July 2, 2014 at 6:11 am #321055
Sure, recent Golden Globes champ Robin Wright leads our official Gold Derby racetrack odds for Best Drama Actress
probably because she’s got that kick-ass episode, but, hey, all of the following stars have equally good or better eppys too, which means they could pull off a JAWDROPPER: Julianna Margulies, Claire Danes, Vera Farmiga, Tatiana Maslany. So pls don’t get too cocky about your current pick, whatever it is. Anything can happen in this diva smackdown. U agree? What do YOU think?July 2, 2014 at 6:49 am #321057
I just hope Robin Wright win! that’s for her superb work in HoC and Hollywood’s ignorance of her in the past years.
but I’m okay if Julianna Margulies win second emmy for TGWJuly 2, 2014 at 6:56 am #321058
I would watch out for Mariska Hargitay, which has a killer episode submission, if nominated I think the race, once again is over.July 2, 2014 at 7:37 am #321059
So we have ten plausible contenders to six slots: Robin Wright, Claire Danes, Keri Russell, Lizzy Caplan, Vera Farmiga, Julianna Margulies, Mariska Hargitay, Tatiana Maslany, Elisabeth Moss and Kerry Washington.
Wright, Moss and Washington seem like the only real locks here.
Claire Danes is more vulnerable than ever… I foresee a complete shutdown of Homeland and she could be snubbed, who knows? Homeland’s decline in quality may influence her nomination even though she’s a two-time consecutive winner.
Mariska Hargitay’s chances are looking very thin if you ask me. It’s VERY complicated for her to come back.
Keri Russell is a critics darling but that doesn’t necessarily translate to the Emmys. The voters were aware of the show last year (see: Margo Martindale’s nomination) and they didn’t respond to it. Get over it.
Julianna Margulies… Home girl is coming back for sure. The Good Wife got immense buzz again and we all know she has several tapes to submit. She will get a nomination in my book.
Tatiana Maslany… Oh boy. I have her in my predictions but its so hard to ignore the huge depth of her work. Her talent is limitless. Will the Emmy voters make the same mistake twice? Tatiana continues to be everywhere and she raises the bar this year with a transgendered character. I’m predicting her.
Vera Farmiga… I still haven’t wrapped my mind around this one just yet. On one hand she looks in a good position for a nomination but at the same time she doesn’t… She sure does have critics support AND a high Hollywood profile so who knows? She’s probably getting that nom.
Lizzy Caplan’s nom depends on how the Academy embraces Masters of Sex. I believe they will embrace the show but I’m not seeing her getting a nom. But if she rides the show’s coattails she might get in.
No one will agree with me and I will make a fool out of myself hahaha.July 2, 2014 at 8:54 am #321060
I do not think Moss is a lock, although she was a double nominee last year, and won SAG for Top of the Lake, which bodes well for her!
These three are locks, Danes is a recent two time winner, they won’t throw her out this year. Wright won the Globe, and has that killer episode was the talk of season 2. Washington is an “it girl” and name helps, she may be dumped next year.
I think the next three nominees are harder to predict, in the center I have Moss out, but my point above makes me think she is in 4th, I also think there will be less Mad Men love this year. The show is no long an “it show”
My current next three in the predictions center are:
I think she missed last year because the show was off people’s radar, well its back, so I think she will be too.
They love Oscar nominees in these categories, gives them cred, and Farmiga is great in this show; she is a big name
The genre factor may hurt her, I think I have her in sixth, but may be giving the Emmy Awards too much credit.
I think Moss would be seventh for me, namely because of the concept that people check boxes, she is a familiar name from thies category on a show the Emmy voters like.July 2, 2014 at 8:57 am #321061
Julianna Margulies really deserves to. The Good Wife did something really special this year and he performance was probably at its best. I know she has won before but that didn’t stop Claire Danes from winning for the last 2 years. Kerry Washington and Robin Wright are the only people that could take her down. If Claire wins, that shows the Emmys really just can’t let Homeland go. Farmiga is also really great and should be nominated and the last slot with probably go to Elisabeth Moss because she is always nominated and pretty good from what I have seen I have only seen one season of Mad Men. Mariska has a really good episode so it would be a lovely suprise if she is nominated. I still don’t think Orphan Black is on Emmy radar honestly. I feel like Tatiana is going to get snubbed again. From the few episodes I have seen of The Americans, Keri Russell is good but she would only make it in a weaker year. Lizzy is also good but again, in a weaker year. I still really love Connie Britton on Nashville so who knows if she’ll shock us all with another nomiantion. Dockery is most likely out.July 2, 2014 at 9:03 am #321062
Claire Danes, “Homeland”
Vera Farmiga, “Bates Motel”
Julianna Margulies, “The Good Wife”
Elisabeth Moss, “Mad Men”
Kerry Washington, “Scandal”
Robin Wright, “House of Cards”July 2, 2014 at 9:57 am #321063
Most definitely a toss-up category. Robin Wright is the only lock here, and she’s got a killer tape to go along with her nomination. Claire Danes and Kerry Washington will likely be name checked. Tatiana Maslany is very likely (finally). Julianna Margulies will probably sneak back in after a great season for The Good Wife. And I’m thinking the last slot will go to a very deserving Farmiga over Moss. Dockery and Caplan could also battle, but not likely.
