2023 Tony Awards (Predictions Center Now Open)

[Chris Beachum Joined: May 22nd, 2011 Topics: 800 Posts: 1320 View Predictions]

#1205329953

The 2023 Tony Awards predictions center event is now open. Jump in today and make your first picks.

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[Jeffrey Kare Joined: Jan 23rd, 2013 Topics: 141 Posts: 6238 View Predictions]

#1205329998

I think Camelot should be added into Best Book of a Musical. In a recent interview with Lincoln Center Theater’s blog, Aaron Sorkin discussed his process in writing a whole new script as opposed to making polishes to the one that already exists.
https://www.lct.org/explore/blog/aaron-sorkin-how-he-wrote-new-book-camelot/?fbclid=IwAR1fnw9CA0vaF0Y5oOzPm6MhiIHKHv8RqBP8xHQsOg_0uMlh5D_SX1T8770

It would also be so ironic if this is what gets Sorkin his very first Tony nomination.

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[rantinanton Joined: Jun 22nd, 2017 Topics: 8 Posts: 596 View Predictions]

#1205332098

Revised books have been nominated for Candide, Flower Drum Song and Cinderella. Sorkin should be considered.

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[Jeffrey Kare Joined: Jan 23rd, 2013 Topics: 141 Posts: 6238 View Predictions]

#1205332309

Camelot is now in the predictions center for Best Book of a Musical.

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[rantinanton Joined: Jun 22nd, 2017 Topics: 8 Posts: 596 View Predictions]

#1205332395

Good, however I’m not able to edit my predictions right now. I think some of the shows set at 100:1 will have their odds changed after they open, like The Thanksgiving Play.

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[siueguy62025 Joined: Dec 4th, 2012 Topics: 0 Posts: 1 View Predictions]

#1205332997

Has the Tony committee stated Actress in a Play is limited to four nominations when the other acting categories have five? That is all the site is letting me enter.

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[rantinanton Joined: Jun 22nd, 2017 Topics: 8 Posts: 596 View Predictions]

#1205333202

Perhaps there aren’t enough women eligible for Lead Actress in a Play.

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[Sam Eckmann Joined: Jan 17th, 2012 Topics: 1 Posts: 60 View Predictions]

#1205333284

The number of nomination slots per category is determined by the total number of eligible contenders for said category.

In order to get 5 nomination slots, there must be a minimum of 9 eligible contenders. Lead Actress in a Play only has 7 eligible women in that race, which means there will be 4 nominees. The only way there would be a fifth is if there is a tie (within 10%) for the final slot. (Of course, the administration committee make final category determinations so its possible there are women in the spring who will be moved to lead. But I have made my best, most informed guesses as to where they will end up).

This is also why you can only predict 3 shows for Play Revival. Unless another revival opens at the last minute, there are only 5 eligible shows for this category. There would need to be 6 contenders to get to 4 nomination slots.

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[rantinanton Joined: Jun 22nd, 2017 Topics: 8 Posts: 596 View Predictions]

#1205334901

That’s what I said, there would be five nominees if there were at least nine eligible female leads. It’s a shame that with 18 new plays there aren’t enough female leads.

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[rantinanton Joined: Jun 22nd, 2017 Topics: 8 Posts: 596 View Predictions]

#1205342428

I think Life of Pi has a chance at Best Play, with its amazing puppetry and staging.

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[Jeffrey Kare Joined: Jan 23rd, 2013 Topics: 141 Posts: 6238 View Predictions]

#1205342513

It’ll probably be down to that and Leopoldstadt.

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[rantinanton Joined: Jun 22nd, 2017 Topics: 8 Posts: 596 View Predictions]

#1205342683

What about The Thanksgiving Play? Once it opens I hope it has a shot. I also hope Cost of Living gets in.

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[Djoko Joined: Feb 14th, 2012 Topics: 0 Posts: 241 View Predictions]

#1205343608

Leopoldstadt is the frontrunner for Best Play with Cost of Living right behind it. People who have seen Life of Pi say the writing is terrible.

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[Jeffrey Kare Joined: Jan 23rd, 2013 Topics: 141 Posts: 6238 View Predictions]

#1205343682

On the one hand, War Horse, The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time, and Harry Potter & the Cursed Child each won Best Play based on the strength of their stagecraft as opposed to their writing. On the other hand, the nominators snubbed Network, recognizing the achievement in its lead performance and stagecraft, but knew the script itself wasn’t good enough (which I successfully predicted would be the case).

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[Djoko Joined: Feb 14th, 2012 Topics: 0 Posts: 241 View Predictions]

#1205349880

Jeffrey Kare wrote:

On the one hand, War Horse, The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time, and Harry Potter & the Cursed Child each won Best Play based on the strength of their stagecraft as opposed to their writing. On the other hand, the nominators snubbed Network, recognizing the achievement in its lead performance and stagecraft, but knew the script itself wasn’t good enough (which I successfully predicted would be the case).

I saw all of those shows (War Horse, The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time, and Harry Potter & the Cursed Child) and their writing was great, especially The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time.

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