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Drama Predictions (Part 8)

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    Tyler
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    #1203499217

    I don’t see how TMS is being underestimated when Anistin and Crudup are being widely predicted

    the reason I think TMS might be underestimated (mind you I really didn’t care for it) is because it’s top two in two above the line categories, which no other shows are except for the established 3 front runners. Considering we talk about it being barely on the cusp of a non (which is how I feel) but there’s a world where it’s in fourth.

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    Heptapod
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    #1203499247

    This Is Us may be safer than most think. It’s still very widely watched, and the response to season four was extremely positive. IMDb scores aren’t everything, I know, but none of them dropped below an 8.5 this season, with a whopping six episodes getting a 9.0 or above (“The Cabin” holds the second-highest single-episode rating, bested only by “Super Bowl Sunday”). Getting dropped from SAG after its two consecutive wins is very yikes, so I don’t think it’s anywhere higher than eighth (seventh at very best), but with so more than a couple dramas ending up as resounding disappointments with mixed to negative buzz, it could very well just coast.

    I’m not predicting Moore, and she would only get in on an eight-person lineup, but I’m getting more and more convinced of her chances. Season four was VERY Rebecca-focused, probably more so than any season so far, and it could influence voters to realize that a lot of the big impactful scenes, especially in the back half, either have Moore at the center or have the other characters talking about her.

    I’m disappointed if Hartley’s going lead. Supporting actor is very competitive but also very very scattered, and his snub last year in favor of Sullivan was painfully deliberate, but I’m keeping my fingers crossed he can somehow pull back around this time, Moore-style. Though he doesn’t have a SLIVER of a chance in lead, where at least he has fighting odds in supporting.

    Milo should go supporting this season, and if he goes there, I think I’ll predict him. Did he do anything? Not really. But he didn’t in s3 either, and he got in anyway. I think the voters just like him and Jack.

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    FYC : J. Smith-Cameron
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    #1203499270

    I think the only show we’re going to see this year with support from all three branches of the Television Academy is The Crown and maybe Succession (which already has its weakness with actors hence the maybe). Ozark is in trouble with writers, Big Little Lies is in trouble in directing and writing, The Handmaid’s Tale is in trouble in directing, Stranger Things and Westworld are in trouble in all three, The Morning Show only has the support of actors. It’s all up for grabs.

    FYC Emmys : Jodie Comer ("Killing Eve"), Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials"), Russell Tovery ("Years and Years"), Helena Bonham Carter ("The Crown") & The Crown, His Dark Materials, Years and Years, Succession and The Affair in all categories. The Politician : Ben Platt, Gwyneth Paltrow, Bette Midler and Judith Light.

    FYC Goldderby Awards : MAURA TIERNEY AND DOMINIC WEST FOR THE FINAL SEASON OF THE AFFAIR

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    hopelesstar
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    #1203499273

    Hmm random but Taylor Swift is promoting Killing Eve. Between that and the magazines coverage AMC is going all in

    https://twitter.com/taylorswift13/status/1264740730771300359

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    Heptapod
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    #1203499279

    Just out of curiosity, what makes everyone think Handmaid’s is so weak in directing? Sure, it missed DGA, but with four spots being taken up by now-ineligible shows, it could’ve easily been in sixth or seventh. It got directing last year (over Ryan Murphy and Vince Gilligan, I may add), even in the midst of the third season airing with its mixed reception. What makes everyone suddenly think it’s suddenly lost directors’ support?

    And what makes everyone so confident in Better Call Saul in directing all of a sudden? Everyone’s citing Vince Gilligan’s name as the big draw, but he had an episode last year that missed. It’s only been nominated once in directing, but it was on a tie, and it’s zero for four at DGA. Maybe it’s just collective wishful thinking, but it’s almost definitely not as high as some want it to be.

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    thatnerdgreg
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    #1203499287

    The reason why Vince Gilligan has so many people predicting him is because he had a huge directorial showcase for one of the most acclaimed episodes in both Better Call Saul and Breaking Bad. It’s possibly the most impressive work he’s ever done as a director. His prior snubs don’t look too good, but the quality is undeniably there.

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    FYC : J. Smith-Cameron
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    #1203499310

    Hmm random but Taylor Swift is promoting Killing Eve. Between that and the magazines coverage AMC is going all in

    https://twitter.com/taylorswift13/status/1264740730771300359

    I’m sorry I have to laugh. Yes AMC is going all in for Killing Eve but you really need to stop acting like it’s the be all and end all of programmes because you’re beginning to sound like the Guest2018 of Killing Eve (and I’m saying this as someone who loves the show and is rooting for Jodie Comer as someone I’d like to win (alongside Nicole Kidman) this year).

