Obvious to me… Long shot to everyone else

[ThiagoGarcia]

#1203647813

Let’s have some fun.

What prediction seems ridiculously easy to you that makes you think everyone else is blind?

My answer: Giancarlo Esposito is so winning Drama Guest Actor. It’s not even close. And no. I haven’t seen his episode (or any from that show). But he’s respected, never won, double nominee, black actor… And it’s a category voters sometimes use to throw bones whithout making any sense.

I do think all guest winners will be black, but this particular category is the one people seem to be sleeping on.

• This topic was modified 6 months, 3 weeks ago by ThiagoGarcia.

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[Ghost Joined: Sep 27th, 2011 Topics: 81 Posts: 9799 View Predictions]

#1203647838

While I don’t think he is anywhere near a lock, I think Giancarlo Esposito is far from a long shot.

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[Owl-Always-watching Joined: Dec 13th, 2017 Topics: 8 Posts: 562 View Predictions]

#1203647840

Could happen . That category has no front runner . N Giancarlo works with everyone. He appears in like everything so people would vote Bc they know him.

I would say Eddie Murphy is easy win but in forum people are fighting about it

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[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 262 Posts: 18793 View Predictions]

#1203647844

I think the following are easy wins but long shots to everyone else (from what I’ve seen) :

– Laura Linney
– Jeremy Strong
– Alex Borstein
– Tony Shalhoub
– Ramy Youseff
– Cherry Jones

FYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"

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[Dan Backslide Joined: Apr 24th, 2016 Topics: 63 Posts: 5680 View Predictions]

#1203647947

wolfali wrote:

I think the following are easy wins but long shots to everyone else (from what I’ve seen) : – Laura Linney – Jeremy Strong – Alex Borstein – Tony Shalhoub – Ramy Youseff – Cherry Jones

Linney, Borstein, and Shalhboub are all considered frontrunners this year though.

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[montana82 Joined: Sep 14th, 2011 Topics: 83 Posts: 1789 View Predictions]

#1203647977

In today’s climate I think in a wide open lesser category like Guest Actress, the name Angela Bassett in A Black Lady Sketch Show on the ballot is going to be appealing for voters to check off. Especially with Rudolph splitting voters with herself, PWB has already being rewarded last year, and Maisel not as hot for Sykes.

"Here's a wonderfully b*tchy post from Montana82...." - Tom O'Neill Emmy Prediction Slugfest August 1st, 2019

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[Pulp Joined: Aug 11th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 11 View Predictions]

#1203648055

I don’t know why people are saying Esposito for guest but not supporting, or even both.

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[puck05 Joined: Sep 21st, 2019 Topics: 11 Posts: 1082 View Predictions]

#1203648204

Ramy Youssef and Paul Mescal

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[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 262 Posts: 18793 View Predictions]

#1203648281

Dan Backslide wrote:

Linney, Borstein, and Shalhboub are all considered frontrunners this year though.

Yes but many here have doubted them happening. A user above mentioned Eddie Murphy is an easy win but said they mentioned him because people on the forums have been doubting them despite the fact they are frontrunners. I thought I’d mention people who are being doubted a lot on the forums too.

FYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"

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[estrelas Joined: Jul 25th, 2018 Topics: 2 Posts: 3699 View Predictions]

#1203648322

Fiona Shaw. That category has no frontrunner and she can very well win. I don’t know why so many people think she’s a long shot.

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[hopelesstar Joined: Mar 10th, 2020 Topics: 1 Posts: 1833 View Predictions]

#1203648368

Because apparently losing the previous year against Julia Garner when she had no material means she is out this time. I hope people following this logic are also considering Jodie Comer is ahead of Laura Linney.

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[Luca Joined: Jun 23rd, 2017 Topics: 34 Posts: 9173 View Predictions]

#1203648396

hopelesstar wrote:

I hope people following this logic are also considering Jodie Comer is ahead of Laura Linney.

I am sorry, what? Are you trying to say Laura had no material last year? Because that isn’t true.

A Fervent Believer in the Church of Viola Davis

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[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 262 Posts: 18793 View Predictions]

#1203648455

I’ll put this down here considering I realised quite a few people seem to disagree with me on this.

El Camino is winning TV Movie. It’s the definition of obvious.

FYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"

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[estrelas Joined: Jul 25th, 2018 Topics: 2 Posts: 3699 View Predictions]

#1203648479

wolfali wrote:

I’ll put this down here considering I realised quite a few people seem to disagree with me on this. El Camino is winning TV Movie. It’s the definition of obvious.

It can obviously win but saying it’s the definition of obvious is literally delusional.

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[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 262 Posts: 18793 View Predictions]

#1203648484

estrelas wrote:

It can obviously win but saying it’s the definition of obvious is literally delusional.

I don’t know. Every other contender seems to be weak in that category and we see how when that happens they often defer to a special episode or movie of a show. Seems pretty obvious to me.

FYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"

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