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Emmys 2021 Movie/Limited Predictions (Part 2)

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    mafro987
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    #1204006933

    I think if any of Netflix’s internationally produced series surprise as a contender it will be The Serpent.

    Finished it and enjoyed it overall. There are several weaknesses, but The Queen’s Gambit has plenty of weaknesses and that’s on course to sweep the season. The production design and costumes are amazing. Jenna Coleman is captivating and probably makes my personal Emmy supporting actress category. The other acting standout is Billy Howle. Rahim is good, but could’ve been more charismatic in the role. I think it can be a hit, but needs the right luck/promotion.

    For Your Consideration:

    Best International Feature: Instinct (The Netherlands)
    Best Actress: Carice van Houten (Instinct)

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    wolfali
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    #1204007763

    Another festival? If this is a even a slight commercial hit for them, then HBO looks like their #1 (and at worst, a writing win for RTD?)

    I don’t know whether RTD will win so easily when Coel and Frank are right there but I do think he could very well end up being top 3 (I assume he was second or third for A Very English Scandal anyway). It’s possible though.

    I honestly think the potential is there for this show to go all the way to a Series win if it ends up being a hit for HBO Max. It has audience (9.1 on IMDB) and critics (100% on RT) passion over here in the UK. HBO Max are pushing it hard as evidenced by their use of a different trailer for the show (they basically copied and pasted the UK trailers for all their other imports) and the amount of panels and festivals they are pushing the show for. It has a timely and poignant factor that other winners have had, baity ensemble cast but also in spite of its dark subject matter it isn’t a depressing show. It’s a show that combines comedic and dramatic beats to create a very human story. The story is built more around the characters. It’s also a visually escapist show.

    There is a lot of potential for it but it just needs to be an audience hit (and not flop with American critics). I find it quite fascinating how the HBO Max trailer currently has 2.3 million views on YouTube. You could argue that’s because of NPH’s face being in the thumbnail but The Little Things has Denzel Washington’s face in the thumbnail and that has 43k views for its trailer. It’s quite clear HBO are willing to push this show hard. I can see it being win competitive in Series, Actor (Olly Alexander), S. Actress (Keeley Hawes) and Writing. Nominations wise it has potential but I don’t see a path for it to a win in either Supporting Actor or Actress.

    Finished it and enjoyed it overall. There are several weaknesses, but The Queen’s Gambit has plenty of weaknesses and that’s on course to sweep the season. The production design and costumes are amazing. Jenna Coleman is captivating and probably makes my personal Emmy supporting actress category. The other acting standout is Billy Howle. Rahim is good, but could’ve been more charismatic in the role. I think it can be a hit, but needs the right luck/promotion.

    Yeah I saw the first episode and I quite enjoyed Rahim and Coleman’s performances (especially the latter because she had a strong screen presence in spite of limited screen time!)

    It could either end up being this year’s Unorthodox or this year’s Giri/Haji. It all depends on how much its escapist aesthetic appeals to audiences and if Tahar Rahim scores a Globe nomination for The Mauritanian because that could incentivise Netflix to campaign it. 

    FYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"

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    wolfali
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    #1204008219

    Considering we don’t have a predictions centre yet I have listed a bunch of contenders/probable submissions in case people want to make predictions and don’t know what’s eligible.

    Putting border line contenders like Lydia West and Jenna Coleman in both supporting and lead categories. Also putting all three of John Boyega, Shaun Parkes and Letitia Wright in lead and supporting as there is confusion over their category placements (even though Boyega and Parkes should be in lead and Wright should be in supporting).

