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Official 72nd Tony Awards Thread

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  • SamEckmann
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    #1202480307

    I would say Benanti and Key in the featured races is a slight surprise. Some had thought the entire 4 person cast would be competing in lead. Now that they wont cancel each other out, Benanti is looking pretty good for a nomination and Key just found a much easier path to one.

    What Im really stunned by is the lack of ruling for The Children. As with most MTC productions, the entire cast is billed below the title. But its only a 3 person cast, and without any ruling from the Tony Administration it means that Deborah Findlay, Francesca Annis, and Ron Cook are all competing in featured. Findlay could become a huge threat in that category given the breadth of her role. (Also the play is phenomenal so if you have time to see it before it closes on the 4th: go).

    • This reply was modified 6 months, 3 weeks ago by  SamEckmann.
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    Ted Stevenson
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    Are there really only 6 or 7 new musicals competing? I’m going to attempt and shortlist some of these categories. I have not much idea who is eligible, but there really aren’t that many new musicals or revivals this year so the competition isn’t as heave as years past.

    *Best Musical
    THE BAND’S VISIT
    FROZEN
    MEAN GIRLS
    SUMMER: THE DONNA SUMMER MUSICAL
    ESCAPE TO MARGARITAVILLE
    SPONEGBOB SQUAREPANTS

    -Is that it!?

    *Best Revival of a Musical
    MY FAIR LADY
    CAROUSEL
    ONCE ON THIS ISLAND

    -Only 3, right?

    *Lead Actress in a Musical
    Katrina Lenk, THE BAND’S VISIT
    LaChanze, SUMMER
    Jessie Mueller, CAROUSEL
    Lauren Ambrose, MY FAIR LADY
    Taylor Louderman, MEAN GIRLS
    Erika Henningsen, MEAN GIRLS
    Patti Murin, FROZEN
    Caissie Levy, FROZEN
    Hailey Kilgore, ONCE ON THIS ISLAND

    -There are already 3 strong supporting female performances in Ashley Park, Barrett Wilbert Weed, and Kate Rockwell in MEAN GIRLS so they will definitely push Erika and Taylor in lead.

    *Lead Actor in a Musical
    Joshua Henry, CAROUSEL
    Tony Shalhoub, THE BAND’S VISIT
    Ethan Slater, SPONGEBOB SQUAREPANTS
    Harry Hadden-Paton, MY FAIR LADY
    Paul Alexander Nolan, ESCAPE TO MARGARITAVILLE

    -There must be more contenders???

    *Featured Actress in a Musical
    Renee Fleming, CAROUSEL
    Diana Rigg, MY FAIR LADY
    Ashley Park, MEAN GIRLS
    Kate Rockwell, MEAN GIRLS
    Barrett Wilbert Weed, MEAN GIRLS
    Ariana DeBose, SUMMER
    Storm Lever, SUMMER
    Lilli Cooper, SPONGEBOB SQUAREPANTS
    Lea Salonga, ONCE ON THIS ISLAND
    Lindsay Mendez, CAROUSEL
    Merl Dandridge, ONCE ON THIS ISLAND
    Kenita Miller, ONCE ON THIS ISLAND

    *Featured Actor in a Musical
    Norbert Leo Butz, MY FAIR LADY
    Gavin Lee, SPONEGOB SQUAREPANTS
    Grey Henson, MEAN GIRLS
    Ari’el Satchel, THE BAND’S VISIT
    Jelani Alladin, FROZEN
    Etai Benson, THE BAND’S VISIT
    John Riddle, FROZEN
    Alex Newell, ONCE ON THIS ISLAND
    Philip Boykin, ONCE ON THIS ISLAND
    Adam Kantor, THE BAND’S VISIT
    Isaac Powell, ONCE ON THIS ISLAND

    Who knows with the featured ones. Am I at all close here? I’m not in New York so I’m very out of the loop. At least it’s a start on spitballing who is in competition.

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    adamunc
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    #1202493677

    I think Prince of Broadway is another eligible new musical. (Not that it will get nominated.)

