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Emmys Comedy Predictions (Part 3)

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  • Riley
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    #1203079169

    The Creative Arts did not decisively favour Barry, Fleabag or The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel.

    The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
    1. …beat Fleabag for Guest Actress with the help of vote-splitting
    2. …beat only random shows for Cinematography
    3. …beat only random shows for Costumes
    4. …beat only random shows for Guest Actor
    5. …beat only random shows for Hairstyling
    6. …beat only random shows for Music Supervision

    Fleabag
    1. …beat Barry & The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel for Casting
    2. …beat Barry & The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel for Editing with the help of vote-splitting

    Barry
    1. …beat only random shows for Sound Editing
    2. …beat only random shows for Sound Mixing

    The only times that Barry and The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel went head to head, Fleabag won.

    The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
    1. …lost to Fleabag for Casting
    2. …lost to Fleabag for Editing with the help of vote-splitting
    3. …lost to a drama for Makeup
    4. …lost to a drama for Sound Mixing
    5. …lost to a limited series for Production Design

    Fleabag
    1. …lost to The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel for Guest Actress with the help of vote-splitting
    2. …lost to Russian Doll for Cinematography

    Barry
    1. …lost to Fleabag for Casting
    2. …lost to Fleabag for Editing with the help of vote-splitting
    3. …lost to GLOW for Stunts
    4. …lost to Russian Doll for Production Design
    5. …lost to a drama for Score

    Barry and Fleabag each lost to Russian Doll once and beat it twice. The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel beat Russian Doll once and never lost to it.

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    Rachel
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    #1203079186

    I’m still upset about some of those Barry losses…

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    Riley
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    #1203079416

    We flipped out two years ago when Stranger Things won five Creative Arts Emmys, including main title design. Only one of those wins was over The Handmaid’s Tale (and it was deserved). Although it had done very well overall (eighteen nominations), Stranger Things had some random signs of weakness in the nominations phase (Winona Ryder). The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel is the Stranger Things here. It won six Creative Arts Emmys, but only one was over Fleabag (and it was deserved). Although it did very well in nominations (twenty), there was random weakness (writing).

    Then again, Game of Thrones came out of the Creative Arts last year without casting or editing, then it went on to lose writing and directing. The competition was so steep that supporting actor was the only award that it won at the main telecast aside from series. So The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel could be Game of Thrones. Maybe the field is divided enough that it still has enough to take series. Plus its losses can be chalked up to merit (casting and writing) or vote-splitting (directing and editing). And both won more at the Creative Arts than expected, with seven for Game of Thrones and six for The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel.

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    DvirBA
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    #1203079434

    I’m far from being an expert on the comedy categories (I don’t even follow them all too much), but for now I put Ms. Maisel at 1st. The sheer amount of Creative Arts it won and the fact it won last year makes me believe it will be just another repeat. Also from where I’m sitting it looks like this season of Maisel had much more buzz than Fleabag’s

    I’m keeping JLD though.. even if it was Veep’s only nomination I’d still predict her to win

    • This reply was modified 1 day, 3 hours ago by  Dvir B.A..
    • This reply was modified 1 day, 3 hours ago by  Dvir B.A..

    FYC: Lena Headey ("Game of Thrones") for Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama Series, Miguel Sapochnik (“Game of Thrones”) for Outstanding Directing in a Drama Series

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    Luca
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    #1203079794

    Comedy Actor clips: https://youtu.be/ACaSUSZZHBI

    1. Bill Hader (and it’s not even close. That was gold.)
    2. Eugene Levy
    3. Don Cheadle
    4. Ted Danson
    5. Michael Douglas
    6. Anthony Anderson (wtf)

     

    Emmy voters must bend the knee to Lena Headey & Emilia Clarke for "Game of Thrones." It's their last chance to award them. Make it happen.