    Limited Series

    – A Teacher: FX
    – Behind Her Eyes: Netflix
    – Brave New World: Peacock
    – The Comey Rule: Showtime
    – Dirty John: USA
    – Fargo: FX
    – Genius – Aretha: NatGeo
    – Halston: Netflix
    – The Haunting of Bly Manor: Netflix
    – The Good Lord Bird: Showtime
    – I May Destroy You: HBO
    – Inventing Anna: Netflix
    – It’s a Sin: HBO Max
    – Lisey’s Story: AppleTV+
    – Losing Alice: AppleTV+
    – Mare of Easttown: HBO
    – Nine Perfect Strangers: Hulu
    – The Queen’s Gambit: Netflix
    – The Salisbury Poisonings: AMC
    – The Serpent: Netflix
    – Small Axe: Amazon
    – Social Distance: Netflix
    – Soulmates: AMC
    – Stateless: Netflix
    – The Third Day: HBO
    – The Underground Railroad: Amazon
    – The Undoing: HBO
    – Wandavision: Disney+
    – Your Honour: Showtime

    TV Movie

    – An American Pickle: HBO Max
    – Black Narcissus: FX
    – Coastal Elites: HBO
    – Doctor Who : Revolution of the Daleks: BBC America
    – Dolly Parton’s Christmas on the Square: Netflix
    – Locked Down: HBO Max
    – No Sudden Move: HBO Max
    – Oslo: HBO
    – Superintelligence: HBO Max
    – Sylvie’s Love: Amazon
    – Uncle Frank: Amazon
    – Unpregnant: HBO Max

    Actress

    – Gemma Arterton, Black Narcissus
    – Christine Baranski, Dolly Parton’s Christmas on the Square
    – Simona Brown, Behind Her Eyes
    – Jessica Brown Findlay, Brave New World
    – Michaela Coel, I May Destroy You
    – Jenna Coleman, The Serpent
    – Cynthia Erivo, Genius – Aretha
    – Julia Garner, Inventing Anna
    – Anne Hathaway, Locked Down
    – Nicole Kidman, Nine Perfect Strangers
    – Nicole Kidman, The Undoing
    – Hayley Lu Richardson, Unpregnant
    – Kate Mara, A Teacher
    – Anne Marie-Duff, The Salisbury Poisonings
    – Thuso Mbedu, The Underground Railroad
    – Melissa McCarthy, Superintelligence
    – Julianne Moore, Lisey’s Story
    – Elizabeth Olsen, Wandavision
    – Victoria Pedretti, The Haunting of Bly <i>Manor</i>
    – Amanda Peet, Dirty John
    – Sarah Snook, An American Pickle
    – Yvonne Strahovski, Stateless
    – Anya Taylor-Joy, The Queen’s Gambit
    – Tessa Thompson, Sylvie’s Love
    – Katherine Waterston, The Third Day
    – Lydia West, It’s a Sin
    – Jodie Whittaker, <i>Doctor Who : Revolution of the Daleks</i>
    – Ruth Wilson, Oslo
    – Kate Winslet, Mare of Easttown
    – Letitia Wright, Small Axe
    – Ayelet Zurer, Losing Alice

    Actor

    – Olly Alexander, It’s a Sin
    – Nnamdi Asomugha, Sylvie’s Love
    – Faysal Bazzi, Stateless
    – Paul Bettany, Uncle Frank
    – Paul Bettany, Wandavision
    – John Boyega, Small Axe
    – Bryan Cranston, Your Honour
    – Jeff Daniels, The Comey Rule
    – Alden Ehrenreich, Brave New World
    – Chiwetel Ejiofor, Locked Down
    – Hugh Grant, The Undoing
    – Ethan Hawke, The Good Lord Bird
    – Oliver Jackson-Cohen, The Haunting of Bly Manor
    – Jude Law, The Third Day
    – Ewan McGregor, Halston
    – Alessandro Nivola, Black Narcissus
    – Shaun Parkes, Small Axe
    – Tahar Rahim, The Serpent
    – Nick Robinson, A Teacher
    – Chris Rock, Fargo
    – Seth Rogen, An American Pickle
    – Andrew Scott: Oslo

