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Drama Predictions (Part 9)

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    thatnerdgreg
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    #1203511794

    The Crown with Succession as the runner up.

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    Guest 2018
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    #1203511863

    TV Line kicked off its annual Emmy wish list with Drama Series:

    BETTER CALL SAUL
    EUPHORIA
    EVIL
    THE MANDALORIAN
    POSE
    STRANGER THINGS
    SUCCESSION

    https://tvline.com/gallery/emmys-2020-best-drama-series-dream-nominations/better-call-saul-8/

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    TV_Sideliner
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    #1203511877

    The argument that Colman and Aniston are loved and are using that as a factor for why they could win literally applies to Linney just as much if not more which people seem to be forgetting.

    I’m obviously a big fan of Linney’s work, but I do think Aniston and Colman were more popular coming into the spring.

    And yes, she has a solid track record with wins from a variety of categories. I’m just preparing myself for the possibility.

    It certainly wouldn’t be the end of the world if Colman or Aniston won this year, but it would be a real shame.

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    Gabarnes43
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    #1203511881

    June Predictions:

    Drama Series:
    1. Succession
    2. The Crown
    3. Ozark
    4. The Handmaids Tale
    5. Better Call Saul
    6. The Morning Show
    7. Big Little Lies
    8. Stranger Things
    9. Westworld
    10. Killing Eve

    Lead Actress in a Drama:
    1. Laura Linney, Ozark
    2. Jennifer Aniston, The Morning Show
    3. Olivia Colman, The Crown
    4. Elisabeth Moss, The Handmaids Tale
    5. Viola Davis, How to Get Away with Murder
    6. Jodie Comer, Killing Eve
    7. Nicole Kidman, Big Little Lies
    8. Sandra Oh, Killing Eve
    9. Reese Witherspoon, The Morning Show
    10. Reese Witherspoon, Big Little Lies

    Lead Actor in a Drama:
    1. Brian Cox, Succession
    2. Jasón Bateman, Ozark
    3. Tobias Menzies, The Crown
    4. Bob Odenkirk, Better Call Saul
    5. Sterling K Brown, This is Us
    6. Steve Carell, The Morning Show
    7. Jeremy Strong, Succession
    8. Andrew Scott, Black Mirror
    9. Milo Ventimiglia, This is Us
    10. Aaron Paul, Westworld

    Supporting Actress in a Drama:
    1. Helena Bonham Carter, The Crown
    2. Meryl Streep, Big Little Lies
    3. Julia Garner, Ozark
    4. Laura Dern, Big Little Lies
    5. Yvonne Strahovski, The Handmaids Tale
    6. Janet McTeer, Ozark
    7. Ann Dowd, The Handmaids Tale
    8. Thandie Newton, Westworld
    9. Fiona Shaw, Killing Eve
    10. Gugu Mbatha Raw, The Morning Show

    Supporting Actor in a Drama:
    1. Billy Crudup, The Morning Show
    2. Tom Pelphrey, Ozark
    3. David Harbour, Stranger Things
    4. Jonathan Banks, Better Call Saul
    5. Josh O’Connor, The Crown
    6. Bradley Whitford, The Handmaids Tale
    7. Mandy Patinkin, Homeland
    8. Mark Duplass, The Morning Show
    9. Giancarlo Esposito, Better Call Saul
    10. Jeffrey Wright, Westworld

    Guest Actress in a Drama:
    1. Cicely Tyson, How to Get Away with Murder
    2. Alexis Bledel, The Handmaids Tale
    3. Jane Lapotaire, The Crown
    4. Phylicia Rashad, This is Us
    5. Julie Dretzin, The Handmaids Tale
    6. Cherry Jones, The Handmaids Tale
    7. Mindy Kaling, The Morning Show
    8. Cherry Jones, Succession
    9. Laverne Cox, Orange is the New Black
    10. Pamela Adlon, Better Things

    Guest Actor in a Drama:
    1. Charles Dance, The Crown
    2. Ron Cephas Jones, This is Us
    3. Jasón Bateman, The Outsider
    4. Christopher Meloni, The Handmaids Tale
    5. OT Fagbenle, The Handmaids Tale
    6. Gerald McRaney, This is Us
    7. Martin Short, The Morning Show
    8. James Cromwell, Succession
    9. Asante Blakk, This is Us
    10. Sean Delaney, Killing Eve

