2023 Tony Awards (Predictions Center Now Open)

[Sam Eckmann Joined: Jan 17th, 2012 Topics: 1 Posts: 70 View Predictions]

#1205350729

Jeffrey Kare wrote:

On the one hand, War Horse, The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time, and Harry Potter & the Cursed Child each won Best Play based on the strength of their stagecraft as opposed to their writing. On the other hand, the nominators snubbed Network, recognizing the achievement in its lead performance and stagecraft, but knew the script itself wasn’t good enough (which I successfully predicted would be the case).

Curious Incident was an exceptionally well-written play. I might have a few minor quibbles with the scripts of War Horse and Cursed Child, but they are also very well written. I don’t think you can really argue they won “based on the strength of their stagecraft as opposed to their writing.” The stagecraft was a bonus, a way for these productions to feel especially theatrical and take advantage of the medium. In an alternate reality where we had a separate category for script, I think the only one that might have lost the script race was War Horse (probably to Jerusalem). But it’s also likely that these three would have taken home both Play and Script.

This year’s Best Play race is going to be brutal because we have a true embarrassment of riches. There’s many ways that the category could shake out. So unless there are multiple ties, there are some exceptional scripts which will sadly miss out on a nomination.

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[Djoko Joined: Feb 14th, 2012 Topics: 0 Posts: 278 View Predictions]

#1205353226

Sam Eckmann wrote:

Curious Incident was an exceptionally well-written play. I might have a few minor quibbles with the scripts of War Horse and Cursed Child, but they are also very well written. I don’t think you can really argue they won “based on the strength of their stagecraft as opposed to their writing.” The stagecraft was a bonus, a way for these productions to feel especially theatrical and take advantage of the medium. In an alternate reality where we had a separate category for script, I think the only one that might have lost the script race was War Horse (probably to Jerusalem). But it’s also likely that these three would have taken home both Play and Script.

This year’s Best Play race is going to be brutal because we have a true embarrassment of riches. There’s many ways that the category could shake out. So unless there are multiple ties, there are some exceptional scripts which will sadly miss out on a nomination.

I agree… War Horse had the least strongest writing, but still great. I think Leopoldstadt will take Best Play because of great reviews, Tom Stoppard, Holocaust play, and most important of all: it’s been a MASSIVE hit for a play – selling even better than many of the musicals.

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[rantinanton Joined: Jun 22nd, 2017 Topics: 9 Posts: 682 View Predictions]

#1205355693

If Room‘s out of the running it will affect our predictions, especially lead actress in a play. Parade will certainly be up for Best Musical Revival.

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[EGOT Predictions Joined: Oct 16th, 2014 Topics: 0 Posts: 30 View Predictions]

#1205357420

I know Kimberly Akimbo is the frontrunner for Musical, but I do wonder if they’ll go with the big bang showcase (Some Like It Hot) that Broadway has been craving over the last few years.

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[Jeffrey Kare Joined: Jan 23rd, 2013 Topics: 149 Posts: 6634 View Predictions]

#1205357422

If this was the early 2000s where voters championed big musical comedies adapted from popular films like The Producers, Thoroughly Modern Millie, Hairspray, and Spamalot, I’d say Some Like It Hot has a shot. Although with a lot of the Best Musical winners from this past decade, they’ve gone for more challenging pieces that producers took a risk on by bringing them to Broadway. I’m expecting the latter trend to continue this year with Kimberly Akimbo.

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[rantinanton Joined: Jun 22nd, 2017 Topics: 9 Posts: 682 View Predictions]

#1205357435

I agree that the trend favors challenging pieces. After Kinky Boots won Aladdin and Beautiful: The Carole King Musical were outdone by A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder, a small-scale show with more obscure source material. Then six of the next seven Best Musical winners were Off-Broadway transfers (the only exception was Moulin Rouge!, which only won because the season was cut short by COVID). Three of those winners–Fun Home, Dear Evan Hansen and A Strange Loop–had single-digit casts, like Kimberly Akimbo.

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[Jeffrey Kare Joined: Jan 23rd, 2013 Topics: 149 Posts: 6634 View Predictions]

#1205357441

Not to mention that in 2012, the more crowd-pleasing Newsies came up short to Once, smaller show with more artistic innovation that was adapted from a lesser known Oscar-winning film.

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[rantinanton Joined: Jun 22nd, 2017 Topics: 9 Posts: 682 View Predictions]

#1205358085

EGOT Predictions wrote:

I know Kimberly Akiko is the frontrunner for Musical, but I do wonder if they’ll go with the big bang showcase (Some Like It Hot) that Broadway has been craving over the last few years.

