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    hopelesstar
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    #1203562966

    I don’t understand what you’re trying to say? It’s almost like you’re agreeing in the second half of your statement?

    To be honest I have Bateman in my top 6 for Directing because the fact he’s Bateman and won last year kind of helps him.

    See what I said about Battlestar Galactica and Buffy the Vampire Slayer. This doesn’t only happen in Limited Series.

    But your comparison with Buffy The Vampire Slayer stays invalid. The show only got nominated in Writing. Not in both it and directing, unlike your prediction for The Outsider, and you are not even predicting it in the last place of both categories on top of that.

    Regarding Battlestar Galactica, the only year it got nominated in both was when Directing got 7 nominees, while drama series only 5. Twin Peaks shared a similar fate. It got a writing nom in a category of 6 nominees and a directing nom in a category of 7 while Limited Series only had 5 nominees. Therefore, it’s easy to assume Twin Peaks was at the bottom of those categories and not among the top 5 in either of them, provoking a snub in Series.

    To go back to The Outsider, again, I don’t see how the show can be liked enough by both the writing and directing branch to be nominated in Writing and Directing (and not even at the bottom of those categories according to your, and others, predictions) but end up being snubbed in Series, when Series/Writing/Directing share the same exact amount of nominees.

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    DvirBA
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    #1203563094

    I just want Jonathan Nolan to get a nomination. Doesn’t really matter in which category haha

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    jacob121
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    #1203563163

    I’m rooting for a shocking Sam Esmail breakthrough.

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    sofan
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    #1203563404

    Now that the ballots are out, let me have a crack at predicting these categories! (I’ve been delaying these). I’m not sure about the official number of nominees each category will have so I’m going with a top 10 in each category.

    Outstanding Writing for a Comedy Series 

    1. The Good Place – Whenever You’re Ready
    2. Schitt’s Creek – Happy Ending
    3. Schitt’s Creek – Presidential Suite
    4. The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel – It’s Comedy or Cabbage
    5. Dave – Hype Man
    6. Curb Your Enthusiasm – Happy New Year
    7. Dead to Me – It’s Not You, It’s Me
    8. The Great – The Great
    9. Silicon Valley – Exit Event
    10. Avenue 5 – This is Physically Hurting Me

    Outstanding Writing for a Drama Series

    1. Succession – This is Not for Tears
    2. Better Call Saul – *insert the most acclaimed episode here*
    3. The Crown – Aberfan
    4. The Morning Show – The Interview
    5. Ozark – Fire Pink
    6. The Handmaid’s Tale – Mayday
    7. Stranger Things – Chapter Eight: The Battle of Starcourt
    8. Black Mirror – Smeethereens
    9. David Makes Man – 3 Son’s Sky
    10. Mindhunter – Episode 3

    Outstanding Writing for a Limited Series, TV Movie, or Dramatic Special  

    1. Watchmen – The Extraordinary Being 
    2. Unbelievable – Episode 1
    3. Mrs. America – Houston
    4. Quiz
    5. Years & Years
    6. Mrs. America – Betty 
    7. Mrs. America – Phyllis & Fred & Brenda & Marc 
    8. Bad Education
    9. Little Fires Everywhere – The Spark
    10. Normal People – Episode 3 
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    sofan
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    #1203563482

    Outstanding Directing for a Comedy Series 

    1. The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel – It’s Comedy or Cabbage 
    2. The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel – Marvelous Radio
    3. Will & Grace – We Love Lucy
    4. Curb Your Enthusiasm – Happy New Year
    5. The Good Place – Whenever You’re Ready
    6. The Great – The Great 
    7. Modern Family – Finale Part 2 
    8. Schitt’s Creek – Happy Ending
    9. Silicon Valley – Exit Event
    10. Dickinson – Wild Nights

    Outstanding Directing for a Drama Series 

    1. The Crown – Aberfan 
    2. Ozark – Fire Pink
    3. Succession – This is Not For Tears
    4. The Handmaid’s Tale – Mayday 
    5. The Morning Show – The Interview
    6. Homeland – Prisoners of War
    7. Better Call Saul – Bagman 
    8. Stranger Things – Chapter Eight: The Battle of Starcourt
    9. Westworld – Parce Domine
    10. On Becoming A God In Central Florida – The Gloomy-Zoomies

