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Who is the most likely to sweep the Winter Drama Actress Awards?

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Who is the most likely to sweep the Winter Drama Actress Awards?
Michaela Coel, I May Destroy You
Olivia Colman, The Crown
Laura Linney, Ozark
Sarah Paulson, Ratched
Other (please comment who)
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    wolfali
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    So I was trying to make my predictions for the Globes and I felt confident in most categories apart from Drama Actress. Then when I looked at SAG and the possibility that 4 slots are taken by two Ozark and two The Crown actresses and therefore a vote split might potentially occur I found predicting the equivalent category even more difficult.

    Who do you think is the most likely to sweep/who do you think will win at SAG, the Globes or CC?

    Michaela Coel – Breakout hit, show being praised to the mountains by practically everyone, people like Adele, Jane Fonda, Natasha Lyonne and Seth Rogen are fans of it. The only thing that may hurt her is the abysmall viewership on HBO and the fact that she may not be competing in Drama.

    Olivia Colman – At the moment it looks like her show is going to win SAG ensemble and the Drama Series Globe if it lives up to the hype. She’s gone 3-3 at the Globes, has a last chance narrative here and is set to have super baity material this season (more baity than not only Colman’s material this year but also Foy’s material in season 1 and her Emmy winning material in season 2). A majority of television critics stated they were underwhelmed by her performance due to her not being in season 3 so much so if she’s in season 4 more she could also have critical backing. She may face trouble at SAG if Gillian Anderson is nominated.

    Laura Linney – Her performance in Ozark season 3 is being praised as her career best. She could win the Emmy but even if she does she may find it hard winning the Globe considering how her show seems to be having the same issues there The Americans did early on in its run. She may also face trouble at SAG if Julia Garner is nominated again.

    Sarah Paulson – HFPA darling who has been nominated for almost all of her (non AHS) TV performances including those in cancelled shows. This performance is being hyped up as her career best and she could benefit (if nominated at SAG) from two vote-splits. The only thing that may hurt her is if her show is badly received.

    Other – What if it’s none of these? Who would it be? I think Jurnee Smollett-Bell and Tatiana Maslany are non-starters here due to how their shows either faded in critical and audience acclaim (the former) or how their shows underwhelmed in quality and buzz (the latter). Unless one of them wins the Emmy I doubt Jodie or Sandra will sweep either. But if you vote for this option who do you think will be the most likely?

    DISCUSS!

    FYC OSCARS : VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", GLENN CLOSE FOR "HILLBILLY ELEGY", ANTHONY HOPKINS FOR "THE FATHER", CHADWICK BOSEMAN FOR "MA RAINEY'S BLACK BOTTOM", PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN (BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY).

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    wolfali
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    People voting Linney are you voting assuming she’ll sweep after winning the Emmy or are you voting assuming she’ll sweep nonetheless?

    If the latter please elaborate why.

    FYC OSCARS : VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", GLENN CLOSE FOR "HILLBILLY ELEGY", ANTHONY HOPKINS FOR "THE FATHER", CHADWICK BOSEMAN FOR "MA RAINEY'S BLACK BOTTOM", PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN (BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY).

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