    For those wondering this is Taylor Swift’s tweet :

    VERY STOKED about this cover of lwymmd [Look What You Made Me Do] on @KillingEve
    by Jack leopards & the dolphin club!!

    Just out of curiosity, what makes everyone think Handmaid’s is so weak in directing? Sure, it missed DGA, but with four spots being taken up by now-ineligible shows, it could’ve easily been in sixth or seventh. It got directing last year (over Ryan Murphy and Vince Gilligan, I may add), even in the midst of the third season airing with its mixed reception.

    I think it’s because of its DGA snub and the fact its fourth season isn’t airing alongside it for the very first time not helping with voters who see programmes in the short term. I do agree it’s being underestimated (I currently have it around 7th after The Crown x2, Ozark, The Outsider, Succession and Homeland).

    FYC Emmys : Jodie Comer ("Killing Eve"), Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials"), Russell Tovery ("Years and Years"), Helena Bonham Carter ("The Crown") & The Crown, His Dark Materials, Years and Years, Succession and The Affair in all categories. The Politician : Ben Platt, Gwyneth Paltrow, Bette Midler and Judith Light.

    FYC Goldderby Awards : MAURA TIERNEY AND DOMINIC WEST FOR THE FINAL SEASON OF THE AFFAIR

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    TV_Sideliner
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    #1203499431

    HBC has exactly just as many buzz as Julia and McTeer, wich is non. Like Luca said, not a single contender has buzz as of now. Better Call Saul is not going to win more Emmys than The Crown. The latter literally won a GG for Olivia and its first SAG ensemble. It’s going to win at least a major Emmy.

    Garner and McTeer have been interviewed post-finale about the show, which says they’re in demand.

    And I was really just referring to a couple specific categories for BCS. I have no doubt The Crown will take some trophies home.

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    Luca
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    #1203499466

    Just out of curiosity, what makes everyone think Handmaid’s is so weak in directing? Sure, it missed DGA, but with four spots being taken up by now-ineligible shows, it could’ve easily been in sixth or seventh. It got directing last year (over Ryan Murphy and Vince Gilligan, I may add), even in the midst of the third season airing with its mixed reception. What makes everyone suddenly think it’s suddenly lost directors’ support? And what makes everyone so confident in Better Call Saul in directing all of a sudden? Everyone’s citing Vince Gilligan’s name as the big draw, but he had an episode last year that missed. It’s only been nominated once in directing, but it was on a tie, and it’s zero for four at DGA. Maybe it’s just collective wishful thinking, but it’s almost definitely not as high as some want it to be.

    Thanks for this comment, Heptapod! I completely agree that it’s being underestimated. It’s simply never missed directing, including last year when a never-before-Emmy-nominated director broke through over the likes of Better Call Saul, Pose (as you mentioned, Ryan Murphy!) and many more. I think people are buying too much into the fact that there’s no new season currently airing when last year only 3-4 episodes of season 3 had aired by the time voters were checking off their ballots. And that’s not even accounting for those voters who hadn’t started the season yet, of which there were probably many. They voted for “Holly” and “The Word” across many categories, two episodes that I think are quite recognizable; I have a hard time believing (especially with so few episodes having aired of the new season at the time) that they were, in their heads, voting for S3.

    Also, Handmaid’s’ DGA snub needs to be put in perspective: It was edged out by dual Thrones, dual Watchmen and Succession. Thrones is now not eligible at the Emmys while Watchmen is over in limited series. That said, between The Crown, Succession, Ozark and The Outsider alone, this directing race is stacked. And I’m not even including a handful of other heavy-hitters.

    Emmys FYC - "Unbelievable" and "The Handmaid's Tale" in all categories; Viola Davis in Best Drama Actress for the final season of "HTGAWM;" "Ozark:" Drama Series, Laura Linney (Best Actress) and Julia Garner (Best Supporting Actress)

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    Kay
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    #1203499584

