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  • thatnerdgreg
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    #1202872708

    Patrick Page (Hadestown)

    Can you explain why you think Page is going to be snubbed? I find that very curious since most people agree that he’s the front runner, and a very deserving one at that

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    Jeffrey Kare
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    #1202872752

    Here are my final predictions for each of the categories Gold Derby is letting us predict nominations for.

    Best Musical:
    Ain’t Too Proud
    Be More Chill
    Hadestown
    The Prom
    Tootsie

    What Could Sneak In?: The Cher Show

    Best Play:
    Choir Boy
    The Ferryman
    Ink
    To Kill a Mockingbird
    What the Constitution Means to Me

    What Could Sneak In?: Gary: A Sequel to Titus Andronicus

    Best Revival of a Musical:
    Kiss Me, Kate
    Oklahoma!

    What Could Sneak In?: None

    Best Revival of a Play:
    All My Sons
    The Boys in the Band
    Burn This
    The Waverly Gallery

    What Could Sneak In?: Torch Song

    Best Performance By a Leading Actor in a Musical:
    Brooks Ashmanskas-The Prom
    Derrick Baskin-Ain’t Too Proud
    Reeve Carney-Hadestown
    Damon Daunno-Oklahoma!
    Santino Fontana-Tootsie

    Who Could Sneak In?: Will Chase-Kiss Me, Kate

    Best Performance By a Leading Actress in a Musical:
    Stephanie J. Block-The Cher Show
    Rebecca Naomi Jones-Oklahoma!
    Beth Leavel-The Prom
    Eva Noblezada-Hadestown
    Kelli O’Hara-Kiss Me, Kate

    Who Could Sneak In?: Samantha Barks-Pretty Woman

    Best Performance By a Leading Actor in a Play:
    Paddy Considine-The Ferryman
    Bryan Cranston-Network
    Jeff Daniels-To Kill a Mockingbird
    Tracy Letts-All My Sons
    Jeremy Pope-Choir Boy

    Who Could Sneak In?: Adam Driver-Burn This

    Best Performance By a Leading Actress in a Play:
    Annette Bening-All My Sons
    Laura Donnelly-The Ferryman
    Glenda Jackson-King Lear
    Elaine May-The Waverly Gallery
    Laurie Metcalf-Hillary & Clinton

    Who Could Sneak In?: Heidi Schreck-What the Constitution Means to Me

    Best Performance By a Featured Actor in a Musical:
    Corbin Bleu-Kiss Me, Kate
    André De Shields-Hadestown
    Patrick Page-Hadestown
    George Salazar-Be More Chill
    Christopher Sieber-The Prom

    Who Could Sneak In?: Patrick Vaill-Oklahoma!

    Best Performance By a Featured Actress in a Musical:
    Amber Gray-Hadestown
    Sarah Stiles-Tootsie
    Ali Stroker-Oklahoma!
    Stephanie Styles-Kiss Me, Kate
    Mary Testa-Oklahoma!

    Who Could Sneak In?: Bonnie Milligan-Head Over Heels

    Best Performance By a Featured Actor in a Play:
    Gbenga Akinnagbe-To Kill a Mockingbird
    Bertie Carvel-Ink
    Tom Glynn-Carney-The Ferryman
    Brandon Uranowtiz-Burn This
    Benjamin Walker-All My Sons

    Who Could Sneak In?: Robin De Jesús-The Boys in the Band

    Best Performance By a Featured Actress in a Play:
    Joan Allen-The Waverly Gallery
    Fionnula Flanagan-The Ferryman
    Celia Keenan-Bolger-To Kill a Mockingbird
    Dearbhla Molloy-The Ferryman
    Ruth Wilson-King Lear

    Who Could Sneak In?: Julie White-Gary: A Sequel to Titus Andronicus

    Best Direction of a Musical:
    Rachel Chavkin-Hadestown
    Scott Ellis-Kiss Me, Kate
    Scott Ellis-Tootsie
    Daniel Fish-Oklahoma!
    Casey Nicholaw-The Prom

    Who Could Sneak In?: Des McAnuff-Ain’t Too Proud

    Best Direction of a Play:
    Rupert Goold-Ink
    Sam Mendes-The Ferryman
    Lila Neugebauer-The Waverly Gallery
    Jack O’Brien-All My Sons
    Bartlett Sher-To Kill a Mockingbird