From: Wright, Danes, Washington, Maslany, Margulies, and Farmiga I’d say Washington would be the only one without a shot in hell. The others have done stellar work with strong epsidoes to go off of. For now I’ll say Maslany as any of the 3 episodes she could go with will feature her more heavily than any other nominee (and because she’s the most deserving).July 2, 2014 at 10:32 am #321064
Robin Wright is definitely the front-runner. She is a respected movie actress, just won a Golden Globe, and has a perfect Emmy episode (Chapter 17). I wouldn’t be too shocked if Danes gets snubbed this year. Although her performance was still good this season, the quality of the show has gone way down. I keep on going back-and-forth between Vera Farmiga and Tatiana Masany but I think Vera is going to get in because of her nomination last year.
Robin Wright (House of Cards)
Julianna Margulies (The Good WIfe)
Claire Danes (Homeland)
Kerry Washington (Scandal)
Elisabeth Moss (Mad Men)
Vera Famiga (Bates Motel)July 2, 2014 at 10:49 am #321065
Atypical and Zdog123, I am leaning toward your picks!July 2, 2014 at 10:49 am #321066
Yes, it really is a toss up. Literally ANYTHING can happen.
1. Claire Danes: Defending champ and the only reputable and acclaimed factor from season 3 of Homeland. She IS Homeland. With the series’ reputation in shatters right now, people somehow want to drag anything and everything down with the show. That includes the two stand-out performances ( Lead Actress & Supporting Actor). And even some of the more acclaimed and well received episodes.
Danes has two killer tapes that could very well give her the edge ones again. She is a lock for a nomination. No doubt about that.
2. Robin Wright: The Golden Globe champ with the buzz and the killer tape. I do believe she is the one to beat right now. But let’s not kid ourselves. Robin Wright is not unbeatable. However great her submission tape is, it is not the only stand-out Lead Actress Drama performance of the year. She is my (and Gold Derby’s) personal winner this year, but a group of voters who are known for seeking out certain elements in a performance might not agree.
3. Julianna Margulies: The resurgence of Julianna Margulies and her acclaimed show isn’t something to take lightly. She was amazing this season, and she has at least two massive submission tapes to back up a possible nomination. Her only hiccup is the fact that, unlike the above two, she was not part of the lineup last year and thus has to overcome and fight off newcomers and other re-emerging actresses to get back in. And we all know getting back in is like trying to get in for the first time at the Emmys. A snub for her would be outrageous and baffling, but not out of the question. It could happen. I think she is in, but if you ask me to bet 500 points on it……i’m not so sure.
Moss, Washington both have support, and noteworthy performances to rely on. Some people think they are in danger of possible snubs, but their popularity just doesn’t want me to believe that. They each have a great episode to submit…..so i would think those two are safe.
And now for that 6th spot. Farmiga, Maslany, Caplan, Hargitay, Russell. It’s quick to just discount someone, but as last year (and preceding years) proved, anyone can make it in. New show, old show, old favorite, hot new thing etc.
For me, Hargitay & Maslany had the kind of performances that would make for great Emmy voter viewing. But like i said about the difficulty with getting back in at the Emmys, that makes Mariska Hargitay’s Emmy bit quite futile and improbable. She is my personal 6th place holder, and i am going with it until the end. But i have to be realistic here.
Which leaves Tatiana Maslany. The new kid on the block who was considered the big snub of last year, she has the Golden Globe nomination and critics awards. And the unique advantage of playing different characters so amazingly that she towers over everyone with screen time and layers of performance.
This year is very competitive and any one who misses out here should now there were 6 performances that were worthy of being on.July 2, 2014 at 11:00 am #321067
I have such a passion for Wright´performance in HoC, you wouldn´t know (best thing in the show by far). I love that she got in last year after many complained and claimed she wasn´t deserving because she was “supporting”. I love that she got the globe and that now all the attention is on her for merit alone instead of confortably rewarding Spacey mainly for his name.
And yet, somehow I don´t think she is the winner just yet. She sure does have a couple of great tapes. Lets go with 17 (the popular vote around here). She appears about half way into the episode and stays the main focus, so missing the first half might not hurt. She has the interview, which counts as the speech emmys love. Brilliant performance. However, we know emmys love showy performances, and Wright is subtle and controlled, and she is up against showy all over the place: Danes (showiest), Margulies (probably gonna pick a showy/emotional episode), Washington (soapy showy), Farmiga (bombastic), Maslany (twenty different types of showy).
I don´t necessarily think someone of the above will win (I´m not even sure most of them will get in), but she is not the winner just yet.July 2, 2014 at 11:09 am #321068
Does Farmiga have a extraordinary tape though? I was rooting for her last year (she was sublime in the pilot with that rape scene) but I’m not familiar with her work in the second season.July 2, 2014 at 11:10 am #321069
Farmiga has a tape for sure!July 2, 2014 at 11:26 am #321070
I really thought Farmiga was slightly behing Danes last year and could´ve (definitely shoul´ve) won with that brilliant pilot performance. I haven´t seen the second season, but I´ve heard the finale is even better than last years episode and definitely a winning submission…
I hope to god she gets in, even if she doesn´t stand a chance of winning, EVEN with a great submission.
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