    This Is Us may be safer than most think. It’s still very widely watched, and the response to season four was extremely positive. IMDb scores aren’t everything, I know, but none of them dropped below an 8.5 this season, with a whopping six episodes getting a 9.0 or above (“The Cabin” holds the second-highest single-episode rating, bested only by “Super Bowl Sunday”). Getting dropped from SAG after its two consecutive wins is very yikes, so I don’t think it’s anywhere higher than eighth (seventh at very best), but with so more than a couple dramas ending up as resounding disappointments with mixed to negative buzz, it could very well just coast. I’m not predicting Moore, and she would only get in on an eight-person lineup, but I’m getting more and more convinced of her chances. Season four was VERY Rebecca-focused, probably more so than any season so far, and it could influence voters to realize that a lot of the big impactful scenes, especially in the back half, either have Moore at the center or have the other characters talking about her. I’m disappointed if Hartley’s going lead. Supporting actor is very competitive but also very very scattered, and his snub last year in favor of Sullivan was painfully deliberate, but I’m keeping my fingers crossed he can somehow pull back around this time, Moore-style. Though he doesn’t have a SLIVER of a chance in lead, where at least he has fighting odds in supporting. Milo should go supporting this season, and if he goes there, I think I’ll predict him. Did he do anything? Not really. But he didn’t in s3 either, and he got in anyway. I think the voters just like him and Jack.

    nnn not me seeing this wonderful post a minute after removing it from my top seven in favor of Stranger Things.

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    hopelesstar
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    #1203499590

    I’m sorry I have to laugh. Yes AMC is going all in for Killing Eve but you really need to stop acting like it’s the be all and end all of programmes because you’re beginning to sound like the Guest2018 of Killing Eve (and I’m saying this as someone who loves the show and is rooting for Jodie Comer as someone I’d like to win (alongside Nicole Kidman) this year).

    Wtf are you talking about I haven’t even started watching s3 of the show. I can’t point out that the network airing it seems to campaign it more than the competitors with their own programs atm?  If anything you are the one looking like Guest 2018 with your pointless threads or long essays to push your narratives like with Succession in acting.

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    Carlo
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    #1203499594

    This Is Us may be safer than most think. It’s still very widely watched, and the response to season four was extremely positive. IMDb scores aren’t everything, I know, but none of them dropped below an 8.5 this season, with a whopping six episodes getting a 9.0 or above (“The Cabin” holds the second-highest single-episode rating, bested only by “Super Bowl Sunday”). Getting dropped from SAG after its two consecutive wins is very yikes, so I don’t think it’s anywhere higher than eighth (seventh at very best), but with so more than a couple dramas ending up as resounding disappointments with mixed to negative buzz, it could very well just coast.

    I’m not predicting Moore, and she would only get in on an eight-person lineup, but I’m getting more and more convinced of her chances. Season four was VERY Rebecca-focused, probably more so than any season so far, and it could influence voters to realize that a lot of the big impactful scenes, especially in the back half, either have Moore at the center or have the other characters talking about her.

    I’m disappointed if Hartley’s going lead. Supporting actor is very competitive but also very very scattered, and his snub last year in favor of Sullivan was painfully deliberate, but I’m keeping my fingers crossed he can somehow pull back around this time, Moore-style. Though he doesn’t have a SLIVER of a chance in lead, where at least he has fighting odds in supporting.

    Milo should go supporting this season, and if he goes there, I think I’ll predict him. Did he do anything? Not really. But he didn’t in s3 either, and he got in anyway. I think the voters just like him and Jack.

    Milo had few to do at the end of season 3, but based on Vietnam storyline not only he should have been nominated, he should have won.

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    Luca
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    #1203499597

    Wtf are you talking about I haven’t even started watching s3 of the show. I can’t point out that the network airing it seems to campaign it more than the competitors with their own programs atm? If anything you are the one looking like Guest 2018 with your pointless threads or long essays to push your narratives like with Succession in acting.

    You got to it before I could. I agree that Taylor’s tweet means nothing, but that wasn’t the proper way to respond to your comment in any way.

    Emmys FYC - "Unbelievable" and "The Handmaid's Tale" in all categories; Viola Davis in Best Drama Actress for the final season of "HTGAWM;" "Ozark:" Drama Series, Laura Linney (Best Actress) and Julia Garner (Best Supporting Actress)

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    theofficialnodafuefanaccount
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    #1203499601

    Wtf are you talking about I haven’t even started watching s3 of the show. I can’t point out that the network airing it seems to campaign it more than the competitors with their own programs atm? If anything you are the one looking like Guest 2018 with your pointless threads or long essays to push your narratives like with Succession in acting.

    Plot twist: we all are Guest2018.

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    methaddiction
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    Aug 1st, 2017
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    #1203499607

    Wtf are you talking about I haven’t even started watching s3 of the show. I can’t point out that the network airing it seems to campaign it more than the competitors with their own programs atm? If anything you are the one looking like Guest 2018 with your pointless threads or long essays to push your narratives like with Succession in acting.

    Someone finally said it.

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