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Emmys 2021 Drama Predictions (Part 4)

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    wolfali
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    Every year in Actress there is someone always nominated for the first time for the role they’re playing:

    2020: Jennifer Aniston, Olivia Colman, Zendaya
    2019: Jodie Comer, Laura Linney, Mandy Moorre
    2018: Sandra Oh
    2017: Claire Foy, Elisabeth Moss, Evan Rachel Wood
    2016: Keri Russell
    2015: Viola Davis, Taraji P. Henson, Tatiana Maslany

    So statistically speaking at least one of these ladies are in:

    – Uzo Aduba, In Treatment
    – Phoebe Dynevor, Bridgerton
    – Melissa George, The Mosquito Coast
    – Sarah Paulson, Ratched
    – Billie Piper, I Hate Suzie
    – MJ Rodriguez, Pose
    – Jurnee Smollett, Lovecraft Country

    FYC Emmys: "The Crown" in all categories, "I May Destroy You" in all categories, "It's a Sin" in all categories, "Small Axe" in all categories, Billie Piper ("I Hate Suzie"), Yvonne Strahovski ("Stateless") and Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials")

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    Brayden Fitzsimmons
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    Aduba (obvs), Piper, Rodriguez & Smollett seem the most likely, with George as a spoiler (She seems like the Ozark S1 Linney to S1’s Bateman.)

    Feel confident in saying Dynevor and Paulson aren’t happening, and we have two near identical case studies/past comparisons for why, the former in Ellen Pompeo (Grey’s) and the latter in Ben Platt (Politician).

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    Brayden Fitzsimmons
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    Also posted in this the Limited thread due to category confusion (just the one season but released in two parts in two different cycles) but throwing out the possibility of Netflix’s Lupin showing up here.

    The French detective thriller has 98% on RT, 83 on MC and (according to Netflix) 70m viewers and Omar Sy’s performance has been raved, seems like the it could be the another Normal People/Unorthodox with a pinch of Bodyguard (Unexpected word of mouth European hit in the US / big international hit abroad).

    Depending if Netflix actual chooses to do anything for it, wouldn’t be shocked if it popped in Series, Actor or Directing.

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    Victor
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    #1204089017

    Every year in Actress there is someone always nominated for the first time for the role they’re playing:

    2020: Jennifer Aniston, Olivia Colman, Zendaya
    2019: Jodie Comer, Laura Linney, Mandy Moorre
    2018: Sandra Oh
    2017: Claire Foy, Elisabeth Moss, Evan Rachel Wood
    2016: Keri Russell
    2015: Viola Davis, Taraji P. Henson, Tatiana Maslany

    So statistically speaking at least one of these ladies are in:

    – Uzo Aduba, In Treatment
    – Phoebe Dynevor, Bridgerton
    – Melissa George, The Mosquito Coast
    – Sarah Paulson, Ratched
    – Billie Piper, I Hate Suzie
    – MJ Rodriguez, Pose
    – Jurnee Smollett, Lovecraft Country

    Uzo Asuba, Jurnee Smollett and MJ Rodriguez would be HISTORICAL

    For Your Emmy Consideration:
    Matthew Rhys for "Perry Mason" as Leading Actor in a Drama Series
    Ethan Hawke for "The Good Lord Bird" as Leading Actor in a Limited Series
    Elizabeth Olsen and Kathryn Hahn for "Wandavision" as Leading and Supporting actress in Limited Series
    Tobias Menzies for "The Crown" as Supporting Actor in a Drama Series.
    MJ Rodriguez for "Pose" as Leading Actress in a Drama Series.

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    wolfali
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    Aduba (obvs), Piper, Rodriguez & Smollett seem the most likely, with George as a spoiler (She seems like the Ozark S1 Linney to S1’s Bateman.) Feel confident in saying Dynevor and Paulson aren’t happening, and we have two near identical case studies/past comparisons for why, the former in Ellen Pompeo (Grey’s) and the latter in Ben Platt (Politician).

    I’d say Paulson has a higher chance than Platt on the basis that she’s Paulson and her show was a hit but Ratched has been flopping at the guilds so far which isn’t a great sign for her.

    Also feel confident Dynevor isn’t happening but I included her as I was compiling a list of performers who have a chance of getting nominated for the first time in their roles.

    FYC Emmys: "The Crown" in all categories, "I May Destroy You" in all categories, "It's a Sin" in all categories, "Small Axe" in all categories, Billie Piper ("I Hate Suzie"), Yvonne Strahovski ("Stateless") and Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials")

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    Victor
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    Will Ratched even be remembered by July? And with two new Ryan Murphy shows to come on the deadline.
    And Sarah Paulson isn’t someone they are dying to reward, she has one leading actress emmy and tons of nominations.

    I’m just keeping it in because it did ok at the globes.

    Nixon is probably getting in though

    For Your Emmy Consideration:
    Matthew Rhys for "Perry Mason" as Leading Actor in a Drama Series
    Ethan Hawke for "The Good Lord Bird" as Leading Actor in a Limited Series
    Elizabeth Olsen and Kathryn Hahn for "Wandavision" as Leading and Supporting actress in Limited Series
    Tobias Menzies for "The Crown" as Supporting Actor in a Drama Series.
    MJ Rodriguez for "Pose" as Leading Actress in a Drama Series.

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    wolfali
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    Yeah I’m not predicting Paulson at the moment but underestimate Nixon at your peril. Just like Bette Midler last year, critics and audiences who trashed the show cared for her performance. And considering the record Ryan Murphy has with getting actors nominated and the empty field I’d say she stands a strong shot in supporting.

    It helps she may get a boost in added goodwill if The Gilded Age airs during voting.

