don’t see how supporting actor is laughable this year. Banks, Crudup, Culkin, Harbour, Pelphrey, O’Connor, Whitford, and Macfadyen are all in contention for very well received performances.

    I also don’t think that Strahovski has a particularly valid overdue narrative like Newton. Newton was seen as a clear frontrunner for her first season with the most critically acclaimed performance in contention, and when she lost, she was able to compete the very next year where her snub was still very fresh in people’s minds, and her show still had a lot of passion. Westworld’s second season was definitely divisive, but the series still had a lot of clear hype and love at the point regardless of it. Strahovski was seen as the frontrunner for her nominated season and lot of people thought she should’ve won, but her deserving to win wasn’t as universal of an opinion as it was for Newton the previous year, as Dowd, Kirby, Headey, and the eventual winner Newton all had many people in their corner for that particular race. And unlike Newton who was able to get back into the ring the next ceremony when her show still had a lot of hype and passion for it, Strahovski had to sit out last year, and in that time, it feels like the passion for Handmaid’s Tale has noticeably weakened since the first two seasons, so she won’t be able to rely on that factor as much as Newton did.

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    forwardswill
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    #1203401563

    Also maybe Josh O’Connor for the Crown. I haven’t finished S3 yet, but I have heard really good things about his performance.

    I think he can win if he gets nominated. Seems like one of the few parts of this season of The Crown that has some passion behind it so that will help him in the final vote. The nomination is the bigger wall to climb as he is not a big name so will need to rely on love for the show to get him in.

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    Luca
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    #1203401574

    I know Julia Garner isn’t being put through the wringer like in Ozark’s last season, but damn is she still so good. I just saw the fourth episode and her range in it is just absolutely incredible. I don’t think she can repeat, but she’d absolutely deserve it. This category is indeed an embarrassment of riches. I will stick with my Strahovski prediction until the very end though. I might die on that hill, but I will do so willingly. The thought of one of these two winning just gives me so much joy (though I ultimately see HBC realistically triumphing)

    Emmys FYC - "Unbelievable" and "The Handmaid's Tale" in all categories; Viola Davis in Best Drama Actress for the final season of "HTGAWM;" "Ozark:" Drama Series, Laura Linney (Best Actress) and Julia Garner (Best Supporting Actress)

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    Jays
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    #1203401652

    I haven’t seen Culkin & Macfadyen who I doubt very much will happen anyway but I don’t find Crudup, Harbour or Whitford win worthy. Pelphrey i just mentioned is my pick lol. Banks is always great, I forgot about him.

    Well, written speech limits you. I mainly base it on the Handmaid’s Tale mania with the acting branch and mainly with the fact that every Emmy-nominated female has won, although Strahovski is definitely the one with the least industry support, all the rest they either have a thing for (Wiley) or have worked in the industry for years (Bledel, Dowd, Jones).

    Macfadyen is win worthy, imo. But he’ll struggle to get nominated, which is a shame.

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    Hoster1
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    #1203401663

    Also, I don’t see how supporting actor is laughable this year. Banks, Crudup, Culkin, Harbour, Pelphrey, O’Connor, Whitford, and Macfadyen are all in contention for very well received performances.

    Yup this. Even Banks usual name-checking is deserving this year.

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    Sab227
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    #1203401674

    I agree about Giancarlo Esposito his incarnation of Gustavo Fring is one of the all time greats, he was my favourite on Breaking Bad. He should have won when he was nominated for Breaking Bad and he should have won last year, so far this season he hasn’t really had much to do but I’m sure that will change we still have half the season and even if he doesn’t get much more hes still worth watching for, and hopefully he can earn another nomination because its mind boggling how he only has 2 nominations.

    • This reply was modified 1 month, 4 weeks ago by Sab227.
    • This reply was modified 1 month, 4 weeks ago by Sab227.
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    thatnerdgreg
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    #1203401688

    Yup this. Even Banks usual name-checking is deserving this year.

    In my opinion, Banks deserved all his BCS nods except for the third season. He’s always great, but he really didn’t have the material to warrant it that time, especially when Michael McKean was giving one of the best performances of the year. As for his other nods, I think he should’ve won for the first season (which I think would’ve happened under the tape system), and been nominated for seasons two (alongside McKean, who was more deserving that year as well) and four (alongside Esposito).

    Such a shame Giancarlo Esposito isn’t winning BSA. Let’s not forget no POC has ever won in that category, talking about racism.

    I adore Esposito’s work, but he definitely shouldn’t win this year. Maybe his showiest material is in the latter half of the season and we just haven’t seen it yet, but based on what we’ve seen so far, he shouldn’t make the cut this time around. He should’ve won for season four of Breaking Bad, although I don’t mind Paul’s win at all (I’d have given him wins for seasons two, three, and the latter half of five).

