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2019 Tony Awards Predictions Center Now Active

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  • 24fanatic
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    Does anyone here actually know of any Tony voters or have heard what they have or haven’t been responding to??

    Based on last year, with the snubbing of Spongebob (who should have easily won Lead Actor) and Mean Girls (most losses ever at the Tonys)… plus Frozen underperforming… it seems like voters took a harsh stance against popular movie/tv to Broadway adaptations. I mean… A Band’s Visit didn’t deserve a double-digit win tally. It’s not going down in the history of musicals as one of the best ever, yet it won more than most of those have. Given that, I would be inclined to think that Hadestown or The Prom have the ultimate edge over Tootsie in Best Musical. Why in a year where there are 2 critically-acclaimed original musicals and another fan-favorite original (Be More Chill) would they choose a popular movie adaptation over those 3, especially after last year???

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    Djoko
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    #1202869568

    Does anyone here actually know of any Tony voters or have heard what they have or haven’t been responding to??

    Based on last year, with the snubbing of Spongebob (who should have easily won Lead Actor) and Mean Girls (most losses ever at the Tonys)… plus Frozen underperforming… it seems like voters took a harsh stance against popular movie/tv to Broadway adaptations. I mean… A Band’s Visit didn’t deserve a double-digit win tally. It’s not going down in the history of musicals as one of the best ever, yet it won more than most of those have. Given that, I would be inclined to think that Hadestown or The Prom have the ultimate edge over Tootsie in Best Musical. Why in a year where there are 2 critically-acclaimed original musicals and another fan-favorite original (Be More Chill) would they choose a popular movie adaptation over those 3, especially after last year???

    When it comes to the nominations we never really get a sense of what they’re thinking because it’s voted on by a much smaller committee. We’ll know more about what they’re thinking closer to the actual awards show. Of course, the NY Times Tony Voters poll is the gold standard, but that doesn’t come out until the Friday before the awards.

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    Jeffrey Kare
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    #1202869577

    Does anyone here actually know of any Tony voters or have heard what they have or haven’t been responding to??

    Based on last year, with the snubbing of Spongebob (who should have easily won Lead Actor) and Mean Girls (most losses ever at the Tonys)… plus Frozen underperforming… it seems like voters took a harsh stance against popular movie/tv to Broadway adaptations. I mean… A Band’s Visit didn’t deserve a double-digit win tally.

    Mean Girls actually tied with The Scottsboro Boys as the biggest losing production in Tony history. I guess producers need to avoid using boys/girls in the titles of their musicals.

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    Anton Spivack
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    #1202869692

    And neither Hadestown nor Be More Chill is entirely original, the former is based on the myth of Orpheus and Eurydice and the latter is adapted from a young adult novel.

    Perhaps if there were more new musicals last season, The Band’s Visit would likely have not won so many Tonys.

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    Jeffrey Kare
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    It does appear nowadays that people have different criteria for what originality is suppose to be. There are some musicals that are completely original and not based on any pre-existing source material (The Book of Mormon, Come From Away, and Dear Evan Hansen). There are other musicals that are based on some pre-existing source material, yet the way they’re presented theatrically are very original (Once, Fun Home, Hamilton, and The Band’s Visit).

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    Xander Cassel
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    #1202870277

    Read Hadestown’s reviews then read Tootsie’s. One received mixed while the other got pretty darn close to universal raves. Teenie bopper fans don’t count for very much.

    You’re a moron.

     

    How are we feeling about Beetlejuice? The reviews have improved–is that enough to get it to the Tonys?

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    Jeffrey Kare
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    #1202870328

    I have Beetlejuice receiving two nominations for lighting design, scenic design, and nothing else. Though costume design is definitely possible.

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    EmmyWinner
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    I saw Tootsie yesterday and OMG I had a blast!

    Santino is amazing, he is easily winning the Tony and Sarah Stiles is a riot.

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    Awardsfan1990
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    Costume design for Beetlejuice is a given, because it’s William Ivey Long, and it’s obvious he’s the Meryl Streep of Broadway costume designers, meaning he can pretty much do no wrong with them. He may not always win, but because he’s William Ivey Long, he will almost always be nominated.

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    adamunc
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    I saw Tootsie yesterday and OMG I had a blast!

    Santino is amazing, he is easily winning the Tony and Sarah Stiles is a riot.

    Saw it yesterday too and feel the same. Santino is a shoo-in, as is the screamingly funny book. Still going with Hadestown for Best Musical.

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    Anton Spivack
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    #1202870447

    And Alex Brightman could easily be nominated for Best Actor.

    Gettin’ the Band Back Together was touted as “a completely original musical” (just before each performance began) but even though it wasn’t an adaptation the consensus was that it was too cliched to be original.  The Prom was also original but didn’t need to promote itself as such.  Ken Davenport could easily be the next David Merrick.

    • This reply was modified 3 months, 3 weeks ago by  Anton Spivack.
    • This reply was modified 3 months, 3 weeks ago by  Anton Spivack.
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    Xander Cassel
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    And Alex Brightman could easily be nominated for Best Actor.

    I have him in fifth place now, after Fontana, Daunno, Ashmanskas, and Baskin

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    FreemanGriffin
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    My goal is to get 80% correct in my predictions this year. I feel very confident in some categories and less so in others, especially the featured acting categories, which are really difficult this year!

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    Djoko
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    #1202870925

    And where are the out and out raves for Hadestown?! You found nice pull quotes. But those are NOT raves.

    Of course they’re not raves, I was posting SOME OF the bad/mixed reviews Tootsie got since you said it only got “universal raves.” I can post more if you’d like.

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    24fanatic
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    Who is going to be the biggest surprise and the biggest snub???

    Biggest surprises:

    6 nominees in Lead Actor in a Play

    Lots of Be More Chill love.

    Choir Boy gets major noms in Play and Actor.

    Oklahoma gets 6 acting noms.

    Head Over Heels gets some major noms (Featured Actress and Book)

    Biggest snubs:

    Annette Bening (All My Sons)

    Patrick Page (Hadestown)

    The Ferryman underperforms in acting categories

    Kiss Me Kate underperforms

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