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Drama Predictions (Part 9)

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    Clarage
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    #1203514159

    I think Witherspoon will split with herself

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    methaddiction
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    #1203514161

    I could see them checking off Witherspoon just for The Morning Show if they really liked it if any show is going to be ignored on nominations day I think it will be Big Little Lies (along with Westworld) because of the growing negative reception of the second season and the fact that it aired so long ago.

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    Luca
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    #1203514164

    I want to predict Witherspoon because of her ballot placement, but I’m hesitant because of her appearing twice. I thought The Morning Show would be more obvious, but the poll we had here suggests wide support of her performance in Big Little Lies.

    I think it’s close to impossible to predict. Will voters really feel like checking her off three times (including Little Fires)? Will they perhaps have preferred one show or performance over the other? It’s just very difficult to tell. As someone’s said once before, there’s never been a year with so many question marks. It’ll surely make for an interesting and exciting nominations morning.

    Emmys FYC - "Unbelievable" and "The Handmaid's Tale" in all categories; Viola Davis in Best Drama Actress for the final season of "HTGAWM;" "Ozark:" Drama Series, Laura Linney (Best Actress) and Julia Garner (Best Supporting Actress)

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    Heptapod
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    #1203514166

    Not drama, but I think the lead person most helped by the alphabetical ballot in the past was Pamela Adlon.

    And while it could happen in lead, I’d argue that ballot order helps a lot more in supporting, but only when you’re a part of a big ensemble. The alphabet probably worked very well for Wiley, Bayer, Bryant, Angarano, Blackk, Blake, Letitia Wright, and Walsh. Not a lot of people were predicting those people to get in, despite knowing how successful their shows were, but I think it can REALLY help to be the first name that pops up from your ensemble on the paper. Voters immediately think “Oh I love the SNL cast!” and check off Bayer or Bryant because they’re a solid part of a group of actors they like. They’ll probably become more discerning as they scroll, but if you’re that first name they see from a great ensemble, they might check you off right away even as they become more picky later.

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    hopelesstar
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    #1203514168

    I think BLL will be such an after thought that it will be clear for voters to check Witherspoon for TMS, if they want to nominate her. Especially considering Kidman might be really weak herself.

    Witherspoon somehow happening for BLL and not Kidman would be a kii though.

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    Luca
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    #1203514172

    I was already pretty disappointed after BLL didn’t win ensemble at SAG, but if it’s nearly shut out in the acting races at the Emmys, I will be even more disappointed. Say what you want about the quality of the season overall (which I still thought was fantastic), the acting was flawless.

    Emmys FYC - "Unbelievable" and "The Handmaid's Tale" in all categories; Viola Davis in Best Drama Actress for the final season of "HTGAWM;" "Ozark:" Drama Series, Laura Linney (Best Actress) and Julia Garner (Best Supporting Actress)

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    FYC : J. Smith-Cameron
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    #1203514182

    This definitely won’t happen but with all this talk about whether Comer, Davis, Oh, Witherspoon (TMS) or Wood will get the final two slots it would be hillarious if they actually went to someone who we weren’t expecting last year like Claire Danes, Mandy Moore, Maura Tierney or Witherspoon (BLL).

    FYC Emmys : Jodie Comer ("Killing Eve"), Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials"), Russell Tovery ("Years and Years"), Helena Bonham Carter ("The Crown") & The Crown, His Dark Materials, Years and Years, Succession and The Affair in all categories. The Politician : Ben Platt, Gwyneth Paltrow, Bette Midler and Judith Light.

    FYC Goldderby Awards : MAURA TIERNEY AND DOMINIC WEST FOR THE FINAL SEASON OF THE AFFAIR

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    Luca
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    #1203514192

    f they actually went to someone who we weren’t expecting last year like Claire Danes, Mandy Moore, Maura Tierney or Witherspoon (BLL).

    I would take Moore and Witherspoon out of that sentence since many are actually predicting, or at least considering, them. Danes is a long shot (though she’s insanely deserving), so she’d definitely surprise me. And Tierney – I would probably fall off my couch.

