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February 25, 2021 at 12:34 pm #1204061440
Emma versus Olivia was settled a while ago. Emma versus Gillian was actually more of a debate.
February 25, 2021 at 12:48 pm #1204061505Can someone predicting Gleeson explain their reasoning? I’m shaky on Boyega/Levy, and Gleeson seems like the best alternative (though I haven’t watched The Comey Rule). Is it as simple as ‘he plays Trump and the show aired on Showtime’?
For Your Consideration:
Best International Feature: Instinct (The Netherlands)
Best Actress: Carice van Houten (Instinct)February 25, 2021 at 3:43 pm #1204061792I’m starting to come round to the idea of The Crown winning both lead categories, but I’ve been told this has only happened once in the last 20 years (Homeland season 2 post-Emmys) which gives me pause.
I think past precedent only gets you so far in a year like this, where the field has been artificially narrowed a fair bit due to so many pandemic-related delays.
February 25, 2021 at 3:49 pm #1204061801Can someone predicting Gleeson explain their reasoning? I’m shaky on Boyega/Levy, and Gleeson seems like the best alternative (though I haven’t watched The Comey Rule). Is it as simple as ‘he plays Trump and the show aired on Showtime’?
Haven’t seen it but nor am I predicting Gleeson (I think it’s between Boyega and Levy) but I think part of the thinking behind the prediction is what you’re mentioned plus the fact that Gleeson has an overdue factor, is a veteran and fits the mould of winners better.
FYC Emmys: "The Crown" in all categories, "I May Destroy You" in all categories, "It's a Sin" in all categories, "Small Axe" in all categories, Billie Piper ("I Hate Suzie"), Yvonne Strahovski ("Stateless") and Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials")
February 25, 2021 at 5:39 pm #1204061883Current predictions
Drama Series
Will win: The Crown
Could win: Ozark
Should win: OzarkMusical/Comedy Series
Will win: Ted Lasso
Could win: Schitt’s Creek
Should win: I guess Schitt’s Creek?Miniseries or TV Movie
Will win: The Queen’s Gambit
Could win: Small Axe
Should win: The Queen’s GambitDrama Actor
Will win: Jason Bateman (Ozark)
Could win: Josh O’Connor (The Crown)/Matthew Rhys (Perry Mason)
Should win: Bob Odenkirk (Better Call Saul)Musical/Comedy Actor
Will win: Jason Sudekis (Ted Lasso)
Could win: Eugene Levy (Schitt’s Creek)
Should win: I dunno honestlyMiniseries/TV Movie Actor
Will win: Mark Ruffalo (I Know This Much is True)
Could win: Hugh Grant (The Undoing)/Ethan Hawke (Good Lord Bird)
Should win: Mark Ruffalo (I Know This Much is True)Drama Actress
Will win: Emma Corrin (The Crown)
Could win: Laura Linney (Ozark)
Should win: Laura Linney (Ozark)Musical/Comedy Actress
Will win: Kaley Cuoco (The Flight Attendant)
Could win: Catharine O’Hara (Schitt’s Creek)
Should win: Again, I dunnoMiniseries/TV Movie Actress
Will win: Anya Taylor-Joy (The Queen’s Gambit)
Could win: N/A
Should win: Anya Taylor-Joy (The Queen’s Gambit)Supporting Actor
Will win: John Boyega (Small Axe)
Could win: Dan Levy (Schitt’s Creek)
Should win: John Boyega (Small Axe)Supporting Actress
Will win: Gillian Anderson (The Crown)
Could win: Annie Murphy (Schitt’s Creek)
Should win: Julia Garner (Ozark)Oscar winners Emerald Fennell Daniel Kaluuya and Youn Yuh-jung
#StopAsianHate
February 25, 2021 at 6:38 pm #1204061938Can someone predicting Gleeson explain their reasoning? I’m shaky on Boyega/Levy, and Gleeson seems like the best alternative (though I haven’t watched The Comey Rule). Is it as simple as ‘he plays Trump and the show aired on Showtime’?
The last four winners of this category have gone to men from limited series (“BLL” was considered this at the time). Coincidental, maybe, but trend-like. It places Levy in a difficult position being the only comedy series contender, or the apple in a sea of oranges is a benefit to him. I’m predicting Sutherland as the single place that “The Undoing” is rewarded, but Gleeson could win for “playing Trump on Showtime” just as easily, I think. Getting nominated at all was the hard part.
February 25, 2021 at 6:45 pm #1204061955The last four winners of this category have gone to men from limited series
This also plays in John Boyega’s favour.
FYC Emmys: "The Crown" in all categories, "I May Destroy You" in all categories, "It's a Sin" in all categories, "Small Axe" in all categories, Billie Piper ("I Hate Suzie"), Yvonne Strahovski ("Stateless") and Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials")
February 25, 2021 at 7:13 pm #1204061987This also plays in John Boyega’s favour.
And Sutherland. Both have corresponding limited series nominations.
February 26, 2021 at 6:04 am #1204062546So I’ve noticed that since 2017 there has always been at least one contender dismissed as 3rd or below in the Gold Derby odds that wins.
