July 27, 2018 at 11:22 am #1202597070
This is our next simulation to determine if there will be excessive vote-splitting. Vote if you have seen at least one episode of The Assassination of Gianni Versace, i.e. even if you have not seen Light because that will be a factor at the Emmys and it will theoretically make this more accurate.July 27, 2018 at 11:46 am #1202597077
This is tough because Merritt Wever is the only nominee that I would consider voting for. I did not include a neither-option, as I think that there will be a significant portion of voters who will more or less only have seen The Assassination of Gianni Versace. The Black Mirror five episodes after “USS Callister”? The seventh season of American Horror Story? It is very easy to imagine voters missing those. Maybe they saw Jesus Christ Superstar Live in Concert, but Sara Bareilles? Maybe they checked out Godless, but that show is not for everyone and if they actually watched it, this is a veteran category. At thirty-seven, Wever would be the youngest winner in twelve years. This could come down to Cruz and Light.
As much as people complain about Cruz’s screen time, she was in it more than Light, who was only in two episodes and not five. Light did not wow me with her characterization like Jon Jon Briones, but she did admittedly get some showy material. I ultimately have to vote for her because I did not always understand Cruz. Much of that was the prosthetic, but supporting an Emmy for an unintelligible performance would be absurd.July 27, 2018 at 11:50 am #1202597079
In such an open category I’m not sleeping on any of them (except maybe Bareilles) winning
FYC Gold Derby TV Awards: Michelle Dockery - Movie/Limited Series Actress. Claire Foy - Performer of the Year.July 27, 2018 at 11:57 am #1202597082
I vote for Light but if one of these two will win I think is Cruz. But I believe Wever will win and Letitia could be a dark horse. It is a very open category.July 27, 2018 at 11:59 am #1202597085
Hard to pick, but I think Judith Light was better in her submission episode than Penelope was in hers. Does that matter to voters these days? – I’m not sure, but Light had the real Emmy bait material and, as a supporting actress nominee, I suspect that still matters. Cruz was very good – far better than a lot of people gave her credit for – but the episode she submitted with had just fleeting moments of intensity, whereas Light got to chew up ALL the scenery in her scenes!
I just don’t know if people will be all ‘It’s Penelope Cruz!’, but I don’t think she got the served-on-a-plate kind of awards bait scenes that other major movie stars have done in their TV debuts. Of course, it’ll be a different situation come Golden Globes time – they love Penelope – but the Emmys have frequently nominated Judith because she’s a perennially popular actress. This performance may get her that Primetime Emmy reward.July 27, 2018 at 12:01 pm #1202597087
Light, though I suspect Wever is the winner.
THE OSCAR 100 (#30-26): Al Pacino, Edith Evans, Judy Garland, Elizabeth Taylor and Richard BurtonJuly 27, 2018 at 1:51 pm #1202597151
We’re probably over thinking this category because of Light’s limited screentime, but I think she might actually be a pretty strong frontrunner. Wever could win but I don’t think Cruz is a factor.July 27, 2018 at 1:55 pm #1202597154
I think Judith Light is popular enough to win this. I think she can overcome Penelope Cruz who isn’t a Kidman, Witherspoon, Roberts, Bullock type of star either. Are people giving her too much credit? I certainly was, but I think it was back when we thought this role was gonna be bigger. I remember very few things or episodes with Cruz in it. Light was outstanding in what was basically an episode made for her. Combine that with the popularity she *might* have and I think she’s a clear winner to Cruz.
Wever can win too, she already shocked us all with a win before, so who knows. But my money is on Light until the end.July 27, 2018 at 2:05 pm #1202597161
Light over Cruz, of course. But Weaver should win.July 27, 2018 at 3:15 pm #1202597172
Light absolutely. And I am predicting her to win as well.
Luca G.July 27, 2018 at 6:37 pm #1202597232
Light though Cruz was stunning too especially during the early episodes.July 28, 2018 at 4:10 am #1202597367
I’m voting for Light primarily because she was just stunning in A Random Killing, and secondly because she is overdue for Transparent.
I have to wonder how many voters will keep her work in Transparent in mind – we’ve seen them being like this recently where, in an open category, they default to someone who should have won or been nominated in previous years (Mendelsohn’s win, Dinklage’s second win, Martindale’s first win for Americans, Porter’s nomination this year, Patinkin randomly coming back come to mind)July 28, 2018 at 9:42 am #1202597453
“Penélope Cruz IS Donatella Versace!” will be plenty for most voters. Calling it for Cruz as star and Oscar winner in this lineup. Voted for her.July 28, 2018 at 10:10 am #1202597460
It´s hard cause Light clearly had the better and most dramatic performance but Cruz had the flashier role,I mean it´s fucking Penelope Cruz playing fucking Donatella Versace.It´s hard to top that.
You must be logged in to reply to this topic.