    FYC Emmys-
    Limited-
    UNBELIEVABLE, Quiz, Years and Years, Defending Jacob in all Categories
    Merritt Wever, Toni Collette, Matthew Macfadyen, Emma Thompson, Chris Evans & Michelle Dockery

    Drama-
    STRANGER THINGS, The Morning Show, Big Little Lies, The Crown, Killing Eve
    - Jennifer Aniston, VIOLA DAVIS, Jodie Comer, Sandra Oh, Nicole Kidman, Olivia Colman
    - FIONA SHAW, HBC

    Comedy-
    SCHITTS CREEK, Dead to Me, Sex Education
    - Catherine O’Hara, Annie Murphy, Christina Applegate, Linda Ca

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    FYC : J. Smith-Cameron
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    #1203511913

    I can understand people putting Viola Davis higher than Sandra Oh but higher than Jodie Comer and Nicole Kidman?

    Also Milo Ventimiglia is easily ahead of Andrew Scott if he does end up submitting in Lead, Kieran Culkin and Sarah Snook are at least in the top 10 of their categories, Sean Delaney is not ahead of Max Minghella and even if Cherry Jones is snubbed for Succession there is no way she is below Mindy Kaling.

    FYC Emmys : Jodie Comer ("Killing Eve"), Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials"), Russell Tovery ("Years and Years"), Helena Bonham Carter ("The Crown") & The Crown, His Dark Materials, Years and Years, Succession and The Affair in all categories. The Politician : Ben Platt, Gwyneth Paltrow, Bette Midler and Judith Light.

    FYC Goldderby Awards : MAURA TIERNEY AND DOMINIC WEST FOR THE FINAL SEASON OF THE AFFAIR

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    forwardswill
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    #1203511925

    Genuine question (because it was when I asked myself this that I knew I had to predict her): why would Viola Davis not get in?

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    Luca
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    #1203511955

    I feel like whenever Viola Davis is brought up here – the mere fact that she might have a pretty good shot at a nomination – people seem to be very threatened, which, IMO, is exactly why she can get in. I will repeat what someone said last year: “It’s Viola Davis – who doesn’t like her?” I’m not denying that her 2018 snub is of importance here, but I feel like there’s a different temperature in the room this time around (and no, I am not referring to the current situation). She also has the performance to back it up.

    Emmys FYC - "Unbelievable" and "The Handmaid's Tale" in all categories; Viola Davis in Best Drama Actress for the final season of "HTGAWM;" "Ozark:" Drama Series, Laura Linney (Best Actress) and Julia Garner (Best Supporting Actress)

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    Kay
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    #1203511958

    JUNE PREDICTIONS (As with Comedy, these are in order of perceived likelihood of a nomination) SERIES

    ACTOR

    1. Jason Bateman, Ozark
    2. Bob Odenkirk, Better Call Saul
    3. Brian Cox, Succession
    4. Jeremy Strong, Succession
    5. Sterling K. Brown, This is Us
    6. Steve Carrell, The Morning Show
    7. Tobias Menzies, The Crown
    8. Milo Ventimiglia, This is Us
    9. Billy Porter, Pose
    10. Ben Mendelson, The Outsider

    May I ask why?

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    forwardswill
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    #1203511964

    Is your question why are they that way round or why have I included both of them? Happy to answer either.

    My big thing is: if you ticked her off last year, why wouldn’t you do so this year? With all these formerly big shows flopping left, right and centre, the level of competition is basically on an even keel to last year with Davis being not only consistent but arguably more buzzed than she has been for years. And then on top of that there’s rumours that she’s actually campaigning behind the scenes. Seems almost like a done deal to me at this point.

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    Gabarnes43
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    #1203511972

    I can understand people putting Viola Davis higher than Sandra Oh but higher than Jodie Comer and Nicole Kidman?

    Also Milo Ventimiglia is easily ahead of Andrew Scott if he does end up submitting in Lead, Kieran Culkin and Sarah Snook are at least in the top 10 of their categories, Sean Delaney is not ahead of Max Minghella and even if Cherry Jones is snubbed for Succession there is no way she is below Mindy Kaling.