    Outstanding Directing for a Limited Series, TV Movie, or a Dramatic Special 

    1. Watchmen – It’s Summer and We’re Running Out of Ice 
    2. Watchmen – This Extraordinary Being
    3. Watchmen – Little Fear of Lightning
    4. Watchmen – See How They Fly
    5. Mrs. America – Reagan 
    6. Mrs. America – Houston 
    7. The Eddy – Elliot 
    8. Unbelievable – Episode 1 
    9. Little Fires Everywhere – Find a Way 
    10. The Loudest Voice – 2008 
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    Riley Chow
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    #1203563738

    OUTSTANDING WRITING FOR A DRAMA SERIES:
    1. Succession: Jesse Armstrong, “This is Not for Tears”
    2. The Crown: Peter Morgan, “Aberfan”
    3. Better Call Saul: Gordon Smith, “Bagman”
    4. Mindhunter: Joshua Donen & Phillip Howze & Courtenay Miles, “Episode 3”
    5. Better Call Saul: Thomas Schnauz, “Bad Choice Road”
    6. The Outsider: Richard Price, “Fish in a Barrel”
    7. The Handmaid’s Tale: Yahlin Chang, “Liars”

    8. The Handmaid’s Tale: Bruce Miller, “Mayday”
    9. Better Call Saul: Peter Gould & Ariel Levine, “Something Unforgivable”
    10. Ozark: Miki Johnson, “Fire Pink”

    OUTSTANDING DIRECTING FOR A DRAMA SERIES:
    1. Succession: Mark Mylod, “This is Not for Tears”
    2. The Crown: Benjamin Caron, “Aberfan”
    3. Ozark: Alik Sakharov, “Fire Pink”
    4. The Outsider: Jason Bateman, “Fish in a Barrel”
    5. Homeland: Lesli Linka Glatter, “Prisoners of War”
    6. Ozark: Ben Semanoff, “Su Casa Es Mi Casa”
    7. Succession: Andrij Parekh, “Hunting”
    8. Better Call Saul: Vince Gilligan, “Bagman”

    9. Mindhunter: David Fincher, “Episode 2”
    10. The Mandalorian: Taika Waititi, “Redemption”

    OUTSTANDING WRITING FOR A COMEDY SERIES:
    1. The Good Place: Michael Schur, “Whenever You’re Ready”
    2. Schitt’s Creek: Daniel Levy, “Happy Ending”
    3. Dave: Saladin K. Patterson, “Hype Man”
    4. Schitt’s Creek: David West Read, “The Presidential Suite”
    5. Sex Education: Laurie Nunn, “Episode 1″
    6. Better Things: Joe Hortua & Ira Parker, “Batceñera”
    7. Dave: Dave Burd & Jeff Schaffer, “The Gander”

    8. Silicon Valley: Alec Berg, “Exit Event”
    9. The End Of The F***ing World: Charlie Covell, “Episode 2”
    10. Curb Your Enthusiasm: Larry David & Jeff Schaffer & Steve Leff, “Happy New Year”

    OUTSTANDING DIRECTING FOR A COMEDY SERIES:
    1. The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel: Amy Sherman-Palladino, “It’s Comedy or Cabbage”
    2. The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel: Daniel Palladino, “Marvelous Radio”
    3. Schitt’s Creek: Andrew Cividino & Daniel Levy, “Happy Ending”
    4. Silicon Valley: Mike Judge, “Artificial Lack of Intelligence”
    5. One Day at a Time: Phil Lewis, “Boundaries”
    6. Dave: Greg Mottola, “The Gander”
    7. Better Things: Pamela Adlon, “Listen to the Roosters”

    8. Will & Grace: James Burrows, “We Love Lucy”
    9. Curb Your Enthusiasm: Jeff Schaffer, “Happy New Year”
    10. Dave: Tony Yacenda, “Jail”