Who’s Kimberly Akiko?

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[runninglikewater Joined: Jan 11th, 2019 Topics: 12 Posts: 273 View Predictions]

#1205358571

BEST MUSICAL
& Juliet
Kimberly Akimbo (WINNER)
New York, New York
Shucked
Some Like It Hot

BEST PLAY
Fat Ham
Leopoldstadt (WINNER)
Life of Pi
Prima Facie

BEST MUSICAL REVIVAL
Camelot
Into the Woods
Parade (WINNER)
Sweeney Todd

BEST PLAY REVIVAL
The Piano Lesson (WINNER)
Death of a Salesman
A Doll’s House

BEST ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Annaleigh Ashford-Sweeney Todd
Sara Bareilles-Into The Woods
Victoria Clark-Kimberly Akimbo (WINNER)
Micaela Diamond-Parade
Phillipa Soo-Camelot

BEST ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
Christian Borle-Some Like It Hot
Brian D’Arcy James-Into the Woods
J. Harrison Ghee-Some Like It Hot (WINNER)
Josh Groban-Sweeney Todd
Ben Platt-Parade

BEST ACTRESS IN A PLAY
Jessica Chastain-A Doll’s House
Jodie Comer-Prima Facie (WINNER)
Audra McDonald-Ohio State Murders

BEST ACTOR IN A PLAY
Yahya Abdul-Mateen II-Topdog/Underdog
Jefferson Mays-A Christmas Carol
Wendell Pierce-Death of a Salesman (WINNER)
Marvell Spears-Fat Ham
John David Washington-The Piano Lesson

BEST FEATURED ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Robyn Hurder—A Beautiful Noise
Alli Mauzey-Kimberly Akimbo
Bonnie Milligan-Kimberly Akimbo (WINNER)
Natasha Yvette Williams-Some Like It Hot
Betsy Wolfe-& Juliet

BEST FEATURED ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
Justin Cooley-Kimberly Akimbo
Gavin Creel-Into the Woods
Kevin Del Águila-Some Like It Hot
Jordan Donica-Camelot (WINNER)
Alex Newell-Shucked

BEST FEATURED ACTRESS IN A PLAY
Danielle Brooks-The Piano Lesson
Faye Castelow-Leopoldstadt
Sharon D. Clarke-Death of a Salesman (WINNER)
Crystal Lucas-Perry-Ain’t No Mo
Katy Sullivan-Cost of Living

BEST FEATURED ACTOR IN A PLAY
Jordan E. Cooper-Ain’t No Mo
Samuel L. Jackson-The Piano Lesson
David Krumholtz-Leopoldstadt
Arian Moayed-A Doll’s House
Brandon Uranowitz-Leopoldstadt (WINNER)

BEST DIRECTOR OF A MUSICAL
Michael Arden-Parade (WINNER)
Casey Nicholaw-Some Like It Hot
Jack O’Brien-Shucked
Bartlett Sher-Camelot
Jessica Stone-Kimberly Akimbo

BEST DIRECTOR OF A PLAY
Saheem Ali-Fat Ham
Miranda Cromwell-Death of a Salesman
Patrick Marber-Leopoldstadt
Latanya Richardson-Jackson-The Piano Lesson
Max Webster-Life of Pi (WINNER)

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Bad Cinderella
Life of Pi
Kimberly Akimbo (WINNER)
Shucked
Some Like It Hot

BEST BOOK
& Juliet
Kimberly Akimbo
New York, New York
Some Like It Hot
Shucked (WINNER)

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[Jeffrey Kare Joined: Jan 23rd, 2013 Topics: 149 Posts: 6634 View Predictions]

#1205358600

Here’s what I currently have:

Best Musical:
& Juliet
Kimberly Akimbo
KPOP
Shucked
Some Like It Hot

Best Play:
Between Riverside and Crazy-Stephen Adly Guirgius
Cost of Living-Martyna Majok
Leopoldstadt-Tom Stoppard
Life of Pi-Lolita Chakrabarti
Prima Facie-Suzie Miller

Best Revival of a Musical:
Camelot
Into the Woods
Parade
Sweeney Todd

Best Revival of a Play:
Death of a Salesman
A Doll’s House
The Piano Lesson

Best Performance By a Leading Actor in a Musical:
Christian Borle-Some Like It Hot
Andrew Burnap-Camelot
J. Harrison Ghee-Some Like It Hot
Josh Groban-Sweeney Todd
Ben Platt-Parade

