Tony Awards 2020 Nominations (Predictions Center Now Active)

[Chris Beachum Joined: May 22nd, 2011 Topics: 852 Posts: 4546 View Predictions]

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Make your nominee predictions in the newly-opened 2020 Tony Awards event!

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[adamunc Joined: Jul 5th, 2011 Topics: 69 Posts: 3753 View Predictions]

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Marc Shaiman has written music for Plaza Suite that will likely be eligible for Original Score, so that should probably be added to the predictions center.

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[Jeffrey Kare]

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Why are there six slots in the predictions center for Best Lead Actress in a Play?

EDIT: The sixth slot is now gone.

• This reply was modified 8 months, 3 weeks ago by Jeffrey Kare.
• This reply was modified 8 months, 3 weeks ago by Jeffrey Kare.

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[Kevin Klawitter Joined: May 6th, 2015 Topics: 5 Posts: 58 View Predictions]

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It always seems to be a tough category, but Best Actress in a Musical is going to be a bloodbath this year. Adrienne Warren, Karen Olivo, Mare Winningham, Sharon D. Clark, Shereen Pimentel, Katrina Lenk, Carmen Cusack, Elizabeth Stanley, even Jeanna de Waal. All of them could be nominated and I could see a path to the win for about 80% of them.

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[Jeffrey Kare]

#1203373350

Having done some research, the role of Sergeant Vernon C. Waters in A Soldier’s Play has usually competed in featured. Adolph Caesar won the Drama Desk Award for Best Featured Actor in a Play for the original production and received an Oscar nomination for Best Supporting Actor for the 1984 film adaptation titled A Soldier’s Story. So therefore, David Alan Grier should be in Best Featured Actor in a Play, not Lead.

• This reply was modified 8 months, 3 weeks ago by Jeffrey Kare.
• This reply was modified 8 months, 3 weeks ago by Jeffrey Kare.

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[FreemanGriffin Joined: Feb 19th, 2012 Topics: 476 Posts: 7378 View Predictions]

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It was fun making wild guesses predictions! I know I will change them once we get through April! I must admit I am not all that excited by this year’s potential nominees though.

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[Dan Backslide Joined: Apr 24th, 2016 Topics: 60 Posts: 5135 View Predictions]

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Kevin Klawitter wrote:

It always seems to be a tough category, but Best Actress in a Musical is going to be a bloodbath this year. Adrienne Warren, Karen Olivo, Mare Winningham, Sharon D. Clark, Shereen Pimentel, Katrina Lenk, Carmen Cusack, Elizabeth Stanley, even Jeanna de Waal. All of them could be nominated and I could see a path to the win for about 80% of them.

It wasn’t a super tough category last year, there were barely any contenders then.

Right now I think it’s between Sharon D. Clark and Katrina Lenk, and I’m gonna give the edge to Clark. Given we currently know very little about her show, and Carmen Cusack is a great performer, I could see her possibly in play for the win as well.

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[Dan Backslide Joined: Apr 24th, 2016 Topics: 60 Posts: 5135 View Predictions]

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FreemanGriffin wrote:

It was fun making wild guesses predictions! I know I will change them once we get through April! I must admit I am not all that excited by this year’s potential nominees though.

Yeah, it’s really not all that busy on either side right now.

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[Chris Beachum Joined: May 22nd, 2011 Topics: 852 Posts: 4546 View Predictions]

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Jeffrey Kare wrote:

Having done some research, the role of Sergeant Vernon C. Waters in A Soldier’s Play has usually competed in featured. Adolph Caesar won the Drama Desk Award for Best Featured Actor in a Play for the original production and received an Oscar nomination for Best Supporting Actor for the 1984 film adaptation titled A Soldier’s Story. So therefore, David Alan Grier should be in Best Featured Actor in a Play, not Lead.

Every placement is based on what we have right now and the excellent work by our own Sam Eckmann. If anything changes officially, we will then make updates in the event.

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[Jeffrey Kare Joined: Jan 23rd, 2013 Topics: 279 Posts: 5077 View Predictions]

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Dan Backslide wrote:

Right now I think it’s between Sharon D. Clark and Katrina Lenk, and I’m gonna give the edge to Clark. Given we currently know very little about her show, and Carmen Cusack is a great performer, I could see her possibly in play for the win as well.

I agree. There is especially an I.O.U. to the character of Caroline Thibodeaux in Caroline, or Change because Tonya Pinkins was the odds on favorite to win Lead Actress in a Musical for the original production in 2004, yet Idina Menzel pulled off an upset in that category for Wicked. Plus, Sharon D. Clarke did win the Olivier Award for her performance in the West End production last year over Rosalie Craig as Bobbie in Company and Adrienne Warren as Tina Turner.

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[Sam Eckmann Joined: Jan 17th, 2012 Topics: 25 Posts: 772 View Predictions]

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Jeffrey, it is absolutely a strong possibility that Roundabout will petition David Alan Grier for Featured Actor. However, not only is he billed above the title, he has first billing ahead of Blair Underwood. So it was decided to keep him in Lead for now, according to his billing (it’s a sizable role and you could make an argument for either category). Should he be moved to Featured in the next round of eligibility rulings, then his place in the prediction center will change too!

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[Jeffrey Kare Joined: Jan 23rd, 2013 Topics: 279 Posts: 5077 View Predictions]

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Fair enough.

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[Anton Spivack Joined: Jun 22nd, 2017 Topics: 5 Posts: 248 View Predictions]

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I think the Best Score nominees will be Flying Over Sunset, The Lightning Thief, Mrs. Doubtfire and Six. Diana isn’t doing too well.

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[Jeffrey Kare Joined: Jan 23rd, 2013 Topics: 279 Posts: 5077 View Predictions]

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There may be five original musical scores on Broadway this season, but there are a lot more plays with incidental music. Therefore, there’s likely going to be five Tony nominees for Best Original Score this year. The lineup I currently have predicted includes Diana, Flying Over Sunset, The Inheritance, Mrs. Doubtfire, and Six.

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[Awardsfan1990 Joined: Mar 28th, 2015 Topics: 229 Posts: 8622 View Predictions]

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Diana was ripped apart by critics in its California run, and I can’t imagine it doing any better on Broadway. I think its only nomination will be for William Ivey Long’s costumes, because Princess Diana was one of the greatest fashion icons of all time. But then again, maybe nominators will say “Screw the critics!” like they did with Beetlejuice last year, so who knows.

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