    OUTSTANDING WRITING FOR A LIMITED SERIES OR MOVIE:
    1. Watchmen: Damon Lindelof & Cord Jefferson, “This Extraordinary Being”
    2. Unbelievable: Susannah Grant & Michael Chabon & Ayelet Waldman, “Episode 1”
    3. Mrs. America: Dahvi Waller, “Houston”
    4. Mrs. America: Tanya Barfield, “Shirley”
    5. Quiz: James Graham, “Episodes 1–3”

    6. Unorthodox: Anna Winger, “Part 1”
    7. Mrs. America: Boo Killebrew, “Betty”
    8. Mrs. America: Micah Schraft & April Shih, “Phyllis & Fred & Brenda & Marc”
    9. Normal People: Sally Rooney & Alice Birch, “Episode 3”
    10. The Plot Against America: Ed Burns & David Simon, “Part 2”

    OUTSTANDING DIRECTING FOR A LIMITED SERIES OR MOVIE:
    1. Watchmen: Nicole Kassell, “It’s Summer and We’re Running Out of Ice”
    2. Watchmen: Stephen Williams, “This Extraordinary Being”
    3. Mrs. America: Anna Boden & Ryan Fleck, “Reagan”
    4. Mrs. America: Amma Asante, “Shirley”
    5. Watchmen: Frederick E.O. Toye, “See How They Fly”
    6. Little Fires Everywhere: Lynn Shelton, “Find a Way”

    7. El Camino: Vince Gilligan, “A Breaking Bad Movie”
    8. Unorthodox: Maria Schrader, “Parts 1–4”
    9. Normal People: Lenny Abrahamson, “Episode 5”
    10. Defending Jacob: Morten Tyldum, Miniseries

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    wolfali
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    #1203563748

    I totally agree with these predictions.

    Although what makes you put The Mandalorian in your top 10 ahead of The Crown and The End of the F*****g World ahead of Maisel?

    Outstanding Writing for a Drama Series

    1. Succession – This is Not for Tears
    2. Better Call Saul – *insert the most acclaimed episode here*
    3. The Crown – Aberfan
    4. The Morning Show – The Interview
    5. Ozark – Fire Pink
    6. The Handmaid’s Tale – Mayday
    7. Stranger Things – Chapter Eight: The Battle of Starcourt
    8. Black Mirror – Smeethereens
    9. David Makes Man – 3 Son’s Sky
    10. Mindhunter – Episode 3

    Outstanding Writing for a Limited Series, TV Movie, or Dramatic Special

    1. Watchmen – The Extraordinary Being
    2. Unbelievable – Episode 1
    3. Mrs. America – Houston
    4. Quiz
    5. Years & Years
    6. Mrs. America – Betty
    7. Mrs. America – Phyllis & Fred & Brenda & Marc
    8. Bad Education
    9. Little Fires Everywhere – The Spark
    10. Normal People – Episode 3

    I’d love to see Years and Years happen but I don’t think it can 🙁

    The Morning Show, Black Mirror and David Makes Man aren’t happening in Writing though.

    FYC OSCARS : VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", AMANDA SEYFRIED FOR "MANK", CHADWICK BOSEMAN FOR "MA RAINEY'S BLACK BOTTOM", PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN (BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY).

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    boss
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    #1203563807

    The End of the F*****g World‘s second season was yet another show attempting to expand its single season premise by focusing on aftermath of the season finale and failing, see Dead to Me, Big Little Lies, Killing Eve,Run post-pilot. If it had reached its season one quality the show would deserve a series nomination as well.

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    wilfredpickles
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    #1203563832

    I feel like I’ve gone super boring with these predictions:

    **Alphabetical order only. Episode titles are only used if the show submitted more than one and I’m not predicting all of them.