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    AayaanUpadhyaya
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    #1203079805

    We flipped out two years ago when Stranger Things won five Creative Arts Emmys, including main title design. Only one of those wins was over The Handmaid’s Tale (and it was deserved). Although it had done very well overall (eighteen nominations), Stranger Things had some random signs of weakness in the nominations phase (Winona Ryder). The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel is the Stranger Things here. It won six Creative Arts Emmys, but only one was over Fleabag (and it was deserved). Although it did very well in nominations (twenty), there was random weakness (writing).

    Then again, Game of Thrones came out of the Creative Arts last year without casting or editing, then it went on to lose writing and directing. The competition was so steep that supporting actor was the only award that it won at the main telecast aside from series. So The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel could be Game of Thrones. Maybe the field is divided enough that it still has enough to take series. Plus its losses can be chalked up to merit (casting and writing) or vote-splitting (directing and editing). And both won more at the Creative Arts than expected, with seven for Game of Thrones and six for The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel.

    But Game of Thrones did not have that glaring writing snub that Mrs. Maisel has, and in a race this close, I am not going to discount that writing snub.

    I have decided to go all-in on Fleabag, and am predicting it for Series, Lead Actress, Writing, Directing, and even Supporting Actress for Coleman.

    The only one I might change is Coleman because she might suffer from vote-splitting with Clifford because that Scott-Thomas loss to Jane Lynch is making me nervous about vote-splitting affecting supporting actress as well. Then again, I can’t fathom how Fiona Shaw could steal that many votes from Scott-Thomas to begin with, unless there were votes wanting to reward her for both Killing Eve and Fleabag in this category.

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    mafro987
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    #1203079817

    I’m really confused by Colman vs Borstein. Both face potential vote splitting. Clifford’s performance is obviously stronger than Hinkle’s so theoretically she could steal votes, but Colman is such a big name that she could overcome both the vote split and the Maisel love.

    FYC: Carice van Houten, ‘Instinct’, Best Actress

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    musterd
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    #1203079834

    I’m really confused by Colman vs Borstein. Both face potential vote splitting. Clifford’s performance is obviously stronger than Hinkle’s so theoretically she could steal votes, but Colman is such a big name that she could overcome both the vote split and the Maisel love.

    Yep same thoughts. After yesterday I fully expect the comedy winners to be incumbents or former winners: Hader, JLD, Shaloub and Borstein.

    A recent Oscar winner in the buzziest show has the best chance of swaying some from checking off familiar faces but I wouldn’t put money on it.

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    I Don’t Need You
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    #1203079864

    Well if voters were smart they’d give it to Gilpin. Case solved. I don’t expect Colman to win, she has the name, Clifford has the performance, they’ll vote split. Even tho Borstein was dropped from voice over performance, I can see her repeat in Supporting actress somewhat coattailing to Shalhoub, and honestly I doubt Hinkle will steal many votes, she has nom worthy performance, not win worthy imo.

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    ginnala
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    #1203079883

    Borstein makes the most sense but for some reason I don’t see her repeating even with TMMM still being loved.

    Just watch McKinnon winning.

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    EsOS
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    #1203079998

    Hader, JLD, Shaloub and Borstein

    Now that Lynch and Kirby won, if Shalhoub and Borstein both prevail, there’s no way they don’t award Brosnahan.

    GIVE LENA HEADEY HER EMMY

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    Dennis El Mar
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    #1203080144

    If last night’s wins make us think that they’re not partial to sentimental choices, will JLD be able to win on performance alone if they don’t care about Veep?

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    methaddiction
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    I hope people take Veep out of the top spot for Comedy Series now because it was never happening.

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    leothescorpio
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    #1203080171

    Veep is like after Fleabag, Maisel, Barry & Russian Doll.

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    Marcus Snowden (The Artist Formerly Known as msnowden1)
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    It’ll be hilarious if Sarah Goldberg pulls off a Merritt Wever and wins Comedy Supporting Actress out of nowhere.

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