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Which of last year’s 8 Comedy Supporting Actress nominees is most likely to get snubbed?

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  • jacob121
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    #368179

    Interesting that a lot of people seem to be placing McKinnon in the “unsafe” category – I currently have her slotted to win (subject to change, of course).

    They nominated her when she became an SNL standout but was still a relative unknown unlike Poehler, Wiig and Hader who were pretty well established stars by the time they began getting SNL noms (has any other regular cast member been nominated up in supporting?). To me, this proves that she is very well liked by voters and her profile has only risen since that time.

    I think an SNL main cast member has been nominated in supporting ever since they became eligible and with somewhat out of nowhere noms for Key and Peele and Portlandia over on the male side, voters have proven that they are keen to nominate variety performers more than we often predict here at Goldderby.

    She is killing it this season not only with her Hillary impressions but for her other sketch work as well and she is almost always featured in whichever clip goes viral each week. 

    Ghostbusters  may not garner her an Oscar nom ala McCarthy and Bridesmaids but is sure to be a big hit and keep her fresh in voters minds. 

    They may go for a Janney three-peat since they love her but, to me, this seems less likely since they have no interest in the show whatsoever and they have proven that they are not above awarding nominations to other Lorre shows above and beyond a single acting nom. Multi-cams have it pretty easy from lack of competition below the line (there are a lot of tech categories specifically for multi-cam which regularly nominate not only Lorre shows but far more under the radar randoms) and Mom has not gotten a SINGLE additional nom apart from Janney over the two years. That is somewhat shocking.

    I know that no SNL performer has ever won in the main acting categories but I have a feeling that this may be the year. With the change in voting I see her garnering a lot of #1 votes from voters who do not know where else to turn and are tired of awarding Bowen or Janney. Anyone agree? 

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    mikeboy898
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    #368180

    Julie Bowen has some tapes in Modern family and she’s an Emmy favorite. MF may be going down in ratings and critical appeal, but Julie Bowen and Ty Burrell remain the favorites and will likely continue to be nominated.

    Niecy Nash, while great in Getting On, is probably most at risk. The show ended in December 2015 and IMO, she didn’t really have a lot of great material to work with.

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    KyleBailey
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    #368181

    I’m surprised many are saying Mayim is going to be dropped. I stopped watching but didn’t she have a big arc this season that lead to a Critic’s Choice win? I think Hoffman will be swapped for Light and I think Nash sadly will be out. I would hope and pray McKinnon would drop but it never happens sadly. 

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    SupaDupa Fly
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    #368182

    I wish it was Janney. She needs to be in Lead.

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    Emmyfan
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    #368183

    I only felt Anna Chlumsky deserved her nomination last year and felt like she was taking up space in the nominees in 2013 and 2014.  It still bothers me that JEssica Walter from Arrested Development was not nominated in 2013 because she had the epsiode to win.

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    mikeboy898
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    #368184

    Kate McKinnon is the MVP of SNL! She’ll surely be nominated again especially because of her ongoing Hillary impressions this election season.

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    Anonymous
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    #368185
    This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.
    Rooney Moore
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    #368186

    Won’t ever predict her but on Nash’s defence, those one and done nominations usually happens to people who got in with the buzz of their show’s first seasons like Betty White or Max Greenfield. After it is being understood that those wouldn’t be a top contender, people would move on. 

    Here’s my logic: The people that nominated Bialik, Bowen or even Janney might skip them this time on their ballot because those shows are losing support each year, but why would the ones that nominated Nash would do the same?
    I mean, there was no campaign for her last year, the show had zero buzz, and has also zero buzz this year. Nothing’s changed. But at least this was their final time and more critics were aware of it.

    Scream Queens won’t do anything but split her support.

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    AMG
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    #368187

    Mom isn’t losing supports at all. With the Emmys, it’s only ever been Janney nominated, and it’s growing in support across other awards bodies – some even nominating it in their Comedy Series category.

    Check out more of my thoughts on Twitter (@AMG_Review) and Instagram (amg_reviews)

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    Rooney Moore
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    #368188

    Ummm. Who exactly nominated Mom as Best Comedy series or what are the other award bodies that recognized it?
    ”Critics” Choice? That was last year. Even they moved on this time. And those so-called precursors mean so little with Emmy voters. This isn’t Oscars.

    But you’re right. It sounded a bit of absurd to claim they lost support when they hadn’t any to begin with.

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    Rooney Moore
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    #368192

    But bro, nothing can last forever. If they were still just as popular with voters they wouldn’t have down to only 2 major noms after years of domination.
    And I don’t see why winning so many times should be considered a good thing(for any show) when they lost their directing nod after winning 4 consecutive times in the same category and Stonestreet was left out after winning twice.

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    Atypical
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    #368193

    Janney’s a lock. Bowen probably gets in until her show is off the air. McKinnon’s Hillary in an election cycle, so she’s good to stay. Chlumsky’s in the defending Comedy Series champ, so she’s in. We have to see what season 2 of “UKS” brings to the table first. I’d say that Krakowski is a tentative bridesmaid for now. Beyond that, it gets tricky. Bialik is on a series on the wane with voters, but she got in when their beloved Parsons didn’t, so that could indicate strong support. Hoffman could be replaced by Light, or be there in addition to her. Nash battled her way to a nod against ALL odds. I think she can legitimately do it again with her added exposure on “Scream Queens.” I can only vote for one person (even though I know that’s it’s highly unlikely for seven nominees here, let alone eight), so I’ll choose Hoffman. I haven’t seen season 2 of “Transparent” to know what she does or doesn’t do on there, but the reviews I’ve read single out Light over her. Going against someone with double nods last year is risky (and she could very well do it again this year), but whatever. A vote’s a vote.

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    Anonymous
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    #368195
    This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.
    Riley Chow
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    #368196

    Modern Family did get a WGA nomination this year, but it had its weakest showing ever.  Last year was the first time that it was snubbed for series, but it got two episode nominations.  It got one this year.

    Not sure whether Burrell and Bowen will make it all the way, but I am generally of the opinion that things fall out eventually, especially with a show that will have as long a run as Modern Family.

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    AayaanUpadhyaya
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    #368198

    Modern Family did get a WGA nomination this year, but it had its weakest showing ever.  Last year was the first time that it was snubbed for series, but it got two episode nominations.  It got one this year.

    Not sure whether Burrell and Bowen will make it all the way, but I am generally of the opinion that things fall out eventually, especially with a show that will have as long a run as Modern Family.

    Exactly. Also, MF has a pattern of losing acting nods every year for the past three years. If that pattern continues, It has to be Bowen this year. MF has majorly lost support and, with Stonestreet getting snubbed after winning his second in 2012 (despite continued SAG nods), I don’t see how Bowen gets in this year with such minimal support. Also SAG dropped her this year as well.   

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