    WRITING

    Comedy

    1) Better Things

    2) The Good Place

    3) The Great

    4/5) Marvelous Mrs Maisel x2

    6/7) Schitt’s Creek x2

    Spoiler: Silicon Valley)

    Drama

    1) Better Call Saul (“Bagman”)

    2) The Crown

    3) The Handmaid’s Tale (“Mayday”)

    4) The Morning Show

    5/6) Ozark x2 (“Fire Pink; “All In”)

    7) Succession

    Spoiler: Mindhunter

    Limited

    1-2) Mrs America x2 (“Houston”; “Phyllis & Fred & Brenda & Marc”)

    3) Normal People

    4) Unbelievable

    5) Unorthodox

    6) Watchmen

    Spoiler: Quiz

    DIRECTING

    Comedy

    1) Better Things

    2) Curb Your Enthusiasm (“Happy New Year”)

    3) The Good Place

    4/5) Marvelous Mrs Maisel

    6) Ramy

    7) Schitt’s Creek

    Spoiler: The Great (“Pilot”)

    Drama

    1) Better Call Saul (“Bagman”)

    2) The Crown (“Aberfan”)

    3) The Handmaid’s Tale (“Mayday”)

    4) Homeland (“Prisoners of War”)

    5) The Outsider (“Fish in a Barrel”)

    6) Ozark (“Fire Pink”)

    7) Succession (“This Is Not For Tears”)

    8) Succession (“Hunting”)

    Spoiler: Ozark (“Su Casa Es Mi Casa”)

    Limited

    1) Little Fires Everywhere

    2/3) Mrs America (“Houston”; “Reagan”)

    4-6) Watchmen (“It’s Summer And We’re Running Out Of Ice”, “See How They Fly”; “This Extraordinary Being”)

    Spoiler: Unbelievable (“Episode 1”)

     

    Hopefully the number of nominees per category is right.

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    Riley Chow
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    #1203563862

    The End of the F***ing World did even better at BAFTA for its second season, despite continuing to compete in drama there, so I could see the British bloc carrying it. Comedy writing and directing (and editing) were so easy to predict for years, but we have gotten past that Atlanta/Barry/Master of None/Silicon Valley/Veep domination and nothing has assumed the mantle, which means that we are returning to the mode of the writers’ branch making eccentric choices, like Catastrophe and Community. We saw this with PEN15 last year. I have Sex Education in for now, but The End of the F***ing World could be that.

    Directing is trickier because they are much more of an old boys’ club, so shows like those two do not have a chance. I have Mike Judge as a Tim Van Patten equivalent. I would love to slot in a second Dave because that show has that Atlanta/Barry/Master of None/Silicon Valley/Veep potential, but none of those were able to get a second directing nomination right out of the gate. Curb Your Enthusiasm is tempting, but as I said recently, I am thinking that that show has graduated to the later-years Modern Family territory where it is a nonstarter in writing/directing/editing. Alec Berg is tempting, but Silicon Valley is really not at a place where it can pick up multiple directing nominations and Berg was not even nominated at DGA for Barry.

    The Great and Ramy are tempting, but again, the directors’ branch is not really that adventurous, so I cannot predict them unless I add them to series. The Good Place seems to be a popular choice, but not only has the directors’ branch ignored finales like The Americans, Friday Night Lights, Mad Men, The Office, Parks and Recreation and Veep, but I think that we need to be careful not to over-predict The Good Place. I feel like we all have forgotten how hard it flopped at the year-end awards a few months ago, being dropped suddenly by all of PGA, WGA, Critics’ Choice and the Globes.

    The Mandalorian is a wildcard. There is not much more to say about that. Drama directing is more competitive after the ballot. “Bagman” now seems really sketchy. It also pushed “Cri de Coeur” out of my top ten. Did not expect that an incumbent winner submitting a second episode would be too tall an order, but here we are.

    Dan Attias using his free submission on Homeland instead of The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel is obviously a huge mistake, but having said that, Showtime did not end up submitting Michael Cuesta despite campaigning him, so Attias is a strong second for Homeland, having been DGA-nominated for it previously. He is within the realm of possibility. Attias has now been nominated five times by the DGA for episodes/seasons that the Emmys snubbed him (including a win), so you would think that this would boil over at some point to being Emmy-nominated for something other than Entourage, which he was snubbed for at DGA ironically.

    I do not know what to do with The Handmaid’s Tale submitting its two best episodes in writing. They seem equally likely to get nominated and they both reasonably should be able to, but this is also the wrong point in The Handmaid’s Tale‘s trajectory for it to be getting a second nomination, like I mentioned with Dave and Silicon Valley above. I actually rank “Liars” ahead of “Mayday”, as I do not buy that “Mayday” is a much more striking title if at all. “Liars” has a slightly better ballot description if you ask me and the writers’ branch is so discerning that I think if you give them two equal episodes and one of them is the finale, then might choose the opposite of what would be the default for everyone else.

