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Golden Globes TV Predictions (Part 4)

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    wolfali
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    #1203998636

    Lily Collins is doing a lot of campaigning for both Mank and Emily in Paris. I wouldn’t be surprised if this helps her even more for the latter or helped her get in for the former.

    FYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"

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    wolfali
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    #1203998676

    Hulu are really campaigning! Along with the gigantic Normal People campaign they’ve been running they have had these FYC videos uploaded on their YouTube channel.

    Pen15
    The Great
    Little Fires Everywhere

    FYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"

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    forwardswill
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    #1203998703

    Hulu are really campaigning! Along with the gigantic Normal People campaign they’ve been running they have had these FYC videos uploaded on their YouTube channel just in time for Globe voting.

    Pen15
    The Great
    Little Fires Everywhere

    Unless I am mistaken, voting for the TV side of the awards closed on 12th January.

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    wolfali
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    #1203998707

    Unless I am mistaken, voting for the TV side of the awards closed on 12th January.

    Ah my bad!

    The campaigning for Little Fires Everywhere, Pen15 and The Great is still noteworthy.

    FYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"

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    forwardswill
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    #1203998825

    SUPPORTING ACTOR
    (ranked in order of perceived likelihood of nomination)

    Long story short, I have no idea. But here goes.

    1. Mahersahala Ali, Ramy – A good place to start in displaying how comfortable I feel about this category. Here we have a big star in a praised turn on a show that the HFPA recognised last year. Even he though suffers from having already lost the Emmy to a fellow competitor and the lack of urgency by which comedy contenders are recognised here.

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    2. Brendan Gleeson, The Comey Rule – The show may have remained too much without fanfare to generate proper success but if there is going to be a Loudest Voice like appearance at all then it will surely be here with Trump himself.

    3. Donald Sutherland, The Undoing – The kind of veteran actor that this category loves. His reputation also gives him some sense of invincibility to any quibbles that may be had about the quality of his show itself. But also, whilst I think the HFPA is going to enjoy The Undoing, it always bold to predict three acting nominations for any show, especially one which I do not anticipate wins for.

    4. Christian Slater, Dirty John – I’ll be honest, much of this prediction revolves around the randomness that was the HFPA’s infatuation with Slater on Mr. Robot. There’s also the factor of Slater being able to equate Britton’s nomination from season 1 in a free for all field. Would anyone really noticed if he was absent however?

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    5. Dan Levy, Schitt’s Creek – A reentry into my forecast. At the end of the day, it has come down to the fact that I did not wish to predict 4 limited series actors and the category has such a dearth of alternative options that it seemed foolish to be ruling out a recent four-time Emmy winner based on nothing other than the lack of previous Globes love for the show. I’m still not confident by any stretch – hence the placement – but that’s kind of the case for every contender here.

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    6. Jim Parsons, Hollywood – I have adamantly held onto him for months now due to my beliefs that the show itself is right up the HFPA’s street. But that prediction rested on the fact that I believed he was the consensus of the first actor to reward from the show. With new considerations around Jeremy Pope and then Dylan McDermott’s Critics Choice nomination, that belief has changed. If the HFPA had shown more affection for Parsons than the Emmys in the past, I would have him higher.

    7. Tom Pelphrey, Ozark – The Andrew Scott comparisons are certainly there. But Scott was also nominated after Fleabag conquered the Emmys, not nearly got shutout of them. We also have no indicators to suggest that the HFPA loves Ozark that much at all.

    8. John Boyega, Small Axe – Strangely, if he was in the lead category I would be predicting him. But when I look at the list of recent nominees for this contest, there is no contender that feels comparable. Of course, this does not mean he is out of the running. He is, after all, the most famous face on a series that they could potentially fall head over heels for.

    9. Michael K. Williams, Lovecraft Country – There is still a chance that this show lands as we all thought it might when the predictions center first opened. And if it does do so, then why shouldn’t it drag in a supporting performance. Williams is also a notable character actor of the type that we frequently see popping up in this category.

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    10. Daveed Diggs, The Good Lord Bird – The simultaneous campaigning of Hamilton helps him without a doubt. But it’s a guest performance really and those don’t typically make the cut.

    11. Dylan McDermott, Hollywood – I do not pay much attention to critics choice in general. But it is difficult to ignore how they could have shut out this show that they reviled yet still nominated McDermott. The wind could have been blowing in a different direction to what we all thought this whole time.

