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September 20, 2020 at 10:37 am #1203720454
Are your predictons fixed for quite some time and unchangeable or do you like to change them till the end? This time I’ve made more last minute changes than ever.
I swapped today:
Annie Murphy for Alex Borstein
Tony Shalhoub for Dan Levy
Laura Linney for Jennifer Aniston
Mark Ruffalo for Jeremy Irons
John Oliver for Trevor NoahWhat are your last minute changes?
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This topic was modified 5 months, 1 week ago by
furbul.
September 20, 2020 at 10:48 am #1203720490It’s Comedy or Cabbage –> Happy Ending
Happy Ending –> Whenever You’re Ready
Laura Linney –> Zendaya
Helena Bonham Carter –> Sarah SnookReplyCopy URLFYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"
September 20, 2020 at 11:04 am #1203720566Daily Show -> Last Week Tonight
Jason Bateman -> Jeremy Strong
It’s Comedy or Cabbage -> miakhalifa.movI have too many wildcard picks, and Gold Derby’s odds have been true most times. I’m still keeping:
ReplyCopy URL
Zendaya
Yvonne Orji
Yayah Abdul-Mateen II
Paul Mescal
Mahershala AliSeptember 20, 2020 at 11:08 am #1203720576I have a feeling I’m going to regret predicting upsets in S. Actress and S. Actor in a Drama Series when the only time I can remember in recent memory that GD has gotten both wrong is in 2018.
ReplyCopy URLFYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"
September 20, 2020 at 11:23 am #1203720596Youseff —> Levy
It’s Comedy or Cabbage –> Happy Ending
Happy Ending –> Whenever You’re ReadyLinney –> Zendaya
Strong –> Bateman
Crudup –> Culkin
Fire Pink –> This Is Not For TearsJim Parsons –> YAM-II
ReplyCopy URLSeptember 20, 2020 at 11:28 am #1203720601I’m thinking about making these moves. Convince me:
Borstein ––> Murphy
Comedy or Cabbage ––> Happy Ending
Cox ––> Strong
Crudup ––> Culkin
Irons ––> Jackman
ReplyCopy URLFormerly known as PianoMann.
September 20, 2020 at 11:32 am #1203720607Danson to Ramy
Applegate to Rachel B.
Almost changed Colette to Smart but staying put on that one
ReplyCopy URLSeptember 20, 2020 at 11:42 am #1203720615Youssef -> Levy
HBC -> Snook
Maisel -> SC in Comedy Directing. I’ve decided to abandon my instincts on this one, can’t trust the Academy to award quality.
I’m sticking with Linney for Drama Actress, but I know I’m going to regret it. I had Anniston for the longest time, but now I have Linney 1st and Zendaya 2nd.
ReplyCopy URLFYC:
Best Director - Lee Isaac Chung (Minari), Darius Marder (Sound of Metal)
Lead Actor - Delroy Lindo (Da 5 Bloods), Mads Mikkelsen (Another Round), Riz Ahmed (Sound of Metal)
Supporting Actor - Paul Raci (Sound of Metal)
Supporting Actress - Youn Yuh-jung (Minari)
September 20, 2020 at 11:56 am #1203720634Mark Ruffalo to Paul Mescal
Jim Parsons to Yahya
Trevor Noah to Oliver
ReplyCopy URLSeptember 20, 2020 at 11:57 am #1203720636I’m thinking about making these moves. Convince me: Borstein ––> Murphy Comedy or Cabbage ––> Happy Ending Cox ––> Strong Crudup ––> Culkin Irons ––> Jackman
I’ve got Culkin, Strong and Happy Ending. I think what tips me in predicting Strong and Culkin is their campaigning and how just like Comer last year and like Dowd in 2017 they seem to be being positioned as “the Succession Lead Actor” or the “Succession Supporting Actor” (as deserving as Cox and Macfadyen are also of the award).
Happy Ending I have because although I think Maisel is second, the fact it did well at the creative arts whilst losing Editing to Insecure after the Schitt’s vote split is making me think it’s not strong enough to overcome a vote split of its own in Directing. Schitt’s won Casting so I have it in directing but I think it ironically also can’t overcome vote splitting in Writing so I have Whenever You’re Ready there instead.
I was mulling putting Murphy in but I’m keeping Borstein for now because considering the amount of Maisel repeats at the creative arts and the fact that it more or less performed exactly the same as it did last year minus the acting losses to Rudolph and E. Murphy makes me think she could be the sole Maisel winner tonight. Despite Murphy being the most deserving of the Schitt’s cast I think she is the least likely to win and I have Yvonne Orji ahead of her. I may be kicking myself this evening but that’s my gut instinct.
ReplyCopy URLFYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"
September 20, 2020 at 11:57 am #1203720638Probably going to regret some of these changes. I’ll be happy if a few of them are wrong, though. 🙂
Comedy directing: The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel –> Schitt’s Creek
Comedy writing: Schitt’s Creek –> The Good Place
Drama S. Actress: Snook –> Bonham-Carter
Drama S. Actor: Crudup –> Esposito
Movie/Limited Actor: Mescal –> Jackman
ReplyCopy URLSeptember 20, 2020 at 12:02 pm #1203720646The three I changed today were Yahya-Abdul Mateen II with Jim Parsons, This Not For Tears with Fire Pink for Directing and Trevor Noah with John Oliver, though I was tempted to also put Jackman instead of Irons and Whitford instead of Crudup.
ReplyCopy URLSeptember 20, 2020 at 12:17 pm #1203720686Carter ––> Snook
Linney ––> Aniston
Ruffalo ––> Mescal
ReplyCopy URLFYC Oscars: Soul (Best Picture, Original Screenplay, and Original Score), Regina King (Best Director), Delroy Lindo (Best Actor), Viola Davis (Best Actress), Leslie Odom Jr. (Best Supporting Actor)
September 20, 2020 at 12:42 pm #1203720756Helena Bonham Carter –> Sarah Snook
HBC -> Snook
Carter ––> Snook
Love to see it.
ReplyCopy URLFormerly known as PianoMann.
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