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    Jeffrey Kare
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    #1202495617

    Are there really only 6 or 7 new musicals competing? I’m going to attempt and shortlist some of these categories. I have not much idea who is eligible, but there really aren’t that many new musicals or revivals this year so the competition isn’t as heave as years past.

    *Best Revival of a Musical
    CAROUSEL
    MY FAIR LADY
    ONCE ON THIS ISLAND

    -Only 3, right?

    In the past, the nominating committee would have to fill out all 2-4 slots of each production category. Whenever there were only 2-4 musical revivals that actually took place during the season, then they would all be nominated by default. Which was how the most revivals of The Threepenny Opera, Grease, and Guys & Dolls ended up receiving Tony nominations for Best Revival of a Musical despite their lackluster critical responses. But when they changed the rules in 2014, if there were only up to five productions eligible, the nominating committee would only have three slots to fill. A fourth slot would still be possible, but only if there was a close race within three votes in the nominating process. Though since there are only three productions eligible for Best Revival of a Musical this year, they’ll all pretty much be nominated, regardless of quality.

    *Lead Actor in a Musical
    Harry Hadden-Paton, MY FAIR LADY
    Joshua Henry, CAROUSEL
    Paul Alexander Nolan, ESCAPE TO MARGARITAVILLE
    Tony Shalhoub, THE BAND’S VISIT
    Ethan Slater, SPONGEBOB SQUAREPANTS

    -There must be more contenders???

    According to the rules, there shall be no more than four nominees in each of the following categories. Though if there are at least seven eligible candidates for a nomination in any of the eight established acting categories, then there shall be five nominees in that category. However, since there are only five eligible candidates for Lead Actor in a Musical this year, we’ll likely only be seeing four nominees this year.

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    Jeffrey Kare
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    #1202495670

    Are there really only 6 or 7 new musicals competing? I’m going to attempt and shortlist some of these categories. I have not much idea who is eligible, but there really aren’t that many new musicals or revivals this year so the competition isn’t as heave as years past.

    *Best Revival of a Musical
    CAROUSEL
    MY FAIR LADY
    ONCE ON THIS ISLAND

    -Only 3, right?

    In the past, the nominating committee would have to fill out all 2-4 slots of each production category. Whenever there were only 2-4 musical revivals that actually took place during the season, then they would all be nominated by default. Which was how the most revivals of The Threepenny Opera, Grease, and Guys & Dolls ended up receiving Tony nominations for Best Revival of a Musical despite their lackluster critical responses. But when they changed the rules in 2014, if there were only up to five productions eligible, the nominating committee would only have three slots to fill. A fourth slot would still be possible, but only if there was a close race within three votes in the nominating process. Though since there are only three productions eligible for Best Revival of a Musical this year, they’ll all pretty much be nominated, regardless of quality.

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    Jeffrey Kare
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    #1202495672

    *Lead Actor in a Musical
    Harry Hadden-Paton, MY FAIR LADY
    Joshua Henry, CAROUSEL
    Paul Alexander Nolan, ESCAPE TO MARGARITAVILLE
    Tony Shalhoub, THE BAND’S VISIT
    Ethan Slater, SPONGEBOB SQUAREPANTS

    -There must be more contenders???

    According to the rules, there shall be no more than four nominees in each of the following categories. Though if there are at least seven eligible candidates for a nomination in any of the eight established acting categories, then there shall be five nominees in that category. However, since there are only five eligible candidates for Lead Actor in a Musical this year, we’ll likely only be seeing four nominees this year.

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    Jeffrey Kare
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    #1202528409

    Looks like we’ll have ourselves a little Smash reunion on May 1st as original Hamilton cast member Leslie Odom, Jr. and current Waitress star Katharine McPhee will be announcing this year’s Tony nominations…
    https://www.broadwayworld.com/article/Leslie-Odom-Jr-and-Katharine-McPhee-Will-Announce-the-Tony-Nominations-20180412

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    Jeffrey Kare
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    #1202528679

    The Tony Awards Administration Committee just met for the third time this season and has confirmed the eligibility status of the following Broadway productions: John Lithgow: Stories by Heart, Escape to Margaritaville, Frozen, Angels in America, Lobby Hero, Edward Albee’s Three Tall Women, and 1984.
    https://www.tonyawards.com/en_US/news/articles/2018-04-12/2018-04-12_tony_awards_eligibility_for_2018_part_3.html

    The Committee announced the following:

    *John Lithgow: Stories by Heart will be considered eligible in the Best Play category.