Which of these (who are listed 3rd or below in their respective categories) do people have a chance at spoiling for the win? I say 3rd or below but a lot of the time they tend to be listed in exactly third place.
– Ozark
– Lovecraft Country
– Ratched
– Matthew Rhys
– Al Pacino
– Bob Odenkirk
– Laura Linney
– Sarah Paulson
– Jodie Comer
– The Great
– The Flight Attendant
– Emily in Paris
– Nicholas Hoult
– Ramy Youssef
– Don Cheadle
– Elle Fanning
– Lily Collins
– Jane Levy
– Unorthodox
– The Undoing
– Normal People
– Ethan Hawke
– Jeff Daniels
– Bryan Cranston
– Cate Blanchett
– Nicole Kidman
– Daisy Edgar-Jones
– Brendan Gleeson
– Donald Sutherland
– Jim Parsons
– Julia Garner
– Helena Bonham Carter
– Cynthia NixonFYC Emmys: "The Crown" in all categories, "I May Destroy You" in all categories, "It's a Sin" in all categories, "Small Axe" in all categories, Billie Piper ("I Hate Suzie"), Yvonne Strahovski ("Stateless") and Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials")
February 26, 2021 at 6:33 am #1204062575Of those, I think Rhys, Fanning, Hawke, Gleeson, Garner and Nixon have win chances.
For Your Consideration:
Best International Feature: Instinct (The Netherlands)
Best Actress: Carice van Houten (Instinct)February 26, 2021 at 6:53 am #1204062618Of those, I think Rhys, Fanning, Hawke, Gleeson, Garner and Nixon have win chances.
I have the first three all in second lol.
I keep switching back between Fanning and Cuoco and Grant and Hawke. All four have individual buzz and one could argue “it’s their moment” when it comes to awards recognition. Fanning and Grant’s shows are stronger (which could help them because they might be “the easiest place” for their shows to be awarded) than Cuoco’s and Hawke’s but the latter two seem to have more individual buzz and passion. It’s a hard one.
FYC Emmys: "The Crown" in all categories, "I May Destroy You" in all categories, "It's a Sin" in all categories, "Small Axe" in all categories, Billie Piper ("I Hate Suzie"), Yvonne Strahovski ("Stateless") and Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials")
February 26, 2021 at 6:11 pm #1204063784Looks like there will be a boycott or some sort of vocal opposition voiced towards the Globes after the revelation about there being no black members of the HFPA. People from Sterling K. Brown to Amy Schumer to Damon Linelof and J.J. Abrams have spoken out.
FYC Emmys: "The Crown" in all categories, "I May Destroy You" in all categories, "It's a Sin" in all categories, "Small Axe" in all categories, Billie Piper ("I Hate Suzie"), Yvonne Strahovski ("Stateless") and Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials")
February 26, 2021 at 6:49 pm #1204063820Isn’t Brown still scheduled to present?
February 26, 2021 at 6:54 pm #1204063824He is. It’s not a boycott but any means but what I meant when I said that is there is a show of anger and opposition in a form of a campaign against the HFPA as a result of their lapses in practice and the fact they have zero black members. I guess a similar example is how Mark Ruffalo joined the outpour of voices calling the AMPAS out on OscarsSoWhite yet he continued his commitment to attend as a nominee.
FYC Emmys: "The Crown" in all categories, "I May Destroy You" in all categories, "It's a Sin" in all categories, "Small Axe" in all categories, Billie Piper ("I Hate Suzie"), Yvonne Strahovski ("Stateless") and Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials")
February 26, 2021 at 7:12 pm #1204063826So I’ve noticed that since 2017 there has always been at least one contender dismissed as 3rd or below in the Gold Derby odds that wins.
Which of these (who are listed 3rd or below in their respective categories) do people have a chance at spoiling for the win? I say 3rd or below but a lot of the time they tend to be listed in exactly third place.
– Ozark
– Lovecraft Country
– Ratched
– Matthew Rhys
– Al Pacino
– Bob Odenkirk
– Laura Linney
– Sarah Paulson
– Jodie Comer
– The Great
– The Flight Attendant
– Emily in Paris
– Nicholas Hoult
– Ramy Youssef
– Don Cheadle
– Elle Fanning
– Lily Collins
– Jane Levy
– Unorthodox
– The Undoing
– Normal People
– Ethan Hawke
– Jeff Daniels
– Bryan Cranston
– Cate Blanchett
– Nicole Kidman
– Daisy Edgar-Jones
– Brendan Gleeson
– Donald Sutherland
– Jim Parsons
– Julia Garner
– Helena Bonham Carter
– Cynthia NixonAnother unique, since 2012 there’s always been at least 1 winner who wasn’t predicted by GD to be nominated (6th or below)
Those this year were
— Ratched
— Al Pacino
— Bob Odenkirk
— Jodie Comer— Emily in Paris
— Don Cheadle
— Jane Levy
— Lily Collins— Normal People
— Jeff Daniels
— Bryan Cranston
— Daisy Edgar-Jones— Donald Sutherland
— Jim Parsons
— Cynthia Nixon
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