June 6, 2018 at 8:33 am #1202559754
Each year, The New York Times conducts a survey of Tony Awards voters about their ballots. I’m guessing the article will appear in tomorrow’s edition (Thursday). This thread would be a good place to copy a link to the article for discussion. Is anyone else looking forward to it? It’s become a must-read for me!June 6, 2018 at 8:56 am #1202559793
I’m looking forward to reading it, especially about the Lead Actor in a Musical race.June 6, 2018 at 10:12 am #1202559881
How accurate has it been in the past?June 6, 2018 at 11:40 am #1202559920
Since the Times usually surveys about 10% of the voting bloc, it’s important to take everything they say with a grain of salt. Though more often than not whenever they list a clear frontrunner in a specific category, they tend to lead predictors in the right direction.
However, there have been times when they say a certain category looks like a close race. There at least couple instances I can think of where the Times ended up leading predictors in the wrong direction. Here are both examples from 2013:
“Best Actor, Play
Back to Mr. Hanks. He may be a movie star with two Academy Awards to his credit, but plenty of theater insiders were skeptical that he could pull off his Broadway debut, carrying Lucky Guy on his shoulders, playing the temperamental columnist Mike McAlary. Mr. Hanks delivers a solid performance, and he has been turning out for Broadway industry events (also known as Tony campaign stops) with geniality and humility to spare. Many voters said they had a soft spot for him too. While others believe that Nathan Lane is giving his best performance yet in a play (The Nance), and still others insist that Mr. Letts is the best George in a Virginia Woolf ever, Mr. Hanks will take the Tony.”
“Best Actress, Musical
Few pulses are racing over this category, usually one of the richest of the night. Look for Laura Osnes, a well-liked, winsome soprano, to win for the title role of Rodgers & Hammerstein’s Cinderella, edging out Patina Miller as the Leading Player in Pippin. Ms. Miller is technically impressive, but didn’t seduce many of the voters interviewed, while Ms. Osnes provides high points in a show that lacks them. Pity the fans of the much-nominated, never-victorious Kelli O’Hara — if only she were playing Nellie Forbush this year!”
Of course, on Tony night that year, Tracy Letts beat Tom Hanks (how ironic that they both later ended up playing opposite each other in The Post) and Patina Miller beat Laura Osnes.June 6, 2018 at 11:51 am #1202559925
Interesting about Laura Osnes. I just saw her live in a semi-staged production of On The Town; she was pretty and competent. Andy Karl and Andrea Martin were superb, and Megan Lawrence was a really good Hildy. I was surprised by Andy Karl’s dancing skills, his strong vocals, and his enormous charisma! (:
I remember that one year’s poll showed a strong showing for LaTanya Richardson for A Raisin In The Sun, and I was worried but she did not win (Sophie Okonedo and Kenny Leon won Tonys for that particular production).
I predicted Tracy Letts and Patina Miller and had no worries in either of those categories that year.June 6, 2018 at 3:03 pm #1202560038
I’m curious who they’ll pick for Lead Actor In A Musical, because predictions are all over the map for that category.June 6, 2018 at 4:54 pm #1202560078
Did we really need a separate thread for this?June 6, 2018 at 5:34 pm #1202560091
We’ve had separate threads on this subject before.June 7, 2018 at 9:41 am #1202560421
Is the article with the informal poll results coming tomorrow morning? I am looking forward to it! Lead Actor in a Musical, Revival of a Musical, Featured Actress in a Play, Director of a Play, Director of a Musical, and Featured Actor in a Musical are the categories I am most interested in what they have to say…June 7, 2018 at 9:46 am #1202560426
It has been published on Thursday night before, so it could be tonight.June 7, 2018 at 10:00 am #1202560443
I think waiting for this, the My Fair Lady cast recording tonight at midnight when it becomes available to the public (I’m downloading it on iTunes), and getting snippets of info about what show is performing what is making me way too excited.
June 7, 2018 at 10:11 am #1202560453
- This reply was modified 8 months, 2 weeks ago by SHT L.
Is the article with the informal poll results coming tomorrow morning? I am looking forward to it! Lead Actor in a Musical, Revival of a Musical, Featured Actress in a Play, Director of a Play, Director of a Musical, and Featured Actor in a Musical are the categories I am most interested in what they have to say…
You may be disappointed. Recently they do not go into the Featured categories or direction. Just lead acting and play/musical and revivals.June 7, 2018 at 11:54 am #1202560489
USA Today has their Tony predictions posted. I’m not going to link it here, but if you want a laugh go find it. Just dreadfully misinformed and out of touch. They are obviously fooled by the number of nominations a show receives overall.June 7, 2018 at 2:14 pm #1202560563
Interesting. The real race is in the revival category as it’s close between MFL and OoTI. Sad to see Harry Hadden-Paton looking like he has no chance to win Best Actor in a Musical as I thought he gave an astounding performance as Henry Higgins and changed my standard of how Higgins should be portrayed as I much preferred his portrayal to Rex Harrison’s classic portrayal.
I really wish it was closer between Ambrose and Lenk but I cannot begrudge Lenk for taking this one. She gives a luminous performance in a role that is tailor-made to fit her strengths. Ambrose was a total revelation as Eliza and really gave a distinct and different portrayal than the usual young sassy girl and thus provided Eliza with more depth and feeling. However, the difference between Lenk and Ambrose despite both giving such outstanding performances is that Lenk is totally comfortable on that stage and gives a natural and nuanced performance as only a seasoned stage performer can give while I think Ambrose some times inadvertently reveals she’s new to musical theatre. I have no doubt that she will get stronger with more experience, though I think that was what made her so exciting in the role as she was not cut from the same cloth as most theater actors and she’s way too cool for school off-stage in her interviews.
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