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Drama Predictions (Part 9)

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    ruckp
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    #1203511351

    Josh O’Connor is not ahead of David Harbour and Jonathan Banks.

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    Luca
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    #1203511357

    Also how is The Morning Show strong enough to get in Aniston & Witherspoon and Crudup & Duplass, but not SAG nominee Steve Carell? And if it has such strong support from actors, shouldn’t it be higher than eighth place for drama series?

    Another prediction I’m concerned about that’s been tossed around here is Stranger Things in directing. Those of us who still have the show in the drama series lineup have in sixth or seventh place at best. I get that “The Battle of Starcourt” is a spectacular directorial showcase, but unfortunately that’s not how this branch works. If you’re not contending for a strong series contender, you better be a household name, and I’m not sure the Duffer Brothers have reached that level quite yet.

    I’m also not feeling Cherry Jones for Handmaid’s this year. They’ve nominated her twice, rewarded her for this role, so they might just move on. I wouldn’t even be shocked if she took herself out of consideration for it as she’s done before for 24 after she won.

    Emmys FYC - "Unbelievable" and "The Handmaid's Tale" in all categories; Viola Davis in Best Drama Actress for the final season of "HTGAWM;" "Ozark:" Drama Series, Laura Linney (Best Actress) and Julia Garner (Best Supporting Actress)

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    FYC : J. Smith-Cameron
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    #1203511375

    With regards to The Morning Show I am not sure about its series placing. I rank based on likelihood of a nomination and to be honest anything between 4th and 10th place are interchangeable.

    I think Carell’s category is too competitive and considering his role was more of a Supporting one I think he could very well end up like Winona Ryder.

    I was hesitant at placing Duplass in but I think he may have sadly had his chances boosted considering he is known for being a close friend and long time collaborator of Lynn Shelton.

    Witherspoon is getting à la Ventimiglia.

    Josh O’Connor is not ahead of David Harbour and Jonathan Banks.

    FYC Emmys : Jodie Comer ("Killing Eve"), Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials"), Russell Tovery ("Years and Years"), Helena Bonham Carter ("The Crown") & The Crown, His Dark Materials, Years and Years, Succession and The Affair in all categories. The Politician : Ben Platt, Gwyneth Paltrow, Bette Midler and Judith Light.

    FYC Goldderby Awards : MAURA TIERNEY AND DOMINIC WEST FOR THE FINAL SEASON OF THE AFFAIR

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    BenitoDelicias
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    #1203511383

    Mark Duplass is getting a nomination because Lynn Shelton died?

    Why are people treating Lynn Shelton, Marc Maron and now Mark Duplass like Tom Hanks died and now Rita Wilson has to get a pity nomination?

    How big was Lynn Shelton that she’s boosting Emmy chances for everybody who worked or had a relationship with her?

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    Luca
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    #1203511387

    Yeah, Mark Duplass getting in because of Lynn Shelton’s death is perhaps the most bizarre argument I’ve seen thus far. If someone said he was getting in because they think TMS will do incredibly well, I can get behind that, but not this.

    Emmys FYC - "Unbelievable" and "The Handmaid's Tale" in all categories; Viola Davis in Best Drama Actress for the final season of "HTGAWM;" "Ozark:" Drama Series, Laura Linney (Best Actress) and Julia Garner (Best Supporting Actress)

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    thatnerdgreg
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    #1203511426

    Josh O’Connor is not ahead of David Harbour and Jonathan Banks.

    I think it’s possible he could be ahead of Harbour (though we can’t forget his SAG nod), but definitely not Banks.

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    Kay
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    #1203511444

    I think it’s possible he could be ahead of Harbour (though we can’t forget his SAG nod), but definitely not Banks.

    weird because Harbour could easily be ahead of Banks

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    Clarage
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    #1203511641

    Linney will certainly win , she has the performance, the buzz, and the name, Aniston is second but far behind,  idk  why some people predict Colman to win  she isnt even worthy of an nomination all she has for her is the name but its not enough

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    TV_Sideliner
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    #1203511671

    I would not, under any circumstances, count Olivia Colman out. As frustrating as it would be to me for someone to win an Emmy just because they’re the most recent Oscar winner, it absolutely could happen.

    The same goes for Aniston. I agree that she’s in a distant second place performance-wise, but all signs point to her incredible, incomparable likability.

    We’re looking at three very different actors who are each talented and notable in their own rights, each driving their series’ stories in different ways. If this were pre-COVID, I’d be looking forward to the THR roundtable interview featuring them and Davis, Oh, Moss, etc.

    That reminds me, I thought Gold Derby had recent interviews with some of these actors, but maybe I’m wrong.