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    boss
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    #1203563880

    Atlanta/Barry/Master of None/Silicon Valley/Veep domination

    I expect this type of domination to happen with Watchmen and Mrs. America. Previous contenders were not able to submit multiple episodes in limited series writing/directing categories, so we have not been observing it recently but it happened with The People v. O.J. Simpson and Fargo S2.

    By the way, you’re right with comedy directing being loyal to comedy series lineup. Last time, a non-series nominee was nominated(excluding multicam rule) it was the first season of The Last Man on Earth. I also think The Great is watched more than Ramy.

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    sofan
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    #1203563898

    I’d love to see Years and Years happen but I don’t think it can

    I don’t know the category felt empty enough for a surprise nomination.

    The Morning Show, Black Mirror and David Makes Man aren’t happening in Writing though.

    How many people saw PEN15 happening last year? I wanted to predict something “outside the box” with DMM. But I believe TMM will happen. And Charlie Booker won 2 writing Emmys for Black Mirror, I thought it’d be reckless not to at least consider him.

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    wilfredpickles
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    #1203563948

    Last time, a non-series nominee was nominated(excluding multicam rule) it was the first season of The Last Man on Earth

    I always forget the stupid multi cam rule. I think you’re right about The Great vs Ramy as well, and I’m only predicting the former for Series. I’ll take Curb and Ramy out of Directing and sub in The Great and Will and Grace

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    wolfali
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    #1203564998

    I think if Maisel and Ozark end up getting two writing nominations there’s no question about what shows will win Series (especially if Schitt’s fails to make a dent in Directing and Succession fails to make a dent in acting).

    FYC OSCARS : VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", AMANDA SEYFRIED FOR "MANK", CHADWICK BOSEMAN FOR "MA RAINEY'S BLACK BOTTOM", PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN (BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY).

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    Heptapod
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    #1203565857

    Now that we have the ballots.

    COMEDY WRITING:
    Dead to Me – “It’s Not You, It’s Me”
    The Good Place – “Whenever You’re Ready”
    The Great – “The Great”
    The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel – “It’s Comedy or Cabbage”
    ***Schitt’s Creek – “Happy Ending”
    Schitt’s Creek – “The Presidential Suite”
    Sex Education – “Episode 1”

    DRAMA WRITING:
    Better Call Saul – “Bagman”
    The Crown – “Aberfan”
    The Handmaid’s Tale – “Mayday”
    Mindhunter – “Episode 3”
    Ozark – “Fire Pink”
    Stranger Things – “Chapter Eight: The Battle of Starcourt”
    ***Succession – “This Is Not for Tears”

    LIMITED WRITING:
    Mrs. America – “Houston”
    Mrs. America – “Phyllis & Fred & Brenda & Marc”
    The Plot Against America – “Part 2”
    Normal People – “Episode 3”
    Unbelievable – “Episode 1”
    ***Watchmen – “This Extraordinary Being”

    COMEDY DIRECTING:
    The Good Place – “Whenever You’re Ready”
    The Great – “The Beaver’s Nose”
    The Great – “The Great”
    ***The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel – “It’s Comedy or Cabbage”
    The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel – “Marvelous Radio”
    Silicon Valley – “Exit Event”
    Will & Grace – “We Love Lucy”

    DRAMA DIRECTING:
    The Crown – “Aberfan”

    The Crown – “Cri de Coeur”
    The Handmaid’s Tale – “Bear Witness”
    Homeland – “Prisoners of War”
    Ozark – “Fire Pink”
    Stranger Things – “Chapter Eight: The Battle of Starcourt”
    Succession – “Hunting”
    ***Succession – “This Is Not for Tears”

    LIMITED DIRECTING:
    Little Fires Everywhere – “Find a Way”
    Mrs. America – “Houston”
    Mrs. America – “Reagan”
    ***Watchmen – “It’s Summer and We’re Running Out of Ice”
    Watchmen – “Little Fear of Lightning”
    Watchmen – “This Extraordinary Being”

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