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Golden Globes TV Predictions (Part 4)

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    Chris Beachum
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    Keep discussing in Part 4.

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    Victor
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    #1203980914

    Still rooting for my man

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    Brayden Fitzsimmons
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    Great time for a new thread, as ballot were sent yesterday, per variety

    (x)

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    nevkm
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    wolfali
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    Rooting for these two.

    FYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"

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    methaddiction
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    Darlings there will be an Ozark sweep.

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    Victor
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    Darlings there will be an Ozark sweep.

    Said no one ever

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    wolfali
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    Darlings there will be an Ozark sweep.

    Darling you need help.

    FYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"

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    forwardswill
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    COMEDY ACTRESS
    (ranked in order of perceived likelihood of nomination)

    1. Elle Fanning, The Great – She won’t win. And her fans are going to hate me for saying that. There is just no visible urgency from anyone to reward her or her show. But I do consider her to be the safest of all the contenders in this category for the nomination. The Great still has respect and Fanning is an up and coming actress with solid work over a few years now. Only way she misses is if The Great is shut out (which still could happen).

    2. Catherine O’Hara, Schitt’s Creek – In a strangely similar position to Fanning. The only difference being that the HFPA could potentially align with any of her three Emmy-winning co-stars instead of her and this is a tough category. I will never forget that we are dealing with a HFPA that picked Kit Harrington as its sole Game of Thrones nod. I still expect her though. Despite Murphy’s rising attention, she is without a doubt the star and talking point of the show and so makes sense more than anyone else to be the place that the HFPA decides to reward the show when it finally does. Her win chances depend on two things: Schitt’s Creek making series and the next contender not getting nominated.

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    3. Kaley Cuoco, The Flight Attendant – In so many ways, this is obviously her moment. Acclaimed performance on a buzzed show on a kind of new network. She also manages to have the narrative of going from slighter work to truly showing off her dramatic chops despite this being the comedy category. Only thing stopping her nomination chances are if they just don’t respond to The Flight Attendant (possible). If she does manage it, then I’ll be predicting her to win to the end. Even if the Jennifer Aniston comparisons are definitely there.

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    4. Jane Levy, Zoey’s Extraordinary Playlist – Airing and, more pivotally, being promoted during voting. Can get nominated even if her show doesn’t. There’s a world in which she could become win competitive if things go her way. Not too much more to say that I haven’t already said when I discussed the series category.

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    5. Lily Collins, Emily in Paris – A child of Hollywood and in a well-watched and glamorous Netflix hit. I had resisted predicting her after the reviews but I’ve come to the point where I don’t think they’ll be able to resist her first “moment”. Helps that she is in Mank as well.

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    6. Issa Rae, Insecure – I am uncomfortable with having removed her, truth be told. Not just because her show became more resonant than ever this year but because she’s still a sorta cool nominee. But I’m just not sure if the Emmy surge is enough for her to get back in. This is not an awards body that is kind to the returnees it has previously abandoned.

    7. Christina Applegate, Dead to Me – If she returns then it will show that they did not regard the newer contenders as particularly interesting. Because other than habit, there really isn’t a reason to keep her. The show’s buzz was 8 months ago and it didn’t even really mark an improvement on season one. Just steady really and I doubt that excites the voters here.

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    8. Zoe Kravitz, High Fidelity – Another part of the Hollywood inheritance and on the kind of niche show that would just randomly pop up. Would feel more confident if the show hadn’t been cancelled.

    9. Awkwafina, Nora from Queens – She won last year so there could be some element of afterglow. A chance to recognise Comedy Central, not that they’ve ever really wanted to.

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    10. Linda Cardellini, Dead to Me – Emmy-nominated and just as good as her co-star. But she didn’t get in last year so doesn’t have the benefit of getting in through laziness.

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    11. Maitreyi Ramakrishnan, Never Have I Ever – Scraping the bottom of the barrel now but maybe they’ll want to claim her breakout? Also a way to honour a show that broke the mould with its South Asian representation.

    12. Tracee Ellis Ross, Black-ish – Also Emmy nommed so can’t rule her out completely. But she’s won and been dropped years ago now so I doubt they rush to bring her back.

    13. Anna Kendrick, Love Life – I mean, we don’t call the HFPA starf*ckers for nothing.

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    wolfali
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    5. Lily Collins, Emily in Paris – A child of Hollywood and in a well-watched and glamorous Netflix hit. I had resisted predicting her after the reviews but I’ve come to the point where I don’t think they’ll be able to resist her first “moment”. Helps that she is in Mank as well.

    Worth mentioning she also is a previous nominee.

    FYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"

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    Riley Chow
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    6. Issa Rae, Insecure – I am uncomfortable with having removed her, truth be told. Not just because her show became more resonant than ever this year but because she’s still a sorta cool nominee. But I’m just not sure if the Emmy surge is enough for her to get back in. This is not an awards body that is kind to the returnees it has previously abandoned.

    I disagree actually.  I might say that the Globes are kinder to returnees that it has previously abandoned than the Emmys; it is just that the Emmys are less likely to abandon them in the first place.  Unlike the Emmys, the Globes welcomed Rami Malek back for the acclaimed Mr. Robot final season.  Unlike the Emmys, they brought The Good Wife back into series for its acclaimed fifth season.  Whereas the Emmys kept lazily nominating Jon Hamm and Matthew Rhys, the Globes dropped them in the middle for more exciting options, but brought them back for their Emmy-winning final seasons.  They also dropped Kiefer Sutherland and 24 in the middle, but brought them back when it mattered—just for the Emmy-winning fifth season.

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    Cinephile
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    Darlings there will be an Ozark sweep.

     

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    forwardswill
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    I disagree actually. I might say that the Globes are kinder to returnees that it has previously abandoned than the Emmys; it is just that the Emmys are less likely to abandon them in the first place. Unlike the Emmys, the Globes welcomed Rami Malek back for the acclaimed Mr. Robot final season. Unlike the Emmys, they brought The Good Wife back into series for its acclaimed fifth season. Whereas the Emmys kept lazily nominating Jon Hamm and Matthew Rhys, the Globes dropped them in the middle for more exciting options, but brought them back for their Emmy-winning final seasons. They also dropped Kiefer Sutherland and 24 in the middle, but brought them back when it mattered—just for the Emmy-winning fifth season.

    I wouldn’t say either group is especially fond of bringing people back. I take your point though that there is precedent for the HFPA doing so, meaning Rae is of course not impossible (partly why I still have her sixth).

    I guess my thing would still be that there is usually a big reason for them bringing someone back. Be it a final season or an acclaimed one that critics won’t shut up about. Insecure season four has neither of those given that it couldn’t even crack the top 25 of the MC aggregate of critics’ lists. It also, despite improving at the Emmys, didn’t land any major wins nor did it get into writing or directing yet.

    Also perhaps worth noting that all the examples you mention are from Drama. I will have to do more research to see the extent in comedy but I don’t think it is quite as significant. In this category, the only recent example of a contender being revived for the same run of a show after missing is Edie Falco in Nurse Jackie. And that to me seems more about her namecheck status than a renewed affection for the show or performance.

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    wolfali
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    Perhaps what might help Issa Rae is the latest announcement that the upcoming season of Insecure will be its last?

    And her fans are going to hate me for saying that.

    Does Fanning have any fans on here?

    FYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"

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    Victor
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    When the Emmys drop they REALLY drop, but they intend to stuck with people for more time than the globes.

    The globes could use some repetitiveness tho, every year they nominate some new trash over a better, continuing option.

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