    As I’ve said quite a few times, I see my top 8 ultimately getting nominated. Viola Davis has a lot of passion and support and if nominated could be competitive for the win. I loved BBL S2, but I felt I needed to move it down a few places in several categories just because it aired so long ago and voters may have forgotten about it (or they could have been like me and not watched until this lockdown). I don’t see Scott ending up in lead so I’ll probably move Ventimiglia up after he is confirmed to be in guest.

    I don’t see Culkin or Macfadyen getting nominated in supporting for several reasons. Vote splitting and no proved actor support for their show. I have them at 11th and 12th because my top 10 all have support from actors excluding Jeffrey Wright, but he has been nominated twice before for his role.
    I forgot about Snook tbh, Id say she’s anywhere between 8th-11th atm.

    FYC Emmys-
    Limited-
    UNBELIEVABLE, Quiz, Years and Years, Defending Jacob in all Categories
    Merritt Wever, Toni Collette, Matthew Macfadyen, Emma Thompson, Chris Evans & Michelle Dockery

    Drama-
    STRANGER THINGS, The Morning Show, Big Little Lies, The Crown, Killing Eve
    - Jennifer Aniston, VIOLA DAVIS, Jodie Comer, Sandra Oh, Nicole Kidman, Olivia Colman
    - FIONA SHAW, HBC

    Comedy-
    SCHITTS CREEK, Dead to Me, Sex Education
    - Catherine O’Hara, Annie Murphy, Christina Applegate, Linda Ca

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    Brayden Fitzsimmons
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    May 3rd, 2015
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    #1203511980

    I feel like whenever Viola Davis is brought up here – the mere fact that she might have a pretty good shot at a nomination – people seem to be very threatened, which, IMO, is exactly why she can get in. I will repeat what someone said last year: “It’s Viola Davis – who doesn’t like her?” I’m not denying that her 2018 snub is of importance here, but I feel like there’s a different temperature in the room this time around (and no, I am not referring to the current situation). She also has the performance to back it up.

    I think it’s a combination of the following

    • A farewell to one of the most iconic characters of the 2010s.
    • Final season induced nostalgia.
    • The last time to reward an acting legend (fun-fact: Davis is the only Triple Crown winner who started their awards run the 21st century).
    • Most buzzed in years (haven’t seen S6 – waiting until it’s legally available in Europe — but saw AK’s “Mask Off” speech from the finale splashed across social media a good week & and half after it aired).
    • The performance to back up a nomination.

    And like you said, has anybody ever said a bad word about her? Ever?

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    Kay
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    Feb 22nd, 2019
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    #1203511988

    Is your question why are they that way round or why have I included both of them? Happy to answer either.

    Why is strong more likely (for a nomination as you’ve stated) compared to 3x nominee (and winner!) plus 4x SAG nominee Brown?

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    hopelesstar
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    #1203511990

    Viola Davis and especially Evan Rachel Wood  are not ahead of Jodie Comer.

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    Kay
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    Feb 22nd, 2019
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    #1203511992

    As I’ve said quite a few times, I see my top 8 ultimately getting nominated. Viola Davis has a lot of passion and support and if nominated could be competitive for the win. I loved BBL S2, but I felt I needed to move it down a few places in several categories just because it aired so long ago and voters may have forgotten about it (or they could have been like me and not watched until this lockdown). I don’t see Scott ending up in lead so I’ll probably move Ventimiglia up after he is confirmed to be in guest.

    Whether Scott is lead or not, he’s not ahead of Ventimiglia.

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    forwardswill
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    #1203512002

    Why is strong more likely (for a nomination as you’ve stated) compared to 3x nominee (and winner!) plus 4x SAG nominee Brown?

    It’s a good question. I guess I put them that way round because I actually think it’s harder than people let on to determine which of Cox and Strong is on the better footing for Succession seeing as they keep alternating nominations and wins. As such, I actually think Brown getting in is more likely than both of Strong and Cox doing so but I couldn’t decide which of these two I’d put lower. So I just put them together above Brown as I think that at least one of them getting nommed is more certain than the likelihood of Brown doing so at this point given that I am considering Succession winning Series and am not (at this moment) predicting This is Us to do well generally.

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