    S. Actress

    – Joan Allen, Lisey’s Story
    – Ellie Bamber, The Serpent
    – Kylie Banbury, Brave New World
    – Cate Blanchett, Stateless
    – Tiffany Boone, Nine Perfect Strangers
    – Jessie Buckley, Fargo
    – MyAnna Buring, The Salisbury Poisonings
    – Emma Caulfield, Wandavision
    – Anna Chlumsky, Inventing Anna
    – Jenna Coleman, The Serpent
    – Patrice Covington, Genius – Aretha
    – Laverne Cox, Inventing Anna
    – E’myri Crutchfield, Fargo
    – Hope Davis, Your Honour
    – Rebecca Dayan, Halston
    – Matilda de Angelis, The Undoing
    – Noma Dumzweni, The Undoing
    – Marta Dusseldorp, Stateless
    – Jennifer Ehle, The Comey Rule
    – Carmen Ejogo, Your Honour
    – Renee Ellis Goldisberry, Hamilton
    – Barbie Ferreira, Unpregnant
    – Julia Fox, No Sudden Move
    – Amber Gray, The Underground Railroad
    – Judy Greer, Uncle Frank
    – Kathryn Hahn, Wandavision
    – Regina Hall, Nine Perfect Strangers
    – Naomi Harris, The Third Day
    – Keeley Hawes, It’s a Sin
    – Kimberley Hebert Gregory, Genius – Aretha
    – Marielle Heller, The Queen’s Gambit
    – Eva Hewson, Behind Her Eyes
    – Holly Hunter, The Comey Rule
    – Moses Ingram, The Queen’s Gambit
    – Asher Keddie, Nine Perfect Strangers
    – Asher Keddie, Stateless
    – Jennifer Jason Leigh, Lisey’s Story
    – Molly Jobe, Halston
    – Hannah John-Kamen, Brave New World
    – Isla Johnston, The Queen’s Gambit
    – Sophia Lillis, Uncle Frank
    – Eva Longoria, Sylvie’s Love
    – Rebecca Naomi-Jones, Genius – Aretha
    – Margo Martindale, Uncle Frank
    – Melissa McCarthy, Nine Perfect Strangers
    – T’Nia Miller, The Haunting of Bly Manor
    – Demi Moore, Brave New World
    – Aja Naomi-King, Sylvie’s Love
    – Julianne Nicholson, Mare of Easttown
    – Weruche Opia, I May Destroy You
    – Mary Beth Peil, Halston
    – Lily Rabe, The Underground Railroad
    – Lily Rabe, The Undoing
    – Diana Rigg, Black Narcissus
    – Krysta Rodriguez, Halston
    – Amy Seimetz, No Sudden Move
    – Frankie Shaw, No Sudden Move
    – Jean Smart, Mare of Easttown
    – Sarah Snook, An American Pickle
    – Phillipa Soo, Hamilton
    – Nina Sosanya, Brave New World
    – Grace Van Patten, Nine Perfect Strangers
    – Emily Watson, The Third Day
    – Samara Weaving, Nine Perfect Strangers
    – Lydia West, It’s a Sin
    – Shannan Wilson, Halston
    – Letitia Wright, Small Axe