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    thatnerdgreg
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    #1203511677

    weird because Harbour could easily be ahead of Banks

    True, but I think Banks benefits from having his show come out so much more recently, and I think his performance was better received and has more hype than Harbour’s.

    As someone who initially really wanted Harbour to win when Stranger Things’ third season came out, when I look back now, I think that there’s many other more deserving contenders, and that while his moments near the end of the season were fantastic, this was his weakest on the show. Meanwhile, with Banks, this is his strongest year since Better Call Saul’s first season.

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    methaddiction
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    #1203511705

    The argument that Colman and Aniston are loved and are using that as a factor for why they could win literally applies to Linney just as much if not more which people seem to be forgetting.

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    Heptapod
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    #1203511729

    I agree, people are totally forgetting that the TV Academy really likes Laura Linney. She’s won on a nomination more times than she’s lost (4/6). Not a good enough track record to call her a shoo-in for the win, but it proves that she’s just as well-liked as Colman or Aniston, if not more.

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    forwardswill
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    #1203511747

    JUNE PREDICTIONS

    (As with Comedy, these are in order of perceived likelihood of a nomination)

    SERIES

    1. Ozark
    2. The Crown
    3. Succession
    4. Better Call Saul
    5. The Morning Show
    6. The Handmaid’s Tale
    7. Stranger Things
    8. This is Us
    9. Big Little Lies
    10. Homeland

    ACTOR

    1. Jason Bateman, Ozark
    2. Bob Odenkirk, Better Call Saul
    3. Brian Cox, Succession
    4. Jeremy Strong, Succession
    5. Sterling K. Brown, This is Us
    6. Steve Carrell, The Morning Show
    7. Tobias Menzies, The Crown
    8. Milo Ventimiglia, This is Us
    9. Billy Porter, Pose
    10. Ben Mendelson, The Outsider

    ACTRESS

    1. Olivia Colman, The Crown
    2. Laura Linney, Ozark
    3. Jennifer Aniston, The Morning Show
    4. Elisabeth Moss, The Handmaid’s Tale
    5. Viola Davis, How to Get Away with Murder
    6. Reese Witherspoon, The Morning Show
    7. Nicole Kidman, Big Little Lies
    8. Reese Witherspoon, Big Little Lies
    9. Evan Rachel Wood, Westworld
    10. Jodie Comer, Killing Eve

    SUPPORTING ACTOR

    1. Tom Pelphrey, Ozark
    2. Billy Crudup, The Morning Show
    3. Bradley Whitford, The Handmaid’s Tale
    4. Jonathan Banks, Better Call Saul
    5. Giancarlo Esposito, Better Call Saul
    6. David Harbour, Stranger Things
    7. Mark Duplass, The Morning Show
    8. Jeffrey Wright, Westworld
    9. Joseph Fiennes, The Handmaid’s Tale
    10. Mandy Patinkin, Homeland

    SUPPORTING ACTRESS

    1. Julia Garner, Ozark
    2. Helena Bonham Carter, The Crown
    3. Janet McTeer, Ozark
    4. Ann Dowd, The Handmaid’s Tale
    5. Sarah Snook, Succession
    6. Laura Dern, Big Little Lies
    7. Meryl Streep, Big Little Lies
    8. Thandie Newton, Westworld
    9. Yvonne Strahovski, The Handmaid’s Tale
    10. Gugu Mbatha-Raw, The Morning Show

    GUEST ACTOR

    1. Charles Dance, The Crown
    2. Jason Bateman, The Outsider
    3. O-T-Fagbenle, The Handmaid’s Tale
    4. Christopher Meloni, The Handmaid’s Tale
    5. Ron Cephas Jones, This is Us
    6. Gerald McRaney, This is Us 
    7. James Cromwell, Succession
    8. Michael Anganaro, This is Us
    9. Asante Blackk, This is Us
    10. Dean Norris, Better Call Saul

    GUEST ACTRESS

    1. Alexis Bledel, The Handmaid’s Tale
    2. Phylicia Rashad, This is Us
    3. Cicely Tyson, How to Get Away with Murder
    4. Laverne Cox, Orange is the New Black
    5. Cherry Jones, The Handmaid’s Tale
    6. Pamela Adlon, This is Us
    7. Cherry Jones, Succession
    8. Jane Lapotaire, The Crown
    9. Julie Dretzin, The Handmaid’s Tale
    10. Mindy Kaling, The Morning Show
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    Matheus Vaz
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    #1203511758

    I’d live for a full sweep in the acting categories for Ozark. However, my bet is 2 wins (Linney and Pelhprey), with Cox and Bonhan Carter winning the other ones.

    Guys who do you think it will win casting?

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    ricardo505
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    Jun 14th, 2015
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    #1203511790

    I think The Crown is winning it again, though I wouldn’t be surprised if Succession, The Morning Show or Ozark wins.

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