2022 New York Times’ Tony Voter Survey

[Jeffrey Kare Joined: Jan 23rd, 2013 Topics: 149 Posts: 6655 View Predictions]

#1204977024

Hopefully, the New York Times will return to offering their Tony voter survey this year. If they do so, it should hopefully be published sometime today or tomorrow (as usual). Keep in mind that the Times has mainly focused on the production and lead acting categories in recent years and nothing else. So what are some races you hope they’ll be able to clarify?

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[adamunc Joined: Jul 5th, 2011 Topics: 13 Posts: 621 View Predictions]

#1204977315

Actor in a play and revival of a play.

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[Sam Eckmann Joined: Jan 17th, 2012 Topics: 1 Posts: 70 View Predictions]

#1204977490

Revival of a Play is, imo, the most competitive race of the evening. Though I’m not sure whether the Times poll will help clarify a frontrunner. I’ve heard voters talk with equal passion about Take Me Out, for colored girls, and How I Learned to Drive. It really seems dead even between those 3.

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[Awardsfan1990 Joined: Mar 28th, 2015 Topics: 116 Posts: 6516 View Predictions]

#1204978208

I just made my predictions today. I’m confident in most of my picks, but I really hope they release a voters poll for some of my less confident choices, like Revival Of A Play. Right now I’m going with For Colored Girls…

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[Zooey the Dreamer Joined: Jan 12th, 2012 Topics: 1 Posts: 144 View Predictions]

#1204978617

It’s out but it won’t help much. Many categories are all over the place.

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[Jeffrey Kare Joined: Jan 23rd, 2013 Topics: 149 Posts: 6655 View Predictions]

#1204978708

Here’s the link for those who want to read it.

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[Djoko Joined: Feb 14th, 2012 Topics: 0 Posts: 286 View Predictions]

#1204978885

This makes the Tonys much more interesting this year. I still think the favorites will win in the end, but I like the excitement of not knowing. It’s interesting that the voters poll gets bigger every year. A poll of 181 from about 650 is a huge. That’s about 25-30%.

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[Jeffrey Kare Joined: Jan 23rd, 2013 Topics: 149 Posts: 6655 View Predictions]

#1204979701

Here’s what Gordon Cox has gathered from voters he interviewed for Variety.
https://variety.com/2022/awards/news/tony-predictions-2022-a-strange-loop-mj-1235289381/

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[Jeffrey Kare Joined: Jan 23rd, 2013 Topics: 149 Posts: 6655 View Predictions]

#1204979745

So these are the projected frontrunners from what I’ve gathered of the New York Times and Variety’s interviews with Tony voters…

Best Musical: A Strange Loop

Best Play: The Lehman Trilogy

Best Revival of a Musical: Company

Best Revival of a Play: Take Me Out, though it’s too close to call.

Best Lead Actor in a Musical: Myles Frost or Jaquel Spivey

Best Lead Actress in a Musical: Sharon D. Clarke or Joaquina Kalunkango

Best Lead Actor in a Play: Simon Russell Beale

Best Lead Actress in a Play: Deidre O’Connell, although LaChanze and Mary-Louise Parker both still have a shot.

Best Featured Actor in a Musical: Matt Doyle

Best Featured Actress in a Musical: Patti LuPone

Best Featured Actor in a Play: Jesse Tyler Ferguson

Best Featured Actress in a Play: Uzo Aduba

Best Direction of a Musical: Marianne Elliott

Best Direction of a Play: Sam Mendes

Best Book of a Musical: A Strange Loop

Best Original Score: A Strange Loop, although Six could still take it.

Best Choreography: MJ

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[Sam Eckmann Joined: Jan 17th, 2012 Topics: 1 Posts: 70 View Predictions]

#1204979963

I don’t think Featured Actress in a Play has a true frontrunner. I have heard strong praises sung for every single contender by voters this season. I wish the NY Times poll asked about featured races, though I suspect it would only conclude that it is indeed a true toss up. Every woman in that category has a very strong rooting factor, but also something that can work against them when it comes time to vote.

For as many people as I’ve heard love Uzo, there are plenty more who preferred Kara Young (the moment at the Tonys luncheon also helped endear her to many folks). Some people feel all in on the comedic antics of Dratch or White, while other voters don’t see farcical comedy as of the same caliber as the dramatic work. Many loved Rashad, but specifics of the performance faded for some voters and some are hesitant to give her the award despite loving the performance. Kenita has universal praise for a role that won in the past, but some voters saw the show after she left for maternity leave…will they do the right thing by not voting in the category? Or will they break the honor system to cast a vote anyway because they want to have a say?

This has turned into the toughest category of the night by far.

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[vinny Joined: May 20th, 2011 Topics: 27 Posts: 23135 View Predictions]

#1204979982

Jeffrey Kare wrote:

Best Direction of a Play: Sam Mendes

 

I have zero of the shows but this category but have been blindly rooting for him since day 1.

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[Atypical Joined: Dec 1st, 2011 Topics: 95 Posts: 6255 View Predictions]

#1204980070

The NY Times poll was no help at all this year. Might make things more interesting on Sunday night.

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[adamunc Joined: Jul 5th, 2011 Topics: 13 Posts: 621 View Predictions]

#1204980400

I fear for my predictions score but look forward to the suspense of the show.

I think the ratings will be atrocious this year, though.

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[Sam Eckmann Joined: Jan 17th, 2012 Topics: 1 Posts: 70 View Predictions]

#1204980481

Having a weird nagging thought which I’m committing here to writing: I’m getting the exact same vibe from SIX around Tony time as I did with Come From Away.

By that I mean, the 2017 season was strong and Come From Away, Dear Evan Hansen, and Great Comet were big contenders. But it became clear that Hansen was pulling out front for Musical, score, acting. While Comet was going to take director and the design categories. But it was clear that voters LOVED Come From Away, and I kept hearing people say, “well I have to give this show something.” Like many others I assumed that “something” would appear in the form of a Best Book win. But instead we got the ultimate shocker when Christopher Ashley took director over Rachel Chavkin. One of the biggest upsets in recent memory.

I’m feeling a similar “we have to give this show something” convo going around with SIX, as they realize that other shows are taking up all the wins on their ballot. Some people have assumed that this means SIX will snatch Best Score from A Strange Loop, but Loop’s score is strong. What if we are in for another big surprise and SIX shows up somewhere completely unexpected in a category they consider important? I’m not sure where that shocker would occur, maybe Orchestrations? But just saying that I think SIX can pull a Christopher Ashley in a spot no one is expecting…

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[AlexMacleay Joined: Aug 25th, 2022 Topics: 0 Posts: 3 View Predictions]

#1205058569

That’s coo.

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