    Who Could Sneak In?: George C. Wolfe-Gary: A Sequel to Titus Andronicus

    Best Original Score:
    Be More Chill-Music & Lyrics By Joe Iconis
    Hadestown-Music & Lyrics By Anaïs Mitchell
    King Lear-Music By Philip Glass
    The Prom-Music By Matthew Sklar, Lyrics By Chad Beguelin
    Tootsie-Music & Lyrics By David Yazbek

    What Could Sneak In?: Nothing

    Best Book of a Musical:
    Ain’t Too Proud-Dominique Morisseau
    Be More Chill-Joe Tracz
    Hadestown-Anaïs Mitchell
    The Prom-Bob Martin & Chad Beguelin
    Tootsie-Robert Horn

    What Could Sneak In?: The Cher Show

    Best Choreography:
    Warren Carlyle-Kiss Me, Kate
    Denis Jones-Tootsie
    David Neumann-Hadestown
    Casey Nicholaw-The Prom
    Sergio Trujillo-Ain’t Too Proud

    Who Could Sneak In?: Christopher Gattelli-The Cher Show

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    Awardsfan1990
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    #1202872790

    My final predictions:

    Best Musical:
    Ain’t Too Proud—The Life And Times Of The Temptations
    Be More Chill
    Hadestown
    The Prom
    Tootsie

    Best Play:
    The Ferryman
    Ink
    Network
    To Kill A Mockingbird
    What The Constitution Means To Me

    Best Revival Of A Musical:
    Kiss Me, Kate
    Oklahoma!

    Best Revival Of A Play:
    All My Sons
    The Boys In The Band
    Burn This
    The Waverly Gallery

    Best Actor In A Musical:
    Brooks Ashmanskas—The Prom
    Reeve Carney—Hadestown
    Will Chase—Kiss Me, Kate
    Damon Daunno—Oklahoma!
    Santino Fontana—Tootsie

    Best Actress In A Musical:
    Stephanie J. Block—The Cher Show
    Rebecca Naomi Jones—Oklahoma!
    Beth Leavel—The Prom
    Eva Noblezada—Hadestown
    Kelli O’Hara—Kiss Me, Kate

    Best Actor In A Play:
    Paddy Considine—The Ferryman
    Bryan Cranston—Network
    Jeff Daniels—To Kill A Mockingbird
    Adam Driver—Burn This
    Tracy Letts—All My Sons

    Best Actress In A Play:
    Annette Bening—All My Sons
    Laura Donnelly—The Ferryman
    Glenda Jackson—King Lear
    Elaine May—The Waverly Gallery
    Heidi Schreck—What The Constitution Means To Me

    Best Featured Actor In A Musical:
    Corbin Bleu—Kiss Me, Kate
    Andre De Shields—Hadestown
    Patrick Page—Hadestown
    George Salazar—Be More Chill
    Patrick Vaill—Oklahoma!

    Best Featured Actress In A Musical:
    Amber Gray—Hadestown
    Stephanie Hsu—Be More Chill
    Sarah Stiles—Tootsie
    Ali Stroker—Oklahoma!
    Mary Testa—Oklahoma!

    Best Featured Actor In A Play:
    Gbenga Akinnagbe—To Kill A Mockingbird
    Bertie Carvel—Ink
    Tom Glynn-Carney—The Ferryman
    Brandon Uranowitz—Burn This
    Benjamin Walker—All My Sons

    Best Featured Actress In A Play:
    Joan Allen—The Waverly Gallery
    Fionnula Flanagan—The Ferryman
    Celia Keenan-Bolger—To Kill A Mockingbird
    Tatiana Maslany—Network
    Ruth Wilson—King Lear

    Best Director Of A Musical:
    Rachel Chavkin—Hadestown
    Scott Ellis—Kiss Me, Kate
    Daniel Fish—Oklahoma!
    Casey Nicholaw—The Prom
    Scott Ellis—Tootsie

    Best Director Of A Play:
    Jack O’Brien—All My Sons
    Sam Mendes—The Ferryman
    Rupert Goold—Ink
    Bartlett Sher—To Kill A Mockingbird
    Lila Neugebauer—The Waverly Gallery

