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Who will be this year's big upset?

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    #1201909367
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    GusCruz
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    #1201911147

    Okay, so I had to go back TWELVE years in time to find a ceremony when all the acting winners (lead and supporting) for drama and comedy series came from season two onward. The past twelve ceremonies had at least ONE acting winner from his or her show’s first season. So, if it’s Spacey/Davis/Harington/Smith/JLD/Tambor/Janney/Hale as consensus seems to believe, that would be an exception. The cliche about how they like to repeat themselves is mostly true, but they also like to welcome a (usually just one) new performance with an award. It’s either Malek or Anderson this year IMO.

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    Anthony 🐜
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    #1201911519

    Downton Abbey.

    It boggles my mind how everybody and their momma knows how beloved this show is, yet nobody sees a shocking win coming. Critics have been advocating FOR YEARS how much American voters love Downton (Emmy and Screen Actors Guild voters), yet the year when voters would be inclined to possible vote for it, critics want to act like it’s just another Drama show ending.

    – Even though it has that important Writing/Directing/Casting combo of nominations.
    – Maggie Smith is the most high profile member of the ensemble, she is the only performer from the ensemble to win an acting Emmy for the show, so of course she would be the one to return.
    – Julian Fellowes. He might not be revered by Emmy bloggers, but among the general television and film fraternity, he is admired.
    – 3 Screen Actor’s Guild Ensemble Award wins, in the same voting structure the Emmys use now, a straight vote.

    I am lost.

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    DCurrie
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    #1201911538

    Anthony Anderson will win. I feel it in my soul

    I feel it, too!

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    Riley Chow
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    #1201911767

    Downton Abbey. It boggles my mind how everybody and their momma knows how beloved this show is, yet nobody sees a shocking win coming. Critics have been advocating FOR YEARS how much American voters love Downton (Emmy and Screen Actors Guild voters), yet the year when voters would be inclined to possible vote for it, critics want to act like it’s just another Drama show ending. […] I am lost.

    So there is this show called Game of Thrones

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    mlc2005
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    #1201911843

    I’m also feeling a Anthony Anderson win this year, and as much as I love trans parent, and some of the other comedies listed, and even though I don’t regularly watch blackish, I do think Anthony Anderson would be a deserving winner.

    I also have this gut feeling that Laurie Metcalf may continue her winning streak against JLD, who has never been able to take Metcalf out. I think Metcalf will shock everyone and win for “Getting On.”

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    Sheldon Wiebe
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    #1201911851

    I have no idea here, but if I could choose one big upset it would Tatiana Maslany as Female Lead, Drama for Orphan Black.

     

    No one else in the category faces the challenges she surmounts with such seeming ease every week.

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    FNLFan89
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    #1201911873

    The Night Manager for Mini/Movie Writing. If the ranking system was still in place, I wouldn’t predict it. Because voters now only pick the winner, I think there will be enough vote-splitting between the 3 O.J. episodes and the 2 Fargo episodes for the Night Manager to win. Plus, the Writing branch loves the Brits and, like Sherlock back in 2014, this is the place where the voters can reward the show. The only other place where The Night Manager has a shot would be Hugh Laurie for Mini/Movie Supporting Actor. However, since he’s currently in second place in the combined GD odds (behind only Sterling K. Brown), that’s not much of an upset.

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    GusCruz
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    #1201911900

    If Spacey and Wright both win (I don’t believe, but…), HoC could have a chance at winning Series despite missing some key categories.

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    FilmGuy619
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    #1201911937

    I think a Kate McKinnon win isn’t out of the question. She’s having a pretty big year since she also received MVP notices for Ghostbusters. A win could mirror that of her Ghostbusters co-star Melissa McCarthy who won the year she had Bridesmaids, another Paul Feig comedy.

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    AayaanUpadhyaya
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    #1201911943

    I am convinced Janney is losing her category, I’m just not sure whether its Mckinnon who wins or Judith Light.

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    GusCruz
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    #1201911946

    A win could mirror that of her Ghostbusters co-star Melissa McCarthy who won the year she had Bridesmaids, another Paul Feig comedy.

    McCarthy went on to get an Oscar nomination, which isn’t going to happen with McKinnon, we can all agree. Plus, it’s easier to win with a new comedy than with SNL.

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    AayaanUpadhyaya
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    #1201911948

    A win could mirror that of her Ghostbusters co-star Melissa McCarthy who won the year she had Bridesmaids, another Paul Feig comedy.

    McCarthy went on to get an Oscar nomination, which isn’t going to happen with McKinnon, we can all agree. Plus, it’s easier to win with a new comedy than with SNL.

    I believe the new system of not ranking the performers makes it easier for SNL to win here. Anyone who doesn’t want to reward a SNL player here can no longer rank them 4, 5 or 6 to bring their total down.

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    Sam K
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    #1201916240

    Don’t be surprised if David Schwimmer wins Movie/Mini Supporting Actor

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