    Emmys FYC - "Unbelievable" and "The Handmaid's Tale" in all categories; Viola Davis in Best Drama Actress for the final season of "HTGAWM;" "Ozark:" Drama Series, Laura Linney (Best Actress) and Julia Garner (Best Supporting Actress)

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    FYC : J. Smith-Cameron
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    #1203514266

    I would take Moore and Witherspoon out of that sentence since many are actually predicting, or at least considering, them. Danes is a long shot (though she’s insanely deserving), so she’d definitely surprise me. And Tierney – I would probably fall off my couch.

    As a fan of The Affair I’d love for her to happen but she seems almost impossible. In my case I’d probably jump up and down (like I did with Sian Clifford).

    @thedemonhog I noticed that you added Nicolas Braun to your predictions. Can I ask what makes you choose him over Matthew MacFadyen or Kieran Culkin.

    FYC Emmys : Jodie Comer ("Killing Eve"), Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials"), Russell Tovery ("Years and Years"), Helena Bonham Carter ("The Crown") & The Crown, His Dark Materials, Years and Years, Succession and The Affair in all categories. The Politician : Ben Platt, Gwyneth Paltrow, Bette Midler and Judith Light.

    FYC Goldderby Awards : MAURA TIERNEY AND DOMINIC WEST FOR THE FINAL SEASON OF THE AFFAIR

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    Luca
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    #1203514271

    Can I ask what makes you choose him over Matthew MacFadyen or Kieran Culkin

    You’ll find out in our slugfest 🙂 Though I’m sure he’ll explain here too.

    Emmys FYC - "Unbelievable" and "The Handmaid's Tale" in all categories; Viola Davis in Best Drama Actress for the final season of "HTGAWM;" "Ozark:" Drama Series, Laura Linney (Best Actress) and Julia Garner (Best Supporting Actress)

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    Eden
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    #1203514393

    I have a weird feeling about Braun, it kinda makes more sense than Culkin and Macfadyen.

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    boss
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    #1203514407

    What do you think on Succession being the new The Americans? Brian Cox and Jeremy Strong might be like Matthew Rhys and Keri Russell , meanwhile Cherry Jones is Margo Martindale. Of course, The Americans never happened in supporting race and same might happen with Succession. Both are writers’ favorite, though unlike The Americans, Succession is locked for a directing nomination, and it has already entered the lineup with its debut. I’m saying this because even after winning the guilds and earning raves from critics, Succession might only win lead actor and writing, yet still lose series. I would lean towards The Crown as the rival but quarantine viewing might have benefited Ozark, though the latter has to first breakthrough in writing otherwise it is doomed.

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    Heptapod
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    #1203514469

    That’s a fair point, but The Americans hadn’t reached Succession’s amount of awards by its second season. It wasn’t even nominated for any above-the-line awards at the Emmys or Globes (except for a lone writing nod) until season four. Succession has already won a writing Emmy and a DGA, with a directing Emmy nod (neither of which The Americans was even nominated for). The Americans didn’t hit PGA until its last year of eligibility, Succession has already won that as well.

    Not to say that the industry loves Succession more, but they’ve gotten on the train MUCH earlier than they did with The Americans.

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    methaddiction
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    #1203514473

    I don’t see The Crown winning series unless Succession and Ozark both underperform it lacks the passion those series have and season 2 had.

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    FYC : J. Smith-Cameron
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    #1203514483

    That’s a fair point, but The Americans hadn’t reached Succession’s amount of awards by its second season. It wasn’t even nominated for any above-the-line awards at the Emmys or Globes (except for a lone writing nod) until season four. Succession has already won a writing Emmy and a DGA, with a directing Emmy nod (neither of which The Americans was even nominated for). The Americans didn’t hit PGA until its last year of eligibility, Succession has already won that as well. Not to say that the industry loves Succession more, but they’ve gotten on the train MUCH earlier than they did with The Americans.

    Plus the win for The Americans at the Globes was more of a farewell send off. The win at the Globes for Succession felt more like the traditional Globes jumping on the new series.

    FYC Emmys : Jodie Comer ("Killing Eve"), Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials"), Russell Tovery ("Years and Years"), Helena Bonham Carter ("The Crown") & The Crown, His Dark Materials, Years and Years, Succession and The Affair in all categories. The Politician : Ben Platt, Gwyneth Paltrow, Bette Midler and Judith Light.

    FYC Goldderby Awards : MAURA TIERNEY AND DOMINIC WEST FOR THE FINAL SEASON OF THE AFFAIR

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