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Limited and Movie Predictions (Part 6)

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    thedemonhog
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    #1203565177

    Regarding Unorthodox, I’m starting to realize its buzz has been overrated. There is no denying that it was really popular worldwide, but according to Flixpatrol, it only stayed in the top 10 of Netflix US 9 days. In comparison, Hollywood stayed in the top 10 16 days. Sadly, it’s not possible to know for Unbelievable as Netflix top 10 weren’t available back then. But if you believe Unorthodox is more popular than Hollywood, you might have to rethink that, at least in the US.

    Unorthodox was in the top ten for nine days, then came back five days later for a second wave of five days for a total of fourteen days, so there was a longer period of time from when it debuted in the top ten to when it finally left than Hollywood.  This gets at how I have talked about how Hollywood peaked too quickly.  It is less obvious when Unorthodox peaked, which speaks to its legs.  Having said that, Unorthodox was admittedly a bigger hit worldwide (21 days in Canada and the United Kingdom, 29 in Australia) and Hollywood was less so (12 in Canada, 14 in Australia and the United Kingdom).

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    Pandamonium
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    Unorthodox was in the top ten for nine days, then came back five days later for a second wave of five days for a total of fourteen days, so there was a longer period of time from when it debuted in the top ten to when it finally left than Hollywood. This gets at how I have talked about how Hollywood peaked too quickly. It is less obvious when Unorthodox peaked, which speaks to its legs. Having said that, Unorthodox was admittedly a bigger hit worldwide (21 days in Canada and the United Kingdom, 29 in Australia) and Hollywood was less so (12 in Canada, 14 in Australia and the United Kingdom).

    To add another layer though, Unorthodox never reached the same peaks Hollywood did in the States. Hollywood on average charted higher throughout its total run.Here are their placements in the t-10 for their respective Netflix runs.

    Unorthodox (Mar 29-Apr 15): 8,7,6,5,6,6,7,7,8,-,-,-,-,10,10,10,10,10
    Avg: 7.86

    Hollywood (May 2-17): 6,3,2,2,2,2,2,3,3,3,3,5,6,7,8,9
    Avg: 4.125

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    QueenTree
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    #1203565247

    Queen shit.

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    justonemorething
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    #1203565249

    I haven’t scrolled through to see if this observation has already been made, but this year’s “Best Actress in a Limited Series” race feels very similar to last year’s where you went from Amy Adams to Patricia Arquette to Michelle Williams. This season I’d argue it went from Merritt Wever to Regina King to Cate Blanchett.

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    wolfali
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    #1203565293

    I haven’t scrolled through to see if this observation has already been made, but this year’s “Best Actress in a Limited Series” race feels very similar to last year’s where you went from Amy Adams to Patricia Arquette to Michelle Williams. This season I’d argue it went from Merritt Wever to Regina King to Cate Blanchett.

    I 100% agree with this.

    The only difference is that King is in a show that is competitive for Limited Series unlike Arquette.

    FYC Emmys : Jodie Comer ("Killing Eve"), Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials"), Russell Tovery ("Years and Years"), Helena Bonham Carter ("The Crown") & The Crown, His Dark Materials, Years and Years, Succession and The Affair in all categories. The Politician : Ben Platt, Gwyneth Paltrow, Bette Midler and Judith Light.

    FYC Goldderby Awards : MAURA TIERNEY AND DOMINIC WEST FOR THE FINAL SEASON OF THE AFFAIR

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    wolfali
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    #1203565706

    We love an underdog doing their own open campaigning.

    https://twitter.com/LexiCUnderwood/status/1278783271334117376

    FYC Emmys : Jodie Comer ("Killing Eve"), Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials"), Russell Tovery ("Years and Years"), Helena Bonham Carter ("The Crown") & The Crown, His Dark Materials, Years and Years, Succession and The Affair in all categories. The Politician : Ben Platt, Gwyneth Paltrow, Bette Midler and Judith Light.

    FYC Goldderby Awards : MAURA TIERNEY AND DOMINIC WEST FOR THE FINAL SEASON OF THE AFFAIR

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    Bee
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    #1203565788

    I thought Kerry Washington was first, before Reese Witherspoon, because of “Wa” is before “Wi” if you count alphabetically.

    The alphabetical order helps but more of reminding the voters of who is in contention.

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    forwardswill
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    I thought Kerry Washington was first, before Reese Witherspoon, because of “Wa” is before “Wi” if you count alphabetically.

    Half of voters get the ballot in reverse (Z-A)

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    Tyler
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    #1203566010

    I really don’t think its biased to say that for the past two months Normal People has had more buzz than Hollywood and I Know This Much is True combined.

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    hopelesstar
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    I really don’t think its biased to say that for the past two months Normal People has had more buzz than Hollywood and I Know This Much is True combined.

    It is, though.

    Normal people on IMDb : 19.7k
    Hollywood on IMDb : 22.7k

    Normal people on tv time app :40.9k
    Hollywood on tv time app : 136.9k

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    wolfali
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    #1203566042

    It is, though. Normal people on IMDb : 19.7k Hollywood on IMDb : 22.7k Normal people on tv time app :40.9k Hollywood on tv time app : 136.9k

    Just because Hollywood has more votes on IMDB that doesn’t mean it has more buzz than Normal People. Otherwise I look forward to your prediction of Succession getting snubbed on nominations morning and Riverdale being a lock for Series.

    FYC Emmys : Jodie Comer ("Killing Eve"), Ruth Wilson ("His Dark Materials"), Russell Tovery ("Years and Years"), Helena Bonham Carter ("The Crown") & The Crown, His Dark Materials, Years and Years, Succession and The Affair in all categories. The Politician : Ben Platt, Gwyneth Paltrow, Bette Midler and Judith Light.

    FYC Goldderby Awards : MAURA TIERNEY AND DOMINIC WEST FOR THE FINAL SEASON OF THE AFFAIR

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    hopelesstar
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    #1203566046

    Well Riverdale does have more buzz than Succession so I don’t get your point? Where did I say it means Hollywood is more probable than Normal People in my post? But saying the latter has more buzz is just not true when the visibility of the former was bigger (and a Ryan Murphy limited series on Hollywood will always be buzzier in the academy than an Irish show starring unknowns).

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