    I haven’t seen Culkin & Macfadyen who I doubt very much will happen anyway but I don’t find Crudup, Harbour or Whitford win worthy. Pelphrey i just mentioned is my pick lol. Banks is always great, I forgot about him. Well, written speech limits you. I mainly base it on the Handmaid’s Tale mania with the acting branch and mainly with the fact that every Emmy-nominated female has won, although Strahovski is definitely the one with the least industry support, all the rest they either have a thing for (Wiley) or have worked in the industry for years (Bledel, Dowd, Jones).

    I can’t speak for Crudup and Whitford as I don’t watch their shows, and I don’t plan to start doing so. From what I hear, most people seem to think they’re great. I thought Harbour was great, but I’d say he was better in season one, and definitely season two, where I’d have given him (or maybe Matt Smith) the win. I’ve started Ozark, so I’ll get to make an analysis of Pelphrey once I get to the third season. Both Succession men are extremely deserving. I think Culkin makes it in, as he gives the showier performance, and he’s a much bigger name, but I believe Macfadyen is more deserving. I feel like his performance and character is very unique. We’ve seen other characters like him before, but they way the show has tackled this type of role really stands out to me. Personally, I find this to be one of the more exciting categories this year because it feels so open. Banks, Crudup, and now Pelphrey have had the most talk of winning, but I think it this category is ripe for a surprise. Right now I think Banks will win. With the category wide open, I feel like he could have the overdue veteran narrative helping him out. Also, as I said before, he’s fantastic this season, and he’s been given some material that really sticks out compared to his prior work on both Breaking Bad and Better Call Saul. Like I said about Pelphrey, I’ll be seeing him eventually, until then, he’s an unknown to me, but his acclaim definitely sounds like he’s in the running. I’m not discounting Crudup, but I still don’t think The Morning Show will be a big contender, so I’m not going to predict an acting win. If it does better than I’m expecting on nomination morning, I might predict him for the win.

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    Allan Veríssimo
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    #1203401691

    In Supporting Actor, I think we should not underestimate the chances of Giancarlo Esposito and Mandy Patinkin being nominated again. Esposito was nominated twice for the role of Gus (once for Breaking Bad and once for Better Call Saul), while Patinkin was nominated for seasons 2, 3, 6 and 7 of Homeland, even after the Emmys stopped loving the series.

    Emmys FYC: Freddie Highmore in Best Drama Actor for "The Good Doctor", Jane Levy in Best Comedy Actress for "Zoey's Extraordinary Playlist", "What We Do in the Shadows" and "After Life" in Best Comedy Series, "Ozark" and "Better Call Saul" in all categories.

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    Emmyfan
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    #1203401728

    We have to go all the back to 1990 when Jimmy Smits won in 1990 for L.A. Law and Hector Elizondo in 1997 for Chicago Hope

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    hopelesstar
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    #1203401776

    In Supporting Actor, I think we should not underestimate the chances of Giancarlo Esposito and Mandy Patinkin being nominated again. Esposito was nominated twice for the role of Gus (once for Breaking Bad and once for Better Call Saul), while Patinkin was nominated for seasons 2, 3, 6 and 7 of Homeland, even after the Emmys stopped loving the series.

    Giancarlo was pure filler due to a weak category last year. I agree for Patinkin, though.

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    Brayden Fitzsimmons
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    #1203401792

    HBO Go viewer increase during the covid lockdown via deadline

    “While there were expected gains for HBO’s No. 1 series Westworld as it launched its new season, and other recent HBO Original Series, Euphoria’s audience has also doubled over its 4-week average, with Big Little Lies, Chernobyl, Game Of Thrones and His Dark Materials all up more than 50%.”

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    Heptapod
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    #1203401794

    Are we underestimating Killing Eve in Series? It’s one of the few contenders that’s both a huge crowdpleaser and a critical favorite. People like to say that season two was some huge critical disappointment, but it actually jumped UP three points on Metacritic (from an 83 to an 86). It repeated at TCA and Globes (who are usually the very first to drop shows). It got support from the three big TV Academy divisions: actors and directors and writers (assumed frontrunners like Ozark, Better Call Saul, and Succession couldn’t even get all three of those last time). It even got into casting. Buzz for season three is overwhelmingly positive, and while we will have to see if it can live up to expectations, the hype is nothing but positive as of right now. It also got that writing nod for season one, when PWB wasn’t even as close to being the name she is now.

    I’m not ready to predict it as of yet, but the more I think about it, the more I feel that it could be that eighth nominee that makes it in on a tie.

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