    12. Alex Newell, Zoey’s Extraordinary Playlist – Not taking this one overly seriously but it is difficult to ignore how much Globe voters would tap themselves on the back for nominating him. If they really go for the show, there’s always a chance. Frankly though, I am clutching at straws trying to figure out who is in the running here.

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    wolfali
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    #1203998890

    Haha we almost have the same top 7 forwardswill (although I have Menzies and not Pelphrey).

    5. Dan Levy, Schitt’s Creek –

    I’ve recently slotted him in. I am a bit uncertain about how Schitt’s is going to perform but the category is wide open and there’s no denying that Levy has a lot of individual buzz and whilst I have Schitt’s in for four nominations (everything apart from Murphy) I won’t be surprised if they just nominated the two Levys tbh.

    4. Christian Slater, Dirty John – I’ll be honest, much of this prediction revolves around the randomness that was the HFPA’s infatuation with Slater on Mr. Robot. There’s also the factor of Slater being able to equate Britton’s nomination from season 1 in a free for all field. Would anyone really noticed if he was absent however?

    This one is a difficult one because on the one hand I think he can do really well in this category. He seems to be well liked by the HFPA and he has been campaigning (as evidenced by his presence at the annual HFPA banquet this year) but the problem is his performance. I found him to be excellent and nomination worthy but its difficult to imagine him getting in without Peet getting in. So I have slotted in both.

    FYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"

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    Brayden Fitzsimmons
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    #1203998923

    12. Alex Newell, Zoey’s Extraordinary Playlist – Not taking this one overly seriously but it is difficult to ignore how much Globe voters would tap themselves on the back for nominating him. If they really go for the show, there’s always a chance. Frankly though, I am clutching at straws trying to figure out who is in the running here.

    Even though the CC already beat them to the punch?

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    hopelesstar
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    #1203998989

    Even though the CC already beat them to the punch?

    They finished voting before CC noms came out so

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    wolfali
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    #1203999001

    They finished voting before CC noms came out so

    Did they?

    Ah ok then we could see a big difference in the shows they’ve gravitated towards (although I am sure Emily in Paris doing well there does only foreshadow how well it will do here).

    Imagine how humiliating it will be for CC if they shut out The Undoing outside of Grant when CC clearly voted for it to predict the Globe noms.

    FYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"

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    Luca
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    #1203999028

    I still think The Undoing will do very, very well here. The star power is just too significant to deny; the series was an international hit; and yes, the ending wasn’t beloved, but it wasn’t widely reviled either. This is the same group that nominated The Loudest Voice, The Alienist, Catch-22 etc.; I find it hard to believe that The Undoing would miss due to lesser quality. This isn’t CC — and even they caved.

    A Fervent Believer in the Church of Viola Davis

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    forwardswill
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    #1203999083

    Haha we almost have the same top 7 forwardswill (although I have Menzies and not Pelphrey).

    Lmao I totally forgot about Menzies. I’d probably have him 10th.

    Even though the CC already beat them to the punch?

    1. Voting ended before the Critics Choice noms
    2. No one cares about Critics Choice

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    Victor
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    #1203999119

    I feel like Tobias can be nominated and possibly even win, the HFPA clearly like him, as they nominated him 2 times before.

    Also, this supporting category is a mess, I have John Lightgow on my lineup because why not?

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    Riley Chow
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    #1203999122

    I find it hard to believe that The Undoing would miss due to lesser quality. This isn’t CC — and even they caved.

    It is not the lesser quality that has me concerned; it is that the buzz arguably turned toxic.  People were tepid on shows like The Loudest Voice and Catch-22, whereas people actively disliked the final Game of Thrones season for example and I wonder if The Undoing is verging into that kind of territory.  Critics’ Choice had three extra slots and I do not debate that The Undoing is in the top eight for the Globes.

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    OneAndOnly
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    #1203999129

    I feel like Tobias can be nominated and possibly even win, the HFPA clearly like him, as they nominated him 2 times before. Also, this supporting category is a mess, I have John Lightgow on my lineup because why not?

    I don’t think it’s a good enough role to win, but I definitely think he can get nominated.

    Have a great day if you see this!

    FYC: Anthony Hopkins- The Father
    FYC: Chadwick Boseman - Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

    Male/Straight/BLM

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    Victor
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    #1203999139

    I don’t think it’s a good enough role to win, but I definitely think he can get nominated.

    Who do you think it will win?
    I’m also on the fence with Mahershala Ali and Brendan Gleeson for the win.

    Interesting enough I thought Gleeson was DOA, but since the attacks on real life’s capitol, i feel like he might snatch it.

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