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Limited and Movie Predictions (Part 2)

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    Jays
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    #1203404931

    From your lips to God’s ears!

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    hopelesstar
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    #1203404938

    BEST ACTRESS, in order: 1) KING 2) BLANCHETT 3) LUPONE 4) DEVER 5) WASHINGTON. Witherspoon is not getting in here, for the same performance she’s given for the past three years.

    Really tired of reading this when it’s not even true.

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    Nate
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    #1203405081

    Amazon’s FYC website has updated, and it looks like Tales from the Loop is going drama, with Agatha Christie’s The Pale Horse and ZeroZeroZero joining Too Old to Die Young in the limited series categories.

    https://www.consideramazon.com/home

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    forwardswill
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    #1203405105

    BEST ACTRESS, in order: 1) KING 2) BLANCHETT 3) LUPONE 4) DEVER 5) WASHINGTON. Witherspoon is not getting in here, for the same performance she’s given for the past three years.

    You know there’s 6 slots right?

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    mf617
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    #1203405152

    My issue with predicting both Washington and Witherspoon alongside Blanchett, King, Wever and Dever (as seems to be most people’s “consensus six”) is that…uh…the show isn’t that good?

    Washington may benefit from a flashier role and being “off the radar” for a bit post-“Scandal,” whereas voters may see Witherspoon as doing another version of her “BLL” character (and I’m not saying that, I’m just saying that might be other people’s viewpoint, don’t come for my neck). However, Witherspoon is also the bigger name.

    Right now, I can’t remove Kazan from my predictions because she’s so deserving and she should be in over Washington and Witherspoon. But “LFE” is also probably doing pretty well with viewers, whereas “TPAA” has noticeably not been a big hit. For now, I have Blanchett, King, Wever, Dever, Witherspoon and Kazan.

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    forwardswill
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    #1203405213

    is that…uh…the show isn’t that good?

    Its reviews are no worse than the reviews for Fosse/Verdon were

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    Reis
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    #1203405244

    Can’t wait to see Blanchett’s desperate attempt to win an Emmy lose to another powerful performance by an Emmys darling.
    And I’m rooting for that to happen in Drama race as well with Laura Linney.

    But how is desperate to win an Emmy in Drama Actress? Aniston?

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    mf617
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    #1203405248

    Its reviews are no worse than the reviews for Fosse/Verdon were

    Well let me sort of rephrase this… I’m watching “LFE” and enjoying it, but I don’t think it is great, so my comment about it not being good was a) a little dramatic and b) my own personal preference. And at this stage in predictions, my own opinions are still sort of shading in my approach to guessing nominations. Thus my keeping in Kazan in favor of (likely) Washington. I’m not saying that “LFE” is poorly reviewed and that Washington/Witherspoon aren’t getting in, and my language maybe didn’t fully clarify that in the original post.

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    boss
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    #1203405298

    OUTSTANDING WRITING FOR A LIMITED SERIES OR MOVIE: 1. Watchmen: Damon Lindelof, “It’s Summer and We’re Running Out of Ice” 2. Watchmen: Damon Lindelof & Cord Jefferson, “This Extraordinary Being” 3. I Know This Much is True: Derek Cianfrance & Anya Epstein, “06” 4. The Third Day: Kit de Waal & Dean O’Loughlin & Dennis Kelly, “Winter” 5. Mrs. America: Dahvi Waller, “Phyllis” 6. Unbelievable: Susannah Grant & Michael Chabon & Ayelet Waldman, “Episode 1” 7. Quiz: James Graham, “Episodes 1–3” 8. The Eddy: Jack Thorne, “Pilot” 9. The Plot Against America: Ed Burns & David Simon, “Part 1” 10. El Camino: Vince Gilligan, “A Breaking Bad Movie” OUTSTANDING DIRECTING FOR A LIMITED SERIES OR MOVIE: 1. Watchmen: Nicole Kassell, “It’s Summer and We’re Running Out of Ice” 2. Watchmen: Stephen Williams, “This Extraordinary Being” 3. I Know This Much is True: Derek Cianfrance, “01–06” 4. The Third Day: Marc Munden, “Summer” 5. The Eddy: Damien Chazelle, “Pilot” 6. Mrs. America: Anna Boden & Ryan Fleck, “Phyllis” 7. Quiz: Stephen Frears, “Episodes 1–3” 8. The Third Day: Philippa Lowthorpe, “Winter” 9. El Camino: Vince Gilligan, “A Breaking Bad Movie” 10. Watchmen: Frederick E.O. Toye, “See How They Fly”

    I see that Hollywood is not a player in either categories and you are also not predicting it for series. Maybe we should worry about its chances in supporting actor because shows that occupy 3+ slots in any acting category are often major players. Also, what do you think about Years and Years in writing? Russell T. Davies was nominated just last year, I can see it nominated over Quiz.