    Best Original Score:
    Be More Chill
    Hadestown
    King Lear
    The Prom
    Tootsie

    Best Book Of A Musical:
    Ain’t Too Proud—The Life And Times Of The Temptations
    Be More Chill
    Hadestown
    The Prom
    Tootsie

    Best Choreography:
    Ain’t Too Proud—The Life And Times Of The Temptations
    Hadestown
    Kiss Me, Kate
    Oklahoma!
    The Prom

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    adamunc
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    #1202872831

    I realize pickings are slim and there have to be five nominees, but it is hard to imagine nominating King Lear for Score. I could shove a vial of ink up my ass and fart on some staff paper and the resulting notations wouldn’t be too far from that score. It’s a tuneless muddle that adds zero to an also-muddled production. Ruth Wilson is really the only totally worthwhile element.

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    Awardsfan1990
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    #1202872854

    I’m predicting King Lear because I think Philip Glass provides more snob appeal than a score for a musical adaptation of Beetlejuice. Jeffrey also agrees with me on this.

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    Jeffrey Kare
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    #1202872866

    I will say that if there ends up being a fifth nominee for Best Original Score, it will clearly be there as filler.

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    adamunc
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    #1202872902

    It certainly could get in based on some perceived class factor. Be More Chill is bad enough, but whatever takes that fifth slot—be it Lear, Beetlejuice, or Pretty Woman—will be enough to gag a billy goat. Maybe it will put an end to this nonsense of requiring five nominees just because of the number of eligible entrants.

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    Anton Spivack
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    #1202872937

    I’m not so sure about Philip Glass getting a Best Score nomination, I think he’s overrated and his music is way too repetitive.

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    FreemanGriffin
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    Feb 19th, 2012
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    #1202873734

    The suspense will finally be over! I feel pretty certain about 4 in most categories but the fifth slot is always so hard to know what they will do! I hope I at least get some categories completely right, I usually do, and don’t get any 2 for 5’s this year. (I messed up terribly on Best Actress in a Play two years ago, only getting 2 correct). I am looking to see which show overperforms and which show underperforms? There is always one of each every year!

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    adamunc
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    #1202873789

    Be More Chill is the one that’s killing me. Either they will snub it almost entirely, thus opening the door for some more obscure nominees, or they will just use it as the filler in several categories.

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    Anton Spivack
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    #1202873854

    Well BMC didn’t get a Best Musical nod, Beetlejuice did.

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    Nate
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    #1202873858

    On the play side, I am really surprised at no Glenda Jackson or Keri Russell for leading actress in a play, especially with their costars getting nominated, but I really hope that this then tees things up for an Elaine May win. And, despite their shows not nominated for Best Play, it still looks like Cranston v. Daniels in Oscar winning parts.

    On the musical side, I’m really surprised to see Pretty Woman totally shut out. It’s still running and has a good cast. I wish Be More Chill did better too, but grateful it still managed original score. But with Hadestown at 14, Ain’t Too Proud at 12, and Tootsie at 11, there wasn’t room for much else. I’m still pulling for The Prom and relieved it got all three leads in. Kiss Me Kate only managed 4, so I guess Oklahoma easily gets revival now.

    • This reply was modified 4 months, 2 weeks ago by  Nate.
    • This reply was modified 4 months, 2 weeks ago by  Nate.
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    Jeffrey Kare
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    #1202874017

    The biggest surprise to me had to have been To Kill a Mockingbird‘s snub for Best Play!

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    Anton Spivack
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    #1202879981

    It’s a tough race for Best Actress in a musical but I think Santino Fontana will win Best Actor, Andre de Shields Best Featured Actor and Ali Stroker Best Featured Actress.

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    Singsongoflove01
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    #1202880000

    I think Stephanie will win actress with Beth Leavel the upset. I am not sold on DeShields winning. The featured categories both have someone who’s a sole nominee from their show. I do think Amber Gray has an excellent chance. Mary Testa is a beloved veteran and will undoubtedly have supporters. Featured Actor is interesting because Andy could win for Tootsie under the same circumstances. The split is very real.

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