    S. Actor

    – Tom Bateman, Behind Her Eyes
    – Jim Broadbent, Black Narcissus
    – Thomas Brodie-Sangster, The Queen’s Gambit
    – Joshua Caleb Johnson, The Good Lord Bird
    – Bill Camp, The Queen’s Gambit
    – Don Cheadle, No Sudden Move
    – Ellar Coltrane, The Good Lord Bird
    – Paddy Considine, The Third Day
    – Jai Courtney, Stateless
    – Kieran Culkin, No Sudden Move
    – Rory Culkin, Halston
    – Tony Curran, Your Honour
    – Nathaniel Curtis, It’s a Sin
    – Matt Damon, No Sudden Move
    – Dane DeHaan, Lisey’s Story
    – Benicio Del Toro, No Sudden Move
    – Daveed Diggs, The Good Lord Bird
    – Hunter Doohan, Your Honour
    – Shaun Dooley, It’s a Sin
    – Omari Douglas, It’s a Sin
    – Joel Edgerton, The Underground Railroad
    – Giancarlo Esposito, Unpregnant
    – Paapa Essiedu, I May Destroy You
    – Luke Evans, Nine Perfect Strangers
    – Gian Franco Rodriguez, Halston
    – Brendan Fraser, No Sudden Move
    – Brendan Gleeson, The Comey Rule
    – Jon Hamm, No Sudden Move
    – David Harbour, No Sudden Move
    – Callum Howells, It’s a Sin
    – Billy Howle, The Serpent
    – Manny Jacinto, Nine Perfect Strangers
    – William Jackson Harper, The Underground Railroad
    – Rege Jean-Page, Sylvie’s Love
    – Sullivan Jones, Halston
    – Noah Jupe, No Sudden Move
    – Noah Jupe, The Undoing
    – Sung Kang, Lisey’s Story
    – Michael Kelly, The Comey Rule
    – Ray Liotta, No Sudden Move
    – Harry Lloyd, Brave New World
    – Peter Macdissi, Uncle Frank
    – Harry Melling, The Queen’s Gambit
    – Breckin Meyer, Unpregnant
    – Scoot McNairy, The Comey Rule
    – Arian Moayed, Inventing Anna
    – Clive Owen, Lisey’s Story
    – Neil Patrick Harris, It’s a Sin
    – Evan Peters, Mare of Easttown
    – Aaron Pierre, The Underground Railroad
    – Edgar Ramirez, The Undoing
    – Stephen Root, Uncle Frank
    – Jason Schwartzman, Fargo
    – Michael Shannon, Nine Perfect Strangers
    – Christian Slater, Dirty John
    – Rafe Spall, The Salisbury Poisonings
    – Michael Stuhlbarg, Your Honour
    – Donald Sutherland, The Undoing
    – Glynn Turman, Fargo
    – Courtney B. Vance, Genius – Aretha
    – Ben Whishaw, Fargo
    – Steven Wight, I May Destroy You
    – Steve Zahn, Uncle Frank

    FYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"

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    Dan Backslide
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    #1204009125

    Justice League is no longer a miniseries, Snyder is making a full on four hour film (cause he’s an idiot). So it can’t compete at the Emmys. The Razzies on the other hand…

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    Brayden Fitzsimmons
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    #1204009142

    Justice League is no longer a miniseries, Snyder is making a full on four hour film (cause he’s an idiot).

    A four hour film, a full hour longer than Endgame and all of LOTRs? For a panned film that’s already been seen and disliked by everybody outside of small very vocal minority.

    Guess this is what happens when your surrounded by yes men.

    Why is this project even happening? It was already a money loser and the DC films have essentially abandoned all continuity to the Synder-films.

    The stuff that about JL that the GP actually liked (Wonder Woman & Aquaman) are completely free of the Synder trappings. Affleck’s quit, Fisher to currently suing WB, Miller has his own problematic stuff going on. Even the upcoming Suicide Squad is a complete “let’s start over” move. Not to mention Joker was all the incentive they needed for more stand alone material.

    JSo it can’t compete at the Emmys. The Razzies on the other hand

    As it should.

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    Gabarnes43
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    #1204009948

    he limited/movie supporting categories how much screen time do you require?

    I believe it’s 5%

    FYC OSCARS

    PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN in all categories (inc. CAREY MULLIGAN & Emerald Fennell in Screenplay)

    THE FATHER in all categories (inc. Best Picture, ANTHONY HOPKINS, Olivia Colman & Adapted Screenplay)

    Lo Si (Diane Warren) for Original Song

    Chloe Zhao for Director

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    wolfali
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    #1204010128

    I’m doing this on the Super Early 2022 Oscars thread weekly so I thought I’d do it on the Emmys thread too. Here’s who I see as win competitive in the Limited/Movie Supporting Actress race at the time of writing:

    Anna Chlumsky, Inventing Anna –  She’s overdue and whilst this may not be her first role in a prestige drama it is her first high profile one. I’d argue that she’d be the frontrunner if Inventing Anna gets rave reviews or decent reviews and a strong audience response.

