September 17, 2018 at 10:29 pm #1202635530
Focus on the positive here! Unless you were at the top or bottom, nobody really remembers what percentage you got. People do remember when people call upsets.
"I don't even believe in god, but I'm going to thank her tonight."September 17, 2018 at 10:48 pm #1202635535
This baby got me 25 000 points. The logic was that Game of Thrones would split its vote (season finale versus divisive big battle) and that The Handmaid’s Tale would not be the beneficiary because the Mike Barker snub was indicative of a critical lack of support. The surprise casting win solidified it, but “Paterfamilias” climbed only to 33/1 final odds, at fourth place.
She did not deserve her nomination this season. But the Emmys can be the worst sometimes, like when they awarded Ann Dowd last year over Newton. The incumbent winner suddenly facing vote-splitting moves last year’s runner-up to first by default. There was talk that Vanessa Kirby had surged, but Newton is older and thus more respected. Consider how Newton was the eye candy of the second Mission: Impossible eighteen years ago, whereas Kirby has only assumed that position for the sixth installment, which came out this summer.
This might not sound too savvy because we talked about it a lot here in the forum, but ultimately ten times as many on Gold Derby were predicting American Crime Story to win this category as were predicting Godless and I was one of the few to make the jump. This was again largely a function of vote-splitting and her being the best positioned, since she was the face of Godless and its quintessential character.
The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
Only four Experts and two senior Editors also predicted the series/writing/directing mini sweep. Everyone was on the “Teddy Perkins” bandwagon, if not also the Atlanta bandwagon. I thought that Donald Glover would prove to be an insurmountable vote-split in directing, but that actually seems moot now with the Atlanta shutout.
"I don't even believe in god, but I'm going to thank her tonight."September 17, 2018 at 10:56 pm #1202635538
Stephen Daldry (Paterfamilias), The Crown winning Outstanding Directing for a Drama Series – Best win of the night! Saw that win coming in December 2017 already, and it gave me 25000 beautiful points.
And no, it was not vote splitting that benefited its win. Cinematography was the key factor here. A stat that is 9 consecutive years strong now. Cinematography and Direction in Drama go hand in hand.
The direction of the episode is marvelous by itself, but when BERYL won Best Cinematography at the Creative Arts, all the stars aligned for Daldry. One of the best episodes of the year. Netflix should have submitted it for Writing as well.
Thandie Newton. She was robbed last year. I was gonna go down with this ship till the end.September 17, 2018 at 11:28 pm #1202635551
About Game of Thrones winning Drama Series… I TOLD YOU SO!!! THT suckers thought that divisive misery porn pile of crap would beat the series finale of the Americans for Writing, which had been nominated since Season 3 by that branch?! HAHAHAHAHA!!!!
“Teddy Perkins” was never going to win Directing over the vastly more cinematic Maisel “Pilot!”
Bow before my predictions for Rhys AND Foy triumphing for their final seasons while taking down supposed repeat winners Brown and Moss! The former was clearly going to suffer from vote-splitting like crazy and the latter had become too one-note with her “waaahhh” crying and generically pissed off look by the end of the season.
Well, that’s all the gloating I can do. Seriously, if any of you failed to predict any winner, don’t feel too bad. As someone who was fortunate enough to come in the Top 100, I can freely admit this was a tricky year to predict the Emmys. Unless you predicted SNL would lose Variety Sketch Series in spite of its 7 Creative Arts wins and 22 total nominations, in which case how’s life on Mars?
For your Goldderby Film Awards consideration: Isle of Dogs for every category, especially Music Score for Alexandre Desplat!September 17, 2018 at 11:33 pm #1202635552
I never said it before the Emmys because I didn’t want crazed Atlanta stans coming at me and getting me to change my prediction, but Sherman-Palladino was ALWAYS the definition of a lock to win both Directing and Writing for that brilliant “Pilot” episode which started the show off on precisely the best note possible. Amanda Spears has got to be so thrilled about Maisel sweeping and Foy winning. I hope she does a slugfest tomorrow with a few others like Tom O’Neil and Marcus Dixon and Zach Laws so that we can see their reactions and analysis as well.
For your Goldderby Film Awards consideration: Isle of Dogs for every category, especially Music Score for Alexandre Desplat!September 17, 2018 at 11:35 pm #1202635553
Merrit WeaverSeptember 17, 2018 at 11:42 pm #1202635557
That’s not gloating, that is simply stating upsets you called. You should be like “bwahaha, you losers actually believed my beloved Crown would lose Directing?! Where is your sense of TASTE?! Wever was so obvious, how could you people not see vote-splitting killing Light and Cruz’s chances for Versace!” Feel free to truly gloat dammit, you’ve earned it with these solid upset calls, and this is the only thread that is appropriate for it.
For your Goldderby Film Awards consideration: Isle of Dogs for every category, especially Music Score for Alexandre Desplat!September 18, 2018 at 12:38 am #1202635606
Most people thought The Handmaid’s Tale would win for Series, Moss, and even Writing. I predicted Game of Thrones, Claire Foy, and The Americans’ series finale for Writing. Guess who was right in the end? Yours truly!
Okay, now I am done here. Of course I know Sherman-Palladino could maybe have lost to Murai. Don’t feel bad if you didn’t predict her to win there. I just can’t help gloating like crazy now that I did so well in making the Top 100!!!September 18, 2018 at 12:54 am #1202635621
John MulaneySeptember 18, 2018 at 1:25 am #1202635650
Come on, are you freaking kidding me?! I switched away from Mulaney to Oswalt when I saw you were no longer predicting Mulaney! You’re usually so reliable to copy off but this year I actually made the Top 100 while you made the Top 800! I deserve more of a reputation because of this year, not only for the Emmy winners but coming in 15th place out of over literally 10,000 people predicting last year’s Oscar nominations. From now on, people should be copying off of ME!September 18, 2018 at 1:45 am #1202635675
I got Thandie right!
The Yvonne thing NEVER made sense to me. She didn’t even get nominated last year. 2 of her co stars won last year. Newton and Brown got more votes than her last year. In one year she’s going to come in after missing out on a nomination and beat 2 Emmy winning co stars and Newton and Headey? No way Jose. I knew if it was a vote split it was Thandie and not Vanessa because Vanessa also missed last year.
If you can’t get nominated over Chrissy Metz or Bobby Brown you got some issues! That’s how I knew Yvonne and Vanessa would lose.September 18, 2018 at 2:12 am #1202635684
My two super bets failed me, but I got Regina King and Mulaney right. I ended with 61,54% at #77. Not bad, actually. I’m proud.September 18, 2018 at 2:59 am #1202635704
My two super bets failed me, but I got Regina King and Mulaney right. I ended with 61,54% at #77. Not bad, actually. I’m proud.
Incredible, 10 positions higher than me with the exact same accuracy rate. If I had just stuck with one of my Super Bets on “START” instead of moving it to Patton Oswalt I would have been up higher. Great job!September 18, 2018 at 3:06 am #1202635706
Super bet on Regina King at 28/1. Otherwise my predictions were fairly awful but called Thandie Newton.September 18, 2018 at 4:22 am #1202635750
I predicted Daldry but I thought it was my wishful thinking. Yet, I managed to sabotage myself by predicting Portlandia just because I hated the SNL season. I knew it wouldn’t happen.
But in the end, my super performance in comedy is what pleases me. I alwys get comedy so wrong. But I got the four acting champs and the top comedy winner.
My big pleasure is Header because everybody was so sure Glover would win but I just couldn’t see why. I loved the episode but not because of Glover’s … acting. I’m now so glad Hader has this Emmy.
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