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Emmy predictions: Do last minute changes ever work out?

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  • Matthew anzalone
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    Jul 13th, 2018
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    #1203093079

    I just switched from Barry to Fleabag, and from JLD to PWB. Im sticking with it.

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    forwardswill
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    #1203093123

    I have changed to all of Maisel, Barry and Fleabag in comedy series today

    For Your GoldDerby Decade Awards Consideration:

    Downton Abbey in Series, Supporting Actress and Ensemble. Glee in Supporting Actress, Guest Actor and Guest Actress.

    Claire Foy and Lisa Kudrow in Drama and Comedy Actress respectively.

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    Rachel
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    #1203093262

    I made a last minute switch and put Killing Eve winning Drama Series. NGNG.

    Ballsy.

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    LaChienne
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    #1203097526

    Made some panicked last-minute predictions: switched from Chernobyl winning limited series to WTSU, Whishaw to Williams, Williams to Arquette (hadn’t predicted the latter to win supporting), Comer to Clarke to Oh… In the end it was probably my worst ever ranking for the Emmys and the only thing I swept was the extremely easy Variety. But I’m so happy with so many of the winners that I’m fine being Boo Boo the Fool. Ironically these all involved me switching away from my desired winners so obviously in the future I should be more selfish and pedantic.

    I SHOULD HAVE changed Deadwood to Bandersnatch at the last minute, as I had been considering. My best Emmys ranking ever came from backing my pet Black Mirror when nobody else was, and it had at least won something at the Creative Arts Emmys where Deadwood had flopped, but Deadwood’s bigger set of nominations and Bandersnatch’s mixed reception gave me pause. So sometimes you SHOULD listen to your gut, it’ll just never be the right time.

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    ginnala
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    #1203097530

    Y’all convinced me to remove Ben Whishaw for MKW.

    I’m glad I switched Black Mirror and Deadwood last week.

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    DrewN92
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    #1203097534

    All of my last minute changes ended up being wrong and had I not done any last minute changes I would have had about 5 more correct guesses..

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    JakeT
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    #1203097548

    All of my last minute changes ended up being wrong and had I not done any last minute changes I would have had about 5 more correct guesses..

    Me too. I got nervous and switched to some safer options. Little did I know..!

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    Stegeo
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    #1203097556

    I last-minute switched to Barry. The delusion.

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    LaChienne
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    #1203097560

    Honestly I just need to not read anything on GD before the ceremony and just lock my computer/phone away. I wouldn’t have done amazing (would have never predicted Ozark for directing, my baby Succession for writing, PWB winning over JLD), but I can’t believe I bought into the administrative denial that Chernobyl didn’t have the power to win Series. It was far from a lock with WTSU having a healthy chance but Chernobyl was undeniably a massive hit with critics and audiences alike and it dominating the Creative Arts Emmys was no fluke. And then there’s always a really persuasive user making me think twice. FLOP.

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    Atypical
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    Switched Phoebe for Julia on Sunday afternoon. :-/// Thanks, GD.

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    Marcus Snowden (The Artist Formerly Known as msnowden1)
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    #1203098319

    I switched Veep for Fleabag in Comedy Series and Comedy Writing with an hour to spare, so yes!

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    Riley
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    Apologies because I just posted in the gloating thread and that pompous attitude is now spilling over here, but all of my post-Creative Arts switches paid off (Fleabag, Harry Bradbeer, Craig Mazin), except for comedy supporting actress, which I was getting wrong either way.  I try to take our website’s namesake to heart—I try to acknowledge the derby instead of being stubborn.  If my instincts turn out to be right from the get-go, great, but if the wind is blowing a different way, I want to heed it.  I am continually annoyed by pundits who settle on a prediction at the start of the season and never waver.  It happens much more at the Oscars, but it happened at the Emmys this year like I have perhaps never seen before with Veep.  It made a lot of sense as a prediction until nominations, then it made even less sense after the Creative Arts.  It would have been nice if I had the foresight to predict Fleabag, but I did not.  I never saw it coming before nominations.  I even resisted it all the way until the Creative Arts, but I would have rather have been right about my Barry theory since that was kind of my own.  With the Creative Arts, the jig was up.  Time to move on.  Better to admit that you are wrong before your predictions score does.

    Having said that, these were changes that I made in direct response to the Creative Arts, which is different from just changing things at the last minute because you are feeling reckless or panicked or whatever, like I was feeling tempted to switch from Michelle Williams to Patricia Arquette and I am so relieved that I did not.

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    DvirBA
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    #1203099187

    Never again!

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    Gabarnes43
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    #1203099210

    The only last minute chance I made was moving Bandersnatch to 1st. Glad I kept Whishaw in

    Globes FYC- Fleabag, Phoebe Waller Bridge, Jodie Comer, Dame Emma Thompson, The Crown

    SAG FYC- The Crown, Olivia Colman, Fleabag, PWB

    Critics Choice- Schitts Creek, Fleabag, Killing Eve, Bodyguard

    BAFTA- Fleabag, Killing Eve

    Oscars FYC ‘Little Women’ ‘Downton Abbey’ ‘Maggie Smith’

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    eastwest
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    #1203099995

    Wanted to switch to the Fleabag sweep, but didn’t. Also bit me in the butt was not switching to Black Panther for Production Design at the Oscars.

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