January 26, 2021 at 3:38 pm #1204003860
Yes! I forgot that.
I think Unorthodox is safe-ish. I am sorry Shira for ever doubting you!
Finally on the right track!
Anyway, I bet “The Boys” will be the most overpredicted stuff which never came fruction, especially with The Mandalorian and Lovecraft Country stealing their thunder. And it’s not like THR tea wasn’t wrong before.January 26, 2021 at 6:19 pm #1204004137
Unorthodox is more European/overseas show. The HFPA has more mixed track with black-american experienced work.
Which is why they will nominate Small Axe.
FYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"January 26, 2021 at 7:24 pm #1204004244
– Hugh Grant: They have nominated Grant for each of his renaissance performances sans Paddington
And even that’s just poor campaign strategy on WB part’s. They moved ASIB to drama so their main pony wasn’t in the way anymore and Grant already had a BAFTA nom and was winning small critics prizes. If they had frauded him into lead, he would’ve absolutely gotten a nom for Paddington.
Outside of the eventual Oscar nominated duo of Bale & Mortensen, that C/M actor category was real open and flexible. Just look at the year’s GD predictions
- 1. Mortensen (Green Book) — eventual Oscar nominee
- 2. Bale (Vice) — eventual Oscar nominee
- 3. Miranda (Mary Poppins Returns) – a famous person in a frauded supporting performance that never showed up anywhere else. See how easy this would’ve been for Grant, WB?
- 4. Redford (The Old Man & The Gun) — similar to Annette Benning for Running with Scissors, this nomination just screams “a contender at the start of the season, that began wiltering away but the HFPA were too lazy to find a replacement”. For a legend’s last role before retirement (pre-announced too), this shouldn’t have been this no1curr.
- 5. Robinson (Love, Simon) – a virtual unknown in a March teen rom-com that wasn’t being campaigned, he shouldn’t have been able to make it that far (Satellite nom & Globe buzz) into the season. Missed out to… /li>
- 6. C. Reilly (Stan & Ollie) – was only a makeup play for the studio and his co-star had the more buzzier role & performance.
Even outside of those top 6, the other contenders with less 100/1 odds were all just… there; Reynolds in a less than stellar Deadpool sequel; Carell in the absolute bomb that was Marwen; a truly execellent Stanfield in a film that was unfortunately way too indie & weird for the HFPA and Golding who was everybody’s 9th favourite part of Crazy Rich Asians.
TLDR: WB ****ed up an easy Globe nom for Grant in C/M lead.January 26, 2021 at 11:57 pm #1204004482
My very, very messy final predictions:
Television Series – Drama:
The Crown (Netflix)
Killing Eve (BBC America)
The Mandalorian (Disney+)
Perry Mason (HBO)
Actor in a Television Series – Drama:
Jason Bateman – Ozark
Jonathan Majors – Lovecraft Country
Josh O’Connor – The Crown
Regé-Jean Page – Bridgerton
Matthew Rhys – Perry Mason
Actress in a Television Series – Drama:
Caitriona Balfe – Outlander
Olivia Colman – The Crown
Jodie Comer – Killing Eve
Emma Corrin – The Crown
Phoebe Dynevor – Bridgerton
Teleivison Series – Musical or Comedy:
The Flight Attendant (HBO Max)
Schitt’s Creek (PopTV)
Ted Lasso (Apple TV+)
What We Do in the Shadows (FX)
Actor in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy:
Matt Berry – What We Do in the Shadows
Nicholas Hoult – The Great
Eugene Levy – Schitt’s Creek
Jason Sudeikis – Ted Lasso
Ramy Youssef – Ramy
Actress in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy:
Christina Applegate – Dead to Me
Kaley Cuoco – The Flight Attendant
Elle Fanning – The Great
Jane Levy – Zoey’s Extraordinary Playlist
Catherine O’Hara – Schitt’s Creek
Television Limited Series, Anthology Series or Movie:
Mrs. America (FX on Hulu)
Normal People (Hulu)
The Queen’s Gambit (Netflix)
Small Axe (Prime Video)
Actor in a Television Limited Series, Anthology Series or Movie:
Hugh Grant – The Undoing
Hugh Jackman – Bad Education
Ethan Hawke – The Good Lord Bird
Paul Mescal – Normal People
Mark Ruffalo – I Know This Much Is True
Actress in a Television Limited Series, Anthology Series or Movie:
Cate Blanchett – Mrs. America
Michaela Coel – I May Destroy You
Daisy Edgar-Jones – Normal People
Shira Haas – Unorthodox
Anya Taylor-Joy – The Queen’s Gambit
Supporting Actor – Television:
Mahershala Ali – Ramy
John Boyega – Small Axe
Tobias Menzies – The Crown
Amit Rahav – Unorthodox
Donald Sutherland – The Undoing
Supporting Actress – Television:
Uzo Aduba – Mrs. America
Gillian Anderson – The Crown
Julia Garner – Ozark
Marielle Heller – The Queen’s Gambit
Hannah Waddingham – Ted LassoJanuary 27, 2021 at 12:03 am #1204004490
Has the HFPA officially confirmed that the ceremony will be virtual yet? Because I can actually see it affecting the nominations. Someone else said this in the past but I wouldn’t be surprised if the Globes go with more under the radar picks as opposed to nominating a celebrity for the sole purpose of getting to party with them (Which as a reminder would be dangerous / unrealistic with rising cases / bad PR).
In other words, think less Paul Rudds & more Ramy Youssefs.January 27, 2021 at 5:20 am #1204004630
Elle Fanning: See Hoult except swap the British factor with her being a Fanning.
With context, I would consider Fanning as British (lol. Im joking). Like almost half of her filmography last decade had her either play a British character or having British accent. She is on her way to became the new Gwyneth Paltrow or Renee Zellweger who both got mistaken as BritishJanuary 27, 2021 at 9:08 am #1204004974
“According to Netflix’s shadowy numbers-crunchers, a record 82 million global households* glimpsed the Shonda Rhimes-produced period drama in its first 28 days of release, making it the streamer’s No. 1 series launch in history — ongoing, limited or otherwise..”
If people still doubt its nomination chances…January 27, 2021 at 9:14 am #1204004984
Rege Jean-Page might even win.
FYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"January 27, 2021 at 9:17 am #1204004986
Kate Mara and Nick Robinson getting that last minute boostJanuary 27, 2021 at 10:06 am #1204005053
“According to Netflix’s shadowy numbers-crunchers, a record 82 million global households* glimpsed the Shonda Rhimes-produced period drama in its first 28 days of release, making it the streamer’s No. 1 series launch in history — ongoing, limited or otherwise..” If people still doubt its nomination chances…
House of Cards and Orange is the New Black used to make more noise when their seasons were released. These days I don’t really trust streaming platform data.January 27, 2021 at 10:07 am #1204005056
I don’t know about Mara but Robinson is for sure being underestimated a lot.
FYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"January 27, 2021 at 10:22 am #1204005082
A contender that could be nominated without being in the prediction center is Jonathan Bailey, if they really go big for Bridgerton.
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