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    24fanatic
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    #1203405315

    Morgan Spector and Zoe Kazan have been electric so far in “The Plot Against America.” Both are in my Emmy predictions now.

    Same. After watching this week’s episode, I put Morgan Spector, Zoe Kazan, Wynona Ryder and John Turturro all in my predictions.

    I would have added Anthony Boyle in Supporting, but I didn’t see his name listed in the Prediction Center.

    As for Lead Actress in a Miniseries, I think Zoe can get in. I do not think the category is as locked up as everyone thinks it is. I do think Regina King is a lock and so is Merritt Wever. Cate Blanchett should be good if she delivers… the series isn’t out yet, so, let’s see. I think Kaitlyn Dever could miss out, same with Witherspoon. For the later, voters would easily choose Kerry Washington over her (due to Kerry’s flashier role). Plus voters are going to be very aware that they can honor Reese Witherspoon with nominations for producing in Best Drama Series (Big Little Lies & The Morning Show) and Best Miniseries (Little Fires Everywhere). That’s 3 potential (likely) nominations right there. That gives them an excuse to skip her over in the Acting categories.

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    thedemonhog
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    #1203405347

    To say nothing of its track record or lack thereof, HBO is not really campaigning Years and Years as far as I can tell.  They recently added twenty titles to my Screeners account to ensure that I “have access to all of our programming in Emmy contention” and I did not get Years and Years.  I have four Hollywood supporting actors predicted and am indeed concerned about the inconsistencies in my predictions.  Quiz has good pedigree with Stephen Frears and James Graham and I will sooner bet on AMC’s top miniseries than HBO’s sixth, not to mention that airing in May beats having aired last July.

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    Pandamonium
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    #1203405368

    I dont know why y’all are putting so much stock in a David Simon show when the TV Academy has notoriously never cared enough for his projects, no matter how acclaimed, to be able to muster enough support to get any of his actors nods. We would have to go back to last century with his first show for acting nomination support. None of his succeeding shows have been able to get any acting nods since, even when they do get into limited series and even win some below the line awards.

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    DylanMcPhee
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    #1203405374

    Plus voters are going to be very aware that they can honor Reese Witherspoon with nominations for producing in Best Drama Series (Big Little Lies & The Morning Show) and Best Miniseries (Little Fires Everywhere). That’s 3 potential (likely) nominations right there. That gives them an excuse to skip her over in the Acting categories.

    If I were Reese, I’d not be too pleased with that. She’s a powerhouse producer, creating content for herself and her colleagues because she had to take the reigns of her own career to be a part of projects that inspired her as an actor. But she is an actor first and foremost and shouldn’t be overlooked because she has great contributions in other departments.

    Reading this over, I sound like I’m coming for you lol. I really don’t mean it like that, because I can see what you’ve said actually happening in voters attempt to spread the wealth. But us crazy Reese fans want her nominated EVERYWHERE.

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    Luca
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    #1203405380

    Reese is getting in for LFE alongside Washington, as she should.

    Emmys FYC - "Unbelievable" and "The Handmaid's Tale" in all categories; Viola Davis in Best Drama Actress for the final season of "HTGAWM;" "Ozark:" Drama Series, Laura Linney (Best Actress) and Julia Garner (Best Supporting Actress)

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    Heptapod
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    #1203405384

    I think voters will want to give Reese at least one acting nomination this year, and with Drama being an absolute bloodbath, LFE is the easiest place to do that. She’ll get in, as will Washington.

    Also, can we please get Anthony Boyle from TPAA in the prediction center? No matter what you think of a David Simon show getting acting nominations, he’s doing great work and I think he’s got a shot. No guts no glory, yeah?

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