    Keeley Hawes, It’s a Sin – This one solely depends on how well the show does in the US and if voters watch the whole show (which I would think they would considering how short it is). It’s a performance that stays with the viewer and there is an episode in which Hawes has the showiest material of any performer on the show. Some are predicting It’s a Sin‘s second acting nomination to be Neil Patrick Harris but I think it’s more likely to be her. Her show needs to have more acting nominations (I’d say two) and a Series nod for her to win though. Also helps she is a more recognisable face than she was two years. ago. because of Bodyguard.

    Marielle Heller, The Queen’s Gambit – I saw someone call her this year’s Toni Colette but I actually think she’s this year’s Stellan Skarsgard.  Showy performance in a pop cultural phenomenon and top series player from someone who Hollywood seems eager to award in one form or another. I am predicting her to win the Globe + CC just like Skarsgard and I think she will be the early frontrunner in the odds when the predictions centre opens (when will that be?) The Queen’s Gambit needs to be a big player and not fade out for this to happen though.

    Jean Smart, Mare of Easttown – As always Smart cannot be counted out. Although there are rumours that Nicholson has the showier role. I think Smart will make it in but something (and this is completely baseless) is telling me that this won’t be that big a player in Series.

    FYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"

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    Heptapod
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    #1204010185

    My predicted four at the moment.

    Ewan McGregor
    Anya Taylor-Joy
    William Jackson Harper
    Anna Chlumsky

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    wolfali
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    #1204011378

    Current predicted winners in each acting category.

    FYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"

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    wolfali
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    #1204012300

    Am I the only person excited for these categories more than any of the others?Sure the drama and comedy fields are barren but this one is competitive af and for once there seems to be a lot of meaningful and well written original stories from unique voices. Something there hasn’t really been outside of maybe When They See Us and to an extent Watchmen here. Sure there are a lot of mainstream big budget shows this year like The Queen’s GambitHalston and The Undoing but it’s interesting seeing I May Destroy YouSmall Axe and<i> The Good Lord Bird </i>attract attention and it will be exciting if It’s a Sin and <i>The Underground Railroad </i>attract attention too.

    FYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"

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    Praise the Lourd
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    #1204012362

    Imagine if It’s a Sin is a hit in the US it’ll be IMDY vs IaS in writing, Small Axe vs IMDY vs QG in directing, Olly Alexander vs Hugh Grant vs Ethan Hawke, Michaela Coel vs Anya Taylor-Joy, John Boyega, Letitia Wright vs Marielle Heller vs Keeley Hawes.

     

    British Invasion part 2 pls

    Edit: HOW did I forget Hawes???

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    puck05
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    #1204012376

    Am I the only person excited for these categories more than any of the others?Sure the drama and comedy fields are barren but this one is competitive af and for once there seems to be a lot of meaningful and well written original stories from unique voices. Something there hasn’t really been outside of maybe When They See Us and to an extent Watchmen here. Sure there are a lot of mainstream big budget shows this year like The Queen’s Gambit, Halston and The Undoing but it’s interesting seeing I May Destroy You, Small Axe and<i> The Good Lord Bird </i>attract attention and it will be exciting if It’s a Sin and <i>The Underground Railroad </i>attract attention too.

    I’m also more excited for limited categories since it surpassed both drama and comedy in terms of quality and number of contenders. It’s the new trend in industry.

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    mafro987
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    #1204012657

    Is there anyone else who has a shot in this category (or at least at a win?)

    Jenna Coleman when The Serpent smashes.

    For Your Consideration:

    Best International Feature: Instinct (The Netherlands)
    Best Actress: Carice van Houten (Instinct)

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    Allan Veríssimo
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    Feb 22nd, 2019
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    #1204012742

    The cast of Midnight Club, the new series of Mike Flanagan in Netflix. It includes Heather Langenkamp (A Nightmare on Elm Street parts 1, 3 and 7): https://bloody-disgusting.com/tv/3650445/midnight-club-cast-mike-flanagan-leah-fongs-netflix-series-includes-elm-street-icon-heather-langenkamp/

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    Victor
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    #1204012802

    The Good Lord Bird remains the superior limited so far
    I will stan till the day I die

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