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Rank Your Winner Predictions by Confidence 2020

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    forwardswill
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    It’s time for my favourite now-annual thread that I do. For those who haven’t done it before it’s essentially as blatant as the thread title: you rank your winner predictions by your confidence of them being correct.

    Also, for those interested in checking out how I and others did in previous years here’s the threads from 2019 and 2018

    Anyway…

    1. Watchmen
    2. “This Is Not For Tears” – Succession (Writing)
    3. “Happy Ending” – Schitt’s Creek (Writing)
    4. Regina King
    5. “This Extraordinary Being” – Watchmen (Writing)
    6. Eddie Murphy
    7. Catherine O’Hara
    8. Ramy Yousseff
    9. Schitt’s Creek
    10. “Fire Pink” – Ozark (Directing)
    11. “This Extraordinary Being” – Watchmen (Directing)
    12. Wanda Sykes
    13. Dan Levy
    14. Jeremy Strong
    15. Succession
    16. Alex Borstein
    17. Paul Mescal
    18. Laverne Cox
    19. Uzo Aduba
    20. “Happy Ending” – Schitt’s Creek (Directing)
    21. Ron Cephas Jones
    22. Helena Bonham Carter
    23. Bad Education
    24. Jennifer Aniston
    25. Tituss Burgess
    26. Jeffrey Wright

    As with last year, I’d say I feel genuinely confident in about six of these.

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    wolfali
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    1. “This is Not For Tears” – Succession (Writing)
    2. Watchmen
    3. “This Extraordinary Being” – Watchmen (Writing)
    4. Eddie Murphy
    5. Succession (I might swap this out for Ozark depending on the Creative Arts but for now I feel quite confident in it lol)
    6. Jeremy Strong
    7. Ramy Yousseff
    8. “This is Not For Tears” – Succession (Directing)
    9. Maya Rudolph (SNL)
    10. Paul Mescal
    11. Schitt’s Creek
    12. Catherine O’Hara

    I feel the most confident in these 12 but I only feel 100% confident up until This Extraordinary Being (95% up until Eddie Murphy).

    RIP my predictions accuracy score.

    FYC OSCARS : VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", GLENN CLOSE FOR "HILLBILLY ELEGY", ANTHONY HOPKINS FOR "THE FATHER", CHADWICK BOSEMAN FOR "MA RAINEY'S BLACK BOTTOM", PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN (BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY).

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    Brayden Fitzsimmons
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    1. Watchmen
    2. “This Is Not For Tears” (Writing)
    3. Murphy
    4. Rudolph (SNL)
    5. O’Hara
    6. Youseff
    7. Mescal
    6. Alex Birdston
    8. Fire Pink (Directing
    9. John Oliver (Series)
    10. “Presidential Suite” (Directing)
    11. John Oliver (Directing)
    13. Whenever You Ready
    14. Jeremy Strong
    15. Zendaya

    Only ones I feel confident enough to bet money on.

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    caan
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    Sep 16th, 2017
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    #1203692455

    1. This Is Not For Tears (writing)
    2. Watchmen
    3. This Extraordinary Being (writing)
    4. Catherine O’Hara
    5. Succession
    6. Happy Ending (writing)
    7. Schitt’s Creek
    8. Paul Mescal
    9. Laura Linney
    10. Regina King
    11. This Extraordinary Being (directing)
    12. Jeremy Strong
    13. Billy Crudup
    14. Alex Borstein
    15. Ramy Youssef
    16. Tony Shalhoub
    17. Aberfan (directing)
    18. Jean Smart
    19. Jim Parsons
    20. It’s Comedy or Cabbage (directing)
    21. Fiona Shaw

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    mateil
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    #1203692710

    From most confident to least confident:

    1. Watchmen for Limited Series
    2. This Is Not For Tears for Writing
    3. This Extraordinary Being For Writing
    4. Regina King for Actress
    5. Succession for Drama Series
    6. Schitt’s Creek for Comedy Series
    7. Catherine O’Hara for Actress
    8. This Is Not For Tears for Directing
    9. Happy Ending for Directing
    10. Billy Crudup for Supporting Actor
    11. Whenever You’re Ready For Writing
    12. Sarah Snook for Supporting Actress
    13. Brian Cox for Actor
    14. Unorthodox for Directing
    15. Eugene Levy for Actor
    16. Tony Shaloub for Supporting Actor
    17. Uzo Aduba for Supporting Actress
    18. Zendaya for Actress
    19. Yahya Abdul Mateen II for Supporting Actor
    20. Yvonne Orji for Supporting Actress
    21. Jeremy Irons for Actor

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    forwardswill
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    #1203692748

    I feel the most confident in these 12 but I only feel 100% confident up until This Extraordinary Being (95% up until Eddie Murphy).

    Only ones I feel confident enough to bet money on.

    What about the categories you aren’t confident in? How would you rank those in terms of your level of certainty

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    William Gillquist
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    1. Watchmen
    2. Eddie Murphy
    3. Regina King
    4. Succession
    5. “This Extraordinary Being” (Writing)
    6. Jeremy Strong
    7. “This Is Not For Tears” (Writing)
    8. Catherine O’Hara (Schitt’s Creek)
    9. Schitt’s Creek
    10. Bad Education
    11. “Happy Ending” (Writing)
    12. Ramy Yousseff
    13. Alex Borstein
    14. Maya Rudolph (SNL)
    15. Mark Ruffalo
    16. Aberfan (Directing)
    17. Helena Bonham Carter
    18. “This Extraordinary Being” (Directing)
    19. “Happy Ending” (Directing)
    20. Laura Linney
    21. Yahya Abdul-Mateen II
    22. Jean Smart
    23. Dan Levy
    24. Kieran Culkin
    25. Giancarlo Esposito (Mandalorian)
    26. Cherry Jones