    *Paul Alexander Nolan and Alison Luff will be considered eligible in the Best Performance by an Actor/Actress in a Leading Role in a Musical categories for their respective performances in Escape to Margaritaville.

    *The score of Frozen (music and lyrics by Kristen Anderson-Lopez and Robert Lopez) will be considered eligible in the category of Best Original Score (Music and/or Lyrics) Written for the Theatre.

    *Caissie Levy and Patti Murin will be considered eligible in the Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role category for their performances in Frozen.

    *Christopher Oram and Finn Ross will be considered eligible in the Best Scenic Design of a Musical category for their work on Frozen.

    *Andrew Garfield will be considered eligible in the Best Performance by a Leading Actor in a Play category for his performance in Angels in America (in other words, Nathan Lane will be competing as a Featured Actor).

    *Ian MacNeil and Edward Pierce will be considered jointly eligible in the Best Scenic Design of a Play category for their work on Angels in America.

    *Finn Caldwell, Steven Hoggett and Robby Graham will be considered jointly eligible in the Best Choreography category for their work on Angels in America.

    *Laurie Metcalf and Alison Pill will be considered eligible in the Best Performance by a Featured Actress in a Play category for their respective performances in Edward Albee’s Three Tall Women.

    *1984 will be considered eligible in the Best Play category.

    *Tom Sturridge will be considered eligible in the Best Performance by a Leading Actor in Play category for his performance in 1984.

    • This reply was modified 4 months, 1 week ago by  Jeffrey Kare.
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    Alex Meyer
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    #1202528703

    So I’m guessing that with both Caissie Levy and Patti Murin being considered lead, Jessie Mueller will probably be snubbed for Carousel. And with Laurie Metcalf and Allison Pill now relegated to featured actress, I wonder if that means both Amy Schumer and Uma Thurman will get nominated for lead actress. Does this also possibly increase Elizabeth McGovern’s chances?

    And wow, I didn’t expect 1984 to be allowed back in after what happened last fall. Since Tom Sturridge is campaigning for lead actor, is Olivia Wilde campaigning for lead actress, or will she have to go featured?

    • This reply was modified 4 months, 1 week ago by  Alex Meyer.
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    Jeffrey Kare
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    #1202528709

    So I’m guessing that with both Caissie Levy and Patti Murin being considered lead, Jessie Mueller will probably be snubbed for Carousel.

    I doubt that Jessie Mueller will even be nominated this year anyway because from what I’ve been hearing, she feels wasted in Carousel despite being the female lead.

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    Alex Meyer
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    She’ll probably be nominated at the Broadway.com Audience Choice Awards though, since that is entirely audience-based and I’m sure she’ll have a fanbase that will probably vote a zillion times a day just to get her on the ballot. Intense fandoms for the actors involved managed to help If/Then and Finding Neverland sweep those awards despite critics largely panning both shows.

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    Chris Beachum
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    #1202528757

    We have made quite a few updates and category changes throughout the predictions center. Please update your Tony picks today.

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    adamunc
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    #1202528795

    Caissie Levy’s placement in Lead could be an issue for Hailey Kilgore.

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    adamunc
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    #1202528797

    Also, the 1984 thing… wow. I believe this is precedent-setting.

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    Jeffrey Kare
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    #1202528804

    Caissie Levy’s placement in Lead could be an issue for Hailey Kilgore.

    At this point, I think the Lead Actress in a Musical nominees will be…

    Lauren Ambrose-My Fair Lady
    Hailey Kilgore-Once on This Island
    Katrina Lenk-The Band’s Visit
    Caissie Levy-Frozen
    Patti Murin-Frozen

    If you ask me, Joshua Henry and Lindsay Mendez will be the only acting nominations Carousel will receive.

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