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Official 72nd Tony Awards Thread

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  • FreemanGriffin
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    #1202545693

    I just looked at Sam Eckmann’s blog and realized that we agree on all but 3 categories: Best Book, Best Costume Design of a Play and Best Lighting Design of a Musical. The last of the 3 is the hardest to predict, and the only one where I have changed my prediction to The Band’s Visit instead of Once On This Island. Sam (at least as of 4/30) is predicting My Fair Lady. He sometimes makes last minute panic changes to his predictions but as of now we are in agreement in 23 of 26 categories.

    Perhaps I am just being stubborn but I don’t see Itamar Moses losing in the Best Book category.

    I also think Harry Potter & the Cursed Child is going to sweep all of the design categories, so I am predicting Katrina Lindsay will win for her costume designs.

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    Atypical
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    Tony voters aren’t going to vote for someone just because they’re famous. Just ask Tom Hanks and Bradley Cooper who both lost to much lesser known actors like Tracy Letts and Alex Sharp.

    The one I always go back to is the year you had Philip Seymour Hoffman, James Earl Jones, John Lithgow, and Frank Langella and at the time a nobody to Americans, James Corden won over all of them!

    That was when I stopped taking the Tonys seriously. Nothing could ever be more unforgivable than this BS. JEJ, PSH, Lithgow, and Langella turned out amazing performances yet the most annoying man on late night beat them.

    Corden really stood out as the comedic nominee of the field. That just happens sometimes here.

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    Awardsfan1990
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    Tony voters aren’t going to vote for someone just because they’re famous. Just ask Tom Hanks and Bradley Cooper who both lost to much lesser known actors like Tracy Letts and Alex Sharp.

    The one I always go back to is the year you had Philip Seymour Hoffman, James Earl Jones, John Lithgow, and Frank Langella and at the time a nobody to Americans, James Corden won over all of them!

    If you watch the video closely, when Candice Bergen is announcing the winner, and she says James, James Earl Jones opens his mouth as if he were the winner, and then she says “Corden.”

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    Awardsfan1990
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    #1202545761

    I too have Park for the upset – consolation prize for Mean Girls.

    THE OSCAR 100 (#80-76): Dustin Hoffman, Bette Davis, Meryl Streep, Fredric March and Elizabeth Taylor

    I think Lindsay Mendez is winning because she seems to be the most critically acclaimed performer of all the Carousel nominees, and she probably has the most realistic shot of winning. Jessie Mueller, Renee Fleming and Alexander Gemignani all have no shot. I’m seeing some people predict Joshua Henry for lead actor, but with the #MeToo movement and the controversy of Billy Bigelow as a character, I don’t think it’s going to happen. Tony Shaloub or Ethan Slater will probably win there.

    So that leaves Mendez, who’s also helped by the fact that Carrie Pipperidge seems to be an awards-friendly role. Audra McDonald won the Outer Critics Circle, Drama Desk and Tony for her performance as Carrie in the 1994 revival.

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    Jeffrey Kare
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    #1202545768

    While yes, Lindsay Mendez does seem to be the critical darling of Carousel, it is worth noting that not every theatre critic is a Tony voter. Only members of the New York Drama Critics’ Circle are allowed to vote, which consists of 19 people.

    While I do agree that Mendez is more likely to standout than Renée Fleming, I could still maybe see Fleming getting her fair share of votes since she does get to sing ‘You’ll Never Walk Alone’, which is one of the most famous ballads ever written.

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    adamunc
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    #1202545808

    Fleming’s “Walk Alone” is stunning, but her voice does not work on “June Is Bustin’ Out”. No one could understand a word. Her book scenes are blah. The performance does not scream Tony! Mendez outshines her at every turn.

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    Jeffrey Kare
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    #1202545810

    I’m not saying Renée Fleming has a shot, I was truly stunned by her nomination, as well as the recognition Carousel received overall. In fact, I probably wouldn’t be surprised if the production actually came in fourth or fifth place in some of its nominations.

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    FreemanGriffin
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    #1202545970

    I would be interested in learning more about why people are choosing whatever they are predicting for Best Lighting Design for a Musical. I keep changing my mind! (;

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    adamunc
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    That one is such a toss-up. I haven’t seen Spongebob, but I’ve seen the other nominees and I’ve currently got Once on This Island predicted just because there were several lighting effects I remember from that–there’s a scene done in silhouette behind a drop and there are a couple of sequences that really depend on precise lighting for their impact (a simulated car crash with a body being thrown clear, storm effects, etc.). I don’t remember the lighting particularly standing out or setting mood more than normal in Band’s Visit, Carousel, or MFL. But I suppose you could make a case for any of them except Carousel. The Beaumont is a difficult space to light for any production, Band’s Visit alternates between harsh desert sunlight and a dim interior in a roller rink, Spongebob is trying to create the effect of animation on the stage.

    Now watch Carousel win.

    The one I have the most trouble with is Sound Design. My only barometer for judging that is could I hear it or not and is the orchestra/vocal balance good. All the nominees seemed fine to me, so I’m not savvy enough to separate from there. Plus it will be a small subset of experts voting on that one.

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    Jeffrey Kare
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    #1202546674

    I also currently have Once on This Island winning Lighting Design, mainly because I don’t have it winning anything else, and Tony voters would probably like to throw a bone at it somewhere. As for Sound Design, I have SpongeBob winning that because I’ve heard the work in that show is suppose to be very vital to the production.

    • This reply was modified 1 year, 10 months ago by  Jeffrey Kare.
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    Jeffrey Kare
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    #1202546865

    Speaking of which, I recently had the great pleasure of interviewing the Tony nominated sound designers of SpongeBob SquarePants, Walter Trarbach & Mike Dobson. During our conversation, we talked about the importance of sound design, their involvement with the project, and being recognized for their work.

    Walter Trarbach & Mike Dobson of SPONGEBOB SQUAREPANTS

    • This reply was modified 1 year, 10 months ago by  Jeffrey Kare.
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    MG
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    #1202547012

    For those who are writing your predictions on the Tony’s based on the Experts predictions here on Gold Derby. Don’t. Those “Experts” always get it wrong at everything… From the Tonys to the Grammys, Emmys and The Oscars. They even got their VMA predictions wrong. Don’t listen to them and trust your gut.

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    prognosticator
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    #1202548174

    I think given what’s going on in the world right now it’s a musical of some significance. Two men of very different backgrounds worked together to craft a beautiful show with heart and substance. Katrina Lenk deserves to win for sure. She was grossly overlooked for her equally amazing performance in Indecent last season. I’m hoping she’s considered for Fanny if there’s a Funny Girl revival-she’s very talented and I think would be amazing.

    The creatives really deserve to win. I’d like them to get to speak on national television because I think their message would hit home right now.

    I loved The Band’s Visit and really hope it takes a ton of awards.

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    Tyler
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    #1202548191

    Ben Brantley and Jesse Green, the chief theater critics for The New York Times, make their Tony Award choices. Tony Awards 2018: Who Will Win (and Who Should)

     

    This is the New York Times so I’m trying to think the predictions should be taken seriously, but how does Ben Brantley have the “Lobby Hero” guys as their will and should wins over Nathan Lane? And the “Should Have Been Nominated” going to Chris Evans instead of James Mcardle??

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    adamunc
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    #1202548202

    They make a hash of predictions every year, so you can safely ignore them. I had hoped Green might do better than Isherwood, but meh.

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