Best Performance By a Leading Actress in a Musical:
Victoria Clark-Kimberly Akimbo
Lorna Cortney-& Juliet
Micaela Diamond-Parade
Adrianna Hicks-Some Like It Hot
Phillipa Soo-Camelot

Best Performance By a Leading Actor in a Play:
Yahya Abdul-Mateen II-Topdog/Underdog
Corey Hawkins-Topdog/Underdog
Stephen McKinley Henderson-Between Riverside and Crazy
Jefferson Mays-A Christmas Carol
Wendell Pierce-Death of a Salesman

Best Performance By a Leading Actress in a Play:
Jessica Chastain-A Doll’s House
Jodie Comer-Prima Facie
Audra McDonald-Ohio State Murders
Zoë Wanamaker-Pictures From Home

Best Performance By a Featured Actor in a Musical:
Justin Cooley-Kimberly Akimbo
Gavin Creel-Into the Woods
Jordan Donica-Camelot
Gatan Matarazzo-Sweeney Todd
Alex Newell-Shucked

Best Performance By a Featured Actress in a Musical:
Carolee Carmello-Bad Cinderella
Ruthie Ann Miles-Sweeney Todd
Bonnie Milligan-Kimberly Akimbo
Phillipa Soo-Into the Woods
Betsy Wolfe-& Juliet

Best Performance By a Featured Actor in a Play:
André De Shields-Death of a Salesman
Samuel L. Jackson-The Piano Lesson
Arian Moayed-A Doll’s House
Gregg Mozgala-Cost of Living
Brandon Uranowtiz-Leopoldstadt

Best Performance By a Featured Actress in a Play:
Danielle Brooks-The Piano Lesson
Faye Castelow-Leopoldstadt
Sharon D. Clarke-Death of a Salesman
Liza Colon-Zayas-Between Riverside and Crazy
Katy Sullivan-Cost of Living

Best Direction of a Musical:
Michael Arden-Parade
Casey Nicholaw-Some Like It Hot
Luke Sheppard-& Juliet
Bartlett Sher-Camelot
Jessica Stone-Kimberly Akimbo

Best Direction of a Play:
Miranda Cromwell-Death of a Salesman
LaTanya Richardson Jackson-The Piano Lesson
Jamie Lloyd-A Doll’s House
Patrick Marber-Leopoldstadt
Max Webster-Life of Pi

Best Original Score:
Kimberly Akimbo-Music By Jeanine Tesori, Lyrics By David Lindsay-Abaire
KPOP-Music & Lyrics By Helen Park & Max Vernon
Leopoldstadt-Music By Adam Cork
Shucked-Music & Lyrics By Brandy Clark & Shane McAnally
Some Like It Hot-Music By Marc Shaiman, Lyrics By Marc Shaiman & Scott Wittman

Best Book of a Musical:
& Juliet-David West Read
Camelot-Aaron Sorkin
Kimberly Akimbo-David Lindsay-Abaire
Shucked-Robert Horn
Some Like It Hot-Matthew López & Amber Ruffin

Best Choreography:
Byron Easley-Camelot
Lorin Latarro-Into the Woods
Casey Nicholaw-Some Like It Hot
Sarah O’Gleby-Shucked
Jennifer Weber-& Juliet

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[rantinanton Joined: Jun 22nd, 2017 Topics: 9 Posts: 682 View Predictions]

#1205359213

The Thanksgiving Play isn’t getting a lot of predictions. I’m still pulling for it, it would be good to have Native representation on Broadway.

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[Jeffrey Kare Joined: Jan 23rd, 2013 Topics: 149 Posts: 6634 View Predictions]

#1205359476

That’ll be starting previews this Saturday night. So hopefully, we’ll get some idea of how much it’ll factor into this year’s race then.

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[runninglikewater Joined: Jan 11th, 2019 Topics: 12 Posts: 273 View Predictions]

#1205359548

rantinanton wrote:

The Thanksgiving Play isn’t getting a lot of predictions. I’m still pulling for it, it would be good to have Native representation on Broadway.

 

This has to be a joke

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[rantinanton Joined: Jun 22nd, 2017 Topics: 9 Posts: 682 View Predictions]

#1205359808

^Do you consider the lack of Native representation a joke?

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[Jeffrey Kare Joined: Jan 23rd, 2013 Topics: 149 Posts: 6634 View Predictions]

#1205359812

The first of Gold Derby’s two slugfests regarding the 2023 Tony Awards is up and running. Here are David Buchanan and Sam Eckmann’s current thoughts on the musical categories.

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