    FYC Emmys: "The Crown" in all categories, "I May Destroy You" in all categories, "It's a Sin" in all categories, "Small Axe" in all categories, Billie Piper ("I Hate Suzie"), Yvonne Strahovski ("Stateless") and Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials")

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    Brayden Fitzsimmons
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    And with two new Ryan Murphy shows to come on the deadline

    Simply Halston and what’s the other?

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    wolfali
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    Simply Halston and what’s the other?

    FYC Emmys: "The Crown" in all categories, "I May Destroy You" in all categories, "It's a Sin" in all categories, "Small Axe" in all categories, Billie Piper ("I Hate Suzie"), Yvonne Strahovski ("Stateless") and Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials")

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    Brayden Fitzsimmons
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    Ooh, thought they meant another first season show 💀

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    Couverture
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    Every year in Actress there is someone always nominated for the first time for the role they’re playing: 2020: Jennifer Aniston, Olivia Colman, Zendaya 2019: Jodie Comer, Laura Linney, Mandy Moorre 2018: Sandra Oh 2017: Claire Foy, Elisabeth Moss, Evan Rachel Wood 2016: Keri Russell 2015: Viola Davis, Taraji P. Henson, Tatiana Maslany So statistically speaking at least one of these ladies are in: – Uzo Aduba, In Treatment – Phoebe Dynevor, Bridgerton – Melissa George, The Mosquito Coast – Sarah Paulson, Ratched – Billie Piper, I Hate Suzie – MJ Rodriguez, Pose – Jurnee Smollett, Lovecraft Country

    Can’t believe you all had an entire conversation without even once realising that the current frontrunner already takes care of this stat 💀

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    Melvinezq
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    Can’t believe you all had an entire conversation without even once realising that the current frontrunner already takes care of this stat 💀

    That profile picture tells us so much. Btw, I’ve mistaken her for Elizabeth Debicki. I’m sure she’s really competitive for 2023 Emmy.

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    wolfali
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    Can’t believe you all had an entire conversation without even once realising that the current frontrunner already takes care of this stat 💀

    Yikes! Sorry Emma!

    FYC Emmys: "The Crown" in all categories, "I May Destroy You" in all categories, "It's a Sin" in all categories, "Small Axe" in all categories, Billie Piper ("I Hate Suzie"), Yvonne Strahovski ("Stateless") and Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials")

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    jjjmoss1
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    Out of curiosity, multiple time winners this century:

    Mad Men – Sag, Wga, Dga, Pga, Bafta, Emmy, Globes, Tca

     

    Breaking Bad – Wga, Dga, Pga, Emmy, Tca

    West Wing – Sag, Wga, Dga, Pga, Emmy (tca including last century)

    Sopranos – Wga, Pga, Emmy, Tca (dga/sag including last century)

     

    Game of Thrones – Dga, Emmy, Tca

    Americans – Wga, Tca

     

    Six Feet Under, Boardwalk Empire, This is Us, Downton – Sag

    Crown, Homeland – Globes

    Lost – Tca

    For Wga, counting episodic pre-2006. For Tca, program or series.

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    Heptapod
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    Current predix.

    I know I’m predicting a LOT of Lovecraft Country, but I really have a weird feeling that the Emmys are going to be much more excited about it than everyone else. I know the stats, I know the WGA performance, but surprises happen and I think this’ll be one. It may not be performing WELL, but the fact that it has shown up everywhere means that it does have support. I see the Pose comparisons, but Pose got zero SAG nominations and Lovecraft Country has over double its first-season CC nods.

    Ventimiglia probably won’t be dropping to supporting, but I want to predict something a little spicier than Menzies so whatever.

    DRAMA SERIES:
    
Bridgerton
    ***The Crown
    The Handmaid’s Tale
    In Treatment
    Lovecraft Country
    The Mandalorian
    Pose
    This Is Us

    DRAMA ACTOR:
    Sterling K. Brown in This Is Us
    Jonathan Majors in Lovecraft Country
    ***Josh O’Connor in The Crown
    Regé-Jean Page in Bridgerton
    Billy Porter in Pose
    Matthew Rhys in Perry Mason

    DRAMA ACTRESS:
    Uzo Aduba in In Treatment
    Olivia Colman in The Crown
    ***Emma Corrin in The Crown
    Elisabeth Moss in The Handmaid’s Tale
    Sarah Paulson in Ratched
    Jurnee Smollett in Lovecraft Country

    DRAMA SUPPORTING ACTOR:
    Jonathan Bailey in Bridgerton
    Joseph Fiennes in The Handmaid’s Tale
    Joel Kinnaman in In Treatment
    Tobias Menzies in The Crown
    Anthony Ramos in In Treatment
    ***Milo Ventimiglia in This Is Us
    Bradley Whitford in The Handmaid’s Tale
    
Michael K. Williams in Lovecraft Country

    DRAMA SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
    ***Gillian Anderson in The Crown
    Helena Bonham Carter in The Crown
    Erin Doherty in The Crown
    Aunjanue Ellis in Lovecraft Country
    Wunmi Mosaku in Lovecraft Country
    Cynthia Nixon in Ratched
    Yvonne Strahovski in The Handmaid’s Tale
    Samira Wiley in The Handmaid’s Tale

    DRAMA WRITING:
    The Boys
    ***The Crown
    I Hate Suzie
    In Treatment
    Lovecraft Country
    The Mandalorian
    Pose

    DRAMA DIRECTING:
    ***The Crown
    The Crown
    The Handmaid’s Tale
    Lovecraft Country
    The Mandalorian
    The Mandalorian
    The Mandalorian
    Perry Mason

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