    FYC Oscars: Chloe Zhao (Nomadland), Delroy Lindo (Da 5 Bloods), Jeremy Strong (Trail of the Chicago 7), Viola Davis and Chadwick Boseman (Ma Rainey's Black Bottom), Soul (Best Animated Feature Film and Best Original Screenplay), "No Time to Die" (Best Original Song)

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    wolfali
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    The ones I’m not confident in (after the 12 I listed) :

    13. Alex Borstein
    14. Cherry Jones
    15. Happy Ending (Schitt’s Creek)
    16. Billy Crudup
    17. Regina King
    18. Maya Rudolph
    19. It’s Comedy or Cabbage (Directing)
    20. Little Fires Everywhere (Directing)
    21. Tony Shalhoub
    22. Jean Smart
    23. Whomever I’m predicting in S. Actor in a Limited Series now
    24. Zendaya
    25. Helena Bonham Carter
    26. Taika Waititi
    27. Giancarlo Esposito (The Mandalorian)

    FYC OSCARS : VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", GLENN CLOSE FOR "HILLBILLY ELEGY", ANTHONY HOPKINS FOR "THE FATHER", CHADWICK BOSEMAN FOR "MA RAINEY'S BLACK BOTTOM", PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN (BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY).

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    AayaanUpadhyaya
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    #1203693062

    1. Watchmen
    2. “This Extraordinary Being” – Watchmen (Writing)
    3. “This Is Not For Tears” – Succession (Writing)
    4. Eddie Murphy
    5. “Happy Ending” – Schitt’s Creek (Writing)
    6. Schitt’s Creek
    7. Catherine O’Hara
    8. Maya Rudolph (SNL)
    9. Paul Mescal
    10. Regina King
    11. Dan Levy
    12. Laura Linney
    13. Julia Garner
    14. Succession
    15. “This Extraordinary Being” – Watchmen (Directing)
    16. Ramy Youssef
    17. Uzo Aduba
    18. Cherry Jones
    19. Annie Murphy
    20. El Camino
    21. Billy Crudup
    22. Jeremy Strong
    23. Giancarlo Esposito (Guest Actor – Drama)
    24. “Aberfan” – The Crown (Directing)
    25. “It’s Comedy Or Cabbage” – Mrs Maisel (Directing)
    26. Louis Gosset Jr.

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    perfectly weird
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    1. Watchmen
    2. “This Is Not For Tears” (writing)
    3. “This Extraordinary Being” (writing)
    4. Catherine O’Hara
    5. “Happy Ending” (writing)
    6. Schitt’s Creek
    7. Succession
    8. Maya Rudolph (SNL)
    9. Ramy Youssef
    10. Jeremy Strong
    11. Eddie Murphy
    12. “This Is Not For Tears” (directing)
    13. Uzo Aduba
    14. “Happy Ending” (directing)
    15. Regina King
    16. Dan Levy
    17. Cherry Jones
    18. Sarah Snook
    19. Annie Murphy
    20. Yahya Abdul-Mateen II
    21. James Cromwell
    22. El Camino
    23. Billy Crudup
    24. Jeremy Pope
    25. Jennifer Aniston
    26. “Find A Way”

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    vinny
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    Snl and Catherine O’Hara then everything else I have no confidence.

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    smurty11
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    #1203694082

    Watchmen (Series)
    Watchmen (Directing)
    Succession (Writing)
    Watchmen (Writing)
    Regina King
    Alex Borstein
    Schitt’s Creek (Series)
    Catherine O’Hara
    Eugene Levy
    Schitt’s Creek (Writing)
    Helena Bonham Carter
    Succession (Series)
    Jason Bateman
    Jean Smart
    Ozark (Directing)
    Billy Crudup
    Yayah Abdul-Mateen
    Paul Mescal
    Zendaya
    Mahershala Ali
    Ramy (Directing)

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    Eden
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    #1203697775

    1. Watchmen
    2. Succesion (Writing)
    3. Watchmen (Writing)
    4. Succession
    5. Schitt’s Creek
    6. Catherine O’Hara
    7. Schitt’s Creek (Writing)
    8. Regina King
    9. Jeremy Strong
    10. Sarah Snook
    11. Zendaya
    12. Yahya Abdul-Mateen II
    13. Succession (Directing)
    14. Uzo Aduba
    15. Paul Mescal
    16. Watchmen (Directing)
    17. Alex Borstein
    18. Ramy Youssef
    19. Tony Shalhoub
    20. Ramy (Directing)
    21. Kieran Culkin

    I’m surprised Succession taking Series isn’t higher on other people’s lists.

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    NAKSS
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    #1203699308

    1. Watchmen
    2. “This Is Not For Tears” – Succession (Writing)
    3. Succession
    4. “Happy Ending” – Schitt’s Creek (Writing)
    5. Regina King
    6. Catherine O’Hara
    7. “This Extraordinary Being” – Watchmen (Writing)
    8. Eddie Murphy
    9. Paul Mescal
    10. Schitt’s Creek
    11.Uzo Aduba
    12.Alex Borstein
    13.Maya Rudolph ( Saturday Night Live )
    14.Billy Crudup
    15.Yahya Abdul-Mateen II
    16.Dan Levy
    17.Jeremy Strong
    18. “Aberfan” – The Crown (Directing)
    19. “This Extraordinary Being” – Watchmen (Directing)
    20. Ramy Yousseff
    21. Phylicia Rashad
    22. Giancarlo Esposito ( Guest Actor )
    23. Sarah Snook
    24. Bad Education
    25. Zendaya
    26. “Happy Ending” – Schitt’s Creek (Directing)

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